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Element Fleet Management (TSE:EFN)
TSX:EFN

Element Fleet Management (EFN) AI Stock Analysis

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Element Fleet Management

(TSX:EFN)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$37.00
▲(9.14%Upside)
Element Fleet Management shows strong technical momentum and positive earnings call outcomes, which are significant strengths. However, high leverage and valuation concerns present risks. The company's strategic initiatives and corporate events contribute positively to its market positioning.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommends a buy rating for Element Fleet Management Corp., indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock.
Growth Potential
Element Fleet Management Corp. is reaffirmed as a steady 10% grower, showcasing consistent growth potential.
Revenue Growth
Higher servicing revenue, up 25% year-over-year, indicates strong performance in this segment.
Negative Factors
Operating Expenses
Higher opex, at US$127.5mm versus US$120.2mm estimate, up 16% year-over-year on accelerated strategic investments and additional expenses associated with AutoFleet acquisition.
Originations
Originations lower, at US$1.50B versus US$1.77B estimate, on seasonal factors including historically slower client order volume during summer months.
Revenue Challenges
Lower finance revenue and syndication revenue, along with higher operating expenses, present challenges despite growth in other areas.

Element Fleet Management (EFN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Element Fleet Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElement Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers fleet management services comprising vehicle acquisition, financing, program management, and remarketing services to corporate, commercial, government, and public service vehicle fleets. It serves construction, energy, oil and gas, food and beverage, healthcare, services, transportation, and utility industries. Element Fleet Management Corp. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyElement Fleet Management makes money primarily through its fleet leasing and management services. The company generates revenue by leasing vehicles to clients and providing a range of value-added services that help manage and optimize fleet operations. Key revenue streams include leasing fees, service and maintenance fees, and fees from fuel management and telematics services. Additionally, Element Fleet Management earns revenue from vehicle remarketing, where they help clients sell their used vehicles. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers, financial institutions, and technology providers, which enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach.

Element Fleet Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.29%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong start to 2025 with significant net revenue growth and client engagement. Despite positive trends in services and financing revenue, the company faced challenges from foreign exchange impacts and non-recurring revenue comparisons. The company remains optimistic about future growth and digital advancements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Revenue Growth
Net revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $276 million, driven by growth across all categories.
Increase in Services Revenue
Services revenue grew 13% year-over-year, excluding foreign currency translation impacts.
Record Client Engagement
Added 34 new clients and saw 246 service enrollments this quarter.
Positive Operating Leverage
Operating expenses grew 5%, resulting in positive operating leverage of 2.9%.
Expansion in Return on Equity
Return on equity reached 16.7% this quarter.
Successful Syndication Strategy
Syndicated $574 million in assets, a 21% increase from Q1 last year.
Digital Strategy Advancements
Launched digital driver app and enhanced client reporting portal.
Negative Updates
Impact of Foreign Exchange Rates
Foreign currency movements reduced net revenue by $17 million and adjusted operating income by $13 million.
Decreased Originations in Some Regions
Declines in Mexico and Australia due to seasonal factors.
Gain on Sale Decline
Gain on sale declined year-over-year due to unfavorable currency translation.
Impact of Non-Recurring Items
Q1 2024 included $7 million in non-recurring services revenue, impacting year-over-year comparisons.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Element Fleet Management provided a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and growth strategies for the first quarter of 2025. The company reported an adjusted operating income of $151 million, a free cash flow per share of $0.36, and earnings per share of $0.28, with a return on equity of 16.7%. Despite the negative impact of foreign exchange, which reduced net revenue by $17 million, Element still achieved an 8% year-over-year increase in net revenue to $276 million. Services revenue showed robust growth, increasing by 9% year-over-year to $152 million, or 13% excluding foreign currency effects. The company added 34 new clients and 246 service enrollments this quarter, contributing to the solid commercial momentum. Additionally, Element's ongoing initiatives, such as its Dublin-based leasing and new insurance solutions, are progressing well. Looking ahead, Element aims to maintain its adjusted operating margin target range of 55.5% to 56.5% for 2025, while staying committed to investing in digital capabilities to enhance service delivery and client engagement.

