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High Tide (TSE:HITI)
:HITI

High Tide (HITI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HITI

High Tide

(HITI)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is primarily held back by weak profitability and elevated leverage despite improving operating/free cash flow, alongside bearish technical signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). A high P/E further weighs on the outlook given ongoing net losses.
Positive Factors
Improving Cash Generation
High Tide's sustained positive operating cash flow since 2022 and rising free cash flow (~19M TTM) create a durable internal funding source. Reliable cash generation supports reinvestment in stores and e‑commerce, funds working capital needs, and provides a foundation for gradual deleveraging and sustained operations over the next several quarters.
Material Revenue Scale
The company has materially scaled revenue over multiple years, reaching ~630M TTM. Size delivers procurement leverage, fixed-cost absorption and a broader customer base, which are structural advantages that improve resilience and give management capacity to pursue margin recovery and international expansion over the medium term.
Sticky Retail Loyalty Model
Management cites rapid growth in Cabana Club membership and consecutive quarters of store-level gross margin gains. A proven loyalty program and strong brick-and-mortar performance drive repeat transactions and higher basket values, forming a durable revenue engine that supports predictable retail sales and customer retention over many quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Despite revenue scale and improving cash flow, the company reports persistent net losses and negative EBITDA in recent periods. Structural unprofitability limits retained earnings, constrains the ability to self-fund growth or returns, and increases dependence on external capital for strategic initiatives over the coming months.
Elevated Leverage
Leverage remains elevated after a sharp rise in recent years, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. With operating cash flow covering only a modest portion of debt historically (~0.31 coverage in TTM), higher leverage increases refinancing and interest-service risk and constrains M&A, capex or aggressive growth moves in the medium term.
Decelerating Revenue Growth
While top-line is larger, the pace of revenue expansion has slowed materially versus prior years. Slower growth compresses the runway for operating-leverage gains, raises execution risk for new market entries, and limits the company's ability to rapidly scale margin improvements absent stronger same-store sales or faster international traction.

High Tide (HITI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

High Tide Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHigh Tide Inc. engages in the cannabis retail business in Canada, Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and distributes smoking accessories and cannabis lifestyle products. It is also involved in the wholesale and retailing of cannabis products, as well as operates and franchises licensed retail cannabis stores. In addition, the company provides data analytics services, as well as operates Grasscity.com and CBDcity.com platforms. As of October 25, 2022, it operated 149 retail locations in Ontario, Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as High Tide Ventures Inc. and changed its name to High Tide Inc. in October 2018. High Tide Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHigh Tide makes money mainly by selling cannabis and cannabis-related products through two primary channels: (1) physical retail stores and (2) online/e-commerce platforms. In its brick-and-mortar retail segment, the company generates revenue from direct-to-consumer sales of regulated adult-use cannabis products (e.g., flower, pre-rolls, vapes, concentrates, edibles where allowed) and from higher-margin ancillary items such as smoking/vaping accessories and branded merchandise. In e-commerce, it earns revenue from online sales of consumption accessories and related products sold via its owned websites, with income driven by product margin and order volume. The company’s overall revenue model is transaction-based (unit sales to consumers), with profitability influenced by retail traffic, average basket size, product mix (cannabis vs. accessories), pricing/discounting strategy, and regulatory/tax structure in the jurisdictions where it operates. Information on specific partnership arrangements or material revenue-sharing agreements is null.

