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Emera (TSE:EMA)
TSX:EMA
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Emera (EMA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EMA

Emera

(TSX:EMA)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$75.00
▲(10.28% Upside)
Emera's strong earnings growth and strategic investments are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators and valuation are supportive, high leverage and cash flow challenges present risks. The positive earnings call sentiment further boosts confidence in future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth demonstrates expanding market reach and product adoption, supporting long-term financial stability.
Capital Investment
Significant capital investments indicate a commitment to infrastructure growth and modernization, enhancing future operational capabilities.
Regulatory Success
Regulatory approvals ensure stable revenue streams and support strategic growth initiatives, strengthening market position.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues may constrain the company's ability to fund operations and investments, affecting growth potential.
Challenges in Canadian Electric Utilities
Decreased contributions from Canadian utilities highlight operational challenges that could affect overall profitability and market competitiveness.

Emera (EMA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Emera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmera Incorporated, an energy and services company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to various customers. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Other Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Other segments. It generates electricity through coal-fired, natural gas and/or oil, hydro, wind, solar, petroleum coke, and biomass-fueled power plants. The company is also involved in the purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale of natural gas; and the provision of energy marketing, trading, and other energy asset management services. In addition, it transports re-gasified liquefied natural gas from Saint John, New Brunswick to consumers in the northeastern United States through its 145-kilometer pipeline. As of December 31, 2021, the company's electric utilities served approximately 810,600 customers in West Central Florida; 536,000 customers in Nova Scotia; 132,000 customers in the island of Barbados; 19,000 customers in the Grand Bahama Island; and 35,700 customers in the island of Dominica, as well as gas utilities and infrastructure served approximately 445,000 customers across Florida and 542,000 customers in New Mexico. It also provides insurance and reinsurance services to Emera and its affiliates, as well as offers financing services. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmera generates revenue through several key channels, primarily focused on regulated utility operations, which provide stable and predictable cash flows. The company earns money by charging customers for electricity and natural gas services, which include residential, commercial, and industrial users. Revenue is also derived from long-term contracts for renewable energy projects and transmission services. Significant partnerships with local governments and regulatory bodies ensure compliance and facilitate infrastructure investments. Emera's diversified portfolio, including investments in renewable energy sources such as wind and solar, positions the company to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy, further enhancing its revenue streams.

Emera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Emera demonstrated strong financial performance with significant earnings growth and capital investment, bolstered by regulatory successes and market growth in Florida. While facing some challenges in Canadian Electric Utilities and gas utility contributions, the overall sentiment of the call leans towards positive, with key performance indicators showing robust growth and strong future prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Earnings Growth
Emera reported a 9% increase in third quarter adjusted earnings per share to $0.88 and a 14% increase year-to-date to $2.94 over the same period in 2024.
Significant Capital Investment
Emera achieved a record $3.6 billion in capital investment in 2025, with a $20 billion capital plan through 2030, maintaining a 7% to 8% rate base growth trajectory.
Dividend Increase
Emera's Board of Directors approved a 1% dividend increase, marking the 19th consecutive year of annual increases.
Regulatory Success
The Florida Public Service Commission approved the Peoples Gas settlement with $67 million of new rates and Tampa Electric's 2026 base rate increase of $88 million.
Florida Market Growth
Robust population and economic expansion in Florida led to increased demand for electricity and natural gas, driving 8% to 9% rate base growth through 2030.
Improvement in Credit Metrics
A 23% increase in operating cash flow and a 150 basis point improvement in key credit metrics were achieved, bringing the Moody's metric to 11.9%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Canadian Electric Utilities
Contributions from Canadian Electric Utilities decreased by $0.04 per share compared to the third quarter of 2024 due to higher operating costs and depreciation.
Lower Contributions from Gas Utilities
Lower contributions from New Mexico Gas and Peoples Gas decreased earnings by $0.02 per share compared to the third quarter of last year.
Bear Swamp Outage
Lower earnings at Bear Swamp were reported due to an outage, offsetting gains from increased natural gas prices.
Company Guidance
During the Emera Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong financial performance and strategic investments. Emera reported a third quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.88, marking a nearly 9% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Year-to-date, adjusted EPS reached $2.94, a 14% increase over 2024. The company's capital investments totaled a record $3.6 billion for 2025, contributing to a 7% to 8% rate base growth profile, with a $20 billion capital plan outlined through 2030. Emera reaffirmed its commitment to a 5% to 7% adjusted EPS growth through 2027, supported by strategic investments across its portfolio, including solar and reliability projects in Florida and energy storage in Nova Scotia. Additionally, the company highlighted a 1% dividend increase, marking its 19th consecutive year of growth. Looking ahead, Emera plans to maintain its investment pace to balance customer affordability with growth, while strategic initiatives like the planned sale of New Mexico Gas and asset securitization in Nova Scotia aim to optimize funding and support continued financial health.

