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Helium Evolution Incorporated (TSE:HEVI)
:HEVI
Canadian Market

Helium Evolution Incorporated (HEVI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HEVI

Helium Evolution Incorporated

(HEVI)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.12
▼(-26.25% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue/losses and significant cash burn, alongside higher recent leverage) and a bearish technical trend. Offsetting these negatives, corporate milestones (facility start-up and first commercial sales) improve the outlook, but valuation support is limited given ongoing losses and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Commercial production milestone
The Soda Lake facility start-up and initial commercial sales represent a structural transition from development to operating asset. This de-risks the business model, validates production capability, and establishes a pathway to recurring revenue and scale if production and offtake continue.
Meaningful equity cushion
A tangible equity base relative to assets gives the company a financial buffer to absorb early losses and fund initial operations. That cushion improves solvency resilience, supports credit access, and reduces immediate bankruptcy risk while commercial production ramps up.
Financing support secured
Recent financing events and note conversions provide near-term runway to complete start-up and initial commercialization. Structurally, secured capital reduces acute refinancing risk and allows execution on operational milestones, though it may change ownership mix.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with sustained losses
The firm remains in a pre-revenue, loss-making phase with a TTM net loss (~3.35M) and recurring operating deficits. Structurally, continued losses imply ongoing funding needs and delay the point at which the business can self-finance growth or fund returns to investors.
Negative cash generation
Deeply negative free cash flow and negative operating cash flow indicate the company is consuming capital to reach commerciality. Persistently negative cash generation constrains reinvestment, raises dilution/refinancing risk, and limits the firm's ability to absorb operational hiccups.
Rising leverage
Leverage has stepped up materially, raising financial risk as production and cash flows are still nascent. Elevated debt increases fixed obligations and can restrict flexibility for capex or adverse price environments, amplifying downside if operational ramps underperform.

Helium Evolution Incorporated (HEVI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Helium Evolution Incorporated Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHelium Evolution Incorporated engages in the exploration and production of helium in southern Saskatchewan. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHEVI makes money through the exploration and extraction of helium gas, which is then sold to industries requiring helium for applications such as medical imaging, electronics manufacturing, and scientific research. The company's revenue streams primarily consist of the sale of helium gas to industrial clients and potential partnerships with other energy companies for joint development projects. Key factors contributing to its earnings include successful drilling operations, efficient production processes, and the strategic acquisition of helium-rich properties.

Helium Evolution Incorporated Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain weak overall: the company is still largely pre-revenue with persistent net losses and negative operating/free cash flow, implying ongoing funding needs. The balance sheet retains a meaningful equity base, but leverage has increased sharply in the TTM period, raising financial risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Profitability remains weak, with no revenue reported across the annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and persistent operating losses (TTM net loss of ~3.35M vs ~1.39M loss in 2024). Losses have been volatile year-to-year (notably worse in 2022), indicating limited earnings stability. The main positive is that losses have not been continuously worsening every year, but overall the business is still in a pre-revenue, loss-making phase.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
The balance sheet shows a meaningful equity base in recent periods (TTM equity ~11.7M on assets ~21.9M), which provides some cushion. However, leverage has stepped up sharply in TTM (debt ~8.4M; debt-to-equity ~0.72) versus very low debt levels in prior annual reports, increasing financial risk. Returns on equity are negative in the recent years, consistent with ongoing losses, and earlier history shows periods of weaker equity positioning, underscoring balance sheet variability.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is negative: TTM operating cash flow is about -0.9M and free cash flow is deeply negative at roughly -9.6M, implying significant cash burn. While free cash flow growth is positive in the most recent periods (TTM and 2024), the absolute level of spending remains large, suggesting ongoing funding needs unless operating results improve materially. Overall cash flow quality is weak given sustained negative operating and free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-21.00K-27.00K0.00-51.00K-10.00K0.00
EBITDA-3.33M-1.55M-3.18M-6.22M-1.40M-139.78K
Net Income-3.35M-1.39M-2.95M-7.36M-1.41M-170.87K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.95M10.60M11.64M13.02M13.67M219.60K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.56M3.83M6.33M9.13M171.00K830.00
Total Debt8.40M22.00K43.00K29.00K33.00K256.41K
Total Liabilities10.29M906.00K872.00K226.00K12.53M494.85K
Stockholders Equity11.66M9.70M10.77M12.80M1.14M-275.25K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.56M-2.66M-3.23M-7.56M-1.10M-2.27K
Operating Cash Flow-900.00K-729.00K-346.00K-1.44M-498.00K-2.27K
Investing Cash Flow-7.87M-1.74M-2.43M-7.08M-601.00K0.00
Financing Cash Flow12.90M-31.00K-20.00K17.48M1.27M0.00

Helium Evolution Incorporated Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.14
Negative
100DMA
0.16
Negative
200DMA
0.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
52.52
Neutral
STOCH
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HEVI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.14, above the 50-day MA of 0.14, and below the 200-day MA of 0.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:HEVI.

