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Knight Therapeutics (TSE:GUD)
:GUD

Knight Therapeutics (GUD) AI Stock Analysis

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Knight Therapeutics

(OTC:GUD)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(4.35%Upside)
Knight Therapeutics' strong revenue growth and strategic moves are offset by profitability challenges and an overvalued stock price, resulting in a moderate overall score. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Knight's 4Q-2024 results exceeded estimates, indicating strong financial performance and potential investor confidence.
Licensing Agreement
Knight's exclusive Canadian licensing agreement with Sumitomo Pharma America for growth assets like Myfembree, Orgovyx, and Vibegron could enhance its market position and revenues.
Revenue Growth
Revenues are projected to rise due to Knight's re-signing of a $22.4M contract with the Brazilian Ministry of Health, highlighting the company's growth potential.
Negative Factors
Earnings
Knight's results, while ahead of consensus, missed topline estimates, which might raise concerns about meeting future financial targets.
Topline Results
FX and hyperinflation effects skewed Knight's topline results, which could be a concern for investors assessing financial stability.

Knight Therapeutics (GUD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Knight Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKnight Therapeutics Inc. (GUD) is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on acquiring or in-licensing pharmaceutical products for the Canadian and select international markets. The company primarily operates within the healthcare sector, specifically in pharmaceuticals, and offers a portfolio of branded prescription pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter products, and medical devices. Knight aims to provide innovative and niche products that address unmet medical needs, enhancing the quality of healthcare for patients.
How the Company Makes MoneyKnight Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products. The company acquires or in-licenses products from global pharmaceutical partners and markets them within Canada and other select regions. Revenue streams include sales from branded prescription medications, over-the-counter products, and medical devices. Additionally, Knight engages in strategic partnerships and alliances to expand its product offerings and market reach. These partnerships often involve licensing agreements where Knight pays an upfront fee and royalties based on product sales. The company focuses on niche markets and therapeutic areas where it can leverage its expertise and relationships to drive sales growth.

Knight Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable revenue growth and strategic acquisitions offset by a decline in adjusted EBITDA, financial asset losses, and increased operating expenses. While there are promising developments in the promoted portfolio and upcoming product launches, financial challenges need to be addressed.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Knight Therapeutics reported revenues of $88 million for Q1 2025, an increase of $2 million or 3% over the same period last year.
Promoted Portfolio Performance
The promoted portfolio, accounting for over 75% of total revenues, grew by $9 million or 16% on a constant currency basis.
Oncology and Hematology Portfolio Growth
This portfolio delivered $32 million in revenues, a growth of $1 million or 3%, and $2 million or 6% on a constant currency basis.
Infectious Disease Portfolio Growth on Constant Currency
Despite a nominal decrease, the portfolio grew by $1 million or 3% on a constant currency basis.
Pipeline and Product Launches
Knight continued to advance its portfolio with regulatory submissions and approvals, launching Minjuvi in Mexico and relaunching Onicit in Brazil and Mexico.
Paladin Acquisition
Knight entered into an agreement to acquire the assets of Paladin for $100 million plus $20 million of inventory, with potential future contingent payments up to $15 million.
Financial Outlook for 2025
Knight expects to generate revenues between $390 million to $405 million and an adjusted EBITDA of approximately 13% of revenues.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 decreased by $1.5 million or 11% compared to the same period last year, with adjusted EBITDA per share decreasing by 8%.
Financial Assets Loss
Knight recorded a total net loss of $3.8 million on its financial assets due to mark-to-market revaluation and changes in the value of certain equities.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $3 million or 10%, driven by commercial spend for new launches and transaction fees related to the Paladin acquisition.
Company Guidance
During Knight Therapeutics' first-quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported revenues of $88 million, marking a 3% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by a 16% growth in their promoted portfolio. Adjusted EBITDA stood at over $12 million, with a decrease of 11% from the previous year. The oncology and hematology portfolio contributed $32 million, growing by 3%, while the infectious disease portfolio reported $36 million, a 4% decline. Knight also highlighted significant transactions, including the $100 million acquisition of Paladin's assets and the expansion with Helsinn to include Onicit in specific Latin American markets. Financial guidance for fiscal 2025 anticipates revenues between $390 million and $405 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 13%. The company also executed a share buyback under the NCIB and secured a $40 million line of credit to support their financial strategy.

