tiprankstipranks
McEwen Mining Inc (MUX)
NYSE:MUX
Want to see MUX full AI Analyst Report?

McEwen Mining (MUX) AI Stock Analysis

1,137 Followers

Top Page

MUX

McEwen Mining

(NYSE:MUX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▼(-11.23% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is led by improving fundamentals and a stronger balance sheet (revenue rebound, positive EBIT, low leverage) and a constructive earnings-call outlook on growth projects. It is held back by weak cash-flow quality (negative free cash flow) and only modest technical momentum (slightly negative MACD), while valuation is supportive with a low P/E.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Low reported debt and a stronger equity base reduce refinancing and solvency risk, giving the company durable financial flexibility to fund staged project capex, absorb commodity volatility and pursue organic growth or IPO options with less immediate dilution pressure.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Despite positive accounting earnings, ongoing negative free cash flow means core operations are not consistently generating surplus cash to fund growth. This sustains dependency on external finance, elevates dilution or debt risk, and limits capacity to self-fund multiple simultaneous projects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Low reported debt and a stronger equity base reduce refinancing and solvency risk, giving the company durable financial flexibility to fund staged project capex, absorb commodity volatility and pursue organic growth or IPO options with less immediate dilution pressure.
Read all positive factors

McEwen Mining (MUX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McEwen Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
McEwen Mining Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of gold and silver deposits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. The company also explores for copper deposits. It primarily owns a 100% interest in t...
How the Company Makes Money
McEwen Mining primarily makes money by producing and selling refined gold and silver derived from ore mined at its operating sites. Revenue is recognized when metal is delivered to customers (typically refiners or bullion/metal traders) under sale...

McEwen Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive tone driven by a meaningful financial turnaround in Q4 and FY 2025, a stronger cash position, clear near-term operational progress (Stock, Gold Bar, Grey Fox preparation) and a materially de‑risked, high-quality copper development (Los Azules) with very attractive economics at current copper prices. Key risks noted include the need to secure project financing (Los Azules), execution and staffing demands across multiple growth projects, reliance on elevated commodity prices and the timing uncertainty of pre-commercial to commercial transitions (Stock). Overall, highlights (profitability, cash, Los Azules derisking and strong project economics) materially outweigh the listed lowlights.
Positive Updates
Quarterly and Full-Year Profitability Turnaround
Q4 2025 gross profit rose to $17.4M from $7.8M the prior quarter (more than doubled QoQ). Full-year gross profit increased to $47.6M from $30.9M in 2024 (+54%). Q4 reported net income of $38.1M ($0.70/share) vs. a net loss of $8.2M ($0.16/share) in Q4 2024. FY 2025 net income of $34.4M vs. a net loss of $43.7M in 2024 — a sharp turnaround.
Negative Updates
Financing and Execution Risk for Growth Plans
Ambitious plan to more than double precious metals production by 2030 depends on internal cash flow, project execution and external financing. Management acknowledges potential for dilution if metal prices do not remain elevated and Los Azules FID/construction are subject to securing project finance and successful IPO timing.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Quarterly and Full-Year Profitability Turnaround
Q4 2025 gross profit rose to $17.4M from $7.8M the prior quarter (more than doubled QoQ). Full-year gross profit increased to $47.6M from $30.9M in 2024 (+54%). Q4 reported net income of $38.1M ($0.70/share) vs. a net loss of $8.2M ($0.16/share) in Q4 2024. FY 2025 net income of $34.4M vs. a net loss of $43.7M in 2024 — a sharp turnaround.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call emphasizes funding growth largely from internal cash flow while selectively using markets, with 2026 capital spending centered on the Fox/Stock complex and totaling roughly $100M (remaining Stock completion mid-$50–60M, Gold Bar heap‑leach expansion ~$12M, Mexico plant refurbishment ~$25M); Stock is expected to begin pre‑commercial production in H2 2026 (not included in 2026 guidance) and reach commercial production in 2027. Management pointed to stronger liquidity and earnings to support that plan (Q4 gross profit $17.4M vs $7.8M prior quarter; FY gross profit $47.6M vs $30.9M in 2024; Q4 net income $38.1M or $0.70/share; FY net income $34.4M vs a $43.7M loss in 2024; realized gold >$4,400/oz in Q4; cash $51M vs $14M YE2024; $8.8M San José dividend; $27.5M deferred tax recovery) and reiterated the objective to more than double precious‑metal production by 2030. For McEwen Copper/Los Azules they are targeting an IPO later this year, a final investment decision by year‑end 2026 and construction in early 2027; the FS base case at $4.35/lb Cu yields after‑tax NPV8 $2.9B, IRR 19.8%, 3.9‑yr payback, 22‑yr life, ~205,000 tpa Cu cathode (first 5 yrs) / 148,000 tpa LOM, C1 $1.71/lb, AISC $2.11/lb — at ~$5.80/lb Cu NPV rises to $6.3B, IRR 30%, 2.7‑yr payback, NPV/CapEx ≈2, ~+$2.3B NPV (≈+$18 per MUX share) per $1 change in copper; RIGI provides 30 years of stability, corporate tax 35%→25%, 50% cut to dividend withholding and export‑duty exemption.

