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HLS Therapeutics Inc (TSE:HLS)
TSX:HLS

HLS Therapeutics Inc (HLS) AI Stock Analysis

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HLS Therapeutics Inc

(TSX:HLS)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.00
▲(3.52%Upside)
HLS Therapeutics Inc's overall score is primarily driven by its strong operational efficiency and strategic corporate events, which are offset by ongoing profitability issues reflected in a negative P/E ratio. Technical indicators suggest a potential buying opportunity, but the financial position must improve for a more favorable valuation.
Positive Factors
Drug Approval
The FDA has announced that the REMS program for clozapine will no longer be required, which could bode well for US sales of Clozaril.
Insurance Coverage
Vascepa has now achieved insurance coverage for over 90% of Canadians eligible for public plans and over 95% for private plans.
Product Synergies
HLS Therapeutics has in-licensed synergistic products with the potential to more than double revenues.
Negative Factors
FX Headwinds
The ongoing trade war's potential impact on the market has led to a decline in the 2025 revenue forecast, primarily due to FX headwinds.
Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin in Q4 contracted to 83% as royalty revenue declined significantly.
Revenue Decline
Revenue declined 2% to $15.5M, coming in just below the Street's estimate of $15.7M.

HLS Therapeutics Inc (HLS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

HLS Therapeutics Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHLS Therapeutics Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, acquires and commercializes pharmaceutical products in the specialty central nervous system and cardiovascular (CV) markets in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes Clozaril, an atypical antipsychotic used in the treatment of schizophrenia; Vascepa, an icosapent ethyl capsules; and PERSERIS, an injectable risperidone product for the treatment of schizophrenia. It also offers MyCare psychiatry lab assays and MyCare Insite point of care therapeutic drug-level monitoring tests. In addition, the company holds the U.S. marketing rights of Absorica, a commercial stage dermatology product; Canadian rights of Trinomia for CV therapeutics; and a portfolio of royalty interests of four healthcare products. HLS Therapeutics Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Etobicoke, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHLS Therapeutics Inc generates revenue through the commercialization and sales of pharmaceutical products. The company's revenue streams primarily consist of product sales, royalties, and licensing fees. HLS acquires rights to commercialize clinically proven drugs with established efficacy and safety profiles. The company leverages its expertise in regulatory approvals, market access, and sales and marketing to drive product sales across North America. Strategic partnerships and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical firms also contribute to its earnings, allowing HLS to expand its market reach and diversify its product portfolio.

HLS Therapeutics Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 7.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in Vascepa sales and a significant reduction in operating expenses and debt, positioning the company for a stronger financial future. However, challenges such as the decline in U.S. Clozaril sales and lowered revenue guidance tempered the overall outlook.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Vascepa Sales Growth
Vascepa's net sales increased 28% year-over-year, 30% in constant currency, and were up 13% over the second quarter, with unit demand growing 45% in Q3. Prescriber growth was consistent at 66%.
Reduction in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were reduced by 15% in Q3 compared to the prior year, with a significant debt repayment strengthening the company's balance sheet.
Positive Leadership Announcements
John Hanna was appointed as the permanent Chief Financial Officer and Brian Walsh was promoted to Chief Commercial Officer, contributing to significant changes in operating performance.
Canadian Market Success
Net sales in Canada grew 9% in Q3 over the prior year, with Vascepa contributing significantly to this growth.
Debt Reduction Achievements
Debt was reduced by more than $18 million, putting the company in a much stronger financial position entering 2025.
Promising Future Sales Model
Transition of primary care sales activities in-house from Pfizer is expected to save approximately $4 million annually, maintaining a high level of coverage with existing prescribers.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Clozaril Sales
U.S. Clozaril product sales were down 15% in Q3 and 8% for the year-to-date period, attributed to wholesaler purchasing patterns and high inventory levels.
Lowered Revenue Guidance
Full-year revenue guidance was lowered to $56.5 million to $57.2 million from the previous range of $58.5 million to $59.7 million, due to U.S. Clozaril sales being behind plan and negative foreign exchange impacts.
Reduced Cash from Operations
Cash from operations in Q3 was $1.5 million compared to $5.4 million in Q3 last year, indicating a decrease in operational cash flow.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for HLS Therapeutics, the company provided guidance reflecting both achievements and future expectations. HLS reported third-quarter revenue of $14.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $4.1 million and cash from operations at $1.5 million. A significant highlight was the robust performance of Vascepa in Canada, with net sales increasing by 28% year-over-year, or 30% in constant currency. The company also reduced Q3 operating expenses by 15% compared to the previous year, excluding the cost of goods, and made a substantial debt repayment, lowering net debt to $52.4 million. Full-year guidance for 2024 was adjusted, with revenue now anticipated to be between $56.5 million and $57.2 million, and the adjusted EBITDA range raised to $16 million to $16.7 million. Looking ahead to 2025, HLS expects revenue growth in the high single-digit percentage range and consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth in the mid-20s percentage range.

