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Mcewen Mining Inc (MUX)
NYSE:MUX

McEwen Mining (MUX) AI Stock Analysis

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MUX

McEwen Mining

(NYSE:MUX)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▼(-8.44% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative free cash flow) and a negative P/E. These are partly offset by constructive technical momentum and a moderately positive outlook from guidance and recent strategic/project-related corporate developments.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage
A low debt-to-equity ratio (0.26) provides durable financial flexibility for a capital-intensive miner. It reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, allowing McEwen to fund project development and absorb commodity volatility without forcing immediate external financing or distress-driven asset sales.
Los Azules project scale & stability
A positive feasibility study and acceptance into Argentina’s long-term investment incentive give Los Azules structural advantages: a large, long-life copper asset with fiscal stability supports multi-year cash generation potential aligned with the energy transition, strengthening McEwen’s long-term production profile.
Strategic assay technology stake
Owning a meaningful stake in Paragon and PhotonAssay access can materially shorten assay turnaround, improve exploration confidence, and lower discovery-to-development timelines. This strategic capability can sustainably enhance resource conversion and reduce project cycle costs across McEwen’s portfolio.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Meaningful negative free cash flow (-$45.2M TTM) is a structural constraint for funding development and sustaining operations. Over the coming months this increases reliance on treasury, equity or debt financing, potentially diluting shareholders or raising leverage as projects like Los Azules and El Gallo advance.
Ongoing unprofitable operations
Persistent negative margins and losses indicate the core business is not yet generating sustainable returns. Even with improved gross margin, negative operating profitability limits internal funding for growth and raises execution risk on converting resource value into positive, recurring free cash flow.
Execution & permitting risks
Geological setbacks at Gold Bar and permitting delays create a durable operational risk that can push out production and cash flow timing. For a developer with multiple projects, consistent execution and permitting bottlenecks materially hamper the pace of value realization and increase project cost uncertainty.

McEwen Mining (MUX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McEwen Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcEwen Mining Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of gold and silver deposits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. The company also explores for copper deposits. It primarily owns a 100% interest in the Gold Bar mine in Eureka County, Nevada; the Black Fox gold mine in Ontario, Canada; the El Gallo Project and Fenix silver-gold project in Sinaloa, Mexico; the Los Azules copper deposit in San Juan, Argentina; and a portfolio of exploration properties in Nevada, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. It also owns a 49% interest in the San José mine located in Argentina. The company was formerly known as US Gold Corporation and changed its name to McEwen Mining Inc. in January 2012. McEwen Mining Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcEwen Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and silver produced from its mining operations. The company operates several mines and is involved in both the extraction and processing of these metals. Key revenue streams include direct sales of gold and silver bullion, as well as potential revenue from by-products such as copper. Additionally, McEwen Mining has strategic partnerships and joint ventures that may enhance its operational efficiency and expand its resource base. The company's financial performance is also influenced by the market prices of gold and silver, which can fluctuate based on global economic conditions, currency values, and investor demand.

McEwen Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The company has shown resilience with strong metal prices and strategic advancements in the Los Azules project, but faced challenges with production issues at Gold Bar and permitting delays. The sentiment is balanced, with both positive outlooks and areas needing improvement.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Metal Prices
Gold prices increased by 45%, silver by 47%, and copper is up 13%.
Los Azules Project Advancements
Los Azules accepted into Argentina's large-scale investment incentive program, providing 30 years of legal, fiscal, and custom stability with a competitive tax rate.
Q3 Financial Performance
Reported a net loss of $0.5 million, an improvement from $2.1 million loss in the previous period. Adjusted EBITDA of $11.8 million, up from $10.5 million.
Exploration Success
Discovery of the Froome West deposit and optimism about the Seven Troughs property with historic high-grade potential.
Negative Updates
Gold Bar Production Issues
Q3 production was lower than expected due to geological reinterpretations and mining areas not yielding expected ore.
Permitting Delays
Delays in permitting have impacted production pipeline and development plans.
Company Guidance
During the McEwen Mining Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance in light of improved metal prices, with gold nearing $4,000 per ounce, up 45%, silver up 47%, and copper prices at $5, up 13%. The company aims to achieve an annual production of 250,000 to 300,000 gold equivalent ounces by 2030 and anticipates the Los Azules project to produce over 450 million pounds of copper annually, with an estimated gross margin of 64%. The recent feasibility study for Los Azules projects an after-tax NPV of $2.9 billion at an 8% discount rate, a 19.8% after-tax IRR, and a payback period of 3.9 years, assuming a copper price of $4.35 per pound. Additionally, McEwen Mining plans to close the acquisition of Canadian Gold Corp in January 2026, with an updated resource estimate expected by February. The company also reported a net loss of $0.5 million, or $0.01 per share, and an adjusted EBITDA of $11.8 million, with plans to use its existing treasury and cash flows for upcoming capital projects.

