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Cipher Pharmaceuticals (TSE:CPH)
TSX:CPH
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Cipher Pharmaceuticals (CPH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CPH

Cipher Pharmaceuticals

(TSX:CPH)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$17.50
▲(23.07% Upside)
Cipher Pharmaceuticals' strong financial performance and record earnings quarter are the most significant factors driving the score. The bullish technical indicators are tempered by overbought signals, and while the valuation is reasonable, the lack of a dividend yield is a minor drawback. Overall, the company is well-positioned for growth, but investors should be cautious of potential short-term volatility.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals (CPH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCipher Pharmaceuticals (CPH) is a Canadian specialty pharmaceutical company focused on acquiring, developing, and commercializing innovative prescription products. The company primarily operates in the therapeutic areas of dermatology and pain management, offering a range of products that address unmet medical needs. Cipher's core portfolio includes branded and generic prescription medications, as well as proprietary products designed to improve patient outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyCipher Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its prescription products. The company earns income through the commercialization of its proprietary products, as well as through partnerships and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies. By leveraging its expertise in product development and regulatory processes, Cipher often seeks to obtain exclusive rights to market certain drugs, thereby enhancing its revenue potential. Key revenue streams include sales from its marketed products, royalties from licensed products, and collaborative agreements that may involve milestone payments. Additionally, Cipher's strategic partnerships with other firms help expand its market reach and enhance its portfolio, contributing to its overall earnings.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cipher Pharmaceuticals reported a strong earnings quarter with record net revenue, driven by the Natroba business. Despite some challenges in the U.S. licensing revenue and legal costs, the company's strategic initiatives and capital allocation were highlighted as positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Revenue
Cipher achieved the highest earnings quarter for total net revenue in its history, with a 152% increase compared to the same quarter in the prior year.
Strong Performance from Natroba Business
Natroba business revenues were $7.8 million in Q2 2025, exceeding expectations and contributing significantly to the overall revenue growth.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $7.6 million, an increase of 148% from the same quarter last year.
Progress in Strategic Initiatives
Continued progress on launching Natroba in Canada and pursuing global out-licensing opportunities.
Effective Capital Allocation
Cipher made a $15 million repayment on its revolving credit facility and repurchased $2.1 million of common shares.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Licensing Revenue
U.S. licensing revenue decreased by 9% in Q2 2025 due to lower royalty revenues and increased generic competition.
Legal Costs Impact
Onetime legal costs of $1.2 million associated with defending product portfolio through a contractual arbitration process.
Challenges with Absorica Portfolio
Licensing revenue from Absorica decreased by 56% for the 6 months ended June 30, 2025, due to lower sales volumes and royalty rates.
Company Guidance
During the call, Cipher Pharmaceuticals provided guidance for their Q2 2025 results, highlighting a record-breaking quarter for total net revenue driven by the strong performance of their U.S. Natroba business, which generated $7.8 million in revenue with a gross margin of 86%. Overall, the company's total net revenue for Q2 2025 was $13.4 million, marking a 152% increase compared to the same quarter in 2024. The Natroba business, acquired in July 2024, contributed significantly to this growth, with revenues for the first six months of 2025 reaching $14.4 million. Cipher's base business also performed well, with revenues of $5.6 million, marking a 6% increase from Q2 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $7.6 million, up 148% from the previous year, and the company maintained a strong cash position with $11.3 million in cash and $25 million in debt at the end of the quarter. The company emphasized its growth strategy, focusing on expanding Natroba's presence in the U.S., launching in Canada, and pursuing global opportunities, while also exploring complementary product acquisitions and partnerships.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cipher Pharmaceuticals demonstrates strong revenue growth and robust gross margins, positioning it well in the pharmaceuticals industry. However, declining net profit margins and ROE highlight potential challenges in maintaining profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet remains solid with manageable debt levels, but cash flow improvements are needed to sustain future growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Cipher Pharmaceuticals has shown a robust revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, increasing by 57.7%, which is a positive indicator of the company's market expansion and product demand. The gross profit margin is strong at 72.3% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the absence of EBIT in 2024 could suggest increased operating expenses or write-offs. Net profit margin decreased significantly from 96.3% in 2023 to 34.6% in 2024, which raises concerns about profitability sustainability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 in 2024, reflecting prudent leverage levels. Return on Equity (ROE) saw a notable decrease to 11.3% in 2024 from 25.3% in 2023, indicating reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable at 63.0%, showcasing a solid capital structure with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow has improved, with a 22.2% increase from 2023 to 2024, supporting operational stability. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains impressive at 1.69 in 2024, indicating strong cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth is moderate at 22.1%, suggesting potential constraints in cash generation compared to previous years.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.36M21.16M20.68M21.94M21.61M
Gross Profit24.10M17.09M16.68M18.26M18.55M
EBITDA11.87M11.53M12.04M13.66M13.40M
Net Income11.54M20.38M26.64M7.76M4.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets162.51M86.03M73.78M51.65M44.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.84M39.83M28.84M20.55M9.14M
Total Debt40.58M353.00K428.00K516.00K1.85M
Total Liabilities60.17M5.51M9.70M12.75M11.63M
Stockholders Equity102.34M80.52M64.08M38.90M32.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.50M15.98M10.49M13.81M10.93M
Operating Cash Flow19.55M16.00M10.57M13.81M11.69M
Investing Cash Flow-80.04M-144.00K-81.00K0.00-760.00K
Financing Cash Flow39.30M-5.24M-1.91M-2.47M-8.13M

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.22
Price Trends
50DMA
13.04
Positive
100DMA
12.79
Positive
200DMA
13.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
60.70
Neutral
STOCH
74.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CPH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.17, above the 50-day MA of 13.04, and above the 200-day MA of 13.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CPH.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$368.97M21.5412.25%121.40%-47.34%
71
Outperform
C$286.51M67.001.86%38.86%
68
Neutral
C$619.84M1,829.410.03%13.82%
68
Neutral
C$88.71M71.781.88%0.03%-17.30%
61
Neutral
$205.53M
5.24%-7.99%
58
Neutral
C$159.79M-20.58%-3.73%32.70%
51
Neutral
$7.46B-0.16-46.00%2.25%22.82%-2.28%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CPH
Cipher Pharmaceuticals
14.22
-1.79
-11.18%
TSE:GUD
Knight Therapeutics
6.22
0.44
7.61%
TSE:TH
Theratechnologies
4.48
2.60
138.30%
TSE:OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
2.01
-0.71
-26.10%
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
5.08
1.79
54.41%
TSE:MDP
Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
0.49
19.92%

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Achieves Record Revenue in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals reported record revenue of $13.4 million for Q2 2025, driven by strong performance in its U.S. business, particularly from Natroba. The company’s financial strategy includes significant debt repayment and share repurchases, positioning it well for future growth opportunities. The company’s growth is further supported by increased sales of Epuris in Canada and strategic positioning of Natroba in the U.S. market, including a preferred status on Illinois Medicaid.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Cipher Pharmaceuticals to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals announced it will release its financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on August 7, followed by a conference call on August 8 to discuss the results and corporate developments. This announcement highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and communication with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Cipher Pharmaceuticals’ Shareholders Approve Key Resolutions at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals announced the successful results of its annual and special meeting of shareholders, where all proposed matters were approved by a majority vote. Key approvals included the election of director nominees, the re-appointment of RSM Canada LLP as auditor, and the resolution concerning unallocated shares under the company’s share purchase plan. Approximately 50.9% of total shares were represented at the meeting, indicating strong shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025