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D2L, Inc. (TSE:DTOL)
TSX:DTOL
Canadian Market

D2L (DTOL) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

D2L

(TSX:DTOL)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$16.00
▲(7.45%Upside)
D2L, Inc. has a robust financial performance with notable revenue and profit growth, and its corporate events reflect strategic strengths. Technical analysis shows moderate momentum, and the valuation is reasonable. These factors combine to provide a positive outlook, though long-term momentum resistance and lack of dividend yield are considerations.
Positive Factors
Financial Guidance
D2L modestly raised FY2025 guidance, reflecting the recent H5P acquisition, for which it's already starting to capture some revenue synergies.
Profitability
The adj. gross margin was 68.2% (+100bps y/y, +50bps q/q), while the adj. EBITDA margin was 9.6% (+1,090bps y/y, +20bps q/q), helped by continued cost discipline.
Negative Factors
Organic Growth
D2L is seeing a consistent subdued organic ARR growth of roughly +9% y/y, despite a tough y/y comp.

D2L (DTOL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

D2L Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionD2L, Inc. (DTOL), also known as Desire2Learn, is a leading provider in the education technology sector, offering a comprehensive suite of cloud-based learning solutions. The company's core product, Brightspace, is an integrated learning platform that supports online, blended, and in-person education environments. D2L serves a diverse range of clients, including K-12 schools, higher education institutions, and corporate training programs, by providing tools that enhance learning engagement, accessibility, and outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyD2L makes money primarily through a subscription-based revenue model. Educational institutions and organizations pay for licenses to access the Brightspace platform, with pricing typically based on the number of users or the scope of services required. The company also generates revenue from professional services such as implementation support, training, and customization of its platform to meet specific institutional needs. Additionally, D2L may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations that expand its market reach and integrate complementary technologies, further contributing to its revenue streams.

D2L Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, with significant growth in subscription revenue and ARR milestones. Product innovations were well-received, and international expansion continues to show promise. However, macroeconomic headwinds and competitive challenges remain concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Subscription Revenue Growth
Subscription and support revenue grew 13% year-over-year to $46.8 million in the quarter.
Annual Recurring Revenue Milestone
ARR surpassed $200 million for the first time, ending the quarter at $201.7 million, up 12% year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $10.4 million with a margin of 19.2%, indicating improved profitability.
International Expansion
Continued international growth with new markets like Brazil and India showing promising developments.
Product Innovation and Customer Impact
Introduction of D2L Lumi and Creator+ with positive customer feedback; American College of Financial Services saw an 18% increase in certifications.
Strong Professional Services Revenue
Professional services revenue increased to $7.5 million, driven by demand for online learning strategies.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Headwinds
General macroeconomic conditions and lower RFP activity affected the overall market environment.
Currency Exchange Impact
Strengthening of the U.S. dollar relative to non-USD revenue posed a challenge for international revenue.
Competitive Market Challenges
Potential disruptions from competitor acquisitions and market changes may impact future growth.
Company Guidance
During the D2L Inc. Q3 Fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance with several key metrics highlighted. Subscription and support revenue grew 13% year-over-year to $46.8 million, while services revenue increased to $7.5 million. The company's annual recurring revenue (ARR) surpassed $200 million for the first time, reaching $201.7 million, marking a 12% year-over-year increase. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $10.4 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.2%. The company also improved its Rule of 40 performance to 25% for the fiscal year-to-date. These results reflect D2L's strategic focus on balancing growth with profitability, supported by disciplined expense management and strategic investments in innovation, particularly in AI-driven products like D2L Lumi and Creator+.

