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FirstService Corporation (TSE:FSV)
TSX:FSV

FirstService (FSV) AI Stock Analysis

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FirstService

(TSX:FSV)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$260.00
▲(9.89%Upside)
FirstService's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, high valuation metrics and bearish technical indicators temper the score. The company's strategic acquisitions and financial stability provide a solid foundation, but economic uncertainties and organic growth challenges remain areas to monitor.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FirstService reported solid first-quarter results, delivering a strong profit beat.
Revenue Growth
FirstService remains a durable midsingle-digit organic top-line grower, supported by strong retention rates, pricing, and new wins.
Strategic Initiatives
FirstService Corporation's strategic initiatives are anticipated to enhance its competitive edge in the market.
Negative Factors
Economic Uncertainties
Economic uncertainties could impact the financial stability of FirstService Corporation.
Macro Environment
Tariff-related macro uncertainties weighed on organic growth in Roofing and Home Services.
Real Estate Sector
Challenges in the real estate sector may pose risks to FirstService Corporation's performance.

FirstService (FSV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

FirstService Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. The FirstService Residential segment offers property management services for private residential communities, such as condominiums, co-operatives, homeowner associations, master-planned communities, active adult and lifestyle communities, and various other residential developments. This segment also provides a range of ancillary services, including on-site staffing for building engineering and maintenance, full-service swimming pool and amenity management, and security and concierge/front desk; and financial services comprising cash management, other banking transaction-related, and specialized property insurance brokerage. In addition, this segment offers energy management solutions and advisory services, and resale processing services. The FirstService Brands segment operates and provides essential property services to residential and commercial customers, through five franchise networks; and company-owned locations, including 20 California Closets, 12 Paul Davis Restoration, and 1 CertaPro Painters locations. It provides residential and commercial restoration, painting, and floor coverings design and installation services; custom-designed and installed closet, and home storage solutions; home inspection services; and fire protection and related services. This segment offers its services primarily under the Paul Davis Restoration, First Onsite Restoration, Century Fire Protection, CertaPro Painters, California Closets, Pillar to Post Home Inspectors, and Floor Coverings International brand names. FirstService Corporation was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirstService makes money primarily through its two business segments: FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. FirstService Residential generates revenue by providing property management services, including maintenance, administrative support, and financial management, usually through contracts with homeowners associations and similar entities. This segment benefits from long-term relationships and recurring revenue streams. FirstService Brands earns revenue through franchising and direct operations in property services, where franchisees pay initial franchise fees as well as ongoing royalties based on their sales. The company also benefits from its investment in technology and customer service, enhancing client satisfaction and loyalty, which in turn supports sustained revenue growth. Key partnerships and a strong brand presence in North American markets further bolster its earnings potential.

FirstService Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook, with strong performance in earnings and margin growth. However, challenges persist in organic growth for home services and delays in commercial contracts due to economic uncertainty. The company's solid financial position and strategic acquisitions provide a strong foundation for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Impressive Earnings and Margin Growth
Earnings per share for the quarter were up 37%, and EBITDA increased by 24% with a 110 basis point improvement in consolidated margin.
Revenue Growth and Tuck-Under Acquisitions
Total revenues increased by 8% year-over-year, driven by tuck-under acquisitions, with FirstService Brands experiencing a 10% revenue increase.
Strong Financial Position
The company maintained conservative leverage at two times net debt to trailing twelve months EBITDA and bolstered debt capacity with a $1.75 billion credit facility.
Residential Segment Performance
FirstService Residential revenues were up 6%, and EBITDA grew by 17%, with margin improvements driven by cost efficiencies.
Continued Optimism for Future Growth
Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company is optimistic about accelerated activity levels with market stability and expects revenue growth similar to 8% in Q2.
Negative Updates
Organic Decline in Home Services
Home services revenues were down about 3% year-over-year, attributed to lower consumer confidence and economic uncertainty impacting lead flow.
Weather and Economic Uncertainty Impacting Roofing
Roofing segment experienced a 10% organic revenue decline due to weather and deferred large commercial contracts, affected by economic uncertainty and tariffs.
Commercial Installation Delays
Deferrals of larger commercial installation contracts in Century Fire and Roofing due to current economic uncertainty, viewed as a timing issue.
Company Guidance
During the First Quarter Investor Conference Call for the fiscal year 2025, the company reported robust financial results, with total revenues up 8% year-over-year, reaching $1.25 billion, largely driven by tuck-under acquisitions. Organic growth was slightly positive, with FirstService Residential seeing a 6% increase in revenues, while FirstService Brands experienced a 10% rise, though organic growth was slightly down. EBITDA increased by 24% to $103.3 million, resulting in a 110 basis point improvement in the consolidated margin to 8.3%. Earnings per share saw a significant 37% increase. The Roofing segment achieved nearly 50% revenue growth due to acquisitions, despite a 10% organic decline attributed to weather and contract deferrals. Restoration revenues were in line with expectations, bolstered by hurricane-related activities in the U.S., despite a decline in Canadian operations. Looking forward, the company anticipates similar growth patterns and margin improvements, with a focus on managing macroeconomic uncertainties and leveraging pent-up demand.

