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Gold Reserve Inc (TSE:GRZ)
:GRZ

Gold Reserve (GRZ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRZ

Gold Reserve

(GRZ)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.50
▲(153.46% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (persistent losses and ongoing cash burn despite low debt). Technicals are supportive due to strong momentum above key moving averages, but the overbought RSI reduces the technical score. Valuation is constrained by the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / conservative balance sheet
A very low debt position and conservative leverage reduce refinancing and interest-rate risk, giving the company time and flexibility to pursue asset monetizations or legal recoveries. This structural strength helps absorb ongoing cash burn and supports strategic options over the medium term.
Sizable equity base
A meaningful equity cushion relative to assets provides balance-sheet resilience and optionality: it supports continued funding of exploration, negotiation of joint ventures or asset sales, and withstands operating losses longer than a thinly capitalized peer.
Monetization and arbitration cash pathways
The company's business model relies structurally on monetizing mineral interests and pursuing arbitration/claim recoveries. While timing and amounts are uncertain, these non-operating cash avenues provide a repeatable strategic pathway for material liquidity injections without needing to operate producing mines.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash generation
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicate the company is burning cash from core activities. Over months this erodes reserves or forces dilutive financings or asset sales, constraining the company's ability to fund development, pursue claims enforcement, or execute strategic transactions reliably.
Weak profitability and large net losses
Repeated operating and net losses drive negative returns on equity and indicate the company lacks profitable, scalable operations. This structural unprofitability limits internal capital generation, undermining reinvestment capacity and increasing reliance on external monetizations or financing.
No recurring production revenue; revenue volatility
The absence of production-derived, recurring revenue forces dependence on one-off transactions and claim recoveries. This structural revenue unpredictability complicates planning, raises financing costs, and makes sustained investment in project development or long-term operating builds harder to justify.

Gold Reserve (GRZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Gold Reserve Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGold Reserve Inc., an exploration stage company, acquires, explores, and develops mining properties. It primarily focuses on the Siembra Minera project that holds gold, copper, silver, and other strategic mineral rights comprising an area of approximately 18,950 hectares located in Bolivar, Venezuela. The company was incorporated in 1956 and is based in Spokane, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyGold Reserve Inc. generates revenue through activities associated with the exploration and development of its mineral properties, particularly the Brisas Project. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the extraction and sale of gold, copper, and other minerals. As a mining entity, its earnings are influenced by factors such as commodity prices, mining efficiency, and operational costs. Additionally, Gold Reserve may engage in partnerships or joint ventures with other mining companies to optimize resource extraction and share technological or financial resources. Any potential legal settlements or arbitration outcomes related to its Venezuelan assets might also contribute to the company's revenue streams.

Gold Reserve Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gold Reserve faces significant financial challenges, primarily highlighted by its income statement showing substantial profitability issues with a net loss and operational inefficiencies. While the balance sheet is stable with no debt, poor returns on equity due to negative net income are concerning. Cash flow issues persist, indicating struggles in generating cash from operations, despite some positive trends in financing cash flow.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company shows significant challenges in its income statement. With a net income of -$10.87 million for TTM and no revenue in previous periods, the company faces critical profitability issues. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational inefficiencies, and while there's revenue in the TTM, the growth trajectory is unclear due to lack of prior revenue.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable with no debt, indicating low financial risk. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a high proportion of equity. However, negative net income affects ROE, signaling poor returns on shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals challenges, including negative operating cash flows and free cash flows, indicating the company struggles to generate cash from its operations. However, a positive trend in financing cash flow suggests external funding support.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.01M3.17M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit2.01M3.17M0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-16.17M-8.80M-6.22M-6.70M-7.99M-6.27M
Net Income-28.43M-15.19M-23.12M-8.60M-10.60M-11.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets92.62M79.04M39.74M52.94M60.64M69.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.70M78.42M39.07M42.98M49.22M57.50M
Total Debt234.67K0.000.000.0077.09K169.91K
Total Liabilities20.23M13.94M11.16M1.35M610.56K1.01M
Stockholders Equity72.39M65.10M28.58M51.59M60.03M68.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.59M-12.05M-7.43M-6.36M-8.61M-4.61M
Operating Cash Flow-20.48M-12.05M-7.43M-6.36M-8.61M-4.56M
Investing Cash Flow26.53M-3.50M576.09K-27.37M313.01K152.02K
Financing Cash Flow28.75M49.84M1.08K0.000.000.00

Gold Reserve Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.17
Price Trends
50DMA
2.56
Positive
100DMA
2.59
Positive
200DMA
2.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
85.02
Negative
STOCH
68.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.39, below the 50-day MA of 2.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 85.02 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GRZ.