Element Fleet Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Element Fleet Management demonstrates strong profitability with robust margins. However, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and high leverage, indicated by a high debt-to-equity ratio. Cash flows are improving, but cash conversion efficiency remains a concern.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Element Fleet Management shows strong gross and net profit margins in the latest TTM, with a gross profit margin of 36.4% and a net profit margin of 17.8%. However, there is a negative revenue growth rate of -6.4% from the previous annual report, which is a concern. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 33.5% and 60.7% respectively, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.32, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose risks. However, the return on equity is solid at 13.5%, and the equity ratio is fair at 20.7%, indicating a reasonable proportion of the assets are financed by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate from negative to positive, indicating improvement. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.96, suggesting potential issues in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.47, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.06B2.21B1.99B1.96B1.66B1.77B
Gross Profit751.38M783.96M748.70M809.16M666.94M660.34M
EBITDA1.25B1.13B1.01B1.16B988.67M1.22B
Net Income367.99M387.14M466.20M409.64M279.22M225.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.15B12.70B16.47B14.33B12.97B14.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments497.96M128.84M96.42M68.88M45.27M8.79M
Total Debt9.02B8.45B8.13B9.02B8.20B10.00B
Total Liabilities10.43B9.93B12.57B10.65B9.52B11.21B
Stockholders Equity2.72B2.77B3.90B3.68B3.45B3.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow171.71M-184.17M-1.05B160.77M2.43B2.68B
Operating Cash Flow351.63M-107.16M-970.88M229.63M2.51B2.78B
Investing Cash Flow-140.45M-157.84M-74.90M-65.61M-85.95M-9.62M
Financing Cash Flow11.37M454.82M1.38B-7.59M-2.39B-2.83B

Element Fleet Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.90
Price Trends
50DMA
31.94
Positive
100DMA
30.17
Positive
200DMA
29.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
69.64
Neutral
STOCH
93.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.71, above the 50-day MA of 31.94, and above the 200-day MA of 29.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EFN.

Element Fleet Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEFN
73
Outperform
$13.56B24.5713.96%1.55%18.12%14.08%
67
Neutral
€8.19B18.406.19%2.76%2.41%-40.75%
STSTN
$12.23B43.9813.13%0.59%
$7.36B19.1014.78%2.06%
$11.85B54.058.66%0.09%
TSFTT
79
Outperform
C$7.57B15.9418.79%2.93%6.61%1.87%
BBBBU
$2.24B2.67-1.19%0.93%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFN
Element Fleet Management
33.90
9.54
39.13%
STN
Stantec
108.30
24.58
29.36%
TFII
TFI International
88.65
-50.72
-36.39%
SNCAF
AtkinsRealis
69.37
26.67
62.46%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
56.66
17.80
45.81%
BBU
Brookfield Business Partners
25.41
7.26
40.00%

Element Fleet Management Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Element Fleet Management Advances Sustainability with 2025 Report
Positive
May 28, 2025

Element Fleet Management has released its 2025 Sustainability Report, highlighting significant progress in its climate strategy and transparency efforts. The report showcases achievements such as surpassing Scope 1 and 2 emission reduction targets, aligning decarbonization initiatives with global best practices, and enhancing sustainability governance and disclosure practices. Element’s commitment to sustainability is evident in its efforts to foster inclusion and belonging, and its dedication to continuous improvement positions the company for long-term resilience and shared prosperity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EFN) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Element Fleet Management stock, see the TSE:EFN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Element Fleet Management Reports Strong Shareholder Support at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 2, 2025

Element Fleet Management announced the successful election of all ten nominees to its board of directors at the Annual Meeting of Shareholders, with a high voter turnout of over 86%. The company also reported strong shareholder support for executive compensation and the re-appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as independent auditors. This outcome reflects robust shareholder engagement and confidence in Element’s strategic direction, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the automotive fleet management industry.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Element Fleet Management Achieves Strong Q1 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Element Fleet Management Corp. reported a solid performance in the first quarter of 2025, demonstrating financial and operational resilience despite uncertain market conditions. The company achieved a 5% year-over-year growth in net revenues across all categories, with an 8% increase when excluding certain items from the previous year. The adjusted operating margin expanded by 125 basis points, and the company maintained a strong return on equity of 16.7%. Element effectively managed global trade tensions, maintained a resilient client order volume, and repurchased 2.2 million common shares, reinforcing its commitment to delivering shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Element Fleet Management Announces Board Nominations and Annual Report
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Element Fleet Management has nominated Paolo Ferrari and Tracey McVicar for election to its Board of Directors, replacing outgoing members Andrew Clarke and Arielle Meloul-Wechsler. The company also released its inaugural annual report, highlighting strategic investments and trends in the fleet and mobility industry, which are expected to bolster its leadership position and set a foundation for future success.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2025