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FirstService Corporation (TSE:FSV)
TSX:FSV
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FirstService (FSV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FSV

FirstService

(TSX:FSV)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$227.00
▲(5.23% Upside)
FirstService's strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions are key strengths, but high valuation and technical indicators suggest caution. Earnings call insights reveal mixed prospects with growth in some segments offset by challenges in others.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth through acquisitions indicates a strong market position and ability to expand service offerings, enhancing long-term stability.
Cash Flow and Debt Management
Robust cash flow generation and effective debt management improve financial flexibility, supporting strategic investments and reducing financial risk.
Successful Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions enhance market presence and service capabilities, positioning the company for sustained growth and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Organic Revenue Declines
Flat organic growth suggests challenges in core business expansion, potentially impacting long-term revenue sustainability and market competitiveness.
Weather Impact on Restoration
Weather-related revenue declines highlight vulnerability to external factors, which can affect predictability and stability of earnings in the restoration segment.
Margin Pressures
Margin compression due to negative operating leverage and organic growth declines could strain profitability, affecting long-term financial health.

FirstService (FSV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

FirstService Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirstService Brands, operating under the ticker symbol FSV, is a North American service company specializing in property management and related services. The company primarily operates in three main sectors: property management, maintenance, and repair services, offering a diverse range of core products and services that include commercial and residential property management, janitorial services, landscaping, and repair and restoration services. FirstService Brands is dedicated to delivering exceptional service through its portfolio of well-known franchise brands, catering to various customer needs across multiple markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirstService generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from its property management services, which include managing residential communities and commercial properties. The company earns fees from property management contracts, maintenance services, and franchise royalties from its network of franchisees. Additionally, FirstService benefits from providing ancillary services such as maintenance, repair, and restoration, which further contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with franchise brands and suppliers enhance its service offerings and customer reach, while a focus on operational efficiency and customer satisfaction helps drive recurring revenue through long-term contracts and client retention.

FirstService Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with revenue and EPS growth, strong performance in Century Fire, and successful acquisitions. However, it was offset by challenges in organic growth, particularly in the restoration and roofing segments due to weather impacts and macroeconomic uncertainties. Margins also faced some compression.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EPS Growth
Total revenues were up 4% year-over-year, driven by tuck-under acquisitions. Earnings per share increased by 8% to $1.76.
Strong Performance in Century Fire
Century Fire reported revenue growth of over 10% compared to the prior year, with robust performance across its branch network.
Successful Acquisitions
The company announced acquisitions of Springer-Peterson Roofing and A-1 All American Roofing, expanding presence in key markets.
Cash Flow and Debt Management
Generated more than $125 million in cash flow from operations in Q3, with a year-to-date increase of 65%. Net debt was reduced to $985 million, with leverage at 1.7x net debt to trailing 12 months EBITDA.
Negative Updates
Organic Revenue Declines
Organic growth was flat, with gains at FirstService Residential and Century Fire being offset by declines in restoration and roofing platforms.
Weather Impact on Restoration
Revenues for restoration brands were down 7% compared to the prior year due to mild weather conditions, with expected Q4 revenues to drop by about 20%.
Challenges in Roofing Segment
Roofing segment revenues grew due to acquisitions, but organic revenues declined by 8%. Large commercial projects were deferred, impacting performance.
Margin Pressures
The FirstService Brands division saw a 50 basis point compression in EBITDA margin, attributed to negative operating leverage and declines in organic growth.
Company Guidance
During the FirstService Corporation third-quarter conference call, several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming quarter were discussed. The company reported a 4% increase in total revenues compared to the previous year, driven primarily by tuck-under acquisitions, with organic growth remaining flat. EBITDA rose by 3% to $165 million, maintaining a consolidated margin of 11.4%, while earnings per share grew by 8% to $1.76. FirstService Residential experienced an 8% revenue increase, with 5% organic growth, and anticipates similar mid-single-digit growth in Q4. FirstService Brands saw a 1% revenue rise, although organic growth declined by 4%. Restoration brands revenues were down 7% year-over-year, and Q4 revenues are expected to drop by approximately 20% due to a lack of storm-related activity. Roofing revenues grew by mid-single digits through acquisitions, despite an 8% organic decline, with expectations for modest revenue increases in Q4. Century Fire achieved over 10% revenue growth, with robust branch network performance and is predicted to sustain double-digit growth in Q4. The company recorded $1.45 billion in revenues for the quarter, with a 3% EBITDA increase, and $4.1 billion in revenues year-to-date, marking a 7% growth. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $34 million, and net debt stood at $985 million with a leverage ratio of 1.7x net debt to trailing 12 months EBITDA. The company aims for mid-single-digit revenue growth for the full year and high single-digit EBITDA growth, approaching 10%, compared to the prior year.

