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Altus Group Limited (TSE:AIF)
TSX:AIF
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Altus Group (AIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AIF

Altus Group

(TSX:AIF)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$67.00
▲(8.75% Upside)
Altus Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth in recurring revenue and operational efficiency. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought signals. Valuation concerns persist due to a negative P/E ratio, impacting the overall attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Customer Feedback
Customers we spoke to had positive feedback. Several are long-standing ARGUS customers, and spoke highly of it being the industry standard.
Technological Advancements
Altus Intelligence is leveraging AI to deliver predictive analytics capabilities, which provides a compelling use case for adoption.
Negative Factors
Earnings Visibility
New Bookings are expected to remain under pressure absent a recovery in CRE transaction activity which reduces earnings visibility.

Altus Group (AIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Altus Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAltus Group Limited provides software, data solutions, and independent advisory services to the commercial real estate industry in Canada, the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Altus Analytics and Commercial Real Estate Consulting (CRE Consulting) segments. The Altus Analytics segment offers ARGUS Enterprise, a commercial property valuation and asset management software; ARGUS Taliance, a real estate fund and alternative investment management software; ARGUS EstateMaster, a property development feasibility and management software; and ARGUS Developer, a real estate development pro forma and management software solution; ARGUS Voyanta, a powerful data aggregation, validation, and reporting software solution; ARGUS Acquire, a real estate acquisition deals and pipeline management software; and ARGUS ValueInsight, a commercial real estate valuation software. This segment also offers data subscription products that provide real estate information on the residential, office, industrial, and investment markets; and advisory and managed services. This segment serves equity and debt investors, valuers and appraisers, brokers, developers, banks, and public entities. The CRE Consulting segment offers real estate property tax services, including assessment reviews, management, and appeals, as well as personal property, and state and local tax advisory services; valuation services, such as appraisals of real estate portfolios, valuation of properties, due diligence, litigation, and economic consulting services; and construction feasibility study, budgeting, cost and loan monitoring, and project management services to owner operators, developers, financial institutions, and CRE asset holders and investors. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltus Group generates revenue through a combination of software sales, subscription services, and professional consulting fees. The Altus Analytics segment is a significant contributor to revenue, offering software solutions such as ARGUS Enterprise, which provides real estate valuation and portfolio management capabilities. Subscription and maintenance fees from these software products form a stable recurring revenue stream. The Commercial Real Estate Consulting segment earns revenue by providing property tax consulting, valuation, and cost advisory services to real estate owners, investors, and developers. Additionally, the Geomatics segment, though smaller, contributes to revenue through surveying and mapping services. Partnerships with real estate firms and continuous innovation in software solutions further bolster Altus Group's earnings.

Altus Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong operational performance with significant growth in recurring revenue and adjusted EBITDA, along with successful cost management and share buybacks. However, challenges in the Appraisals & Development Advisory segment and the impact of the Property Tax business divestiture on cash flow were noted. Despite these issues, the overall tone of the call was optimistic with a focus on strategic growth initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Recurring Revenue Growth
Recurring revenue was up 3.7%, driven by the strength of software offerings. ARGUS Enterprise, now ARGUS Intelligence, delivered double-digit growth, and recurring new bookings increased by 64.2%.
Adjusted EBITDA and EPS Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA rose 55.7% year-over-year, and adjusted EPS improved to $0.50, supported by higher profit and a lower share count from the buyback program.
Share Buyback Program Success
Returned $101.7 million to shareholders through the share buyback program, reducing the outstanding share count by 6.5% year-over-year.
Consolidated Margin Expansion
Consolidated margin improvement for the fourth consecutive quarter. Margins increased by 290 basis points in the Analytics segment.
Strong Cash Position and Debt Management
Ended the quarter with $382.7 million in cash and a funded debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.26x.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue Decline
Consolidated revenue was modestly lower due to softer performance in the Appraisals & Development Advisory segment.
Appraisals & Development Advisory Challenges
Revenue in the Appraisals & Development Advisory segment came in below guidance, impacted by muted transaction activity in Canada and ongoing uncertainty related to tariffs.
Cash Flow Impact from Divestiture
Cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow were down year-over-year due to the absence of contributions from the Property Tax business, which was divested.
Company Guidance
During the Altus Group's Q2 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided a detailed update on its performance and future guidance. The team emphasized recurring revenue growth and consolidated margin expansion, with adjusted EBITDA rising 55.7% year-over-year. Despite a modest decline in consolidated revenue due to softer performance in the Appraisals & Development Advisory segment, margin expansion was reported across both business units. The quarter saw a foreign exchange gain of $6.2 million, which was anticipated and factored into the full-year outlook. Adjusted EPS improved to $0.50, supported by a share buyback program that reduced the outstanding share count. Recurring revenue was up 3.7%, driven by ARGUS Intelligence's double-digit growth, with recurring new bookings increasing by 64.2%. The company also reported a 290 basis point margin increase, supported by enhanced operational efficiencies. Altus Group ended the quarter with $382.7 million in cash and a funded debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.26x. Looking ahead, the company refined its guidance, increasing the consolidated margin range while slightly lowering revenue expectations due to macroeconomic uncertainties.

