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Fortis Inc (TSE:FTS)
TSX:FTS

Fortis (FTS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FTS

Fortis

(TSX:FTS)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$81.00
â–²(2.51% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/26/26
The score is primarily held back by fundamentals: rising leverage and consistently negative free cash flow despite stable regulated earnings. Earnings-call commentary is a clear positive due to reaffirmed long-term rate-base and dividend growth guidance, while technicals are mixed (longer-term trend support but near-term weakness). Valuation is reasonable for the sector, supported by a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulated rate-base growth via large capital plan
A $28.8bn five-year capital program that targets ~7% annual rate-base growth is a durable earnings engine for a regulated utility. When capital is placed in service and approved by regulators, it expands the allowed rate base and provides long-term, predictable return on invested capital supporting sustained revenue and earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage and constrained balance-sheet flexibility
Material increases in borrowings have left Fortis with elevated leverage typical of capital-intensive utilities but with less cushion against higher rates. Higher debt-to-equity reduces financial flexibility, increases interest-cost sensitivity, and can limit the company’s ability to fund incremental projects without further external financing or equity issuance.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated rate-base growth via large capital plan
A $28.8bn five-year capital program that targets ~7% annual rate-base growth is a durable earnings engine for a regulated utility. When capital is placed in service and approved by regulators, it expands the allowed rate base and provides long-term, predictable return on invested capital supporting sustained revenue and earnings growth.
Read all positive factors

Fortis (FTS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fortis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 438,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona; and 100,...
How the Company Makes Money
Fortis primarily makes money by earning regulated returns on the utility infrastructure it owns and operates. Most revenue is generated by charging customers (and, in some cases, other market participants) regulated rates for electricity delivery ...

Fortis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple strong positives: substantial capital investment ($5.6B in 2025), a $28.8B five-year capital plan with expected 7% average annual rate base growth, EPS and TSR improvement (adjusted EPS +$0.25; 1-year TSR ~24%), continued dividend growth (4% increase; 52-year streak), solid liquidity and stable S&P ratings. Challenges highlighted include disposition-related EPS losses ($0.13/share), regulatory lag (notably ~USD 700M of UNS rate base), higher finance and compensation costs, and ongoing regulatory uncertainties in Arizona and project timing/approvals (e.g., Tilbury environmental reviews). Overall, the positives — clear growth plan, strong capital deployment, improving credit outlook and shareholder returns — outweigh the moderating headwinds and uncertainties.
Positive Updates
Large Capital Investment in 2025
Utilities invested $5.6 billion in capital in 2025 to strengthen systems, enhance resilience and support long-term customer needs.
Negative Updates
Asset Disposition Losses Impacting EPS
Reported EPS for 2025 was impacted by losses related to dispositions in Turks and Caicos and Belize totaling $0.13 per share (roughly half of which relate to income taxes), moderating reported results.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Large Capital Investment in 2025
Utilities invested $5.6 billion in capital in 2025 to strengthen systems, enhance resilience and support long-term customer needs.
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Company Guidance
Fortis reiterated growth and shareholder return guidance anchored by a $28.8 billion, five‑year capital plan (only 21% major projects) expected to raise rate base by $16 billion and deliver average annual rate‑base growth of 7%, supporting dividend growth guidance of 4%–6% annually through 2030; 2025 highlights included $5.6 billion of utility capital investment, reported EPS of $3.40 (+$0.16 y/y) and adjusted EPS of $3.53 (+$0.25 y/y) (Q4 reported EPS $0.83, +$0.04; Q4 adjusted +$0.07), a 4% increase in dividends paid (52nd consecutive year), an adjusted dividend payout ratio of ~70%, 1‑year total shareholder return of ~24% and 20‑year average annual TSR of ~10%, liquidity with $2.7 billion of long‑term debt issued in 2025 and nearly $4.0 billion available on credit facilities (unused $500 million ATM), S&P ratings A‑/BBB+ (stable), and noted upside/area specifics including ITC Tranche 2.1 estimated at USD 3.3–3.8 billion (mostly post‑2030), potential Arizona generation of USD 1.5–2.0 billion through 2030, and up to $300 million of incremental Tilbury LNG capital.

Fortis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings profile is steady for a regulated utility, with revenue and net income expanding over time and mid‑teens net margins in recent years. Offsetting this, leverage has risen (debt increasing materially and debt-to-equity consistently elevated), and free cash flow is persistently negative, implying ongoing reliance on external financing to fund the capital program.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.17B11.51B11.52B11.04B9.45B
Gross Profit8.80B5.22B4.86B4.41B3.97B
EBITDA5.89B5.29B4.92B4.50B4.02B
Net Income1.80B1.68B1.57B1.39B1.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.83B75.06B67.41B65.87B59.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments367.00M220.00M625.00M209.00M131.00M
Total Debt34.67B33.70B30.03B29.04B25.95B
Total Liabilities48.96B49.21B44.08B43.03B38.10B
Stockholders Equity23.81B23.81B21.50B21.03B19.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.17B-1.34B-624.00M-791.00M-479.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.06B3.88B3.54B3.07B2.91B
Investing Cash Flow-5.36B-5.39B-3.74B-4.06B-3.49B
Financing Cash Flow1.46B1.06B613.00M1.03B451.00M

Fortis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.02
Price Trends
50DMA
76.25
Positive
100DMA
73.64
Positive
200DMA
70.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Positive
RSI
60.45
Neutral
STOCH
79.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FTS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.97, above the 50-day MA of 76.25, and above the 200-day MA of 70.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FTS.

Fortis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
C$35.07B24.4710.73%2.43%5.98%14.79%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
C$40.00B20.357.51%3.50%5.21%4.27%
63
Neutral
C$22.14B18.588.83%4.33%14.10%65.76%
58
Neutral
C$13.44B97.608.84%4.33%-0.94%25.64%
54
Neutral
C$6.93B42.213.20%3.62%7.75%11.25%
51
Neutral
C$6.63B25.553.88%4.32%-4.72%96.98%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FTS
Fortis
78.83
16.74
26.96%
TSE:ACO.X
ATCO Ltd Cl I NV
68.74
21.82
46.50%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
49.37
15.38
45.25%
TSE:H
Hydro One
58.47
11.22
23.75%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
8.63
2.23
34.91%
TSE:EMA
Emera
73.08
16.64
29.48%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 26, 2026