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Altus Group Limited (TSE:AIF)
TSX:AIF

Altus Group (AIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AIF

Altus Group

(TSX:AIF)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$59.00
▲(8.54% Upside)
Altus Group's overall score reflects strong financial stability and strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value. However, challenges in revenue growth and valuation concerns weigh on the score. The company's proactive corporate strategies and positive earnings call developments are significant strengths, while technical indicators suggest caution in the short term.
Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue Growth
The growth in recurring revenue, particularly from ARGUS Intelligence, indicates strong customer retention and a reliable income stream, enhancing long-term business stability.
Margin Expansion
Margin expansion reflects improved operational efficiency and cost management, which can lead to enhanced profitability and competitive positioning over time.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Increased cash flow from operations indicates robust financial health, providing the company with resources for reinvestment and debt reduction, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Leadership Changes
Frequent leadership changes can disrupt strategic continuity and affect employee morale, potentially impacting long-term strategic execution and company culture.
Softer Segment Performance
Weak performance in key segments like Appraisals and Development Advisory can hinder overall revenue growth, affecting the company's market position and profitability.
Guidance Revision
Downward revision of guidance reflects challenges in achieving growth targets, which can impact investor confidence and long-term strategic planning.

Altus Group (AIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Altus Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAltus Group Limited provides software, data solutions, and independent advisory services to the commercial real estate industry in Canada, the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Altus Analytics and Commercial Real Estate Consulting (CRE Consulting) segments. The Altus Analytics segment offers ARGUS Enterprise, a commercial property valuation and asset management software; ARGUS Taliance, a real estate fund and alternative investment management software; ARGUS EstateMaster, a property development feasibility and management software; and ARGUS Developer, a real estate development pro forma and management software solution; ARGUS Voyanta, a powerful data aggregation, validation, and reporting software solution; ARGUS Acquire, a real estate acquisition deals and pipeline management software; and ARGUS ValueInsight, a commercial real estate valuation software. This segment also offers data subscription products that provide real estate information on the residential, office, industrial, and investment markets; and advisory and managed services. This segment serves equity and debt investors, valuers and appraisers, brokers, developers, banks, and public entities. The CRE Consulting segment offers real estate property tax services, including assessment reviews, management, and appeals, as well as personal property, and state and local tax advisory services; valuation services, such as appraisals of real estate portfolios, valuation of properties, due diligence, litigation, and economic consulting services; and construction feasibility study, budgeting, cost and loan monitoring, and project management services to owner operators, developers, financial institutions, and CRE asset holders and investors. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltus Group generates revenue through a multi-faceted model that includes software subscriptions, professional services, and data solutions. The company's key revenue streams are derived from the sale of its cloud-based software products, such as Argus Enterprise, which is widely used for real estate management and valuation. Additionally, Altus Group earns income from consulting services that assist clients with property assessment, investment analysis, and market research. The company also benefits from data licensing and analytics services, providing valuable insights to real estate professionals. Strategic partnerships with industry leaders further bolster Altus Group's revenue, enabling them to expand their market reach and enhance their service offerings.

Altus Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative developments. While recurring revenue and margins expanded, and ARGUS Intelligence showed strong performance, the company faced leadership changes, softer performance in specific segments, and revised its guidance downward. The restructuring efforts indicate challenges but also potential for future improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Recurring Revenue Growth
Recurring revenue increased by 5.2%, driven by ARGUS Intelligence, which achieved double-digit growth for the second consecutive quarter.
Consolidated Margin Expansion
Consolidated margins grew by 230 basis points to 19.2%, with year-to-date margins up 440 basis points.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Cash provided by operating activities increased by 22.8%, and free cash flow was up by 36.5% in the quarter. Free cash flow per share increased by 45.7%.
Adjusted EBITDA and EPS Growth
Adjusted EBITDA rose by 16.1% year-over-year, and adjusted EPS doubled from the prior year to $0.38.
ARGUS Intelligence Positive Performance
ARGUS Intelligence showed high double-digit growth, with net revenue retention levels above 100% and strong renewals on the platform.
Negative Updates
CEO Departure and Leadership Changes
The CEO, Jim Hannon, departed the company effective immediately, and Mike Gordon was appointed Executive Chair and will assume the CEO role in Q1 2026.
Softer Performance in Appraisals and Development Advisory
This segment experienced softer market conditions, particularly in Canada due to tariff uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and evolving monetary policy.
Guidance Revision
The fiscal 2025 guidance was revised down due to ongoing softness in the Appraisal and Debt Advisory segment, and a more conservative view on revenue and consolidated adjusted EBITDA margins.
Restructuring Costs
Recorded $6.6 million in restructuring costs during the quarter, related to headcount reduction and termination of leases and other contracts.
Company Guidance
During Altus Group's Q3 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted. Recurring revenue increased by 5.2%, driven by ARGUS Intelligence, which posted double-digit growth for the second consecutive quarter. The company's consolidated revenue grew by 2.2%, although this was offset by weaker performance in the Appraisals and Development Advisory segment. Consolidated margins expanded by 230 basis points to 19.2%, and year-to-date margins rose by 440 basis points. Profit from continuing operations improved significantly, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 16.1% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS doubled from the prior year to $0.38, attributed to higher profit and a lower share count following a buyback program. Cash flow was strong, with cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow increasing by 22.8% and 36.5%, respectively, on an as-reported basis. The company ended the quarter with $405.1 million in cash and a funded debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.21x. The fiscal 2025 business outlook was refined, with a more conservative view on revenue due to ongoing softness in certain segments, yet optimism remains for ARGUS Intelligence, which is expected to continue its robust performance into 2026.