HLS Therapeutics Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HLS Therapeutics Inc shows strong operational efficiency with a high gross profit margin and improving EBITDA margins. However, persistent net losses result in negative net profit margins and ROE. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a stable equity ratio. Cash flow remains positive despite net losses, highlighting effective cash management. The company needs to address profitability issues to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown a decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024, with a revenue growth rate of -10.24%. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 84.1% in 2024, though it has slightly decreased from previous years. Net profit margin remains negative due to persistent net losses, indicating profitability issues. EBITDA margin improved to 30.41% in 2024 from 20.42% in 2023, demonstrating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 0.93, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing net losses. The equity ratio stands at 44.6%, which suggests a balanced approach to financing between debt and equity. Overall, the balance sheet shows a stable but leveraged financial position.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to net losses, but the company has managed positive free cash flow of $7.99 million in 2024. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative. Despite net losses, the company maintains positive cash generation from operations, indicating efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.77M56.62M63.07M61.47M60.01M56.11M
Gross Profit47.15M47.62M55.45M56.49M56.04M52.48M
EBITDA14.60M17.22M12.88M18.00M25.41M23.19M
Net Income-17.98M-19.66M-27.53M-23.60M-13.12M-15.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets153.95M159.90M209.06M241.65M275.90M303.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.73M17.46M21.95M20.72M21.18M20.61M
Total Debt63.74M66.45M87.62M97.34M97.57M107.12M
Total Liabilities87.15M88.56M111.36M116.33M115.17M134.66M
Stockholders Equity66.80M71.34M97.70M125.32M160.74M169.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.73M7.99M15.60M6.79M11.92M-35.33M
Operating Cash Flow10.77M8.00M15.79M16.94M16.43M9.34M
Investing Cash Flow11.72M11.73M-189.00K-10.15M-4.51M-44.68M
Financing Cash Flow-23.61M-23.36M-14.64M-6.86M-11.40M9.56M

HLS Therapeutics Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.83
Price Trends
50DMA
4.80
Positive
100DMA
4.53
Positive
200DMA
4.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
47.60
Neutral
STOCH
55.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.89, above the 50-day MA of 4.80, and above the 200-day MA of 4.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:HLS.

HLS Therapeutics Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSHLS
56
Neutral
C$153.68M-23.05%-3.73%32.70%
52
Neutral
$7.53B0.20-61.87%2.28%16.72%1.10%
$144.52M
$249.44M26.059.69%
TSMDP
72
Outperform
C$95.48M23.835.27%-1.14%
$113.48M-190.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
4.83
1.38
40.00%
THTX
Theratechnologies
3.15
1.71
118.75%
CPHRF
Cipher Pharmaceuticals
9.60
3.45
56.10%
TSE:MDP
Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc
3.06
0.76
33.04%
CRDL
Cardiol Therapeutics
1.37
-0.76
-35.68%

HLS Therapeutics Inc Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HLS Therapeutics Secures Nova Scotia Reimbursement for Vascepa
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

HLS Therapeutics Inc. has announced a Product Listing Agreement with Nova Scotia for the public reimbursement of Vascepa, a prescription treatment for cardiovascular events, under the provincial drug plan. This agreement significantly enhances the accessibility of Vascepa in Atlantic Canada, aligning with HLS’s strategic goal to become a leading Canadian company in cardiovascular risk reduction. With this milestone, Vascepa is now accessible to over 95% of eligible patients in Canada, marking a significant expansion in its market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLS) stock is a Hold with a C$3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HLS Therapeutics Inc stock, see the TSE:HLS Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HLS Therapeutics Announces Strong Shareholder Support at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

HLS Therapeutics Inc. announced the results of its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where 50.81% of total common shares were voted. All nominated directors were elected with high approval rates, and Ernst & Young LLP was confirmed as the company’s auditors. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and reinforces HLS’s strategic direction in the pharmaceutical industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLS) stock is a Hold with a C$3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HLS Therapeutics Inc stock, see the TSE:HLS Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HLS Therapeutics Partners with Esperion to Bring Cardiovascular Treatments to Canada
Positive
May 8, 2025

HLS Therapeutics Inc. has partnered with Esperion Therapeutics to commercialize NEXLETOL and NEXLIZET in Canada, targeting a significant unmet medical need for over half a million Canadians with cardiovascular issues. This strategic move aligns with HLS’s business development strategy and strengthens its position in the Canadian cardiovascular market. The agreement involves an upfront payment and potential milestone payments, with HLS funding these through existing cash reserves, indicating no significant increase in operating expenses. This collaboration is expected to enhance HLS’s market presence and provide advanced treatment options for Canadian patients.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HLS Therapeutics Reports Q1 2025 Growth and Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 8, 2025

HLS Therapeutics reported a 5% increase in total product revenue for Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, with significant growth in the Canadian market driven by a 34% rise in Vascepa sales. The company also achieved a 41% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting operational efficiencies and a 20% reduction in operating expenses. HLS expanded its cardiovascular portfolio by securing Canadian rights to NEXLETOL and NEXLIZET from Esperion Therapeutics, aligning with its strategic focus on growth and shareholder value enhancement. This expansion is expected to complement existing products and address unmet medical needs, with commercial launch preparations underway for early 2026.

Business Operations and Strategy
HLS Therapeutics to Present at 2025 Healthcare Investor Conference
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

HLS Therapeutics Inc. announced that its Chief Commercial Officer, Brian Walsh, will present at the 2025 Bloom Burton & Co. Healthcare Investor Conference in Toronto. This presentation underscores HLS’s commitment to engaging with investors and stakeholders, potentially enhancing its visibility and influence in the pharmaceutical industry, particularly in the areas of psychiatric and cardiovascular treatments.

Financial Disclosures
HLS Therapeutics to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

HLS Therapeutics Inc. announced it will release its Q1 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025, followed by a conference call hosted by key executives to discuss the results. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to engage with stakeholders and provide transparency about its financial performance, which could influence its market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025