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Falcon Oil & Gas (TSE:FO)
:FO
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Falcon Oil & Gas (FO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FO

Falcon Oil & Gas

(FO)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.33
▲(36.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by persistent losses and ongoing cash burn, despite a relatively strong, low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are moderately supportive with price above key moving averages but mixed momentum indicators. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low leverage and sizable equity base
Minimal debt and a substantial equity base give Falcon financial flexibility to support exploration and appraisal without immediate reliance on high-cost borrowing. This balance-sheet strength can absorb exploration volatility, reduce refinancing stress, and improve negotiating leverage in farm-out or partner discussions over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn and worsening free cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow—worsening in 2025—creates structural funding pressure. Ongoing cash burn increases reliance on external capital, asset sales, or dilutive financings to sustain operations and appraisal activity, raising execution risk for multi-stage exploration programs over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage and sizable equity base
Minimal debt and a substantial equity base give Falcon financial flexibility to support exploration and appraisal without immediate reliance on high-cost borrowing. This balance-sheet strength can absorb exploration volatility, reduce refinancing stress, and improve negotiating leverage in farm-out or partner discussions over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Falcon Oil & Gas (FO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Falcon Oil & Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd., an oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, and development of unconventional oil and gas assets in Australia, South Africa, and Hungary. It holds 22.5% interests in three exploration permits covering an area of appr...
How the Company Makes Money
Falcon Oil & Gas generally generates value and potential revenue by holding working interests and/or royalty interests in oil and gas properties and progressing them through exploration and appraisal, often in partnership with larger operators. Wh...

Falcon Oil & Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak: the company remains effectively pre-revenue with recurring net losses and consistently negative operating/free cash flow, including a sharp deterioration in free cash flow in 2025. The key offset is a relatively strong balance sheet with minimal debt and a sizable equity base, but continued losses raise runway and funding sensitivity.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.002.00K
Gross Profit-610.50K0.000.000.002.00K
EBITDA-2.52M-2.23M-3.14M-4.26M-4.44M
Net Income-2.63M-2.96M-3.34M-3.72M-4.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.98M62.24M61.54M61.96M51.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28M6.82M7.99M16.79M8.89M
Total Debt5.99K0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities18.99M17.58M18.54M15.93M12.18M
Stockholders Equity41.31M43.98M42.30M45.32M38.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.42M-9.22M-9.12M-2.35M-2.13M
Operating Cash Flow-2.42M-2.11M-2.40M-2.26M-1.96M
Investing Cash Flow-3.48M-3.07M-6.54M-55.00K-169.00K
Financing Cash Flow-23.40K4.56M0.009.95M0.00

Falcon Oil & Gas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.31
Positive
100DMA
0.28
Positive
200DMA
0.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
61.69
Neutral
STOCH
86.27
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.31, below the 50-day MA of 0.31, and above the 200-day MA of 0.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FO.

Falcon Oil & Gas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$315.53M8.0925.87%8.44%27.04%39.61%
70
Outperform
C$440.65M-15.723.55%-2.78%29.00%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
C$330.41M-3.592.51%17.24%-88.10%
58
Neutral
C$268.32M-4.87-0.27%6.19%8.02%-80.95%
49
Neutral
C$371.56M-47.35-6.08%10.81%
42
Neutral
C$250.54M-44.80-36.68%-27.99%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FO
Falcon Oil & Gas
0.34
0.22
191.30%
TSE:ALV
Alvopetro Energy
8.66
3.13
56.63%
TSE:PRQ
Petrus Resources
1.81
0.61
50.83%
TSE:SEI
Sintana Energy
0.45
-0.12
-20.54%
TSE:JOY
Journey Energy
6.37
4.78
300.63%
TSE:RBY
Rubellite Energy Inc
3.57
1.78
99.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026