Altus Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Altus Group demonstrates strong profitability and a solid equity base, with efficient cost management reflected in high gross margins. However, declining revenue and free cash flow growth pose challenges. The company maintains a conservative leverage position, enhancing financial stability, but must address sales growth to sustain long-term performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 94.05% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is significantly lower at 64.92%, suggesting high non-operating income. Revenue has declined by 12.55% in TTM, indicating potential challenges in sales growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting stable operational efficiency but with room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in TTM, showing conservative leverage. The return on equity is exceptionally high at 57.11% for TTM, driven by substantial net income. The equity ratio stands at 65.42%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 14.76% in TTM, which could impact future liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, suggesting moderate cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 92.76%, indicating strong cash conversion from profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue524.54M519.73M509.73M735.45M625.39M561.16M
Gross Profit192.44M183.40M169.21M271.50M223.93M206.21M
EBITDA83.08M60.15M33.57M94.87M85.23M88.64M
Net Income395.84M13.42M10.23M-886.00K25.69M21.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.25B1.21B1.26B1.20B735.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments382.71M41.88M41.89M55.27M51.27M69.64M
Total Debt200.28M319.65M355.55M378.14M358.06M186.01M
Total Liabilities429.16M633.74M612.16M664.02M609.84M351.95M
Stockholders Equity812.71M617.22M602.54M599.87M589.48M383.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.09M72.47M58.94M52.60M45.68M67.95M
Operating Cash Flow71.54M79.92M71.43M77.08M56.31M72.30M
Investing Cash Flow645.69M2.77M-34.92M-54.06M-373.31M-20.90M
Financing Cash Flow-374.60M-75.62M-51.78M-18.66M300.43M-41.30M

Altus Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price54.36
Price Trends
50DMA
55.45
Negative
100DMA
57.22
Negative
200DMA
54.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
50.13
Neutral
STOCH
40.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AIF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.18, below the 50-day MA of 55.45, and below the 200-day MA of 54.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AIF.

Altus Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$1.71B5.5619.75%0.09%14.29%144.57%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
C$2.37B-40.683.63%1.10%-27.10%-2415.77%
63
Neutral
C$10.21B63.078.68%0.21%22.85%-25.32%
61
Neutral
C$9.72B50.6611.14%0.71%14.10%28.82%
58
Neutral
C$1.73B-492.71-2.63%0.25%9.98%93.01%
43
Neutral
$125.19M-11.5910.23%58.15%-235.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AIF
Altus Group
54.78
-1.49
-2.65%
TSE:FSV
FirstService
210.57
-54.81
-20.65%
TSE:CIGI
Colliers International Group
199.12
-5.94
-2.90%
TSE:MEQ
Mainstreet Equity
183.36
-24.04
-11.59%
TSE:SVI
Storagevault Canada
4.74
0.72
17.91%
TSE:BRE
Bridgemarq Real Estate Services
13.16
-0.46
-3.40%

Altus Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Altus Group Initiates Substantial Issuer Bid to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Altus Group Limited has announced the commencement of a substantial issuer bid to purchase up to C$350 million of its common shares, aiming to enhance shareholder value by offering a premium over the current market price. This strategic move, funded by the company’s cash reserves, is intended to reflect the board’s belief that the current market price does not adequately represent the company’s fundamental value, potentially impacting shareholder equity and market perception.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Altus Group Unveils Strategic Value Creation Plan at Investor Day
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Altus Group announced a comprehensive value creation plan at its Investor Day, including mid-term financial targets, portfolio optimization, and capital return strategies. The company plans to streamline its portfolio by divesting non-core segments and enhancing its focus on core businesses like ARGUS and Valuation Management Solutions. Additionally, Altus Group is set to return up to C$500 million to shareholders through a substantial issuer bid and a normal course issuer bid, while also introducing new financial disclosures to enhance transparency.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Altus Group Unveils Strategic Value Creation Plan at Investor Day
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Altus Group announced a comprehensive value creation plan at its Investor Day, outlining mid-term financial targets, portfolio optimization, and capital return strategies. The company plans to streamline its portfolio by divesting non-core segments, initiate a substantial issuer bid to repurchase shares, and introduce new financial disclosures, positioning itself as a pure-play CRE intelligence provider.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Altus Group Reports Q3 2025 Results and Declares Q4 Dividend
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Altus Group reported its Q3 2025 financial results, highlighting a steady growth in recurring revenue and an expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin. The company also announced a Q4 2025 dividend payment, reflecting its stable financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders. The business outlook for Q4 2025 and the full year 2025 indicates moderate growth in analytics revenue and recurring revenue, with some challenges anticipated in the appraisals and development advisory segment due to global trade uncertainty and interest rate volatility.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Altus Group Announces Leadership Changes and Strategic Review Conclusion
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Altus Group has announced a significant leadership transition, with Jim Hannon stepping down as CEO and Mike Gordon being appointed as Executive Chair and future CEO in Q1 2026. This change is part of the company’s strategic focus on accelerating market adoption of new product innovations as it transitions into a pure-play CRE data and analytics platform. Additionally, the company concluded a strategic review, deciding to remain independent and continue executing its strategy to maximize shareholder value. This decision reflects confidence in the company’s transformation and growth potential, with further details to be shared at an upcoming Investor Day.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025