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Emera Incorporated (TSE:EMA)
:EMA

Emera (EMA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EMA

Emera

(NYSE:EMA)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$72.00
▲(10.38% Upside)
Emera's overall stock score reflects strong earnings growth and strategic investments, which are offset by technical bearish signals and cash flow challenges. The company's valuation remains attractive, supported by a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business operations, supporting long-term financial stability and expansion.
Strategic Investments
Significant capital investments reflect a commitment to growth and modernization, positioning Emera to capitalize on future energy demands and regulatory trends.
Dividend Growth
Consistent dividend growth demonstrates financial health and shareholder value, enhancing investor confidence and long-term appeal.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow and declining growth could strain liquidity, limiting the company's ability to fund operations and investments without external financing.
Debt Levels
High debt levels can increase financial risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Challenges in Canadian Electric Utilities
Decreased contributions from Canadian utilities highlight operational challenges that could affect profitability and require strategic adjustments to mitigate impacts.

Emera (EMA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Emera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmera Inc. (EMA) is a Canadian energy and services company headquartered in Halifax, Nova Scotia. It operates primarily in the utility sector, focusing on electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. Emera's operations span across various regions, including Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean, providing services through its subsidiaries. The company is involved in renewable energy projects, natural gas distribution, and electricity transmission services, making it a prominent player in the energy transition towards sustainable resources.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmera generates revenue through several key channels, primarily focused on regulated utility operations, which provide stable and predictable cash flows. The company earns money by charging customers for electricity and natural gas services, which include residential, commercial, and industrial users. Revenue is also derived from long-term contracts for renewable energy projects and transmission services. Significant partnerships with local governments and regulatory bodies ensure compliance and facilitate infrastructure investments. Emera's diversified portfolio, including investments in renewable energy sources such as wind and solar, positions the company to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy, further enhancing its revenue streams.

Emera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Emera demonstrated strong financial performance with significant earnings growth and capital investment, bolstered by regulatory successes and market growth in Florida. While facing some challenges in Canadian Electric Utilities and gas utility contributions, the overall sentiment of the call leans towards positive, with key performance indicators showing robust growth and strong future prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Earnings Growth
Emera reported a 9% increase in third quarter adjusted earnings per share to $0.88 and a 14% increase year-to-date to $2.94 over the same period in 2024.
Significant Capital Investment
Emera achieved a record $3.6 billion in capital investment in 2025, with a $20 billion capital plan through 2030, maintaining a 7% to 8% rate base growth trajectory.
Dividend Increase
Emera's Board of Directors approved a 1% dividend increase, marking the 19th consecutive year of annual increases.
Regulatory Success
The Florida Public Service Commission approved the Peoples Gas settlement with $67 million of new rates and Tampa Electric's 2026 base rate increase of $88 million.
Florida Market Growth
Robust population and economic expansion in Florida led to increased demand for electricity and natural gas, driving 8% to 9% rate base growth through 2030.
Improvement in Credit Metrics
A 23% increase in operating cash flow and a 150 basis point improvement in key credit metrics were achieved, bringing the Moody's metric to 11.9%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Canadian Electric Utilities
Contributions from Canadian Electric Utilities decreased by $0.04 per share compared to the third quarter of 2024 due to higher operating costs and depreciation.
Lower Contributions from Gas Utilities
Lower contributions from New Mexico Gas and Peoples Gas decreased earnings by $0.02 per share compared to the third quarter of last year.
Bear Swamp Outage
Lower earnings at Bear Swamp were reported due to an outage, offsetting gains from increased natural gas prices.
Company Guidance
During the Emera Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong financial performance and strategic investments. Emera reported a third quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.88, marking a nearly 9% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Year-to-date, adjusted EPS reached $2.94, a 14% increase over 2024. The company's capital investments totaled a record $3.6 billion for 2025, contributing to a 7% to 8% rate base growth profile, with a $20 billion capital plan outlined through 2030. Emera reaffirmed its commitment to a 5% to 7% adjusted EPS growth through 2027, supported by strategic investments across its portfolio, including solar and reliability projects in Florida and energy storage in Nova Scotia. Additionally, the company highlighted a 1% dividend increase, marking its 19th consecutive year of growth. Looking ahead, Emera plans to maintain its investment pace to balance customer affordability with growth, while strategic initiatives like the planned sale of New Mexico Gas and asset securitization in Nova Scotia aim to optimize funding and support continued financial health.

