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Marimaca Copper (TSE:MARI)
TSX:MARI

Marimaca Copper (MARI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MARI

Marimaca Copper

(TSX:MARI)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$12.50
▲(4.08% Upside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (no revenue, widening losses, and rising cash burn) despite a strong, low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are supportive due to a clear uptrend, but overbought signals reduce confidence. Valuation is also constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative, low-leverage balance sheet
Extremely low debt reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk over the next 2–6 months, preserving optionality for project development. A conservative capital structure supports partnering or staged funding and lessens the chance of forced asset sales during funding gaps.
Material equity and asset growth
Significant equity growth indicates an ability to raise capital and build project assets without heavy leverage. This strengthens the company's funding runway and credibility with potential JV partners, supporting sustained development activity and long-term project value creation.
Multiple clear monetization pathways
The company’s explicit options—to sell the asset, bring in a JV partner, or build to production—provide strategic flexibility. Over the medium term this reduces single-path execution risk and allows management to choose the route that best preserves shareholder value.
Negative Factors
No operating revenue
Absence of recurring revenue means the business remains fully pre‑production and reliant on financing rather than operations. This leaves project economics unproven, increases execution risk, and delays any revenue-based de‑risking that would support long‑term sustainability.
Sustained and rising cash burn
Deep and growing negative free cash flow requires continuous external funding to sustain exploration and studies. Over months this raises the probability of dilution, compresses strategic optionality, and can delay permitting, studies or development timelines if markets tighten.
Reliance on equity and capital markets funding
Dependence on capital markets exposes project progress to market windows and investor appetite. In the medium term this creates funding execution risk, potential shareholder dilution, and timing uncertainty for advancing the project toward JV, sale, or construction decisions.

Marimaca Copper (MARI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Marimaca Copper Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarimaca Copper Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties and projects in the United States and Chile. The company explores for copper, iron ore, gold, and other base and precious metals. Its flagship project is the Marimaca Copper project located in the Antofagasta Region of Chile. The company was formerly known as Coro Mining Corp. and changed its name to Marimaca Copper Corp. in May 2020. Marimaca Copper Corp. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarimaca Copper makes money primarily through the exploration and potential extraction of copper resources from its Marimaca Copper Project. As the project advances, the company aims to generate revenue by producing and selling copper concentrate. This process typically involves extracting copper ore, processing it to produce a concentrate, and then selling it on the global commodities market. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to aid in project development and financing, thereby contributing to its revenue streams. Additionally, Marimaca Copper might seek investment and funding opportunities to support its operational and development activities.

Marimaca Copper Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong, low-debt balance sheet (debt-to-equity near zero) and growing equity/assets support funding capacity, but the company has no revenue and widening losses (TTM net income about -23.2M) with sustained and rising cash burn (TTM free cash flow about -30.3M). Overall, financial strength is offset by weak operating and cash-flow performance.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Across annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the company reports no revenue and persistent operating losses, indicating it is still in a development/pre-production phase. Losses have generally widened from 2022 to 2024 and again in TTM, with net income moving from -7.1M (2023) to -13.8M (2024) and -23.2M in TTM. A key positive is that losses are being funded without meaningful revenue pressure from pricing cycles yet, but the primary weakness is the lack of demonstrated operating scalability and recurring profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered, with extremely low debt relative to equity in recent periods (debt-to-equity near zero in 2023–TTM). Equity and total assets have grown materially over time (equity rising from ~57.2M in 2020 to ~182.4M in TTM), suggesting ongoing funding and asset build-out. The main weakness is negative returns on equity in most years (and notably negative in TTM), reflecting continued losses despite a larger capital base.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation remains negative: operating cash flow is consistently outflowing (from -3.1M in 2023 to -5.7M in 2024 and -7.9M in TTM), and free cash flow is deeply negative, including -17.8M (2024) and -30.3M in TTM. While free cash flow growth is volatile (positive in TTM after a decline in 2024), the overall trend still indicates rising cash burn as activity ramps. Strengths include the ability to fund investment without heavy debt, but the core weakness is sustained negative cash flow that likely requires continued external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-189.00K0.000.00-46.00K-48.00K-153.00K
EBITDA-23.29M-14.24M-5.84M-6.77M-17.19M-6.83M
Net Income-23.24M-13.75M-7.11M-2.16M-18.81M2.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets186.25M112.38M95.60M84.83M92.80M69.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.69M22.65M16.69M14.64M26.79M13.85M
Total Debt4.00K45.00K128.00K0.003.00M5.62M
Total Liabilities3.90M2.81M1.20M561.00K9.49M12.77M
Stockholders Equity182.35M109.58M94.39M84.26M83.31M57.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.26M-17.76M-12.97M-24.78M-20.48M-16.84M
Operating Cash Flow-7.93M-5.74M-3.13M-3.01M-10.74M-5.52M
Investing Cash Flow-22.68M-12.02M-9.85M-5.78M-9.74M-11.48M
Financing Cash Flow80.87M23.73M15.10M-3.04M33.41M21.25M

Marimaca Copper Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.01
Price Trends
50DMA
11.43
Positive
100DMA
11.17
Positive
200DMA
9.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
53.29
Neutral
STOCH
45.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MARI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.87, above the 50-day MA of 11.43, and above the 200-day MA of 9.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MARI.

Marimaca Copper Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$2.20B11.0520.90%45.15%449.29%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
C$1.22B-86.65-6.09%22.26%
54
Neutral
C$773.81M-24.90-48.15%-10.32%
52
Neutral
C$1.43B-40.25-15.90%-104.52%
52
Neutral
C$560.83M-127.064.21%-41.70%
39
Underperform
C$418.78M-600.00-0.82%36.84%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
12.01
6.38
113.32%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
3.06
2.37
343.48%
TSE:CUU
Copper Fox Metals
0.72
0.51
242.86%
TSE:III
Imperial Metals
12.36
10.30
500.00%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
18.97
12.37
187.42%
TSE:ASCU
Arizona Sonoran Copper Co.
5.84
3.89
199.49%

Marimaca Copper Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Marimaca Copper Expands High-Grade Discoveries at Pampa Medina
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Marimaca Copper Corp. announced the successful completion of its 10,000-meter discovery drilling campaign at the Pampa Medina deposit, revealing significant extensions of high-grade copper mineralization. The results have led to the initiation of a 30,000-meter Phase II drilling program to further explore and define the deposit’s potential. This development strengthens Marimaca’s strategic growth plans in the region, aiming to expand beyond the current capacity of the Marimaca Oxide Deposit and establish Pampa Medina as a major copper resource.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MARI) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marimaca Copper stock, see the TSE:MARI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Marimaca Copper Secures Environmental Approval for Chilean Project
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Marimaca Copper Corp. has received environmental approval for its Marimaca Oxide Project in Chile, marking a significant step towards construction readiness by the second half of 2026. This approval allows the company to proceed with the next phase of permitting, positioning it to advance its long-term growth strategy and enhance its reputation as a credible custodian of mining assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MARI) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marimaca Copper stock, see the TSE:MARI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Marimaca Copper Mourns the Loss of Director Colin Kinley
Negative
Nov 7, 2025

Marimaca Copper Corp. announced the sudden passing of Colin Kinley, a respected Director and former Chairman of the company. Kinley, who joined Marimaca in 2016, was a key figure in the company, contributing significantly through his expertise and leadership. His passing leaves a vacancy on the Board, which will be filled at the next annual shareholder meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MARI) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marimaca Copper stock, see the TSE:MARI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026