High Tide Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
High Tide's earnings call painted a positive picture with strong growth in retail store expansion, market share, and financial performance. The Cabana Club loyalty program is thriving, contributing to overall success. However, challenges persist in the e-commerce segment, and there are potential regulatory hurdles in Germany. Despite these challenges, the company's core business remains robust, and the sentiment is optimistic.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion and Growth in Retail Stores
High Tide opened its 200th Canna Cabana location, marking a significant milestone. The company has increased its store count in Alberta by 10% year-over-year while the rest of the industry contracted by 6%. In Ontario, High Tide expanded its footprint by 30% over the past 12 months, while the rest of the industry shrank by 1%.
Strong Financial Performance and Market Share Gains
Trailing 12-month revenue surpassed $550 million for the first time, with bricks-and-mortar revenue up 16% year-over-year. Same-store sales increased by 6.2% year-over-year, and market share climbed from 11% to 12%.
Cabana Club Loyalty Program Success
The Cabana Club membership base reached 1.9 million across Canada, up 33% year-over-year. The ELITE paid membership tier grew by 120% year-over-year to 97,000 members.
Financial Strength and Cash Flow
The company generated $4.9 million in free cash flow in Q2 and reported a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $8.1 million, up 14% sequentially.
Negative Updates
E-commerce Segment Challenges
The e-commerce segment, representing 3% of consolidated revenue, is struggling to reach EBITDA neutral, posing a challenge despite having strategic value.
Regulatory Challenges in Germany
Potential changes in German cannabis regulations following the election could impact High Tide's strategy, including tightening rules around e-prescribing.
Cannabis Pricing Pressures
While not a current issue, there is concern about the potential impact of substantial increases in cannabis prices across Canada on the business.
Company Guidance
During the High Tide Inc. second quarter 2025 financial results conference call, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. High Tide reported a record revenue of $137.8 million for Q2, marking an 11% increase year-over-year, despite a 3% sequential decline due to fewer days in the quarter. The company's bricks-and-mortar segment experienced a robust 16% growth year-over-year, driven by strong same-store sales and the addition of new stores. Notably, daily same-store sales increased by 6.2% year-over-year, the fastest rate in five quarters. High Tide's Canna Cabana brand reached a milestone with the opening of its 200th store, contributing to a total of 82 stores in Ontario and 87 in Alberta, with plans to expand further. The company's Cabana Club loyalty program saw significant growth, with membership rising 33% year-over-year to 1.9 million members. High Tide also reported a market share gain, climbing to 12% in provinces where it operates. Furthermore, the company achieved $1.4 million in sales from its Queen of Bud brand, reflecting strong demand for its White Label SKUs. Despite challenges in the e-commerce segment, which represents only 3% of consolidated revenue, the company remains committed to maximizing shareholder value across all business units.

High Tide Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has scaled materially, and cash flow has improved (positive operating cash flow since 2022 and positive free cash flow since 2023, rising to ~19M in TTM). However, profitability remains weak with persistent net losses, pressured margins, and elevated leverage (debt-to-equity 1.27 in TTM after 1.71 in 2025), limiting balance-sheet flexibility.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Revenue has scaled meaningfully over the past several years (from ~181M in 2021 to ~594M in 2025, and 630M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), but growth has decelerated sharply versus earlier years. Profitability remains the key issue: net losses persist across all periods, with net margin deteriorating again in 2025 and staying weak in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross margin has also trended down from 2021 levels, and operating performance is mixed—EBIT is positive in 2024–TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), but cash-based profitability (EBITDA) is negative in 2025 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), pointing to continued earnings quality/expense pressure.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage has increased materially: debt-to-equity moved from ~0.38–0.55 (2021–2023) to 1.71 in 2025, improving to 1.27 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) but still elevated. Equity has also declined versus 2022–2024 levels, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Returns to shareholders remain negative (negative return on equity across all periods), reflecting the ongoing net losses and limiting the company’s ability to de-lever organically.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash flow execution is notably stronger than earnings: operating cash flow is positive from 2022 onward and improved to ~29M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow is also positive from 2023 onward and rose sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~19M; strong growth versus 2025). A key watch item is that operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of debt (coverage ratio ~0.24–0.58 historically and ~0.31 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), so while cash generation is improving, leverage still constrains financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue629.85M593.99M522.31M487.67M356.85M181.12M
Gross Profit133.00M153.53M142.50M131.31M100.95M63.98M
EBITDA-8.28M-13.74M33.78M-4.20M-33.65M-1.96M
Net Income-46.73M-50.75M-4.34M-39.31M-70.85M-35.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets346.42M349.06M246.21M233.40M274.74M246.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.46M47.95M47.98M30.26M25.28M14.87M
Total Debt112.50M149.83M74.61M72.53M69.88M55.43M
Total Liabilities244.43M246.28M100.70M99.73M112.71M94.21M
Stockholders Equity88.37M87.61M143.27M131.56M156.35M147.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.88M13.43M25.80M14.58M-4.56M-13.54M
Operating Cash Flow29.04M23.87M35.55M20.66M4.50M-2.83M
Investing Cash Flow-22.25M-22.29M-11.01M-5.72M-8.59M-28.49M
Financing Cash Flow7.94M202.00K-7.72M-9.26M15.17M37.81M