FirstService Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FirstService shows strong revenue and cash flow growth, stable margins, and effective equity utilization despite moderate leverage. However, the net profit margin of 2.5% highlights room for improvement.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
FirstService demonstrates robust revenue growth with a 20.3% increase from 2022 to 2023, and further from 2023 to 2024 by 20.3%. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 33.1%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin of 2.5% suggests room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT margin is stable at 6.4%, supported by a consistent EBITDA margin of 9.7%.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a balanced equity ratio of 28.5% TTM, reflecting a solid equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.32, indicating moderate leverage, which is typical for the industry. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 10.9%, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
FirstService shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.57 in TTM, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 26.3%, indicating robust cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.67, suggesting healthy cash availability after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.31B5.22B4.33B3.75B3.25B2.77B
Gross Profit1.76B1.72B1.39B1.18B1.05B900.62M
EBITDA514.99M506.02M378.64M333.69M312.63M272.09M
Net Income130.87M134.38M100.39M121.07M135.21M87.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.23B4.19B3.63B2.77B2.51B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments217.20M227.60M187.62M136.22M165.66M184.29M
Total Debt1.60B1.57B1.42B952.16M823.19M753.71M
Total Liabilities2.58B2.56B2.27B1.63B1.49B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.21B1.19B1.02B907.47M799.72M660.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow218.38M172.88M187.63M28.28M109.06M252.35M
Operating Cash Flow335.72M285.67M280.36M105.89M167.27M291.76M
Investing Cash Flow-311.61M-323.70M-646.33M-160.80M-206.32M-142.26M
Financing Cash Flow31.88M74.41M413.94M18.78M24.43M-75.20M

FirstService Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price236.60
Price Trends
50DMA
240.85
Negative
100DMA
241.97
Negative
200DMA
250.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.00
Positive
RSI
43.49
Neutral
STOCH
9.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FSV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 236.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 240.79, below the 50-day MA of 240.85, and below the 200-day MA of 250.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:FSV.

FirstService Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSFSV
71
Outperform
$10.75B59.6111.61%0.67%22.37%46.30%
61
Neutral
AU$2.82B8.094.17%5.29%17.25%41.52%
$6.62B45.9311.57%0.23%
TSMEQ
78
Outperform
C$1.73B7.0615.90%0.09%16.22%39.56%
TSAIF
67
Neutral
C$2.29B178.142.13%1.13%-23.26%-644.01%
TSSVI
61
Neutral
C$1.49B-23.06%0.29%5.77%-388.17%
$102.58M
8.97%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FSV
FirstService
236.60
26.45
12.59%
CIGI
Colliers International Group
130.80
23.78
22.22%
TSE:AIF
Altus Group
52.95
2.06
4.05%
TSE:MEQ
Mainstreet Equity
186.01
17.63
10.47%
TSE:SVI
Storagevault Canada
4.08
-0.47
-10.33%
BREUF
Bridgemarq Real Estate Services
10.85
2.01
22.74%

FirstService Corporate Events

Dividends
FirstService Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 7, 2025

FirstService Corporation has announced a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.275 per common share, payable on July 8, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and underscores its strong financial position within the property services industry.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FirstService Corporation Elects Directors and Confirms Auditor
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

FirstService Corporation announced the election of eight directors at its virtual annual meeting of shareholders. The directors, listed in the company’s management information circular, will serve until the next annual meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the auditor for the upcoming year and endorsed a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to strong governance and shareholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025