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New Pacific Metals (TSE:NUAG)
TSX:NUAG

New Pacific Metals (NUAG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NUAG

New Pacific Metals

(TSX:NUAG)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.00
▲(10.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/24/26
The score is held back primarily by the company’s pre-revenue profile, continued losses, and ongoing cash burn, despite recent improvement. A strong, debt-free balance sheet is a key stabilizer, while technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages. Valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A reported $0 debt load provides durable financial flexibility for a junior exploration company. It lowers insolvency risk, reduces fixed cash outflows, and allows management to prioritize exploration and technical studies or negotiate royalty/joint-venture financing without debt servicing constraints.
Sizable equity capital
Approximately $220M of equity relative to ~$221M in assets creates a meaningful capital cushion to fund exploration and project advancement. This equity base supports multi-stage technical programs and negotiating leverage with partners, reducing short-term liquidity pressure versus peers.
Improving loss trend
The narrowing net loss over successive periods indicates improving cost control and operational efficiency. For a pre-revenue explorer, reduced burn rates extend runway, lower near-term financing needs, and signal management capability to slow expenditure while advancing key technical milestones.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue operations
Being pre-revenue means no operating cash inflows and high execution uncertainty around resource development and permitting. Long lead times to production increase exposure to commodity cycles and regulatory/geopolitical risk, requiring persistent external funding to advance projects.
Persistent negative cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow forces reliance on equity raises, joint ventures, or other financing. That dependence can dilute existing shareholders and constrains the company's ability to self-fund exploration, slowing project timelines and increasing financing risk.
Negative returns and capitalization changes
A negative ROE signals shareholder capital is not generating returns, reflecting ongoing losses. Material increases in equity and assets suggest financing or capitalization changes that could dilute holders or mask cash burn; combined with cash deficits, this raises medium-term dilution and governance concerns.

New Pacific Metals (NUAG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

New Pacific Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNew Pacific Metals Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Bolivia and Canada. It explores for silver, gold, lead, and zinc deposits. The company's flagship property is the Silver Sand property, which cover an area of 5.42 square kilometers located in the Potosí Department, Bolivia. It also owns Silverstrike property located in southwest of La Paz, Bolivia; and Carangas property located in La Ruta de la Plata. The company was formerly known as New Pacific Holdings Corp. and changed its name to New Pacific Metals Corp. in July 2017. New Pacific Metals Corp. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNew Pacific Metals generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of mineral properties with a focus on silver and gold. The company's business model involves acquiring promising mineral assets, conducting extensive exploration and development activities, and advancing these projects towards production. Revenue is eventually realized through the sale of extracted metals or through strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining companies. Additionally, New Pacific Metals may enter into agreements with other companies to monetize its assets, providing further revenue streams. Key factors contributing to its earnings include successful exploration results, favorable market conditions for precious metals, and partnerships with local and international entities that facilitate project development and eventual extraction.

New Pacific Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue with ongoing operating and net losses and negative free cash flow indicates weak operating fundamentals. Offsetting this, the company has a strong, debt-free balance sheet with sizable equity, reducing financial leverage risk, and losses/cash burn have improved versus prior periods.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Across both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and annual periods, the company reports no revenue and consistently negative profitability, with sizable operating losses and net losses. Losses have improved versus FY2024 (net loss narrowed from about -$8.2M to -$3.8M in FY2025, and to about -$5.0M in TTM), but the core issue remains: the business is still pre-revenue and loss-making, which limits earnings quality and visibility.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is a key strength: total debt is reported at $0 across periods, and equity is sizable (about $220.0M in TTM) relative to total assets (about $221.4M), indicating a conservatively financed structure. The main weakness is persistent negative returns on equity (roughly -2.6% TTM), reflecting ongoing losses; additionally, equity and assets increased materially versus FY2025, suggesting changes in capitalization or asset base that investors should monitor for sustainability and dilution risk (not provided).
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every period shown, with TTM operating cash flow around -$4.3M and free cash flow around -$8.0M, implying continued cash burn. A positive data point is that free cash flow burn improved versus FY2024 (less negative), and free cash flow has been less negative in recent years than the FY2023 trough; however, cash flow remains dependent on funding rather than operations given the lack of revenue.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-223.89K-201.37K-274.00K-214.00K-174.00K-44.00K
EBITDA-6.41M-3.67M-8.36M-9.55M-6.76M-6.44M
Net Income-4.97M-3.85M-8.24M-8.10M-6.62M-7.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets221.43M135.22M137.67M118.31M124.08M126.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.95M23.25M22.21M6.49M29.51M46.59M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.39M927.45K1.21M2.34M3.87M1.09M
Stockholders Equity220.04M134.29M136.61M116.08M120.28M125.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.96M-6.31M-8.89M-23.63M-16.20M-9.03M
Operating Cash Flow-4.31M-3.26M-4.01M-5.51M-4.56M-4.60M
Investing Cash Flow-3.17M-2.75M-4.51M-17.03M-13.05M17.60M
Financing Cash Flow38.18M6.35K24.58M825.12K1.78M1.08M

New Pacific Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.21
Price Trends
50DMA
5.47
Positive
100DMA
4.54
Positive
200DMA
3.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Negative
RSI
63.43
Neutral
STOCH
76.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NUAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.93, above the 50-day MA of 5.47, and above the 200-day MA of 3.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NUAG.

