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Theratechnologies Inc (TSE:TH)
TSX:TH

Theratechnologies (TH) AI Stock Analysis

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Theratechnologies

(TSX:TH)

54Neutral
Theratechnologies faces significant challenges with profitability and high financial leverage, which weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness. Despite strong technical momentum and positive corporate developments, the financial instability and valuation concerns lower the overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Opportunities
Acquisition negotiations are ongoing with multiple parties, increasing the likelihood of a favorable outcome for Theratechnologies.
Competitive Advantage
Patent protection for EGRIFTA WR extends into 2033, providing a long-term competitive advantage.
Growth Prospects
The transition to EGRIFTA WR is expected to drive medium- to long-term growth in the franchise.
Negative Factors
Manufacturing and Pipeline Uncertainty
Near-term uncertainty exists due to a manufacturing pause on the key revenue-driving asset EGRIFTA SV and uncertainty regarding the expansion of the company's pipeline/portfolio.
Market Adoption
Despite positive reactions, it will take time for payors to adopt the new formulation, and the full impact is unlikely to be realized immediately.
Revenue Impact
The shortage resulted in an expected $10M — $12M one-time reduction in revenue, and weaker sales are anticipated in the short term.

Theratechnologies (TH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Theratechnologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTheratechnologies Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies addressing unmet medical needs in metabolic disorders, oncology, and other therapeutic areas. Based in Canada, the company specializes in the development of novel treatments that leverage its expertise in peptide technology to provide solutions for complex diseases.
How the Company Makes MoneyTheratechnologies makes money primarily through the commercialization of its proprietary products, including EGRIFTA SV (tesamorelin for injection) for the reduction of excess abdominal fat in HIV-infected patients with lipodystrophy, and Trogarzo (ibalizumab-uiyk), an antiretroviral therapy for multidrug-resistant HIV-1. The company's revenue streams are largely derived from product sales, licensing agreements, and strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, Theratechnologies may engage in research collaborations and receive milestone payments and royalties from commercial partners. The company's financial success is influenced by its ability to expand market reach, secure regulatory approvals, and optimize its product distribution channels.

Theratechnologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Theratechnologies shows revenue growth but faces challenges with profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative equity raise solvency concerns, and cash flow management is problematic with negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown a positive revenue growth trend over recent years, with a 3.26% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a 3.26% increase from 2024 to 2025. However, it remains unprofitable, evident from the negative net profit margin of -4.18% in TTM. While the gross profit margin is strong at 78.98% for TTM, the net losses indicate operational challenges. The EBIT margin has improved to 13.89% in TTM, reflecting better cost management, yet profitability remains an area of concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet is concerning due to the negative stockholders' equity of -$24.47 million in TTM, indicating more liabilities than assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the high total debt suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting financial instability. These factors signal potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow has fluctuated, with the TTM showing a negative value of -$5.66 million. Free cash flow is also negative in TTM, at -$17.26 million, marking a deterioration from previous periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable, exacerbated by continuous net losses. Cash flow management is a challenge as the company is not generating positive cash flows from operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
88.67M85.87M81.76M80.06M69.82M66.05M
Gross Profit
70.02M65.42M62.13M53.78M46.56M39.15M
EBIT
12.31M8.17M-10.63M-39.91M-25.24M-17.96M
EBITDA
9.15M6.88M-8.91M-27.83M-17.25M-9.18M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.71M-8.31M-23.96M-47.24M-31.73M-22.67M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.34M9.62M40.85M33.07M40.35M20.77M
Total Assets
56.45M53.34M77.77M93.26M119.21M100.14M
Total Debt
50.35M45.61M58.97M66.71M56.74M55.38M
Net Debt
46.45M39.71M24.87M42.85M36.35M42.65M
Total Liabilities
80.92M78.61M98.64M115.83M101.45M96.92M
Stockholders Equity
-24.47M-25.27M-20.87M-22.57M17.76M3.22M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-17.26M879.00K-7.50M-15.68M-14.64M-13.59M
Operating Cash Flow
-5.66M2.38M-5.68M-14.69M-14.48M-13.55M
Investing Cash Flow
-6.09M942.00K1.11M8.68M-12.45M4.78M
Financing Cash Flow
-16.55M-21.49M14.78M9.66M34.56M-7.23M

Theratechnologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.67
Price Trends
50DMA
2.93
Positive
100DMA
2.71
Positive
200DMA
2.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Positive
RSI
56.52
Neutral
STOCH
24.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.77, above the 50-day MA of 2.93, and above the 200-day MA of 2.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TH.

