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Emera (TSE:EMA)
TSX:EMA
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Emera (EMA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EMA

Emera

(TSX:EMA)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$70.00
▲(1.67% Upside)
Emera's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, balanced by high leverage and cash flow challenges. The technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, while the valuation offers a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Emera (EMA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Emera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmera Incorporated, an energy and services company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to various customers. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Other Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Other segments. It generates electricity through coal-fired, natural gas and/or oil, hydro, wind, solar, petroleum coke, and biomass-fueled power plants. The company is also involved in the purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale of natural gas; and the provision of energy marketing, trading, and other energy asset management services. In addition, it transports re-gasified liquefied natural gas from Saint John, New Brunswick to consumers in the northeastern United States through its 145-kilometer pipeline. As of December 31, 2021, the company's electric utilities served approximately 810,600 customers in West Central Florida; 536,000 customers in Nova Scotia; 132,000 customers in the island of Barbados; 19,000 customers in the Grand Bahama Island; and 35,700 customers in the island of Dominica, as well as gas utilities and infrastructure served approximately 445,000 customers across Florida and 542,000 customers in New Mexico. It also provides insurance and reinsurance services to Emera and its affiliates, as well as offers financing services. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmera makes money primarily through its regulated utility operations, which provide a stable and predictable revenue stream. The company generates revenue by selling electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its earnings are largely derived from regulated rates set by government agencies, ensuring a reliable return on investment. Key revenue streams include electric and gas utility services in Nova Scotia, Florida, New Mexico, and various Caribbean islands. Additionally, Emera benefits from strategic investments in renewable energy projects and infrastructure, which contribute to its earnings growth. Partnerships and joint ventures in these regions further enhance its financial performance.

Emera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Emera's Q1 2025 performance was strong, with record-breaking earnings and robust growth across its regulated utilities and energy segments. The company is effectively managing financial and tariff risks, and is on track with its capital investment plans. However, there are ongoing regulatory challenges in New Mexico and potential impacts from economic and tariff uncertainties. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic positioning and financial management provide a strong foundation for continued growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking First Quarter Performance
Emera reported first quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.28, representing a 68% increase over the same period in 2024. This marks the strongest first quarter performance in the company's history.
Strong Utility and Energy Segment Results
Tampa Electric and New Mexico Gas benefited from new rates, and Nova Scotia Power saw favorable results due to colder weather. Emera Energy also reported a record quarter, with adjusted earnings of USD 48 million, leading to an upward revision of their earnings guidance for 2025.
Successful Financial Management
The company reported record first quarter adjusted earnings of $379 million and a 37% increase in operating cash flow when normalized for fuel and storm deferrals. Credit metrics have improved by over 200 basis points since the first quarter of 2024.
Significant Capital Deployment
Over $700 million in customer-focused capital was deployed in the first quarter, putting the company on track to execute a $3.4 billion capital plan for the year. Key projects include solar development and reliability investments.
Mitigation of Tariff Risks
The company has secured panels for solar investments through 2026, with plans for 100% domestic supply and tariff risk mitigated through 2029. Pricing for major projects at Peoples Gas has been locked in, reducing exposure to tariff impacts.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Challenges in New Mexico
The regulatory process for the sale of New Mexico Gas is ongoing, with a hearing scheduled for June 23, 2025. The company expects closing in Q4 2025 but faces challenges in demonstrating net benefit to customers.
Exposure to Chinese Tariffs
Despite limited exposure, there is some tariff risk related to planned energy storage investments at Tampa Electric. The company is working to manage supply chain risks and identify domestic supply opportunities.
Economic Uncertainty Impacting Growth
There is concern over economic growth and population growth moderation in Florida, which could impact future rate base growth potential. The company is closely monitoring these trends.
Potential Impact of Tariff and Supply Chain Issues
While the company is mitigating risks, there is still potential for tariff and supply chain issues to impact capital plans and customer affordability.
Company Guidance
During the Emera Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported an impressive 68% increase in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to $1.28, showcasing the strongest first quarter performance in its history. This growth was driven by robust contributions from regulated utilities and Emera Energy, with Tampa Electric and New Mexico Gas benefiting from new rates, and Nova Scotia Power gaining from colder weather. Emera's capital deployment reached over $700 million in the first quarter, aligning with its $3.4 billion annual capital plan, and supporting a 7% to 8% forecasted rate base growth. Despite uncertainties, Emera reaffirmed its 5% to 7% average EPS growth guidance through 2027. The company is focused on managing tariff and supply chain impacts while maintaining customer affordability, and is confident in its strategic positioning and regulatory proceedings, including the anticipated sale of New Mexico Gas.