New Pacific Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$1.80B25.1814.35%65.77%458.38%
71
Outperform
C$909.17M-21.1815.43%
71
Outperform
C$1.28B16.045.38%104.08%832.86%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
C$1.30B-98.41-2.78%40.00%
49
Neutral
C$513.45M-55.40-4.86%-14.43%
47
Neutral
C$714.05M-9.37-151.33%-198.87%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NUAG
New Pacific Metals
6.57
4.97
310.63%
TSE:ASM
Avino Silver & Gold
10.93
9.05
481.38%
TSE:ITR
Integra Resources Corp
5.06
3.50
224.36%
TSE:BRC
Blackrock Silver
1.80
1.45
414.29%
TSE:SLVR
Silver Tiger Metals
0.85
0.52
157.58%
TSE:GGD
GoGold Resources
3.24
1.53
89.47%

New Pacific Metals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
New Pacific Secures Community Framework Deal to Advance Carangas Silver-Gold Project in Bolivia
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

New Pacific Metals has signed a Framework Agreement for Cooperation and Coordination with the Carangas Indigenous community in Bolivia for its Carangas silver-gold project, establishing a long-term partnership based on transparency, mutual benefit, and respect for ancestral land rights. The deal commits the company to environmental compliance, social and economic support programs, local procurement, community resettlement with improved infrastructure, and annual contributions to a development fund, while the community agrees to back permitting, consultation, and operational access.

This agreement is described as a key milestone that paves the way to complete formal prior consultation with Bolivian authorities and then seek conversion of exploration licenses into mining permits, moving Carangas closer to production. Once permits are granted, New Pacific plans to initiate a feasibility study, upgrade known resources through infill drilling, and launch a 2026 exploration campaign of more than 30,000 metres targeting deeper gold zones and new geophysical anomalies, potentially enhancing the project’s resource base and long-term value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NUAG) stock is a Hold with a C$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Pacific Metals stock, see the TSE:NUAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
New Pacific Metals Secures Community Framework Pact to Advance Carangas Project in Bolivia
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

New Pacific Metals has signed a Framework Agreement for Cooperation and Coordination with the Carangas Indigenous community in Bolivia, setting out commitments on transparency, respect for ancestral land rights, environmental compliance, and broad social and economic support measures. The deal includes annual contributions to a community development fund, local sourcing of goods and services, village resettlement with upgraded infrastructure, and formal backing from TIOC Carangas for permitting, exploration, construction, and future operations at the Carangas silver-gold project.

The agreement is described as a key milestone for advancing Carangas toward production, enabling completion of the formal prior consultation process with Bolivian authorities and subsequent applications to convert exploration licenses into mining permits. Once permits are granted, New Pacific plans to launch a feasibility study, undertake infill drilling to upgrade resources, and carry out a more than 30,000-metre drilling campaign targeting deeper gold zones and new geophysical anomalies, steps that could materially advance the project’s development and bolster the company’s position in Bolivia’s precious metals sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NUAG) stock is a Hold with a C$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Pacific Metals stock, see the TSE:NUAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
New Pacific Posts Modest Loss as Bolivia Moves to Modernize Mining Laws
Neutral
Feb 12, 2026

New Pacific Metals reported a net loss of $1.58 million for the quarter and $2.33 million for the six months ended December 31, 2025, modestly higher than a year earlier, while maintaining a strong working capital position of $41 million. The company continued to invest in its Bolivian projects, capitalizing $1.18 million at Silver Sand, $0.40 million at Carangas, and $0.04 million at Silverstrike, as Bolivia’s new market-oriented government moves to modernize mining laws, potentially improving the regulatory and investment landscape for New Pacific’s operations.

Operating expenses declined year over year for both the quarter and the half, partially offset by higher investment income and a foreign exchange loss in the quarter, highlighting disciplined cost control amid currency volatility. Management is actively engaging with Bolivian authorities at all levels, positioning the company to benefit from reduced bureaucracy, stronger legal certainty, and efforts to attract foreign capital into the country’s mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NUAG) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Pacific Metals stock, see the TSE:NUAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
New Pacific Metals Advances Bolivian Silver-Gold Projects Amid Positive Developments
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

New Pacific Metals Corp. has reported significant progress in its Carangas silver-gold and Silver Sand silver projects in Bolivia, marking a proactive year in 2025. The company has made strides in converting exploration licenses to administrative mining contracts and has engaged positively with local communities, securing their support for ongoing development activities. The Bolivian government’s encouragement of foreign investment further bolsters the company’s outlook for 2026. Challenges at the Silver Sand Project, including illegal mining activities, have been addressed, allowing the company to regain control and continue its environmental impact assessment process.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NUAG) stock is a Buy with a C$3.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Pacific Metals stock, see the TSE:NUAG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 24, 2026