High Tide Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.09
Price Trends
50DMA
3.37
Negative
100DMA
3.61
Negative
200DMA
3.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
32.20
Neutral
STOCH
15.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HITI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.38, below the 50-day MA of 3.37, and below the 200-day MA of 3.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:HITI.

High Tide Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
C$319.94M-2.47-72.77%-11.16%-29.56%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
C$121.95M-2.1488.51%3.17%-24.07%
44
Neutral
C$271.60M55.32-40.87%11.18%70.04%
42
Neutral
C$524.44M-2.15-52.88%-0.67%58.98%
42
Neutral
C$65.07M-0.45-90.71%2.19%-91.41%
40
Neutral
C$18.10M-0.080.63%-31.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HITI
High Tide
3.09
-0.08
-2.52%
TSE:WEED
Canopy Growth
1.31
-0.34
-20.61%
TSE:JUSH
Jushi Holdings
0.62
0.23
58.97%
TSE:AYR.A
Ayr Wellness
0.16
-0.11
-41.51%
TSE:PLTH
Planet 13 Holdings
0.20
-0.25
-55.56%
TSE:TSND
TerrAscend Corp
0.86
0.18
26.47%

High Tide Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
High Tide Marks 220th Canna Cabana Store With Sarnia Debut, Sets Date for Q1 Results
Positive
Mar 6, 2026

High Tide Inc., a cannabis retail and distribution company whose Canna Cabana chain is the largest in Canada, continues to build out its integrated consumer-focused platform that includes bricks-and-mortar outlets, online accessories and CBD sales, and international medical cannabis distribution. The company has been repeatedly recognized for rapid growth and performance on Canadian business and stock exchange rankings, underscoring its expanding footprint in both recreational and medical cannabis markets.

High Tide announced the opening of its 220th Canna Cabana store and first location in Sarnia, Ontario, strengthening its presence in Southwestern Ontario with a site positioned in a busy commercial area opposite Lambton Mall. Management said the new outlet aligns with the company’s discount club retail model and disciplined, data-driven expansion strategy, while also confirming it will release first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on March 17, followed by a webcast with executives to outline performance and expectations for the remainder of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HITI) stock is a Sell with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Tide stock, see the TSE:HITI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
High Tide, NuLeaf Join New U.S. Council to Shape Cannabinoid Care Policy
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

High Tide and its U.S. hemp-derived CBD subsidiary NuLeaf Naturals have joined the newly formed National Compassionate Care Council as founding members, aligning with other healthcare-focused cannabis organizations dedicated to improving patient access to cannabinoid therapies. The move positions High Tide to help shape emerging U.S. medical cannabis standards and evidence-based policy, particularly as federal initiatives around cannabis rescheduling and potential Medicare reimbursement for hemp-derived products gain momentum, with potential operational and market implications for its American CBD businesses.