Emera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Emera shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but high leverage and negative free cash flow pose risks. The income statement is solid, but the balance sheet's high debt-to-equity ratio and cash flow challenges need attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Emera's income statement reflects a solid performance with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 4.59%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 32.26% and net profit margin of 11.99% are healthy, though slightly below the previous year's figures. The EBIT margin of 23.68% and EBITDA margin of 36.41% demonstrate strong operational efficiency. However, the decline in gross profit margin from 40.19% in the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46, which is a concern for leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity (ROE) of 7.26% is reasonable, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 30.91% suggests a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets. Overall, while the company is managing its equity well, the high leverage poses a risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Emera's cash flow statement reveals challenges with free cash flow, which is negative at -$1.27 billion, though it has improved significantly from the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.64 indicates that operating cash flow is covering net income adequately. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.18 highlights ongoing cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.23B7.20B7.56B7.59B5.76B5.51B
Gross Profit3.66B2.90B3.28B3.03B2.17B2.38B
EBITDA3.26B2.50B2.89B2.69B1.85B2.08B
Net Income950.00M567.00M1.04B1.01B560.00M983.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.53B42.95B39.48B39.74B34.24B31.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.00M196.00M588.00M310.00M394.00M220.00M
Total Debt20.16B19.81B19.86B19.04B16.40B15.35B
Total Liabilities29.37B29.66B27.39B28.30B24.09B22.00B
Stockholders Equity13.15B13.28B12.07B11.43B10.12B9.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.27B-505.00M-696.00M-1.68B-1.17B-986.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.25B2.65B2.24B913.00M1.19B1.64B
Investing Cash Flow-3.48B-2.22B-2.92B-2.57B-2.33B-1.22B
Financing Cash Flow1.06B-818.00M939.00M1.55B1.31B-372.00M

Emera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.85
Price Trends
50DMA
66.21
Positive
100DMA
64.19
Positive
200DMA
60.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.99
Negative
RSI
65.39
Neutral
STOCH
74.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EMA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.90, above the 50-day MA of 66.21, and above the 200-day MA of 60.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EMA.

Emera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$36.24B21.167.50%3.44%4.22%6.63%
C$31.52B25.1310.34%2.47%8.03%11.78%
C$11.06B22.2610.00%3.79%-16.83%-37.24%
$20.70B23.487.12%5.32%10.65%14.09%
C$10.80B24.207.52%4.52%-0.51%-17.17%
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
$27.17B-5.97%4.89%20.05%-54.69%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EMA
Emera
68.85
19.58
39.74%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
41.88
7.74
22.67%
TSE:CPX
Capital Power
69.92
21.78
45.24%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
39.70
5.66
16.63%
TSE:H
Hydro One
52.48
8.43
19.14%
TSE:FTS
Fortis
71.54
13.53
23.32%

Emera Corporate Events

Emera Completes $750 Million Notes Offering for Strategic Flexibility
Oct 3, 2025

On October 3, 2025, Emera Incorporated announced the completion of a US$750 million offering of 6.25% fixed-to-fixed reset rate junior subordinated notes due 2056, issued by its wholly-owned subsidiary EUSHI Finance, Inc. The notes, guaranteed by Emera and Emera US Holdings Inc., were sold through a consortium of underwriters including Wells Fargo and J.P. Morgan. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, which could enhance Emera’s financial flexibility and support its strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Hold with a C$64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Emera Appoints New CFO Amidst Strategic Growth Plans
Positive
Aug 25, 2025

Emera Inc. has announced the appointment of Jared Green as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective around December 15, 2025. Green, who brings extensive experience from his previous roles at TriSummit Utilities and AltaGas Ltd, will oversee Finance, Investor Relations, Treasury, and Commercial Investments. This leadership change comes as Emera is executing a robust capital plan and aims to continue its growth trajectory. The outgoing CFO, Greg Blunden, will transition to a new role as Executive Vice President, Finance, Emera USA, ensuring a smooth handover and continuing to influence the company’s U.S. operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Buy with a C$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Emera Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Aug 9, 2025

Emera Incorporated is a prominent North American energy services provider based in Halifax, Nova Scotia, with a focus on regulated electric and natural gas utilities, serving approximately 2.6 million customers across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emera Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth Driven by Florida Operations
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Emera Inc. reported a significant increase in its second quarter 2025 financial results, with a 49% growth in adjusted earnings per share compared to the previous year. The company attributed this growth to strong performance in its Florida operations and strategic investments in infrastructure to enhance reliability and support economic growth. Despite some challenges, such as the sale of its equity interest in the Labrador Island Link, Emera remains committed to its growth targets, expecting a 7% to 8% rate base growth through 2029.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Buy with a C$60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 07, 2025