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Knight Therapeutics (TSE:GUD)
:GUD

Knight Therapeutics (GUD) AI Stock Analysis

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Knight Therapeutics

(OTC:GUD)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(0.00%Upside)
Knight Therapeutics demonstrates solid revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow. The technical analysis suggests a neutral to slightly negative momentum, while a high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. Recent strategic acquisitions and positive corporate events offer potential growth opportunities.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Knight reported 4Q-2024 results that beat estimates.
Revenue Growth
Revenues grew 31% year-over-year on an IFRS basis.
Negative Factors
Currency and Inflation Impact
FX and hyperinflation skewed the topline results.

Knight Therapeutics (GUD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Knight Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKnight Therapeutics Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, develops, acquires, in-licenses, out-licenses, markets, and distributes pharmaceutical and consumer health products, and medical devices in Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It offers Nerlynx for extended adjuvant breast cancer and metastatic breast cancer; Tafasitamab for relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; Pemigatinib to treat metastatic cholangiocarcinoma; Trelstar for advanced prostate cancer and for pain associated with endometriosis; Vidaza for myelodysplastic syndrome; Abraxane for metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma; Halaven for metastatic breast cancer and doft tissue sarcoma; and Lenvima for differentiated thyroid cancer, advanced renal cell cancer, and unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. The company also provides Ladevina for multiple myeloma, myelodysplastic syndrome, mantle cell lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma; Zyvalix for metastatic prostate cancer; Karfib for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma; Leprid for advanced prostate cancer; Rembre for chronic myeloid leukemia; Ambisome and Cresemba for fungal infection; Impavido for leishmaniasis; Exelon for mild to moderately severe dementia; and Ibsrela for the treatment of irritable bowel syndrome with constipation. In addition, it offers Salofalk for ulcerative colitis; Ursofalk to treat biliary cirrhosis; Imvexxy for moderate to severe dyspareunia; Bijuva for moderate to severe vasomotor symptoms associated with menopause in women with intact uteri; Fibridoner to treat idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; Toliscrin DPI for pseudomonas aeruginosa lung infection in patients with cystic fibrosis; Toliscrin 1-2 for severe acute or resistant chronic infections; and Tobradosa Haler for chronic lung infections. Further, the company finances other life science companies; and invests in life sciences venture capital funds. Knight Therapeutics Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyKnight Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products. The company acquires or in-licenses products from global pharmaceutical partners and markets them within Canada and other select regions. Revenue streams include sales from branded prescription medications, over-the-counter products, and medical devices. Additionally, Knight engages in strategic partnerships and alliances to expand its product offerings and market reach. These partnerships often involve licensing agreements where Knight pays an upfront fee and royalties based on product sales. The company focuses on niche markets and therapeutic areas where it can leverage its expertise and relationships to drive sales growth.

Knight Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable revenue growth and strategic acquisitions offset by a decline in adjusted EBITDA, financial asset losses, and increased operating expenses. While there are promising developments in the promoted portfolio and upcoming product launches, financial challenges need to be addressed.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Knight Therapeutics reported revenues of $88 million for Q1 2025, an increase of $2 million or 3% over the same period last year.
Promoted Portfolio Performance
The promoted portfolio, accounting for over 75% of total revenues, grew by $9 million or 16% on a constant currency basis.
Oncology and Hematology Portfolio Growth
This portfolio delivered $32 million in revenues, a growth of $1 million or 3%, and $2 million or 6% on a constant currency basis.
Infectious Disease Portfolio Growth on Constant Currency
Despite a nominal decrease, the portfolio grew by $1 million or 3% on a constant currency basis.
Pipeline and Product Launches
Knight continued to advance its portfolio with regulatory submissions and approvals, launching Minjuvi in Mexico and relaunching Onicit in Brazil and Mexico.
Paladin Acquisition
Knight entered into an agreement to acquire the assets of Paladin for $100 million plus $20 million of inventory, with potential future contingent payments up to $15 million.
Financial Outlook for 2025
Knight expects to generate revenues between $390 million to $405 million and an adjusted EBITDA of approximately 13% of revenues.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 decreased by $1.5 million or 11% compared to the same period last year, with adjusted EBITDA per share decreasing by 8%.
Financial Assets Loss
Knight recorded a total net loss of $3.8 million on its financial assets due to mark-to-market revaluation and changes in the value of certain equities.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $3 million or 10%, driven by commercial spend for new launches and transaction fees related to the Paladin acquisition.
Company Guidance
During Knight Therapeutics' first-quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported revenues of $88 million, marking a 3% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by a 16% growth in their promoted portfolio. Adjusted EBITDA stood at over $12 million, with a decrease of 11% from the previous year. The oncology and hematology portfolio contributed $32 million, growing by 3%, while the infectious disease portfolio reported $36 million, a 4% decline. Knight also highlighted significant transactions, including the $100 million acquisition of Paladin's assets and the expansion with Helsinn to include Onicit in specific Latin American markets. Financial guidance for fiscal 2025 anticipates revenues between $390 million and $405 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 13%. The company also executed a share buyback under the NCIB and secured a $40 million line of credit to support their financial strategy.