McEwen Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
McEwen Mining faces significant financial challenges with negative profitability and cash flow issues. Despite improvements in gross profit margins and a low debt-to-equity ratio, the company struggles with negative revenue growth and return on equity, highlighting the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
McEwen Mining's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a negative revenue growth rate of -1.02%, suggesting a decline in sales. The gross profit margin improved to 21.71% from previous periods, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -8.05%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -2.76%, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a challenging situation with a negative free cash flow of -$45.21 million in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.45, indicating some cash generation from operations, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow issues. Despite a positive free cash flow growth rate of 27.15%, the overall cash flow position remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue166.45M174.48M166.23M110.42M136.54M104.79M
Gross Profit22.82M30.93M17.78M-544.00K-6.48M-26.95M
EBITDA20.11M18.25M-73.94M-78.68M-32.66M-123.19M
Net Income-11.92M-43.69M55.30M-81.08M-56.71M-152.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets747.64M664.62M659.55M528.72M534.68M508.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.90M14.90M24.76M40.91M58.64M20.84M
Total Debt127.72M42.11M42.25M66.39M55.99M53.66M
Total Liabilities259.08M169.65M157.13M172.44M144.74M143.43M
Stockholders Equity488.56M494.98M502.42M322.81M375.16M365.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-45.21M-13.64M-65.74M-80.77M-55.11M-41.25M
Operating Cash Flow2.55M29.45M-39.64M-56.58M-20.22M-27.87M
Investing Cash Flow-52.68M-58.05M-99.64M-23.90M-24.56M-11.77M
Financing Cash Flow73.37M19.20M172.18M65.45M80.98M17.58M

McEwen Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.39
Price Trends
50DMA
18.62
Positive
100DMA
17.44
Positive
200DMA
13.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.81
Negative
RSI
69.89
Neutral
STOCH
83.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.91, above the 50-day MA of 18.62, and above the 200-day MA of 13.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MUX.

McEwen Mining Risk Analysis

McEwen Mining disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McEwen Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McEwen Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$6.80B19.9212.35%1.45%27.42%20.63%
70
Outperform
$15.95B78.398.88%0.07%45.61%
64
Neutral
$1.57B-96.49-1.64%1.14%7.92%91.83%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
$1.33B-99.47-2.41%-16.62%-110.79%
55
Neutral
$780.76M-22.21%-12.07%-821.68%
55
Neutral
$3.88B-63.75-14.54%-128.69%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MUX
McEwen Mining
22.39
14.00
166.87%
BVN
Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA
34.00
21.43
170.46%
GPRE
Green Plains
11.18
0.92
8.97%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
23.80
18.43
343.20%
PPTA
Perpetua Resources
31.81
19.90
167.09%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
11.82
5.54
88.22%

McEwen Mining Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
McEwen Mining completes business combination with Canadian Gold
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 6, 2026, McEwen Inc. announced the completion of its previously agreed business combination with Canadian Gold Corp., following Canadian Gold shareholders’ approval on December 5, 2025 and a final order from the British Columbia Supreme Court on December 10, 2025. The deal, effective January 5, 2026, exchanges each Canadian Gold share for 0.0225 McEwen shares, and will result in Canadian Gold being delisted from the TSX Venture Exchange as of market close on January 7, 2026 and seeking to cease reporting issuer status, while former Canadian Gold shareholders must follow set procedures to exchange their certificates for McEwen shares. To comply with New York Stock Exchange requirements, McEwen and Canadian Gold amended their arrangement so that all Canadian Gold shares held by Chairman and Chief Owner Rob McEwen are exchanged for subscription receipts that convert into McEwen shares only upon future shareholder approval, or are settled in cash if such approval is not obtained, a change that applies solely to him and leaves other shareholders’ consideration unchanged, tightening corporate governance around insider participation in the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
McEwen Mining advances El Gallo project with permit extension
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 16, 2025, McEwen announced that the Mexican government had granted an extension of the Environmental Impact Assessment for its El Gallo Mine, a key permit that enables the company to advance Phase 1 mill construction, targeted to start in mid-2026, with a first gold pour anticipated in mid-2027. Phase 1 is expected to produce about 20,000 gold-equivalent ounces annually by reprocessing material from the historical leach pad, with remaining capital costs estimated at $25 million and limited additional development or exploration spending, while early work on Phase 2 aims to exploit in-situ silver deposits that could significantly extend El Gallo’s operating life beyond the initial 10-year plan and unlock value from substantial historical silver resources once updated in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
McEwen Mining Acquires Stake in Paragon Geochemical
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 3, 2025, McEwen Inc. announced its acquisition of a 31% equity interest in Britannia Mining Solutions Inc., operating as Paragon Geochemical Laboratories Inc., for CDN$15.3 million. Paragon is a leader in PhotonAssay™ technology, which offers rapid and accurate assaying of precious and base metals, and is expanding its operations globally. This strategic investment positions McEwen as Paragon’s largest shareholder, with plans to enhance its board presence, reflecting McEwen’s commitment to innovation and growth in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Buy with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
McEwen Mining to Acquire Canadian Gold Corp.
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 10, 2025, McEwen Inc. entered into an agreement to acquire all shares of Canadian Gold Corp. through a statutory plan of arrangement. This transaction, which is expected to close in early January 2026, will make Canadian Gold a wholly-owned subsidiary of McEwen. The deal offers significant benefits to both companies’ shareholders, including exposure to McEwen’s diversified portfolio and the addition of the Tartan Lake Gold Mine Project to McEwen’s assets. The transaction requires shareholder and regulatory approvals and includes provisions for deal protection and non-solicitation.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026