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FirstService Corporation (TSE:FSV)
TSX:FSV
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FirstService (FSV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FSV

FirstService

(TSX:FSV)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$305.00
▲(13.26% Upside)
FirstService scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights. However, high valuation and overbought technical indicators temper enthusiasm. The company's strategic focus on acquisitions and debt reduction is a positive, but attention to leverage and profit margins is necessary for sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FirstService reported strong second-quarter results, delivering an impressive top- and bottom-line beat.
Recurring Revenue
With a recurring revenue base of approximately 80%, FirstService is well-positioned against the prospect of a weakening macro environment.
Negative Factors
Macro Exposure
Only around 20% of overall revenue is exposed to macro trends, creating a highly durable model across macro environments.
Tariff Impact
Indirect tariff-related macro impacts weighed on Roofing and Home Services, offsetting Restoration and Century Fire growth.

FirstService (FSV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

FirstService Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. The FirstService Residential segment offers property management services for private residential communities, such as condominiums, co-operatives, homeowner associations, master-planned communities, active adult and lifestyle communities, and various other residential developments. This segment also provides a range of ancillary services, including on-site staffing for building engineering and maintenance, full-service swimming pool and amenity management, and security and concierge/front desk; and financial services comprising cash management, other banking transaction-related, and specialized property insurance brokerage. In addition, this segment offers energy management solutions and advisory services, and resale processing services. The FirstService Brands segment operates and provides essential property services to residential and commercial customers, through five franchise networks; and company-owned locations, including 20 California Closets, 12 Paul Davis Restoration, and 1 CertaPro Painters locations. It provides residential and commercial restoration, painting, and floor coverings design and installation services; custom-designed and installed closet, and home storage solutions; home inspection services; and fire protection and related services. This segment offers its services primarily under the Paul Davis Restoration, First Onsite Restoration, Century Fire Protection, CertaPro Painters, California Closets, Pillar to Post Home Inspectors, and Floor Coverings International brand names. FirstService Corporation was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirstService generates revenue through various channels, primarily by offering specialized services across its brand portfolio. Key revenue streams include management fees from property management services, service fees from franchise operations, and direct sales of maintenance and repair services. The company's franchise model allows it to expand its reach while earning royalties and fees from franchisees. Significant partnerships with real estate developers and property owners also contribute to its earnings by providing a steady stream of clients needing property management and maintenance services.

FirstService Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a solid financial performance with significant growth in revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share. However, challenges such as organic revenue decline in the Roofing segment and flat revenues in Home Service Brands were noted. The company's strategic moves, such as debt reduction and acquisition efforts, were highlighted as positive steps towards growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenues were up 9% over the prior year, driven primarily by tuck-under acquisitions and organic growth in certain segments.
EBITDA and Margin Improvement
EBITDA for the quarter was up 19% to $157 million, reflecting a consolidated margin of 11.1%, up 90 basis points over the prior year.
Earnings Per Share Increase
Earnings per share were up 26% over the prior year.
Strong Performance in Century Fire
Revenues were up over 15% versus the prior year, including better-than-expected organic growth that hit double digits.
Leverage Reduction
The company paid down almost $70 million of debt during the period, reducing leverage to 1.8x from 2x at the end of Q1.
Negative Updates
Roofing Segment Decline
Organic revenues in the Roofing segment declined by about 10%, with some deferral of large commercial reroof and new construction projects.
Home Service Brands Flat Revenue
Revenues in Home Service Brands were flat with a year ago, with consumer sentiment down significantly since the beginning of the year.
Expected Revenue Decline in Restoration
Q3 revenues in the restoration segment are expected to be down 5% to 10% versus the prior year due to strong comparative quarter.
Company Guidance
In the recent FirstService Corporation Q2 2025 conference call, CEO Scott Patterson and CFO Jeremy Rakusin provided detailed guidance on the company's financial performance and outlook. Total revenues for the quarter increased by 9% year-over-year, driven by tuck-under acquisitions and a 2% organic growth. The EBITDA rose by 19% to $157 million, with a consolidated margin of 11.1%, up 90 basis points from the previous year. Earnings per share also saw a significant boost, rising 26% over the prior year. The FirstService Residential division reported a 6% revenue increase with a 3% organic growth, while the FirstService Brands division experienced an 11% revenue increase. The Roofing segment saw a 25% revenue increase due to acquisitions, although organic revenues declined by about 10%. Meanwhile, the Century Fire division posted strong results with over 15% revenue growth, bolstered by double-digit organic growth. Looking ahead, the company expects mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin expansion to drive double-digit EBITDA growth for the remainder of 2025.