Theratechnologies Risk Analysis

Theratechnologies disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Theratechnologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Theratechnologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSRX
78
Outperform
C$123.89M17.2120.84%1.72%10.89%16.21%
TSCPH
73
Outperform
$319.41M24.259.69%84.83%-58.69%
TSHLS
60
Neutral
C$148.79M-23.05%-3.73%32.70%
TSTH
54
Neutral
$161.39M
16.23%85.76%
52
Neutral
$5.04B3.15-44.58%2.85%16.08%-0.27%
TSMPH
52
Neutral
C$9.08M-5.11%0.98%-13.31%
TSCTX
51
Neutral
C$9.88M-18.52%1.14%-36.66%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TH
Theratechnologies
3.67
1.88
105.03%
TSE:CPH
Cipher Pharmaceuticals
12.49
3.67
41.61%
TSE:RX
Biosyent
10.77
2.42
28.98%
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
4.71
0.57
13.77%
TSE:MPH
Medicure
1.00
-0.08
-7.41%
TSE:CTX
Crescita Therpeutc
0.51
0.08
18.60%

Theratechnologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 66.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and new product approval, indicating positive market momentum. However, challenges such as the drug shortage and declining Trogarzo sales were significant concerns. The company's strategic focus on transitioning to the new product formulation and managing operational efficiencies shows resilience.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Theratechnologies reported total revenues of $19 million for the fiscal first quarter, representing a 17% growth from the same period last year. The growth was primarily driven by EGRIFTA SV.
New Product Approval
The company received approval for the F8 Formulation of Tesamorelin, which only requires once-weekly reconstitution, a significant improvement over the previous daily requirement.
Increased Patient Enrollment
New enrollments were up 15% in the first quarter compared to last year, indicating strong market demand and effective sales strategies.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
The company reported a positive adjusted EBITDA of $2.3 million versus an adjusted EBITDA loss of $247,000 last year.
HIV Business Data Presentation
Data from the PROMISE-U.S. and VAMOS studies were presented, showcasing the efficacy and safety of ibalizumab in reducing HIV to undetectable levels in heavily treatment-experienced patients.
Negative Updates
Drug Shortage Impact
A temporary drug shortage for EGRIFTA SV led to a sales loss of six to seven weeks, impacting revenue by approximately $10 million and possibly affecting the patient base.
Trogarzo Sales Decline
Net sales of Trogarzo decreased by 22% compared to the same quarter last year, due to new competitors and the loss of existing patients.
Tariff Concerns
Potential impacts from tariffs on the supply chain were noted, although they are not expected to significantly affect operations.
Company Guidance
During the Theratechnologies first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported total revenues of $19 million, reflecting a 17% growth from the same period last year. This growth was primarily driven by their lead asset, EGRIFTA SV, which experienced strong momentum in the market. Despite a temporary drug shortage that impacted sales for six to seven weeks, new enrollments were up by 15% compared to the previous year. The company's adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was positive at $2.3 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $247,000 in the same period last year. Theratechnologies provided guidance for 2025, expecting revenues between $80 million and $83 million and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $10 million to $12 million. The approval of their new F8 Formulation of Tesamorelin is anticipated to further bolster growth, with a planned transition from EGRIFTA SV to EGRIFTA WR to be completed by early 2026.

