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Fortis Inc (TSE:FTS)
TSX:FTS

Fortis (FTS) AI Stock Analysis

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Fortis

(TSX:FTS)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$76.00
▲(17.61%Upside)
Fortis Inc. maintains a stable financial position with strong revenue growth and profitability. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic financing bolster its long-term growth prospects. Technical indicators suggest current market weakness, and valuation metrics are moderately favorable.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Credit ratings from Moody’s and Dominion Bond Rating Service have been reaffirmed, indicating stable financial standing.
Growth Potential
FTS continues to steadily advance opportunities that could add upside to this base guidance, including MISO transmission and LNG infrastructure in B.C.
Market Confidence
FTS shares outperformed its large cap utility peers, indicating market confidence in Fortis's growth potential and favorable USD foreign exchange rates.
Negative Factors
EPS Growth Concerns
Fortis is seen to have below-average EPS growth, which is concerning given its current premium valuation.
Regulatory Risks
The appointment of Mark Christie as FERC Chairman introduces a risk for transmission ratemaking, impacting Fortis' risk profile.
Valuation Concerns
Fortis is trading at a 10% premium compared to its electric peer group, which is considered high given the current valuation.

Fortis (FTS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fortis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortis Inc. (FTS) is a leading North American utility company headquartered in St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. The company operates in the regulated utilities sector, providing electricity and natural gas to customers across Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean. Fortis owns and operates a diversified portfolio of utility assets, including power generation facilities, transmission systems, and distribution networks, serving over three million customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortis Inc. generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Since these operations are regulated by government entities, Fortis earns a stable and predictable income based on approved rates of return on its invested capital. Additionally, Fortis benefits from strategic acquisitions and investments in infrastructure projects that expand its service capabilities and customer base. The company's earnings are further supported by long-term power purchase agreements and regulatory mechanisms that allow for cost recovery and capital expenditure adjustments. Fortis maintains significant partnerships with regulatory bodies and industry stakeholders to ensure compliance and operational efficiency, which contribute to its overall financial performance.

Fortis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.41%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong EPS growth, substantial capital investments, and a commitment to dividend growth. However, challenges such as UNS Energy's EPS decline, potential tariff impacts, and a lower ROE in Alberta were noted. Despite these lowlights, the overall sentiment leans towards a positive trajectory for growth and regulatory success.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Growth
Fortis reported an EPS of $1, a $0.07 increase over the same quarter last year.
Strong Capital Investment
Invested $1.4 billion in utility systems as part of the 2025 capital plan, with 27% of the five-year $26 billion plan already invested.
Rate Base Growth
Projected rate base increase by approximately $14 billion to $53 billion by 2029, supporting an average annual rate-based growth of 6.5%.
Dividend Growth Commitment
Fortis is committed to an annual dividend growth guidance of 4% to 6% through 2029, marking 51 consecutive years of increasing dividends.
Regulatory Success
Received a constructive outcome for FortisBC's multi-year rate framework and continued progress on regulatory fronts in Arizona and New York.
Negative Updates
UNS Energy EPS Decline
EPS decreased by $0.03 due to lower margins on wholesale sales and higher costs associated with rate-based growth not yet reflected in customer rates.
Potential Tariff Impact
Monitoring changes in government policies, including tariffs, which may impact inflation, supply chain availability, and customer affordability.
Lower Allowed ROE in Alberta
Western Canadian Utilities faced a lower allowed ROE of 8.97%, effective January 1st, 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Fortis Inc. First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance for the fiscal year. David Hutchens, President and CEO, highlighted that Fortis invested $1.4 billion into utility systems during the quarter, achieving an earnings per share (EPS) of $1, a $0.07 increase from the same period in the previous year. The company plans to follow through on a five-year capital plan worth $26 billion, with 27% of the 2025 capital plan already invested in Q1. This long-term plan aims to increase the rate base by approximately $14 billion, reaching $53 billion by 2029, supporting an average annual rate-based growth of 6.5%. Fortis remains focused on transmission investments, such as the US$3.7 billion to US$4.2 billion committed to MISO LRTP Tranche 2.1 projects. The company is also carefully monitoring potential impacts of government policies on tariffs, inflation, and supply chain availability. Fortis has a strong track record of dividend growth, committing to a 4% to 6% annual increase through 2029, while maintaining a stable financial outlook, as evidenced by recent affirmations of credit ratings by Moody's and DBRS.