FirstService Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FirstService shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid margins. The balance sheet reflects manageable debt, and there is strong cash flow generation. However, the relatively low net profit margin and moderate leverage require attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
FirstService demonstrates strong financial performance with a notable revenue growth rate of 4.71% in the TTM. The gross profit margin stands at 31.61%, while the net profit margin is 2.61%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 6.39% and 9.71% respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the net profit margin is relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24, reflecting a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 11.39%, indicating decent profitability. The equity ratio is 28.65%, showing a balanced capital structure. While leverage is manageable, it could pose a risk if not carefully monitored.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
FirstService has a robust cash flow position with a free cash flow growth rate of 43.49% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.59, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.74, highlighting strong cash conversion and liquidity. Continued focus on generating positive free cash flow will support financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.22B4.33B3.75B3.25B2.77B
Gross Profit1.72B1.39B1.18B1.05B900.62M
EBITDA506.02M378.64M333.69M312.63M272.09M
Net Income134.38M100.39M121.07M135.21M87.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.19B3.63B2.77B2.51B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments227.60M187.62M136.22M165.66M184.29M
Total Debt1.57B1.42B952.16M823.19M753.71M
Total Liabilities2.56B2.27B1.63B1.49B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.02B907.47M799.72M660.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow172.88M187.63M28.28M109.06M252.35M
Operating Cash Flow285.67M280.36M105.89M167.27M291.76M
Investing Cash Flow-323.70M-646.33M-160.80M-206.32M-142.26M
Financing Cash Flow74.41M413.94M18.78M24.43M-75.20M

FirstService Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price269.29
Price Trends
50DMA
248.53
Positive
100DMA
243.95
Positive
200DMA
250.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.79
Negative
RSI
64.49
Neutral
STOCH
57.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FSV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 269.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 260.11, above the 50-day MA of 248.53, and above the 200-day MA of 250.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FSV.

FirstService Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$12.27B62.7612.16%0.54%20.02%78.29%
65
Neutral
£947.85M14.436.19%5.89%15.74%68.63%
$7.85B70.418.69%0.19%
80
Outperform
C$1.82B5.9219.75%0.08%14.29%144.57%
63
Neutral
C$2.29B178.143.20%1.13%-33.01%-2201.72%
58
Neutral
C$1.70B-23.35%0.25%7.94%-12.23%
$103.54M
8.84%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FSV
FirstService
270.04
37.51
16.13%
CIGI
Colliers International Group
157.89
22.19
16.35%
TSE:AIF
Altus Group
53.11
3.18
6.37%
TSE:MEQ
Mainstreet Equity
195.45
4.85
2.54%
TSE:SVI
Storagevault Canada
4.69
0.24
5.39%
BREUF
Bridgemarq Real Estate Services
10.91
2.24
25.84%

FirstService Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FirstService Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Revenue and Profit Growth
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

FirstService Corporation reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a 9% increase in consolidated revenues to $1.42 billion and a 19% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $157.1 million. The company also saw a 26% growth in Adjusted EPS, reaching $1.71. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, FirstService’s resilient performance and profitability across its operations have positioned it well to achieve its 2025 goals. The company’s residential and brands segments both contributed to revenue growth, with notable improvements in operating margins due to efficiency gains and strategic acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FSV) stock is a Buy with a C$217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstService stock, see the TSE:FSV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025