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Endeavour Silver Corp (TSE:EDR)
TSX:EDR

Endeavour Silver (EDR) AI Stock Analysis

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Endeavour Silver

(TSX:EDR)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.50
▼( -9.64% Downside)
Endeavour Silver's score reflects its growth potential and strategic project developments, counterbalanced by profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical signals and valuation concerns further moderate the outlook. The company's progress on key projects and acquisition strategies provide future promise, but current financial challenges suggest a moderate risk profile.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The closing of the Minera Kolpa acquisition, including its primary asset, the Huachocolpa Uno Mine, marks a significant expansion for Endeavour Silver.
Production and Guidance
Throughput of 1,138tpd at Guanaceví exceeded the forecast by 7% in its first quarter of full capacity following August's trunnion failure.
Project Development
The commencement of wet commissioning at the Terronera Project is a key milestone as the company prepares for full-scale production.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
The primary driver of Endeavour Silver's net loss was a $31.9M derivative liability loss during the quarter after revaluing its forward contracts.
Production Output
The company produced 1.9M Silver Equivalent Ounces, an 18% decrease year-over-year, driven by lower output from Guanaceví.

Endeavour Silver (EDR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Endeavour Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEndeavour Silver Corp (EDR) is a mid-tier precious metals mining company primarily focused on the exploration, development, and production of silver and gold in Mexico. The company operates three high-grade, underground, silver-gold mines located in the country: Guanacevi, Bolanitos, and El Compas. Endeavour Silver is dedicated to sustainable mining practices and strives to enhance its resource base through strategic acquisitions and exploration initiatives, ensuring long-term growth and value for its stakeholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyEndeavour Silver makes money through the extraction and sale of precious metals, primarily silver and gold, from its mining operations in Mexico. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of silver and gold ores and concentrates to smelters and refiners, who then process these materials into pure metals for various industrial and commercial uses. Endeavour Silver's earnings are significantly influenced by the market prices of silver and gold, as well as its ability to efficiently mine and process ore from its operations. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures may also play a role in expanding its mining capabilities and enhancing operational efficiencies, further contributing to its revenue generation.

Endeavour Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Endeavour Silver shows potential in revenue growth but faces challenges in maintaining profitability and cash flow stability. The company's balance sheet is robust, supported by strong equity, though rising debt levels should be watched closely. The financial health suggests moderate risk, with strategic focus needed to enhance operational efficiency and manage cash flows effectively.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Endeavour Silver has shown a consistent revenue growth trend over the years, with a notable increase from 2020 to 2024. However, the company's profitability metrics, such as the net profit margin, have been fluctuating, with recent reports indicating a negative net income for 2024. Despite a positive gross profit margin, the EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest moderate operational efficiency challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity base, with an improving equity ratio. However, there is a noticeable increase in total debt in recent years, leading to a moderate debt-to-equity ratio that requires monitoring. The return on equity has been inconsistent, but the firm maintains a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates variability in free cash flow, with significant negative figures in recent years due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow has been relatively stable, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning. Overall, cash flow management appears strained, necessitating cautious capital allocation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
217.64M205.46M210.16M165.32M138.46M
Gross Profit
42.08M36.61M51.52M36.37M27.34M
EBIT
8.33M8.70M23.46M7.02M-808.00K
EBITDA
10.03M37.92M50.23M31.55M28.73M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-31.48M6.12M6.20M13.96M1.16M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
107.50M40.42M92.04M114.50M65.85M
Total Assets
719.25M474.81M399.44M294.02M210.59M
Total Debt
120.24M9.53M15.58M11.49M10.77M
Net Debt
13.80M-25.76M-67.81M-91.81M-50.32M
Total Liabilities
234.81M88.47M83.54M56.62M51.52M
Stockholders Equity
484.44M386.34M315.89M237.41M159.07M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-176.27M-106.02M-54.72M-30.63M13.43M
Operating Cash Flow
19.11M11.77M54.99M23.46M38.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-183.46M-108.00M-111.45M-38.01M-29.81M
Financing Cash Flow
236.00M48.92M36.76M56.65M27.54M

Endeavour Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.98
Price Trends
50DMA
5.48
Negative
100DMA
5.47
Negative
200DMA
5.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
50.12
Neutral
STOCH
62.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EDR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.86, below the 50-day MA of 5.48, and below the 200-day MA of 5.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:EDR.