FirstService Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FirstService shows strong revenue growth and improved leverage ratios. Profitability margins are stable, though the net profit margin is low. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operations and strategic initiatives. Continued focus on cost management could enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
FirstService demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 5.48% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 32.6%, indicating consistent profitability. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.52%, suggesting room for improvement in cost management or pricing strategies. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity (ROE) has increased to 15.13%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not provided, which limits a complete assessment of financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
FirstService shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 16.35% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.99, suggesting strong cash flow relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.69, indicating potential constraints in cash available for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.50B5.22B4.33B3.75B3.25B2.77B
Gross Profit1.79B1.72B1.39B1.18B1.05B900.62M
EBITDA538.28M506.02M378.64M333.69M312.63M272.09M
Net Income139.31M134.38M100.39M121.07M135.21M87.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.39B4.19B3.63B2.77B2.51B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments219.92M227.60M187.62M136.22M165.66M184.29M
Total Debt1.51B1.57B1.42B952.16M823.19M753.71M
Total Liabilities2.57B2.56B2.27B1.63B1.49B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.19B1.02B907.47M799.72M660.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow288.65M172.88M187.63M28.28M109.06M252.35M
Operating Cash Flow415.94M285.67M280.36M105.89M167.27M291.76M
Investing Cash Flow-306.99M-323.70M-646.33M-160.80M-206.32M-142.26M
Financing Cash Flow-100.05M74.41M413.94M18.78M24.43M-75.20M

FirstService Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price215.72
Price Trends
50DMA
241.11
Negative
100DMA
254.01
Negative
200DMA
247.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.13
Negative
RSI
37.57
Neutral
STOCH
49.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FSV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 215.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 216.71, below the 50-day MA of 241.11, and below the 200-day MA of 247.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:FSV.

FirstService Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$1.73B5.6319.75%0.09%14.29%144.57%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
$11.11B71.788.68%0.21%22.85%-25.32%
60
Neutral
$10.00B52.3111.14%0.70%14.10%28.82%
58
Neutral
C$2.43B-39.933.63%1.11%-27.10%-2415.77%
47
Neutral
C$1.76B-501.04-2.63%0.24%9.98%93.01%
47
Neutral
$126.99M-6.4010.66%58.15%-235.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FSV
FirstService
215.72
-55.74
-20.53%
TSE:CIGI
Colliers International Group
202.15
-12.01
-5.61%
TSE:AIF
Altus Group
54.18
-4.68
-7.95%
TSE:MEQ
Mainstreet Equity
184.00
-16.48
-8.22%
TSE:SVI
Storagevault Canada
4.85
0.78
19.16%
TSE:BRE
Bridgemarq Real Estate Services
13.11
-1.22
-8.51%

FirstService Corporate Events

FirstService Corp Earnings Call: Mixed Results and Strategic Moves
Oct 25, 2025

The recent earnings call for FirstService Corporation presented a mixed sentiment. While the company reported growth in revenue and earnings per share (EPS), driven by successful acquisitions and strong performance in Century Fire, it faced challenges in organic growth, particularly in the restoration and roofing segments. These challenges were attributed to weather impacts and broader macroeconomic uncertainties, which also led to some margin compression.

FirstService Corporation Reports Steady Q3 Growth
Oct 24, 2025

FirstService Corporation is a leading North American company in the outsourced property services sector, operating through two main platforms: FirstService Residential, the largest manager of residential communities in North America, and FirstService Brands, a major provider of essential property services through branded operations and franchise systems.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FirstService Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Challenges
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

FirstService Corporation reported a 4% increase in consolidated revenues to $1.45 billion for the third quarter of 2025, driven by the growth in its Residential Division. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 3% to $164.8 million, and Adjusted EPS increased by 8% to $1.76. Despite facing weather-related and macroeconomic challenges impacting its Brands division, the company anticipates a solid year of growth and profitability. The Residential Division saw an 8% revenue increase, while the Brands Division experienced a 1% growth, with organic revenue declines in restoration and roofing services offset by strong performance in fire protection.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FSV) stock is a Hold with a C$214.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstService stock, see the TSE:FSV Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
FirstService Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

FirstService Corporation has announced a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.275 per common share, payable on October 7, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and underscores its strong financial position in the property services industry. The dividend is classified as an ‘eligible dividend’ for Canadian income tax purposes, highlighting the company’s focus on providing tax-efficient returns to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FSV) stock is a Hold with a C$214.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstService stock, see the TSE:FSV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
FirstService Corporation Announces Share Buyback Program
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

FirstService Corporation has announced its intention to initiate a normal course issuer bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to 1,600,000 of its common shares, representing 3.9% of its public float, over a 12-month period starting August 26, 2025. This move, approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange, is aimed at optimizing the use of corporate funds and mitigating the dilutive impact of stock options. The decision reflects FirstService’s strategic approach to enhance shareholder value and manage its capital structure effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FSV) stock is a Hold with a C$220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstService stock, see the TSE:FSV Stock Forecast page.

FirstService Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 1, 2025

FirstService Corporation released its unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025. The company reported a revenue increase to $1.42 billion from $1.30 billion in the same period last year, with net earnings attributable to the company rising to $46.1 million from $35.1 million. The financial results highlight the company’s strong operational performance and growth trajectory, despite the lack of an auditor review, which could impact stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FSV) stock is a Buy with a C$225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstService stock, see the TSE:FSV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025