Emera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Emera shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with healthy gross and EBIT margins. However, challenges in cash flow management and moderate leverage slightly dampen the overall financial performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Emera's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent increase in total revenue, evidenced by a 3.7% growth in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy gross and EBIT margins at 44.5% and 24.7% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is relatively moderate at 11.5%, suggesting room for improvement in cost management or other non-operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.53, which is manageable but indicates a reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is modest at 7.2%, suggesting moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 30.7%, indicating a balanced capital structure but highlighting potential risks if debt levels increase.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a negative free cash flow and a declining free cash flow growth rate of -4.9% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.38, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income, which could impact liquidity if not addressed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.53B7.20B7.56B7.59B5.76B5.51B
Gross Profit3.75B2.90B3.28B3.03B2.17B2.38B
EBITDA3.11B2.50B2.89B2.69B1.85B2.08B
Net Income1.18B567.00M1.04B1.01B560.00M983.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.80B42.95B39.48B39.74B34.24B31.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments212.00M196.00M588.00M310.00M394.00M220.00M
Total Debt20.64B19.81B19.86B19.04B16.40B15.35B
Total Liabilities30.32B29.66B27.39B28.30B24.09B22.00B
Stockholders Equity13.47B13.28B12.07B11.43B10.12B9.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.21B-505.00M-696.00M-1.68B-1.17B-986.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.28B2.65B2.24B913.00M1.19B1.64B
Investing Cash Flow-3.45B-2.22B-2.92B-2.57B-2.33B-1.22B
Financing Cash Flow1.12B-818.00M939.00M1.55B1.31B-372.00M

Emera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price65.23
Price Trends
50DMA
67.18
Negative
100DMA
65.71
Negative
200DMA
62.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Positive
RSI
36.81
Neutral
STOCH
9.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EMA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 65.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.09, below the 50-day MA of 67.18, and above the 200-day MA of 62.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:EMA.

Emera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$30.98B24.7010.58%2.49%5.98%14.79%
69
Neutral
C$19.62B17.618.83%4.41%14.10%65.76%
67
Neutral
C$10.72B24.018.84%4.44%-0.94%25.64%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
C$10.87B24.819.40%4.19%-2.99%-32.11%
61
Neutral
$34.93B20.547.42%3.54%5.21%4.27%
56
Neutral
$26.51B-5.58%5.36%14.78%-9.37%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EMA
Emera
65.23
13.08
25.09%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
38.71
6.77
21.19%
TSE:CPX
Capital Power
63.11
3.33
5.57%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
41.21
7.48
22.18%
TSE:H
Hydro One
52.74
9.47
21.89%
TSE:FTS
Fortis
69.25
10.65
18.17%

Emera Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Emera Renews C$600 Million At-The-Market Equity Program
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

Emera Incorporated has renewed its at-the-market equity program, allowing it to issue up to C$600 million in common shares to the public. This program provides Emera with increased financial flexibility and will be effective until January 2029. The proceeds from this program, if utilized, are intended for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s operational capacity and market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emera Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Announces $20 Billion Capital Plan
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Emera Inc. reported a 9% improvement in adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter of 2025 and unveiled a $20 billion five-year capital plan. The plan emphasizes investments in Florida, aiming to enhance customer reliability and support ongoing growth through grid modernization and technological innovation. The company also completed the Peoples Gas rate case process, providing regulatory clarity through 2028. Emera’s financial results showed increased earnings at Tampa Electric, despite lower earnings at Nova Scotia Power and New Mexico Gas Company, and higher corporate costs. The capital plan is expected to extend the company’s 7-8% rate base growth guidance through 2030, with a focus on strengthening electric transmission, distribution, and gas infrastructure systems.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emera Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Announces $20 Billion Capital Plan
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Emera Inc. reported a 9% increase in adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong performance at Tampa Electric. The company unveiled a $20 billion capital plan for 2026-2030, with 80% of investments directed towards Florida, focusing on reliability and grid modernization. This plan aims to support a 7-8% rate base growth through 2030. The financial results showed improved earnings, despite challenges such as lower earnings at Nova Scotia Power and New Mexico Gas Company, and higher corporate costs. The capital plan is expected to enhance customer reliability and support growth, with a significant portion allocated to strengthening electric transmission and distribution systems.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025