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Element Fleet Management (TSE:EFN)
TSX:EFN

Element Fleet Management (EFN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EFN

Element Fleet Management

(TSX:EFN)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$36.00
▲(4.41% Upside)
Element Fleet Management's overall score is driven by strong profitability but offset by high leverage and negative cash flows. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation is moderate with a reasonable P/E ratio and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's consistent revenue growth, even amid foreign exchange challenges, indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Client Acquisition
Strong client acquisition and service expansion demonstrate the company's ability to attract and retain customers, which is crucial for sustained revenue growth and market leadership.
Digital Innovation
Investing in digital and tech-enabled solutions positions the company to capitalize on industry trends, enhancing operational efficiency and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term financial health.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows indicate liquidity concerns, which could hinder the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations.
Decline in Originations
A decline in originations suggests potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which could affect future revenue streams and growth prospects.

Element Fleet Management (EFN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Element Fleet Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElement Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers fleet management services comprising vehicle acquisition, financing, program management, and remarketing services to corporate, commercial, government, and public service vehicle fleets. It serves construction, energy, oil and gas, food and beverage, healthcare, services, transportation, and utility industries. Element Fleet Management Corp. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyElement Fleet Management generates revenue primarily through its fleet management services, which include vehicle leasing, financing solutions, and maintenance services. The company earns money by charging fees for vehicle leases, interest on financing, and service fees associated with fleet management and optimization. Key revenue streams include the sale of telematics services and data analytics, which help clients manage their fleets more effectively. Additionally, Element may partner with vehicle manufacturers and dealerships to facilitate vehicle acquisition, further enhancing its revenue potential through strategic alliances. Overall, the company's earnings are bolstered by a strong focus on customer retention and long-term contracts with clients.

Element Fleet Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic advancements, including record revenue growth, client acquisition, and digital innovation. However, challenges such as foreign exchange headwinds and a decline in originations were noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Element delivered record results in Q2 2025, with net revenue of $290 million, an increase of 6% year-over-year. Adjusted for foreign exchange, net revenue grew 9%.
Strong Client Acquisition and Service Expansion
Element welcomed 46 new clients and added 265 new service enrollments in Q2. The Strategic Advisory Services team identified over $390 million in savings opportunities for clients, with 43% actioned.
Financial Metrics Improvement
Adjusted earnings per share grew 7% to $0.30, and free cash flow per share increased 8% to $0.40 year-over-year. Adjusted return on equity rose to 17.5%, up 120 basis points year-over-year.
Digital and Sustainability Initiatives
Launched Element Mobility, a new division for intelligent mobility, and established partnerships with Samsara and Modis. Released the fifth annual sustainability report.
Negative Updates
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
The Mexican peso depreciated 13% against the U.S. dollar, leading to a $10 million reduction in net revenue and a $0.02 decrease in diluted earnings per share.
Decline in Originations
Origination volumes totaled $1.9 billion, down 4% year-over-year. Adjusted for FX, originations declined 2%.
Company Guidance
In its second quarter 2025 earnings call, Element Fleet Management reported a record quarter, driven by robust financial and operational performance. The company achieved an adjusted earnings per share of $0.30 and free cash flow per share of $0.40, marking year-over-year growth of 7% and 8%, respectively. Net revenue reached $290 million, up 6% from the previous year and 9% when adjusted for foreign exchange impacts. Element welcomed 46 new clients and saw a 9% increase in total client order volumes. The company's Strategic Advisory Services team identified $390 million in savings opportunities, with 43% actioned. Element also launched a new division, Element Mobility, and announced partnerships with Samsara and Modis to enhance its tech-enabled solutions, signaling continued investment in digital innovation. The company returned $61 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, maintaining a debt-to-capital ratio within its target range. Element projects to end the year meeting or exceeding its financial guidance across key metrics, excluding originations, which are expected to improve as economic conditions stabilize.

