Trillion Energy International (TCF) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$6.78M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 307.92K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.64
• Revenue Growth: -54.25%
• EPS Growth: -257.57%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 10
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 193,627,870
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 100,832
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 307,921
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.22
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.85
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.92
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.63
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 81.69
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.16
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 41 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.00 ▼(-100.00%Downside)

Trillion Energy International's overall stock score reflects significant financial and technical challenges. Financial performance is the most impactful factor, with substantial losses and liquidity issues. Technical analysis further indicates bearish momentum, while the valuation metrics highlight a difficult outlook for investor returns. Although a recent corporate event suggests efforts to improve financial stability, these actions are insufficient to counter the prevailing negative factors.

Trillion Energy International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Trillion Energy International (TCF) is a publicly traded oil and gas company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. Operating internationally, the company focuses on leveraging its extensive industry expertise to develop assets in proven hydrocarbon regions with significant potential. Trillion Energy is committed to sustainable practices and aims to deliver energy resources efficiently and responsibly.

How the Company Makes Money

Trillion Energy International makes money through the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and associated hydrocarbons extracted from its operated fields. Trillion Energy focuses on assets located in regions with established infrastructure to optimize production and reduce costs. The company may also engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other energy companies to share resources, expertise, and risks, thereby enhancing its operational efficiency and financial returns. Revenue is generated through long-term contracts and spot market sales, depending on market conditions and strategic considerations.

Trillion Energy International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Trillion Energy International faces significant financial challenges. The company has a low gross profit margin of 3.66% and a significantly negative net profit margin of -124.70%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue is volatile, with negative growth, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative. A balanced but leveraged balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 is offset by a negative ROE and decreasing equity ratio. Cash flow analysis reveals critical liquidity issues, with negative free cash flow growth and insufficient cash generation to cover losses.

Income Statement

The company's income statement reveals a concerning financial trajectory. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin stands at a low 3.66%, indicating difficulty in maintaining profitability against sales. The TTM Net Profit Margin is significantly negative at -124.70%, highlighting substantial losses. Revenue has been volatile, with a negative growth rate of -5.46% in the last annual period and a major drop from 2023 to 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are both negative, stressing operational inefficiencies. This paints a picture of a company struggling with profitability and revenue growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows moderate stability but with high risk factors. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.08 in the latest TTM period suggests a balanced but leveraged capital structure. ROE is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating shareholder value erosion. The Equity Ratio has decreased to 26.45%, reflecting a decline in the proportion of equity used to finance assets. While the company has managed to maintain a balanced debt level, the diminishing equity and negative ROE highlight financial vulnerability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals critical liquidity issues. The Free Cash Flow has deteriorated with a growth rate of -1.50% compared to the previous period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, indicating insufficient cash generation to cover operating losses. Similarly, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, further emphasizing cash flow constraints. These metrics collectively point to significant challenges in maintaining positive cash flow amidst ongoing losses.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.00M	16.80M	9.38M	3.70M	2.58M
Gross Profit	68.71K	7.14M	4.21M	818.04K	-71.00K
EBITDA	-2.73M	8.30M	-4.45M	-2.96M	-2.97M
Net Income	-9.13M	-1.10M	-8.87M	-2.18M	-3.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	54.86M	58.61M	37.02M	7.16M	6.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	599.21K	1.19M	926.06K	1.03M	202.71K
Total Debt	15.77M	13.94M	175.16K	664.37K	617.99K
Total Liabilities	40.72M	36.40M	16.39M	6.42M	7.93M
Stockholders Equity	14.15M	22.21M	20.63M	741.08K	-1.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-5.71M	-1.59M	6.34M	-2.06M	-1.70M
Operating Cash Flow	-5.70M	-1.53M	7.03M	-1.88M	-1.63M
Investing Cash Flow	777.13K	-18.78M	-37.43M	-181.84K	-78.81K
Financing Cash Flow	3.72M	20.59M	30.12M	2.66M	1.00M

Trillion Energy International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.04
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TCF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TCF.

Trillion Energy International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CWV	71 Outperform	C$10.21M	2.00	19.73%	―	120.75%	―
Sector *	52 Neutral	C$2.94B	-1.51	-3.48%	6.67%	2.89%	-49.51%
PUL	51 Neutral	C$9.35M	―	-17.07%	―	27.55%	-500.00%
BNG	44 Neutral	C$7.28M	―	-16.16%	―	-10.31%	-576.92%
CEC	44 Neutral	C$9.59M	9.24	16.23%	―	―	―
TCF	41 Neutral	C$6.78M	―	-45.21%	―	-54.25%	-257.57%

Trillion Energy International Corporate Events

Trillion Energy Announces Strategic Debt Settlement Plan

Trillion Energy International announced a debt settlement plan involving the issuance of 7,725,908 common shares at $0.05 per share to settle $386,295.42 in debt owed to its directors, officers, and consultants. This move includes an Insider Settlement, which is a related-party transaction under Canadian securities regulations, but exemptions were applied due to the transaction’s size relative to the company’s market capitalization. This strategic financial maneuver aims to strengthen Trillion’s financial position and streamline its operations, potentially enhancing its market standing and stakeholder confidence.

Trillion Energy Opts for Share Issuance to Settle Debenture Interest and Consultant Debts

Trillion Energy International Inc. has announced its decision to issue common shares to satisfy interest payment obligations for its convertible debentures, with debentureholders consenting to receive shares instead of cash for accrued interest. Additionally, the company plans to issue shares to settle debts with consultants. This move aims to manage financial obligations while extending the maturity date of the debentures, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and stakeholder relations.

Trillion Energy Reports Increased Gas Reserves Amid Valuation Decline

Trillion Energy International Inc. announced its 2024 year-end reserve report, highlighting an increase in total proved plus probable reserves to 62.3 Bcf of gas and 247 Mbbl of oil, with a net present value (NPV10%) of $363.6 million. Despite a 12% increase in natural gas reserves from the previous year, the NPV10% of total proved reserves decreased by 20% due to lower forecast gas prices. This report underscores Trillion’s strategic positioning in the natural gas sector, particularly in Europe and Turkey, and its potential implications for stakeholders.