Emera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Emera shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but high leverage and negative free cash flow pose risks. The income statement is solid, but the balance sheet's high debt-to-equity ratio and cash flow challenges need attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Emera's income statement reflects a solid performance with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 4.59%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 32.26% and net profit margin of 11.99% are healthy, though slightly below the previous year's figures. The EBIT margin of 23.68% and EBITDA margin of 36.41% demonstrate strong operational efficiency. However, the decline in gross profit margin from 40.19% in the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46, which is a concern for leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity (ROE) of 7.26% is reasonable, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 30.91% suggests a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets. Overall, while the company is managing its equity well, the high leverage poses a risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Emera's cash flow statement reveals challenges with free cash flow, which is negative at -$1.27 billion, though it has improved significantly from the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.64 indicates that operating cash flow is covering net income adequately. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.18 highlights ongoing cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.23B7.20B7.56B7.59B5.76B5.51B
Gross Profit3.66B2.90B3.28B3.03B2.17B2.38B
EBITDA3.26B2.50B2.89B2.69B1.85B2.08B
Net Income950.00M567.00M1.04B1.01B560.00M983.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.53B42.95B39.48B39.74B34.24B31.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.00M196.00M588.00M310.00M394.00M220.00M
Total Debt20.16B19.81B19.86B19.04B16.40B15.35B
Total Liabilities29.37B29.66B27.39B28.30B24.09B22.00B
Stockholders Equity13.15B13.28B12.07B11.43B10.12B9.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.27B-505.00M-696.00M-1.68B-1.17B-986.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.25B2.65B2.24B913.00M1.19B1.64B
Investing Cash Flow-3.48B-2.22B-2.92B-2.57B-2.33B-1.22B
Financing Cash Flow1.06B-818.00M939.00M1.55B1.31B-372.00M

Emera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.01
Price Trends
50DMA
66.30
Positive
100DMA
64.77
Positive
200DMA
61.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Negative
RSI
56.12
Neutral
STOCH
77.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EMA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.39, above the 50-day MA of 66.30, and above the 200-day MA of 61.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EMA.

Emera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$37.03B21.777.42%3.43%5.21%4.27%
75
Outperform
C$30.98B24.7010.58%2.42%5.98%14.79%
73
Outperform
$20.68B18.638.83%5.03%14.10%65.76%
67
Neutral
C$10.72B24.018.84%4.35%-0.94%25.64%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
C$10.87B24.819.40%3.73%-2.99%-32.11%
58
Neutral
$26.91B-5.58%4.79%14.78%-9.37%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EMA
Emera
68.01
18.59
37.62%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
40.18
7.29
22.17%
TSE:CPX
Capital Power
62.00
5.44
9.62%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
42.08
8.57
25.57%
TSE:H
Hydro One
53.58
9.60
21.82%
TSE:FTS
Fortis
72.44
11.66
19.19%

Emera Corporate Events

Emera Reports Strong Q3 2025 and Unveils Ambitious Capital Plan
Nov 8, 2025

Emera Incorporated is a North American energy services provider headquartered in Halifax, Nova Scotia, focusing on regulated electric and natural gas utilities across Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emera Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Announces $20 Billion Capital Plan
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Emera Inc. reported a 9% improvement in adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter of 2025 and unveiled a $20 billion five-year capital plan. The plan emphasizes investments in Florida, aiming to enhance customer reliability and support ongoing growth through grid modernization and technological innovation. The company also completed the Peoples Gas rate case process, providing regulatory clarity through 2028. Emera’s financial results showed increased earnings at Tampa Electric, despite lower earnings at Nova Scotia Power and New Mexico Gas Company, and higher corporate costs. The capital plan is expected to extend the company’s 7-8% rate base growth guidance through 2030, with a focus on strengthening electric transmission, distribution, and gas infrastructure systems.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Hold with a C$69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emera Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Announces $20 Billion Capital Plan
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Emera Inc. reported a 9% increase in adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong performance at Tampa Electric. The company unveiled a $20 billion capital plan for 2026-2030, with 80% of investments directed towards Florida, focusing on reliability and grid modernization. This plan aims to support a 7-8% rate base growth through 2030. The financial results showed improved earnings, despite challenges such as lower earnings at Nova Scotia Power and New Mexico Gas Company, and higher corporate costs. The capital plan is expected to enhance customer reliability and support growth, with a significant portion allocated to strengthening electric transmission and distribution systems.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Hold with a C$69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Emera Completes $750 Million Notes Offering for Strategic Flexibility
Oct 3, 2025

On October 3, 2025, Emera Incorporated announced the completion of a US$750 million offering of 6.25% fixed-to-fixed reset rate junior subordinated notes due 2056, issued by its wholly-owned subsidiary EUSHI Finance, Inc. The notes, guaranteed by Emera and Emera US Holdings Inc., were sold through a consortium of underwriters including Wells Fargo and J.P. Morgan. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, which could enhance Emera’s financial flexibility and support its strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Hold with a C$64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Emera Appoints New CFO Amidst Strategic Growth Plans
Positive
Aug 25, 2025

Emera Inc. has announced the appointment of Jared Green as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective around December 15, 2025. Green, who brings extensive experience from his previous roles at TriSummit Utilities and AltaGas Ltd, will oversee Finance, Investor Relations, Treasury, and Commercial Investments. This leadership change comes as Emera is executing a robust capital plan and aims to continue its growth trajectory. The outgoing CFO, Greg Blunden, will transition to a new role as Executive Vice President, Finance, Emera USA, ensuring a smooth handover and continuing to influence the company’s U.S. operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Buy with a C$74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Emera Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Aug 9, 2025

Emera Incorporated is a prominent North American energy services provider based in Halifax, Nova Scotia, with a focus on regulated electric and natural gas utilities, serving approximately 2.6 million customers across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emera Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth Driven by Florida Operations
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Emera Inc. reported a significant increase in its second quarter 2025 financial results, with a 49% growth in adjusted earnings per share compared to the previous year. The company attributed this growth to strong performance in its Florida operations and strategic investments in infrastructure to enhance reliability and support economic growth. Despite some challenges, such as the sale of its equity interest in the Labrador Island Link, Emera remains committed to its growth targets, expecting a 7% to 8% rate base growth through 2029.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EMA) stock is a Buy with a C$60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emera stock, see the TSE:EMA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025