Helium Evolution Incorporated Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
48
Neutral
C$349.02M-5.33-16.16%-15.50%-58.23%
48
Neutral
C$124.27M-6.76-10.07%19.15%43.88%
46
Neutral
-4.01-14.79%-21.60%
40
Underperform
C$453.23M-6.97-79.56%5.13%61.58%
39
Underperform
C$6.24M-0.18-94.67%
27
Underperform
C$10.45M-0.59-274.20%-36.75%-275.73%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HEVI
Helium Evolution Incorporated
0.15
-0.05
-23.08%
TSE:CVVY
Pieridae Energy
1.20
0.94
361.54%
TSE:GASX
NG Energy International
1.70
0.84
97.67%
TSE:QEC
Questerre
0.29
0.02
9.43%
TSE:TCF
Trillion Energy International
0.03
-0.01
-25.00%
TSE:ALTU
Total Helium Ltd
0.15
0.05
50.00%

Helium Evolution Incorporated Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Helium Evolution Grants 1.4 Million Stock Options to New CEO Malcolm Adams
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Helium Evolution has granted 1.4 million stock options to newly appointed President, Chief Executive Officer and Director Malcolm Adams as part of his compensation package, with each option exercisable at $0.125 per share and vesting in 20% increments every six months over a 30‑month period until February 2031. The equity grant is intended to align the new chief executive’s interests with those of shareholders and to incentivize long-term value creation, underscoring the company’s focus on stable leadership and strategic execution as it advances its large-scale helium exploration and development program in southern Saskatchewan.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HEVI) stock is a Hold with a C$0.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Helium Evolution Incorporated stock, see the TSE:HEVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Helium Evolution Names Malcolm Adams CEO to Drive Next Phase of Growth
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

Helium Evolution Incorporated has appointed industry veteran Malcolm Adams as its new president, chief executive officer and director, effective February 1, 2026, marking a significant leadership transition for the Saskatchewan-focused helium explorer. With over three decades of experience spanning energy, private equity and technology, Adams brings a track record in capital markets, mergers and acquisitions, team building and corporate governance that the board expects will accelerate the company’s next phase of growth and the development of its extensive helium land base. Both Adams and the board highlighted HEVI’s sizable land position in a producing helium basin, its partnership with North American Helium and strategic backing from ENEOS Xplora USA as key advantages that position the company to emerge as a strategic helium supplier in a market where the gas is increasingly critical for healthcare, technology and energy security stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HEVI) stock is a Hold with a C$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Helium Evolution Incorporated stock, see the TSE:HEVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Helium Evolution Names Malcolm Adams President and CEO to Drive Next Growth Phase
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

Helium Evolution Incorporated has appointed Malcolm Adams as its new president, chief executive officer and director, effective February 1, 2026, marking a leadership transition as the company advances its growth strategy in southern Saskatchewan. Adams brings more than three decades of experience across energy, private equity and technology, with a record in capital raising, M&A execution and building high-performing technical and operational teams, which the board believes will be instrumental in scaling HEVI’s exploration and development efforts and in strengthening its positioning as a strategic helium supplier to global markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HEVI) stock is a Hold with a C$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Helium Evolution Incorporated stock, see the TSE:HEVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Helium Evolution Pools Saskatchewan Helium Acreage With NAH and Advances Seismic-Driven Growth Plans
Positive
Jan 19, 2026

Helium Evolution has entered a pooling agreement with North American Helium covering roughly 40,000 acres in the Grasslands/Mankota area, with working interests set at 51% for NAH and 49% for Helium Evolution on the pooled lands, and has launched a NAH-operated 3D seismic program over approximately 170 square kilometers to refine subsurface understanding, de-risk drilling and expand its inventory of helium prospects. In parallel, the company has completed a 60-kilometer 2D seismic shoot over its 100%-owned Glenbain lands, temporarily placed its Soda Lake helium processing facility on standby due to lower-than-required production, and is targeting new drilling from late 2026 that could tie successful wells into the existing facility, potentially accelerating reactivation and supporting growth while sharing costs and risk through its strategic partnership with NAH.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HEVI) stock is a Sell with a C$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Helium Evolution Incorporated stock, see the TSE:HEVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Helium Evolution Reports Q3 2025 Financials and Milestones
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Helium Evolution Incorporated announced the filing of its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting significant milestones that position the company for future growth. Key achievements include securing $8.3 million in convertible note financing to fund its Soda Lake Facility and future drilling, as well as the commencement of production at the Soda Lake helium processing facility, marking a transition from exploration to production. These developments strengthen HEVI’s balance sheet and support its strategy to expand production and create sustainable shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025