Theratechnologies Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Theratechnologies Engages in Exclusive Acquisition Talks Amid Future Pak Proposals
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

Theratechnologies has announced that it is in exclusive discussions with a potential acquiror for the sale of the company, following unsolicited acquisition proposals from Future Pak. The company has rejected Future Pak’s offers due to inadequate terms and is negotiating a definitive agreement with the potential acquiror, which includes a ‘go shop’ provision allowing engagement with other potential buyers. A special committee of independent directors is overseeing the process, assisted by financial and legal advisors, to ensure the best interests of the company and its stakeholders.

Spark’s Take on TSE:TH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:TH is a Neutral.

Theratechnologies faces significant challenges with profitability and high financial leverage, which weigh heavily on the stock’s attractiveness. While there are noteworthy improvements in revenue growth and strategic FDA approvals, these are overshadowed by technical and valuation weaknesses. Investors should be cautious and monitor ongoing operational adjustments and financial stability improvements.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:TH stock, click here.

Product-Related AnnouncementsFinancial Disclosures
Theratechnologies Achieves Revenue Growth and Secures Key FDA Approvals in Q1 2025
Positive
Apr 9, 2025

Theratechnologies reported a strong first quarter for 2025, with a 17% increase in total revenue year-over-year, reaching $19 million. The company received FDA approval for EGRIFTA WR™, a new formulation to treat excess visceral abdominal fat in adults with HIV and lipodystrophy, which is expected to drive future growth. Despite a temporary supply disruption for EGRIFTA SV®, the company resumed distribution and anticipates a one-time revenue impact of $10 to $12 million for the fiscal year. The approval of a Prior Approval Supplement by the FDA allows for regular distribution of EGRIFTA SV®, strengthening the company’s market position.

Spark’s Take on TSE:TH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:TH is a Neutral.

Theratechnologies faces significant challenges with profitability and high financial leverage, which weigh heavily on the stock’s attractiveness. While there are noteworthy improvements in EBITDA and strategic partnerships, these are overshadowed by technical and valuation weaknesses. Investors should be cautious and monitor ongoing operational adjustments and financial stability improvements.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:TH stock, click here.

Product-Related Announcements
Theratechnologies Gains FDA Approval for EGRIFTA SV Distribution
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Theratechnologies has received FDA approval for its Prior Approval Supplement to the supplemental biologics license application for EGRIFTA SV, allowing for unrestricted distribution of the product. This approval, along with the recent approval of a new formulation, EGRIFTA WR, marks a significant step in resolving supply uncertainties and enhancing the patient experience, potentially strengthening the company’s market position in the treatment of excess abdominal fat in adults with HIV and lipodystrophy.

Spark’s Take on TSE:TH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:TH is a Neutral.

Theratechnologies is showing some financial improvements and strategic partnerships that may support long-term growth. However, high leverage, profitability issues, and technical weaknesses pose significant investment risks. While recent corporate events and earnings call insights provide some positive outlook, the overall stock score remains cautious due to these underlying challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:TH stock, click here.

Product-Related Announcements
Theratechnologies Gains FDA Nod for Enhanced HIV Treatment
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Theratechnologies has received FDA approval for EGRIFTA WR™, a new formulation of tesamorelin for injection, designed to treat excess visceral abdominal fat in adults with HIV and lipodystrophy. This improved version offers a more convenient dosing schedule, requiring weekly reconstitution instead of daily, and is set to replace the current EGRIFTA SV®. The new formulation is expected to enhance patient experience and simplify administration, potentially improving management of comorbidities like lipodystrophy among HIV patients.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Theratechnologies Achieves Record Financial Results and Secures Future Growth
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

Theratechnologies reported record financial results for the fiscal year 2024, achieving a positive Adjusted EBITDA of $20 million, surpassing its guidance. The company also recorded a quarterly revenue of $25 million and an annual revenue of $85.9 million. New credit facilities have been secured, freeing up $19 million in cash for 2025, and the company has in-licensed two new Ionis assets in Canada to drive long-term growth. The company faced a temporary supply disruption of EGRIFTA SV® due to a shutdown of its contract manufacturer’s facility, but has resumed distribution after FDA approval to sell newly manufactured batches.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.