Fortis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fortis demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by robust operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, typical for the industry. While cash flow from operations remains strong, negative free cash flow warrants attention. Overall, Fortis is financially healthy with a focus on maintaining growth and profitability, while managing its debt levels and improving free cash flow.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Fortis has shown consistent revenue growth, with a growth rate of 1.91% in TTM, indicating stable expansion. The gross profit margin is strong at 61.63%, reflecting effective cost management. The net profit margin stands at 14.69%, showing solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 28.72% and 47.77%, respectively, highlight robust operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects healthy profitability and steady growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a stable equity base with an equity ratio of 32.30%, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.43 suggests reliance on debt financing, which is typical for the industry but poses potential risks in a rising interest rate environment. Return on equity is a healthy 7.14%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. Overall, the balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage levels.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Fortis has experienced a slight decline in free cash flow growth, from -1336 million to -1269 million, indicating improving but still negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.51 shows strong cash generation relative to income. The negative free cash flow may raise concerns if it continues long-term, but current cash flow coverage of net income is reassuring. Overall, cash flow management is adequate but requires monitoring.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.21B11.51B11.52B11.04B9.45B8.94B
Gross Profit
6.42B8.26B4.86B7.09B6.50B6.37B
EBIT
2.47B3.29B3.08B2.74B2.47B2.51B
EBITDA
3.99B5.51B5.15B4.50B4.02B3.97B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.30B1.68B1.57B1.39B1.29B1.27B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
220.00M220.00M625.00M209.00M131.00M249.00M
Total Assets
73.49B73.49B65.92B64.25B57.66B55.48B
Total Debt
33.70B33.70B30.03B29.04B25.95B24.86B
Net Debt
33.48B33.48B29.40B28.83B25.82B24.61B
Total Liabilities
47.63B47.63B42.59B41.41B36.74B35.20B
Stockholders Equity
23.81B23.81B21.50B21.03B19.29B18.70B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-763.00M-1.34B-624.00M-791.00M-479.00M-1.34B
Operating Cash Flow
2.89B3.88B3.54B3.07B2.91B2.70B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.74B-5.39B-3.74B-4.06B-3.49B-4.13B
Financing Cash Flow
585.00M1.06B613.00M1.03B451.00M1.33B

Fortis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price64.62
Price Trends
50DMA
65.87
Negative
100DMA
64.35
Positive
200DMA
61.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
42.20
Neutral
STOCH
25.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FTS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 64.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.58, below the 50-day MA of 65.87, and above the 200-day MA of 61.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:FTS.

Fortis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCPX
75
Outperform
C$8.72B12.1515.24%4.64%-27.55%-12.05%
TSFTS
72
Outperform
$32.31B19.487.46%5.18%3.64%5.82%
TSEMA
72
Outperform
C$18.15B20.697.12%6.46%8.17%31.60%
TSCU
72
Outperform
C$7.75B25.836.76%4.86%-0.53%-31.77%
TSH
68
Neutral
C$29.21B23.9510.15%3.73%9.95%11.34%
64
Neutral
$8.52B10.344.25%5.88%4.06%-12.76%
55
Neutral
$23.06B-5.97%5.87%22.01%-183.73%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FTS
Fortis
64.62
12.89
24.92%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
34.29
1.28
3.87%
TSE:EMA
Emera
60.90
16.79
38.08%
TSE:H
Hydro One
48.63
10.36
27.07%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
37.65
8.96
31.23%
TSE:CPX
Capital Power
56.37
18.37
48.34%

Fortis Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortis Inc. Announces Preference Share Conversion Results
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Fortis Inc. announced the results of its Series H and Series I preference share conversions. A total of 11,298 Series H Shares were converted into Series I Shares, and 248,830 Series I Shares were converted into Series H Shares. Following these conversions, Fortis has 7,902,614 Series H Shares and 2,097,386 Series I Shares outstanding. The Series H Shares will offer a fixed dividend rate of 4.183 percent, while the Series I Shares will provide a floating dividend rate initially set at 4.103 percent, adjusted quarterly. These changes reflect Fortis’s ongoing financial strategies and may impact investor decisions regarding dividend returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTS) stock is a Hold with a C$59.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortis stock, see the TSE:FTS Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fortis Inc. Completes $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Fortis Inc. has successfully closed a private placement offering of $600 million in senior unsecured notes, maturing in 2032, with a 4.090% interest rate. This strategic financial move, facilitated by a syndicate of agents, bolsters Fortis’ capital structure and supports its ongoing operations and growth in the utility sector, reinforcing its position as a key player in the North American energy market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.