Endeavour Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSASM
74
Outperform
$589.20M28.8310.93%58.34%1262.30%
TSGGD
66
Neutral
$568.72M122.821.21%74.02%
TSITR
60
Neutral
C$366.10M-2.95%71.90%
TSEDR
51
Neutral
$1.41B-14.41%4.45%-3193.40%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.07-21.34%3.71%2.03%-30.65%
47
Neutral
C$119.05M-4.77%-18.89%
41
Neutral
$589.23M-67.76%-16.69%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EDR
Endeavour Silver
4.89
-0.13
-2.59%
TSE:ASM
Avino Silver & Gold
4.15
2.76
198.56%
TSE:GGD
GoGold Resources
1.85
0.24
14.91%
TSE:ABRA
AbraSilver Resource
3.86
1.14
41.91%
TSE:ITR
Integra Resources Corp
2.09
0.96
84.96%
TSE:SLVR
Silver Tiger Metals
0.28
0.01
3.70%

Endeavour Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong production figures, stable revenue, and significant progress in key projects like Terronera and the acquisition of Kolpa. However, these positives are balanced by increased operating costs, a significant net loss due to gold hedging, and a decreased cash position. The ongoing investments and potential future production increase provide a positive outlook, but the immediate financial challenges create a balanced sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production Figures
Endeavour Silver produced 1.2 million ounces of silver and 8,300 ounces of gold, totaling 1.9 million silver equivalent ounces in Q1 2025.
Revenue Stability
Reported revenue of $64 million, consistent with the prior year, benefiting from higher precious metal prices.
Terronera Project Progress
Terronera is in its final stages of construction and started producing its first batch of concentrate, with commissioning underway.
Acquisition of Kolpa Mine
The acquisition of the Kolpa mine in Peru closed on May 1, enhancing Endeavour's production profile with exploration upside and existing infrastructure.
Increased Production Potential
With Kolpa and Terronera, along with existing assets Guanacevi and Bolañitos, Endeavour is on track to achieve annualized production of approaching 20 million silver equivalent ounces.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Costs
Direct operating costs per ton increased by 6% compared to Q1 2024 due to 6% lower throughput.
Net Loss Due to Gold Hedging
Reported a net loss of $32.9 million due to unrealized non-cash impact of gold hedging and forward swap contracts, with gold prices rising from $2,600 to $3,100 in the quarter.
Decreased Cash Position
As of March 31, 2025, the cash position was $65 million and working capital was $15 million, both decreased from December 31, 2024, due to continued investment in Terronera.
Company Guidance
During the Endeavour Silver Q1 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. Endeavour Silver reported a production of 1.2 million ounces of silver and 8,300 ounces of gold, totaling 1.9 million silver equivalent ounces, with revenue reaching $64 million, consistent with the previous year. Direct operating costs per ton rose by 6% due to a 6% decrease in throughput, yet total direct operating costs remained stable. The company recorded a net loss of $32.9 million, primarily from unrealized non-cash impacts related to gold hedging and forward swap contracts. Excluding these adjustments, the adjusted loss was $200,000 compared to a $300,000 income in Q1 2024. Endeavour's cash costs were $15.89 per ounce of silver, and all-in sustaining costs were $24.48 net of gold credits, both slightly below annual guidance. As of March 31, 2025, the company had a cash position of $65 million and working capital of $15 million. The Terronera project is nearing completion, with commissioning underway and the first concentrate produced at the end of Q1. The company expects additional operational guidance as the plant ramps up to full throughput. Additionally, Endeavour completed the acquisition of the Kolpa mine, enhancing their production profile and aligning with their strategy to build a scalable silver-dominant asset base.

Endeavour Silver Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Endeavour Silver Completes Acquisition of Minera Kolpa to Boost Production Capacity
Positive
May 1, 2025

Endeavour Silver has completed the acquisition of Minera Kolpa, a silver-focused mining operation in Peru, for $145 million, with additional contingent payments and debt obligations. The acquisition is expected to enhance Endeavour’s production capacity and exploration potential, with plans to expand the Kolpa mine’s throughput and increase production capacity by Q3 2025. The company has also secured a $35 million copper stream and a $50 million equity financing to fund the acquisition, while planning significant capital and exploration expenditures to be covered by operating cash flows.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Endeavour Silver Reports Q1 2025 Production Results
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

Endeavour Silver reported Q1 2025 production of 1.9 million silver equivalent ounces, with silver and gold outputs slightly below the previous year due to lower grades at its Guanaceví and Bolañitos mines. Despite the decrease in production, the company maintains a steady operational focus, preparing to bring its Terronera project into production, which could enhance its market position and benefit stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Endeavour Silver Secures $45 Million for Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Endeavour Silver Corp. has successfully closed a US$45 million bought deal financing, issuing 11.6 million common shares at US$3.88 each. The proceeds will be used to fund the acquisition of Compañia Minera Kolpa S.A. and its Huachocolpa Uno Mine, a transaction valued at US$145 million, pending regulatory approvals and expected to close within 60 days.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Endeavour Silver Advances Terronera Project with First Concentrate Production
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

Endeavour Silver has announced significant progress in the construction of its Terronera Project in Jalisco, Mexico, with the first batch of concentrate produced and wet commissioning expected in early Q2. The completion of key installations and the mining of the first production stope mark important milestones, indicating the company’s commitment to advancing the project and its potential positive impacts on local communities and the mining industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.