Knight Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Knight Therapeutics shows strong revenue growth with a robust balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high equity ratios. However, profitability challenges and issues with cash flow sustainability present concerns for future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The income statement shows a steady revenue increase, with a notable 13.3% growth from 2022 to 2023, contributing to the positive revenue trajectory. Gross profit margins have been maintained above 45% across periods, indicating good cost management. However, the company faces challenges in profitability, with EBIT margins fluctuating and sometimes negative, impacting net profit margins. Recent improvement in net income for TTM suggests potential recovery.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base, with a high equity ratio of approximately 79.3% in TTM, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, around 0.07, which suggests prudent use of leverage. However, there is room for improvement in ROE, which, despite being positive in TTM, remains modest compared to industry norms.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in sustaining free cash flow, with negative free cash flow reported in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating good operational efficiency. However, the negative free cash flow growth and fluctuating capital expenditures pose concerns for long-term cash sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue372.78M371.30M328.20M293.56M243.48M199.52M
Gross Profit167.57M174.41M152.65M138.06M115.41M81.69M
EBITDA70.81M64.38M40.90M25.26M42.59M67.56M
Net Income11.06M4.33M-16.84M-29.89M15.68M31.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.06B963.80M945.49M1.05B991.89M1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments638.55M172.84M154.42M185.61M162.99M411.34M
Total Debt1.07M49.46M69.09M77.70M40.96M56.19M
Total Liabilities25.64M168.69M198.62M228.98M149.87M153.44M
Stockholders Equity1.03B795.11M746.87M825.86M842.02M886.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.18M4.81M25.98M14.66M-179.56M-32.87M
Operating Cash Flow7.97M36.28M35.94M40.48M44.62M-12.21M
Investing Cash Flow71.26M16.96M29.34M-63.08M-105.28M101.35M
Financing Cash Flow-35.34M-33.54M-81.00M1.76M-78.31M-29.23M

Knight Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.75
Price Trends
50DMA
5.88
Negative
100DMA
5.83
Negative
200DMA
5.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
39.45
Neutral
STOCH
3.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GUD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.91, below the 50-day MA of 5.88, and above the 200-day MA of 5.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GUD.

Knight Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSRX
82
Outperform
C$135.24M17.2322.17%2.33%16.55%14.70%
TSCPH
72
Outperform
C$327.20M24.809.69%84.83%-58.69%
TSMDP
71
Outperform
C$101.61M24.535.27%-3.82%-50.36%
TSGUD
60
Neutral
C$572.85M51.851.41%12.21%
TSHLS
56
Neutral
C$151.16M-23.05%-3.73%32.70%
TSTH
49
Neutral
$150.81M
16.23%85.76%
46
Neutral
C$190.36M-4.25-8.56%3.09%13.53%-1.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GUD
Knight Therapeutics
5.75
0.03
0.52%
TSE:TH
Theratechnologies
3.28
1.38
72.63%
TSE:CPH
Cipher Pharmaceuticals
12.77
4.62
56.69%
TSE:RX
Biosyent
11.79
1.96
19.94%
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
4.79
1.25
35.31%
TSE:MDP
Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc
3.15
1.33
73.08%

Knight Therapeutics Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Knight Therapeutics Secures US$50 Million Credit Facility to Fuel Growth
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Knight Therapeutics Inc. has secured a US$50 million revolving credit facility with the National Bank of Canada to support its growth strategy, including the acquisition of Paladin. The facility, which can be increased to US$100 million, provides financial flexibility for acquisitions and business growth, enhancing Knight’s capital structure and operational capabilities in Latin America and Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GUD) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Knight Therapeutics stock, see the TSE:GUD Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Knight Therapeutics Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Developments
Neutral
May 8, 2025

Knight Therapeutics reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 2% increase in revenues driven by the growth of key promoted products, despite declines in mature products and currency depreciation in Latin America. The company experienced a decrease in gross margin due to hyperinflation accounting in Argentina and reported an operating loss, although net income improved compared to the previous year. Knight also announced corporate developments, including an asset purchase agreement with Endo Operations Limited and Paladin Pharma Inc., and the acquisition of common shares through its NCIB. Additionally, Knight made several product advancements, including regulatory approvals and launches in Mexico and Brazil.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Knight Therapeutics Announces AGM Results and Strategic Approvals
Positive
May 7, 2025

Knight Therapeutics Inc. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all director nominees were elected, Ernst & Young LLP was appointed as external auditors, and the renewal of unallocated rights under the company’s share purchase plan was approved. These decisions reflect strong shareholder support and are expected to bolster the company’s governance and operational strategies, potentially enhancing its market position in the specialty pharmaceutical sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025