Gold Reserve Risk Analysis

Gold Reserve disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gold Reserve reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gold Reserve Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
C$243.19M-34.92-19.45%80.28%
57
Neutral
C$325.51M-111.11-2.02%-40.00%
54
Neutral
C$364.05M-34.49-22.27%50.13%
52
Neutral
C$338.96M-30.60-47.58%32.22%
52
Neutral
C$386.51M-78.74-1.98%62.97%
49
Neutral
C$660.21M-15.57-39.84%-141.86%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRZ
Gold Reserve
5.39
3.39
169.50%
TSE:LN
Loncor Gold
1.32
0.74
127.59%
TSE:BSX
Belo Sun Mining
0.56
0.48
600.00%
TSE:TUD
Tudor Gold
1.00
0.37
58.73%
TSE:WGO
White Gold
1.40
1.19
582.93%
TSE:MFG
Mayfair Gold
5.25
1.65
45.83%

Gold Reserve Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Gold Reserve Appeals PDVH Share Sale to Elliott and Settles Bank Fee Dispute
Neutral
Jan 9, 2026

Gold Reserve has filed an appeal with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit challenging the judicially approved sale of shares in PDV Holdings, Inc. to Elliott/Amber Energy, arguing that the winning bid was roughly $2 billion lower than its own and contravenes Delaware law requiring sale to the highest bidder, while also alleging conflicts of interest involving the court-appointed Special Master and advisors. As it presses its legal case and prepares for a possible resumption of activities in Venezuela, the company has reached a settlement with its lending banks over commitment fees related to its PDVH bid, agreeing to pay about $5 million from cash on hand and to fund any additional amounts only from proceeds it may receive if the Elliott transaction ultimately closes, thereby managing short-term obligations while preserving liquidity and banking relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRZ) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Reserve stock, see the TSE:GRZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Gold Reserve Grants 1.5 Million Stock Options and Bolsters Executive Team
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Gold Reserve Ltd. has granted 1,525,000 stock options to its directors, officers, employees and key consultants, exercisable over five years at US$3.64 per share under the company’s equity incentive plan, aligning management and staff compensation with shareholder interests. The company also strengthened its executive bench by appointing Sai Ahmed as Chief Operating Officer and Mackenzie Clark as Chief Legal Officer, moves that underscore a focus on operational execution and legal and regulatory oversight as it advances its strategic plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRZ) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Reserve stock, see the TSE:GRZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Gold Reserve Backs U.S. Push Against Maduro, Signals Readiness for Post-Regime Return to Venezuela
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

Gold Reserve has publicly endorsed recent U.S. actions aimed at bringing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro to justice, tying its support to the regime’s alleged human rights abuses, including the imprisonment and mistreatment of company colleague Jose Ignacio Moreno Suarez. The company highlights its long-running disputes with Venezuela over the expropriation of its Brisas project and Siembra Minera joint venture, denounces the alleged illegal mining of those assets under Maduro’s control, and says that while it cannot predict if or when it can resume operations in the country, it remains financially and operationally prepared to return and participate in a post-Maduro transition and recovery once conditions permit.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRZ) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Reserve stock, see the TSE:GRZ Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Gold Reserve Seeks Stay in PDVH Shares Sale Appeal
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. has filed a statement with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit to support a stay pending appeal concerning the judicial sale of PDVH Shares. The company argues that the sale process was flawed and seeks to maintain the current situation while the appeals are reviewed. This legal maneuver is part of ongoing litigation involving various parties, including the Venezuelan government and other stakeholders, highlighting the complex legal landscape surrounding the sale and its implications for creditors and shareholders.

Legal Proceedings
Gold Reserve Appeals Court Decision on PDVH Shares Sale
Negative
Dec 2, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd., a company involved in the legal proceedings concerning the sale of PDVH shares, has filed an appeal against a U.S. District Court decision that approved a bid from Elliott/Amber Energy over their own higher bid. This appeal, along with similar actions by the Venezuela Parties, seeks to challenge the court’s decision and potentially alter the outcome of the sale process, which has significant implications for the company’s financial interests and its position in ongoing legal disputes.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Gold Reserve Announces Court Approval for Sale of PDVH Shares
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. has announced that the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware has authorized the sale of PDVH Shares to Elliott/Amber Energy. However, the completion of the sale is contingent upon receiving necessary regulatory approvals. This development is significant as it could impact Gold Reserve’s financial recovery efforts related to its arbitral award and U.S. judgment against Venezuela. The outcome of this sale process holds implications for the company’s operations and its ability to satisfy outstanding claims, as well as its positioning in ongoing legal and financial disputes.