Knight Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Knight Therapeutics shows strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet with low leverage and high equity ratios. However, there are challenges in profitability and cash flow sustainability, impacting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The income statement shows a steady revenue increase, with a notable 13.3% growth from 2022 to 2023, contributing to the positive revenue trajectory. Gross profit margins have been maintained above 45% across periods, indicating good cost management. However, the company faces challenges in profitability, with EBIT margins fluctuating and sometimes negative, impacting net profit margins. Recent improvement in net income for TTM suggests potential recovery.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base, with a high equity ratio of approximately 79.3% in TTM, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, around 0.07, which suggests prudent use of leverage. However, there is room for improvement in ROE, which, despite being positive in TTM, remains modest compared to industry norms.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in sustaining free cash flow, with negative free cash flow reported in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating good operational efficiency. However, the negative free cash flow growth and fluctuating capital expenditures pose concerns for long-term cash sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
372.78M371.30M328.20M293.56M243.48M199.52M
Gross Profit
167.57M174.41M152.65M138.06M115.41M81.69M
EBIT
-800.00K7.40M-2.89M-2.40M-5.32M-3.44M
EBITDA
70.81M64.38M40.90M25.26M42.59M67.56M
Net Income Common Stockholders
11.06M4.33M-16.84M-29.89M15.68M31.76M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
180.86M172.84M154.42M191.22M162.99M411.34M
Total Assets
1.00B963.80M945.49M1.05B991.89M1.04B
Total Debt
53.92M49.46M69.09M77.70M40.96M56.19M
Net Debt
-58.24M-30.65M10.33M6.02M-45.01M-173.40M
Total Liabilities
207.60M168.69M198.62M228.98M149.87M153.44M
Stockholders Equity
795.44M795.11M746.87M825.86M842.02M886.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-15.18M4.81M25.98M14.66M-179.56M-32.87M
Operating Cash Flow
7.97M36.28M35.94M40.48M44.62M-12.21M
Investing Cash Flow
71.26M16.96M29.34M-63.08M-105.28M101.35M
Financing Cash Flow
-35.34M-33.54M-81.00M1.76M-78.31M-29.23M

Knight Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5.86
Positive
100DMA
5.79
Positive
200DMA
5.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
61.15
Neutral
STOCH
78.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GUD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.81, above the 50-day MA of 5.86, and above the 200-day MA of 5.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GUD.

Knight Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSGUD
62
Neutral
C$597.76M54.101.41%12.21%
54
Neutral
$5.31B3.29-45.39%2.79%16.77%-0.07%
$118.18M
$247.89M26.169.69%
TSRX
82
Outperform
C$134.21M17.1022.17%1.62%16.55%14.70%
TSMDP
71
Outperform
C$93.55M14.2611.27%-3.82%-50.36%
TSHLS
60
Neutral
C$156.27M-23.05%-3.73%32.70%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GUD
Knight Therapeutics
6.00
0.19
3.27%
THTX
Theratechnologies
2.58
1.41
120.51%
CPHRF
Cipher Pharmaceuticals
9.64
3.13
48.08%
TSE:MDP
Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.84
1.16
69.05%
TSE:RX
Biosyent
11.95
2.81
30.74%
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
4.92
1.37
38.59%

Knight Therapeutics Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Knight Therapeutics Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Developments
Neutral
May 8, 2025

Knight Therapeutics reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 2% increase in revenues driven by the growth of key promoted products, despite declines in mature products and currency depreciation in Latin America. The company experienced a decrease in gross margin due to hyperinflation accounting in Argentina and reported an operating loss, although net income improved compared to the previous year. Knight also announced corporate developments, including an asset purchase agreement with Endo Operations Limited and Paladin Pharma Inc., and the acquisition of common shares through its NCIB. Additionally, Knight made several product advancements, including regulatory approvals and launches in Mexico and Brazil.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Knight Therapeutics Announces AGM Results and Strategic Approvals
Positive
May 7, 2025

Knight Therapeutics Inc. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all director nominees were elected, Ernst & Young LLP was appointed as external auditors, and the renewal of unallocated rights under the company’s share purchase plan was approved. These decisions reflect strong shareholder support and are expected to bolster the company’s governance and operational strategies, potentially enhancing its market position in the specialty pharmaceutical sector.

Product-Related AnnouncementsStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Knight Therapeutics Achieves Record Revenues and Expands Product Approvals
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Knight Therapeutics reported record-high revenues for the fourth quarter and year-end 2024, with a 13% increase driven by the growth of key promoted products and the impact of hyperinflation in Argentina. The company achieved significant corporate developments, including launching a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) and obtaining regulatory approvals for several products in Latin America and Canada, which strengthens its market position and product portfolio.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Knight Therapeutics to Acquire Paladin Pharma for $120 Million
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

Knight Therapeutics Inc. has announced the acquisition of Paladin Pharma Inc. from Endo Operations Limited for $120 million, with potential future payments contingent on sales milestones. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Knight’s Canadian business and provide a stable cash flow to support growth in Canada and Latin America, pending regulatory approvals expected by mid-2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.