Element Fleet Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Element Fleet Management demonstrates strong profitability with high margins, but faces challenges with high leverage and negative cash flows, raising concerns about financial stability and liquidity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Element Fleet Management shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 91.48% and a solid net profit margin of 18.26% in the TTM period. Revenue growth is modest at 1.91%, indicating stability but limited expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.44, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is reasonable at 14.68%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues despite profitability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting difficulties in converting income into cash. These factors point to potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.26B2.20B1.91B1.46B1.15B1.12B
Gross Profit1.71B2.16B1.87B1.42B1.15B1.12B
EBITDA1.20B1.11B925.71M648.40M0.000.00
Net Income432.85M386.77M344.77M305.30M279.19M224.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.08B12.70B9.36B7.87B7.98B9.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments168.74M128.84M72.60M37.82M27.84M5.40M
Total Debt9.47B8.56B8.21B6.80B6.43B7.85B
Total Liabilities11.25B9.92B12.57B10.65B9.52B11.21B
Stockholders Equity2.83B2.77B2.94B2.74B2.71B2.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-514.46M-264.85M-1.39B118.45M1.90B2.11B
Operating Cash Flow-428.42M-154.11M-1.29B169.19M1.97B2.18B
Investing Cash Flow-202.54M-227.00M-99.28M-48.34M-67.41M-7.55M
Financing Cash Flow1.11B654.08M1.40B-5.60M-1.87B-2.22B

Element Fleet Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.48
Price Trends
50DMA
36.09
Negative
100DMA
36.46
Negative
200DMA
34.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
37.73
Neutral
STOCH
33.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.64, below the 50-day MA of 36.09, and below the 200-day MA of 34.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:EFN.

Element Fleet Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$11.22B21.6219.66%1.58%1.32%24.27%
74
Outperform
C$1.60B15.299.33%5.21%5.53%-21.87%
67
Neutral
C$12.77B28.8211.98%1.75%-0.25%-28.71%
67
Neutral
C$1.38B11.5116.75%1.67%7.71%3170.43%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
C$13.79B23.0014.26%1.42%11.96%18.67%
47
Neutral
C$5.77B-29.89-10.66%-0.09%-109.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFN
Element Fleet Management
34.48
6.07
21.38%
TSE:TFII
TFI International
155.15
-35.80
-18.75%
TSE:AC
Air Canada
19.59
-1.04
-5.04%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
85.71
48.13
128.07%
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
16.67
2.47
17.39%
TSE:CJT
Cargojet
91.37
-33.66
-26.92%

Element Fleet Management Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Element Fleet Management Acquires Car IQ to Revolutionize Fleet Payments
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Element Fleet Management announced its acquisition of Car IQ, a technology company specializing in connected vehicle payments, to enhance its position as a leader in the connected-fleet ecosystem in North America. This strategic move will integrate Car IQ’s vehicle-initiated payment technology into Element’s platform, offering clients improved transaction efficiency, reduced fraud exposure, and new data-driven opportunities, thereby redefining fleet operations in a digital and autonomous world.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EFN) stock is a Hold with a C$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Element Fleet Management stock, see the TSE:EFN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Element Fleet Management Announces $500 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Element Fleet Management announced the pricing of a private offering of US$500 million in Senior Notes due 2030, with proceeds intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially including debt repayment. This strategic financial move, expected to close on November 24, 2025, underlines Element’s efforts to strengthen its financial position and enhance its service offerings, thereby potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EFN) stock is a Hold with a C$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Element Fleet Management stock, see the TSE:EFN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Element Fleet Management Proposes Private Offering of Senior Notes
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Element Fleet Management has announced a proposed private offering of senior unsecured notes, aiming to use the proceeds for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially including debt repayment. This strategic move reflects Element’s focus on financial optimization and operational efficiency, potentially strengthening its market position and offering implications for stakeholders in terms of enhanced financial performance and service offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EFN) stock is a Hold with a C$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Element Fleet Management stock, see the TSE:EFN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Element Fleet Management Achieves Record Q3 2025 Results with Strong Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Element Fleet Management reported record quarterly results for Q3 2025, with net revenues increasing by 10% year-over-year, driven by strong performance across all revenue categories. The company achieved a 14% increase in adjusted diluted EPS and a 17% rise in adjusted diluted free cash flow per share, reflecting solid operational execution and strong cash generation. Client originations remained robust, particularly in Mexico, and vehicles under management increased by 2% year-over-year. Element repurchased 4.1 million common shares, demonstrating confidence in its growth strategy, which focuses on automation, digital capabilities, and enhancing client experience.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EFN) stock is a Hold with a C$42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Element Fleet Management stock, see the TSE:EFN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 12, 2025