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Fortis Inc (TSE:FTS)
TSX:FTS
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Fortis (FTS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FTS

Fortis

(TSX:FTS)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$79.00
▲(11.88% Upside)
Fortis' strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic focus on sustainability and capital investments supports long-term growth. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges pose risks. Technical indicators suggest the stock is overbought, which could lead to short-term volatility.
Positive Factors
Dividend Guidance
FTS offers an attractive 4-6% dividend CAGR guidance through 2029.
Financial Stability
Credit ratings from Moody’s and Dominion Bond Rating Service have been reaffirmed, indicating stable financial standing.
Regulatory Environment
The outlook for Fortis' Arizona utilities is improving, with potential for additional generation spending and favorable regulatory reforms.
Negative Factors
Debt and Currency
A stronger USD increases Fortis' reported debt, adding pressure to its leverage ratio target.
Earnings Growth
Fortis is seen to have below-average EPS growth, which is concerning given its current premium valuation.
Valuation Concerns
Fortis is trading at a 10% premium compared to its electric peer group, which is considered high given the current valuation.

Fortis (FTS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fortis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 438,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona; and 100,000 retail customers in Arizona's Mohave and Santa Cruz counties with an aggregate capacity of 3,485 megawatts (MW), including 53 MW of solar capacity and 252 MV of wind capacity. The company also sells wholesale electricity to other entities in the western United States; owns gas-fired and hydroelectric generating capacity totaling 65 MW; and distributes natural gas to approximately 1,065,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in British Columbia, Canada. In addition, it owns and operates the electricity distribution system that serves approximately 577,000 customers in southern and central Alberta; owns 4 hydroelectric generating facilities with a combined capacity of 225 MW; and provides operation, maintenance, and management services to five hydroelectric generating facilities. Further, the company distributes electricity in the island portion of Newfoundland and Labrador with an installed generating capacity of 143 MW; and on Prince Edward Island with a generating capacity of 130 MW. Additionally, it provides integrated electric utility service to approximately 68,000 customers in Ontario; approximately 272,000 customers in Newfoundland and Labrador; approximately 32,000 customers on Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands; and approximately 16,000 customers on certain islands in Turks and Caicos. The company also holds long-term contracted generation assets in Belize consisting of 3 hydroelectric generating facilities with a combined capacity of 51 MW; and the Aitken Creek natural gas storage facility. It also owns and operates approximately 90,200 circuit Kilometers (km) of distribution lines; and approximately 50,500 km of natural gas pipelines. Fortis Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in St. John's, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortis generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to its customers. The company operates under a regulated model, which allows it to earn a stable and predictable return on invested capital. Key revenue streams include residential, commercial, and industrial electricity sales, as well as natural gas distribution fees. Additionally, Fortis benefits from rate adjustments approved by regulatory bodies, which can increase revenue based on infrastructure investments and operational costs. The company may also engage in non-regulated activities, such as energy generation from renewable sources, contributing to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with local governments and other utility providers can enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base, further supporting its revenue generation efforts.

Fortis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.07%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with increased earnings per share, significant capital investments, and progress on sustainability and regulatory fronts. However, challenges included regulatory lag, higher finance costs, and tempered growth in certain segments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Earnings Per Share
Earnings per share for the second quarter were $0.76, a $0.09 increase from the same period last year. Year-to-date EPS was $1.76, reflecting a $0.16 increase over the same period last year.
Significant Capital Investments
Capital expenditures of almost $3 billion were made during the first half of the year, with investments in various projects including a 200-megawatt energy storage system.
Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Achieved a 34% reduction in Scope 1 greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2019 levels, contributing to sustainability goals.
Progress on Regulatory Front
Tucson Electric Power filed its general rate application and Central Hudson reached a multiyear rate settlement agreement.
Dividend Growth Commitment
Committed to annual dividend growth guidance of 4% to 6% through 2029.
Data Center Development in Arizona
TEP reached an agreement with a data center customer to serve a demand of approximately 300 megawatts, with plans for further expansion.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Lag at UNS Energy
Despite an increase in transmission revenue, EPS contribution from UNS Energy was unchanged due to regulatory lag.
Challenges in Western Canadian Utilities
Timing of operating costs, expiration of a PBR efficiency mechanism, and a lower allowed ROE tempered growth at FortisAlberta.
Impact of Higher Finance Costs
Higher finance costs at ITC and in the Corporate and Other segment impacted financial results.
Company Guidance
During the Fortis Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance and strategic advancements. Capital expenditures reached nearly $3 billion in the first half of the year, supporting Fortis' core objective of delivering safe and reliable energy. The company achieved a second-quarter earnings per share of $0.76, marking a $0.09 increase from the previous year. Fortis also highlighted significant regulatory progress, including Tucson Electric Power's general rate application and a multiyear rate settlement agreement by Central Hudson. Sustainability efforts were underscored with a 34% reduction in Scope 1 greenhouse gas emissions from 2019 levels. Fortis remains on track with its growth strategy, anticipating a rate base increase to $53 billion by 2029, supporting an average annual growth of 6.5%. The company also announced plans to convert 800 megawatts of coal-fired generation to natural gas by 2030, aiming to be coal-free by 2032. Fortis reaffirmed its annual dividend growth guidance of 4% to 6% through 2029, emphasizing its commitment to delivering reliable service and strong shareholder returns.