Altus Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Altus Group demonstrates a stable financial position with strong gross margins and prudent balance sheet management. The significant net income and cash flow improvements in the TTM period are notable, but the underlying reasons should be examined for sustainability. While the company shows potential with low leverage and strong cash generation, the inconsistent revenue growth and historical volatility in financial metrics are areas to monitor for future stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at approximately 94%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is highly inflated due to a substantial net income, likely from non-operational factors. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with a decrease in 2024 followed by a rebound in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins reveal moderate profitability, indicating room for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, highlighting conservative leverage. The equity ratio is healthy at about 63.84%, suggesting the company is well-capitalized. However, the return on equity has been volatile, with a significant increase in the TTM period, warranting further investigation into sustainability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement shows strong free cash flow growth, supported by positive operating cash flow trends. The TTM period exhibits robust free cash flow growth, enhancing liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash generation from operations. However, the historical volatility in cash flows suggests potential risks in maintaining consistent cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue524.54M519.73M772.84M735.45M625.39M561.16M
Gross Profit503.00M475.71M714.90M271.50M223.93M206.21M
EBITDA75.26M50.23M99.36M74.95M87.38M85.91M
Net Income395.84M13.42M10.23M-886.00K25.69M21.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.25B1.21B1.26B1.20B735.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments382.71M41.88M41.89M55.27M51.27M69.64M
Total Debt200.28M319.65M355.55M378.14M358.06M186.01M
Total Liabilities429.16M633.74M612.16M664.02M609.84M351.95M
Stockholders Equity812.71M617.22M602.54M599.87M589.48M383.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.09M72.47M58.94M52.60M45.68M67.95M
Operating Cash Flow71.54M79.92M71.43M77.08M56.31M72.30M
Investing Cash Flow645.69M2.77M-34.92M-54.06M-373.31M-20.90M
Financing Cash Flow-374.60M-75.62M-51.78M-18.66M300.43M-41.30M

Altus Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price61.61
Price Trends
50DMA
56.05
Positive
100DMA
54.04
Positive
200DMA
54.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.68
Negative
RSI
65.59
Neutral
STOCH
68.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AIF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.08, above the 50-day MA of 56.05, and above the 200-day MA of 54.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AIF.

Altus Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
C$2.65B178.143.20%0.97%-33.01%-2201.72%
63
Neutral
$7.06B13.38-0.50%6.96%4.08%-25.24%
$9.16B64.3312.16%0.52%
$8.35B75.288.69%0.18%
81
Outperform
C$1.84B5.9919.75%0.07%14.29%144.57%
58
Neutral
C$1.71B-23.35%0.25%7.94%-12.23%
$104.43M10.029.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AIF
Altus Group
61.61
7.77
14.43%
FSV
FirstService
201.20
23.80
13.42%
CIGI
Colliers International Group
165.35
24.93
17.75%
TSE:MEQ
Mainstreet Equity
197.52
-1.83
-0.92%
TSE:SVI
Storagevault Canada
4.78
-0.07
-1.44%
PKTEF
Parkit Enterprise
0.47
0.08
20.51%

Altus Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Altus Group Addresses Speculative Media Reports Amid Strategic Review
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

Altus Group has responded to media reports about a potential transaction involving the company, acknowledging a speculative article and confirming an ongoing strategic review. This review, aimed at maximizing stakeholder value, may involve acquisitions, divestitures, or a sale or merger, though no specific course of action is guaranteed. The board is committed to acting in the best interests of the company and its stakeholders, but will only disclose developments as required by regulatory obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIF) stock is a Hold with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altus Group stock, see the TSE:AIF Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Altus Group Declares Q3 2025 Dividend and Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Altus Group announced a cash dividend of $0.15 per common share for Q3 2025, payable on October 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025. The company also offers a Dividend Reinvestment Plan, allowing shareholders to reinvest dividends into additional shares at a discounted price, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder value and market stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIF) stock is a Hold with a C$55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altus Group stock, see the TSE:AIF Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Altus Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Altus Group reported its Q2 2025 financial results, highlighting steady growth in recurring revenue and an expansion in adjusted EBITDA margins across all business segments. The launch of ARGUS Intelligence has been a key driver for revenue growth and adoption of asset-based pricing, while the company also executed a significant share buyback, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory and profitability. The business outlook for the remainder of 2025 includes expectations for continued revenue growth and margin expansion, with a focus on analytics and advisory services.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIF) stock is a Hold with a C$55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altus Group stock, see the TSE:AIF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025