McEwen Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balanced profile: improving revenue and a return to positive EBIT support the outlook, and leverage is low; however, earnings quality looks volatile (net margin far exceeds operating margin) and cash conversion is weak with persistently negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue235.91M197.55M174.48M166.23M110.42M136.54M
Gross Profit54.93M21.73M30.93M17.78M-544.00K-6.48M
EBITDA35.33M17.94M18.25M-73.94M-78.68M-32.66M
Net Income74.08M34.43M-43.69M55.30M-81.08M-56.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets972.60M820.22M664.62M659.55M528.72M534.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.08M72.13M14.90M24.76M40.91M58.64M
Total Debt3.82M926.00K42.11M42.25M66.39M55.99M
Total Liabilities320.64M273.98M169.65M157.13M172.44M144.74M
Stockholders Equity651.96M546.24M494.98M502.42M322.81M375.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.76M-37.77M-13.64M-65.74M-80.77M-55.11M
Operating Cash Flow20.90M6.87M29.45M-39.64M-56.58M-20.22M
Investing Cash Flow-55.47M-48.03M-58.05M-99.64M-23.90M-24.56M
Financing Cash Flow22.75M78.73M19.20M172.18M65.45M80.98M

McEwen Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.91
Price Trends
50DMA
22.35
Negative
100DMA
23.36
Negative
200DMA
19.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
42.95
Neutral
STOCH
11.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.82, above the 50-day MA of 22.35, and above the 200-day MA of 19.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MUX.

McEwen Mining Risk Analysis

McEwen Mining disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McEwen Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McEwen Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$8.87B6.8525.24%1.45%68.80%102.79%
76
Outperform
$11.52B-164.0911.04%0.07%56.81%525.85%
69
Neutral
$1.85B3.9320.95%1.14%9.46%
67
Neutral
$1.10B8.60-2.02%-20.16%83.66%
64
Neutral
$1.29B9.0013.64%39.63%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
$3.44B-18.03-20.71%-311.17%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MUX
McEwen Mining
21.35
13.68
178.36%
BVN
Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA
33.71
19.62
139.25%
GPRE
Green Plains
15.07
10.64
240.18%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
17.30
12.29
245.24%
PPTA
Perpetua Resources
26.72
13.52
102.42%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
14.19
8.96
171.32%

McEwen Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
McEwen Mining Completes Golden Lake Acquisition, Expands Nevada Footprint
Positive
May 5, 2026
On April 30, 2026, McEwen Inc. completed its previously announced business combination with Golden Lake Exploration Inc. via a statutory plan of arrangement, consolidating Golden Lake’s Jewel Ridge and Jewel Ridge West exploration projects i...
Business Operations and Strategy
McEwen Mining Updates Tartan Mine Resource and Plans
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
On March 23, 2026, McEwen Inc. reported a new mineral resource estimate for its Tartan Mine Project in Manitoba, effective as of Dec. 31, 2025, totaling 308,900 ounces of indicated gold and 302,700 ounces of inferred gold. The estimate, prepared u...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026