Legal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Gold Reserve Challenges Court Decision Favoring Lower Bid in PDVH Sale
Negative
Nov 26, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. announced that the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware has decided to accept a $5.9 billion bid from Elliott/Amber Energy for the sale of PDVH shares, despite Gold Reserve’s higher bid of $7.9 billion. The decision, which Gold Reserve opposes, highlights concerns over conflicts of interest and significant fees collected by advisors involved in the sale process. Gold Reserve plans to explore appellate remedies to protect its interests. The court’s decision is pending final regulatory approvals, including a license from the Office of Foreign Assets Control.

Legal Proceedings
Gold Reserve Wins $29 Million Arbitration Against Venezuelan Bank
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. announced a favorable outcome in its arbitration against Banco De Desarrollo Economico Y Social De Venezuela (BANDES), securing a final award of nearly $29 million. This decision marks a significant step for Gold Reserve in its efforts to recover funds held by BANDES, with ongoing proceedings in Portugal aimed at enforcing the award. The outcome could impact the company’s financial position and its ability to pursue further legal actions, while also highlighting the complexities involved in international arbitration and enforcement.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Gold Reserve Ltd. Successfully Concludes CRA Audit with No Adjustments
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. announced that the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has completed its audit of the company’s international transactions, resulting in no net adjustments to its Canadian tax filings for the reviewed years. This conclusion removes any proposed reassessments by the CRA, potentially stabilizing the company’s financial standing and alleviating concerns among stakeholders about future tax liabilities.

Legal Proceedings
Gold Reserve’s Legal Petition Denied by U.S. Court
Negative
Nov 18, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd., a company involved in legal proceedings related to the sale of assets connected to Venezuela, announced that its Petition for Writ of Mandamus was denied by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. The denial impacts the company’s ongoing legal strategy and may affect its financial recovery efforts related to its claims against Venezuela. The company is exploring other legal options to pursue its interests.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Gold Reserve Appoints Michael Johnston as New Chair of the Board
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. has appointed Michael Johnston as the new Chair of the Board, succeeding Robert Cohen. Johnston, a seasoned board member, is expected to leverage his extensive experience to guide the company in achieving its strategic goals, marking a significant leadership transition aimed at strengthening the company’s operations and market position.

Legal Proceedings
Gold Reserve Updates on Legal Proceedings in Delaware
Negative
Nov 14, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. has announced updates on its legal proceedings related to the Citgo sale process. The U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware denied Gold Reserve’s motion to disqualify the Special Master and his advisors overseeing the sale, citing conflicts of interest. The company disagrees with the ruling and plans to pursue appellate remedies. Additionally, the Delaware Court of Chancery has decided not to expedite Gold Reserve’s motion for a preliminary injunction against Rusoro Mining Ltd., opting to wait for developments in the Citgo sale process.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Gold Reserve Files Legal Complaint Against Rusoro Mining
Negative
Nov 10, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. has initiated legal action against Rusoro Mining Ltd. in the Delaware Court of Chancery, alleging that Rusoro breached its contractual obligations related to a consortium agreement concerning the Citgo sale process. The company is seeking injunctive relief to prevent Rusoro from participating in the sale process, which could have significant implications for Gold Reserve’s strategic operations and its positioning within the industry.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Gold Reserve Seeks Legal Intervention in Citgo Sale Process
Negative
Oct 29, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. has filed a Petition for Writ of Mandamus with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit, seeking to halt further proceedings in the Citgo Sale Process until a decision is made on their motion to disqualify certain judicial figures involved. This legal maneuver is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to influence the outcome of the Citgo Sale Process, which could have significant implications for its financial recovery and strategic positioning within the industry.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Gold Reserve Updates on Citgo Sale Legal Proceedings
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

Gold Reserve Ltd. has provided an update on the ongoing legal proceedings related to the sale of Citgo, as per the schedule set by the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware. The company and other parties have filed their Post-Trial Answering Briefs, and several key hearings are scheduled to take place in the coming days. This process is crucial for Gold Reserve as it may impact the company’s strategic positioning and financial interests, particularly concerning its bid for the purchase of PDVH shares. The outcome of these proceedings could have significant implications for stakeholders, influencing the company’s operational and financial trajectory.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026