By contributing its experience from brands such as NuLeaf Naturals and FAB CBD, High Tide aims to support efforts to modernize healthcare standards, prioritize product quality and patient outcomes, and expand access to safe cannabinoid treatments nationwide. Participation in the council underscores the company’s strategy to deepen its influence in U.S. healthcare policy for cannabinoids, which could strengthen its industry positioning and benefit patients, regulators and its own hemp-derived CBD subsidiaries as regulatory frameworks evolve.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HITI) stock is a Sell with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Tide stock, see the TSE:HITI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
High Tide Revamps Board and Advisory Ranks to Support Global Cannabis Expansion
Positive
Mar 3, 2026

High Tide has overhauled its board as part of a planned renewal, with directors Nitin Kaushal and Andrea Elliott stepping down after years of service overseeing audit and compensation functions during a period of significant expansion. They are replaced by securities lawyer Kathleen Skerrett and technology entrepreneur and investor Menashe Kestenbaum, whose combined expertise in capital markets, governance and scaling dual-listed technology platforms is intended to better align the board with the company’s growing international footprint and complex listing structure.

The company has also added real estate veteran David Wallach and digital and AI specialist Filip Ernest to its advisory board to guide strategy on property, business development, e-commerce technology, artificial intelligence and stakeholder engagement. Management frames these moves as a deliberate effort to deepen leadership capabilities in governance, real estate and emerging technologies, positioning High Tide to capitalize on global opportunities in cannabis retail and digital innovation while strengthening its long-term strategic bench for shareholders and partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HITI) stock is a Sell with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Tide stock, see the TSE:HITI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
High Tide Posts Record Revenue, Expands Cannabis Retail Leadership and German Footprint
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

High Tide reported record fourth-quarter revenue of $164 million and its highest-ever adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2025, while remaining free cash flow positive for the year and achieving a revenue run-rate above $650 million. The company delivered 4.1% same-store sales growth for the fiscal year and 5.5% in the fourth quarter, opened 27 new Canna Cabana locations to reach 218 stores nationally, and expanded brick-and-mortar EBITDA margins to a record 9.4% in Q4, reinforcing its ambition for 12% margins over the longer term. High Tide continues to lead the Canadian cannabis retail market with a 12% share in the provinces where it operates, supported by rapid growth in its loyalty base to more than 2.5 million Cabana Club members and over 151,000 ELITE members, which management describes as key competitive assets. Internationally, the closing of the majority acquisition of Germany’s Remexian Pharma GmbH has established High Tide as a major importer and distributor of medical cannabis in that market; despite temporary supply-chain disruptions, the German business is regaining momentum, and the company is exploring additional partnerships in the U.K. to extend Remexian’s footprint and further diversify its revenue base beyond Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HITI) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Tide stock, see the TSE:HITI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
High Tide Sets Date for Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results and Investor Webcast
Neutral
Jan 9, 2026

High Tide Inc. will report its fourth fiscal quarter and full-year 2025 financial and operational results after markets close on January 29, 2026, with the disclosures to be made available on SEDAR+, EDGAR and the company’s website. Management, including founder and CEO Raj Grover and CFO Mayank Mahajan, will host a webcast on January 30, 2026, to review the results and outline plans for 2026, offering investors and analysts an opportunity to gauge the company’s strategic direction and performance in the context of its expanding retail footprint and international medical cannabis distribution operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HITI) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Tide stock, see the TSE:HITI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
High Tide Caps ‘Transformational’ 2025 With Global Push and Record Retail Scale
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

High Tide Inc. marked 2025 as a transformational year, evolving from a domestic market leader into a global cannabis retailer while maintaining positive free cash flow and scaling its Canna Cabana footprint to 218 stores. The company entered the German medical cannabis market via a majority stake in Remexian Pharma, becoming one of that country’s largest importers and distributors of medical cannabis, and reported an annualized revenue run rate of $600 million and adjusted EBITDA run rate above $42 million, driven by robust same-store sales growth and strong sales per square foot. With more than 2.4 million Cabana Club members, including 139,000 ELITE members, and a 12% retail market share across the five Canadian provinces where it operates, High Tide reinforced its leadership in cannabis retail while expanding its white-label Queen of Bud product portfolio and earning repeated recognition on national growth and exchange rankings, underscoring its strengthening operational and financial position ahead of further international and potential U.S. expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HITI) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Tide stock, see the TSE:HITI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026