Fortis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fortis demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by robust operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, typical for the industry. While cash flow from operations remains strong, negative free cash flow warrants attention. Overall, Fortis is financially healthy with a focus on maintaining growth and profitability, while managing its debt levels and improving free cash flow.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Fortis has shown consistent revenue growth, with a growth rate of 1.91% in TTM, indicating stable expansion. The gross profit margin is strong at 61.63%, reflecting effective cost management. The net profit margin stands at 14.69%, showing solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 28.72% and 47.77%, respectively, highlight robust operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects healthy profitability and steady growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a stable equity base with an equity ratio of 32.30%, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.43 suggests reliance on debt financing, which is typical for the industry but poses potential risks in a rising interest rate environment. Return on equity is a healthy 7.14%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. Overall, the balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage levels.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Fortis has experienced a slight decline in free cash flow growth, from -1336 million to -1269 million, indicating improving but still negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.51 shows strong cash generation relative to income. The negative free cash flow may raise concerns if it continues long-term, but current cash flow coverage of net income is reassuring. Overall, cash flow management is adequate but requires monitoring.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.87B11.51B11.52B11.04B9.45B8.94B
Gross Profit8.59B8.26B4.86B7.09B6.50B6.37B
EBITDA5.78B5.51B5.15B4.50B4.02B3.97B
Net Income1.78B1.68B1.57B1.39B1.29B1.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.79B73.49B65.92B64.25B57.66B55.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments221.00M220.00M625.00M209.00M131.00M249.00M
Total Debt33.81B33.70B30.03B29.04B25.95B24.86B
Total Liabilities47.20B47.63B42.59B41.41B36.74B35.20B
Stockholders Equity23.63B23.81B21.50B21.03B19.29B18.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.71B-1.34B-624.00M-791.00M-479.00M-1.34B
Operating Cash Flow4.32B3.88B3.54B3.07B2.91B2.70B
Investing Cash Flow-6.04B-5.39B-3.74B-4.06B-3.49B-4.13B
Financing Cash Flow1.38B1.06B613.00M1.03B451.00M1.33B

Fortis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price70.61
Price Trends
50DMA
65.79
Positive
100DMA
65.50
Positive
200DMA
62.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.24
Negative
RSI
76.32
Negative
STOCH
52.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FTS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 70.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.27, above the 50-day MA of 65.79, and above the 200-day MA of 62.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.32 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FTS.

Fortis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$35.08B20.487.50%3.49%4.22%6.63%
67
Neutral
$17.75B18.235.29%3.57%7.33%12.21%
$16.47B-5.97%5.89%
76
Outperform
C$30.34B24.1910.34%2.50%8.03%11.78%
68
Neutral
C$9.35B18.8210.00%4.38%-16.83%-37.24%
68
Neutral
C$7.82B23.227.52%4.76%-0.51%-17.17%
$14.24B22.937.12%2.19%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FTS
Fortis
70.61
13.33
23.27%
BEP
Brookfield Renewable Partners
24.77
1.81
7.88%
TSE:CPX
Capital Power
59.95
17.61
41.59%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
38.52
6.97
22.09%
TSE:H
Hydro One
51.00
7.39
16.95%
EMA
Emera
48.20
12.77
36.04%

Fortis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fortis Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Advances Key Projects
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

Fortis Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with net earnings of $384 million, up from $331 million in the same period of 2024. This growth was driven by rate base growth, favorable exchange rates, and strategic investments such as the Eagle Mountain Pipeline project. The company is on track with its $5.2 billion annual capital plan, having invested $2.9 billion in the first half of 2025. Key projects include the Roadrunner Reserve 1 battery storage system and plans to convert coal-fired generation to natural gas at the Springerville Generating Station. These initiatives are expected to enhance energy reliability and support customer affordability without materially impacting the current five-year capital plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTS) stock is a Hold with a C$59.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortis stock, see the TSE:FTS Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Fortis Inc. Declares Third Quarter Dividends for 2025
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Fortis Inc. has announced its third-quarter dividends for 2025, with payments scheduled for September 1, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 19, 2025. The declared dividends include various amounts for different series of preference shares and a dividend of $0.615 per share on common shares, all designated as eligible for federal and provincial dividend tax credits. This announcement reflects Fortis’ ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and maintaining its strong position in the utility industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTS) stock is a Hold with a C$63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortis stock, see the TSE:FTS Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortis Inc. Announces Preference Share Conversion Results
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Fortis Inc. announced the results of its Series H and Series I preference share conversions. A total of 11,298 Series H Shares were converted into Series I Shares, and 248,830 Series I Shares were converted into Series H Shares. Following these conversions, Fortis has 7,902,614 Series H Shares and 2,097,386 Series I Shares outstanding. The Series H Shares will offer a fixed dividend rate of 4.183 percent, while the Series I Shares will provide a floating dividend rate initially set at 4.103 percent, adjusted quarterly. These changes reflect Fortis’s ongoing financial strategies and may impact investor decisions regarding dividend returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTS) stock is a Hold with a C$59.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortis stock, see the TSE:FTS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025