D2L Financial Statement Overview

Summary
D2L, Inc. presents an overall strong financial position with significant revenue and profit growth, strong cash flow generation, and improving balance sheet stability. The company has effectively managed its operations, turning around its profitability and enhancing shareholder value. While there are some concerns over past operational volatility, the company's current trajectory is positive, indicating a promising outlook.
Income Statement
75
Positive
D2L, Inc. shows a positive trend in revenue growth with a substantial increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is strong, reflecting efficient cost management. The company has successfully turned around its profitability, moving from a net loss in previous years to a net profit in 2025, improving the net profit margin significantly. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins were volatile in past years, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating low financial leverage, which is a positive sign of financial stability. Stockholders' equity has improved over the years, reflecting enhanced shareholder value. However, the equity ratio suggests moderate reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks in adverse conditions. The return on equity has improved, aligning with the company's improved profitability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
D2L, Inc. exhibits strong cash flow management, with operating cash flow exceeding net income, indicating quality earnings. The free cash flow has grown significantly, demonstrating efficient capital expenditure management. The positive free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the company's ability to generate cash. The company has shown resilience in cash flow generation, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue205.28M182.38M168.40M151.88M126.37M
Gross Profit139.96M122.20M107.77M87.95M77.08M
EBITDA14.57M295.44K-12.98M-94.02M-37.94M
Net Income25.72M-3.54M-18.38M-97.65M-41.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets232.92M197.12M176.61M179.21M85.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments99.18M116.94M110.73M114.68M45.22M
Total Debt11.18M12.71M13.01M1.89M4.11M
Total Liabilities148.18M140.24M122.52M112.83M272.99M
Stockholders Equity84.75M56.88M54.09M66.38M-187.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.98M9.93M107.00K-683.71K14.91M
Operating Cash Flow27.90M15.66M3.78M112.25K16.58M
Investing Cash Flow-34.33M-8.52M-3.67M-10.22M-1.68M
Financing Cash Flow-8.57M-748.72K-1.63M79.08M-2.14M

D2L Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.89
Price Trends
50DMA
14.06
Positive
100DMA
15.23
Negative
200DMA
15.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
57.26
Neutral
STOCH
69.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DTOL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.32, above the 50-day MA of 14.06, and below the 200-day MA of 15.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DTOL.

D2L Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCMG
75
Outperform
C$619.88M27.6329.19%3.66%32.49%-0.20%
74
Outperform
$1.19B37.5141.12%20.52%246.69%
73
Outperform
C$805.75M20.2941.17%15.95%
TSCVO
73
Outperform
C$737.39M-9.00%9.08%37.74%
65
Neutral
$1.48B35.99-5.70%2.87%-271.63%
59
Neutral
C$139.38M93.672.02%16.58%
49
Neutral
C$2.96B2.13-80.92%2.67%12.55%-24.47%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DTOL
D2L
14.89
2.82
23.36%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
39.64
-12.82
-24.44%
TSE:CMG
Computer Modelling
7.51
-6.14
-44.98%
TSE:TIXT
TELUS International (CDA)
5.37
-2.74
-33.79%
TSE:THNC
Thinkific Labs
2.07
-0.18
-8.00%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
7.74
-0.22
-2.76%

D2L Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
D2L’s 2025 Sustainability Report Highlights Global Educational Impact and Commitment to Sustainability
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

D2L has released its 2025 Sustainability Report, emphasizing its dedication to sustainability, social impact, and employee wellbeing. The report highlights D2L’s initiatives such as the acquisition of H5P, expansion to Mexico, and the introduction of AI-enabled tools to support learners and instructors. The company has also strengthened its ecosystem with the launch of the Higher Education Sustainability Roundtable and partnerships supporting refugees’ access to education. D2L maintains industry leadership with data security certifications and responsible AI initiatives, while promoting employee wellbeing and environmental sustainability through various programs.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DTOL) stock is a Buy with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D2L stock, see the TSE:DTOL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
D2L Inc. Reports Strong Q1 2026 Financial Results with Revenue and Profit Growth
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

D2L Inc. reported a 9% year-over-year increase in total revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, reaching $52.8 million. The company saw significant growth in subscription and support revenue, which rose by 11% to $47.7 million, and an improvement in adjusted EBITDA, which more than doubled to $9.3 million. D2L’s strategic focus on platform innovation and market expansion is reflected in its strong financial performance, with a notable increase in gross profit and a reduction in cash outflows from operations. The company also maintained a strong balance sheet with $92.5 million in cash and no debt, underscoring its robust financial health and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DTOL) stock is a Buy with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D2L stock, see the TSE:DTOL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025