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Constellation Software (TSE:CSU)
TSX:CSU
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Constellation Software (CSU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CSU

Constellation Software

(TSX:CSU)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$2,410.00
▼(-8.24% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance on cash flow generation and solid operating profitability, partially offset by slower 2025 growth, compressed net margins, and notable leverage. Technicals are mixed with longer-term weakness, and valuation is a key headwind due to the very high P/E and low yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Very high cash conversion (FCF ≈97% of net income) is a durable strength: it underpins repeatable funding for acquisitions, product reinvestment, and shareholder returns without relying on equity markets. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports stable operations and strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Relatively high leverage (~1.6x debt/equity) reduces balance-sheet flexibility and increases sensitivity to interest costs and refinancing risk. This structural capital structure constraint can limit the pace of opportunistic M&A or require prioritization of debt service over growth in the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Very high cash conversion (FCF ≈97% of net income) is a durable strength: it underpins repeatable funding for acquisitions, product reinvestment, and shareholder returns without relying on equity markets. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports stable operations and strategic optionality.
Read all positive factors

Constellation Software (CSU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Constellation Software Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Constellation Software Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, builds, and manages vertical market software businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. Its industry specific software businesses provide ...
How the Company Makes Money
Constellation Software makes money primarily by acquiring vertical market software companies and operating them for long-term cash flow. Its key revenue streams typically include: (1) Recurring software revenue from maintenance and support contrac...

Constellation Software Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistent cash generation (FCF closely tracks earnings and hit new highs in 2025) supports earnings quality. Offsetting this, 2025 revenue growth slowed sharply and net margin compressed meaningfully, while leverage remains elevated (~1.6x debt-to-equity), reducing balance-sheet flexibility.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.83B10.07B8.41B6.62B5.11B
Gross Profit4.68B3.62B2.95B2.32B1.88B
EBITDA3.34B1.97B1.60B1.25B1.11B
Net Income520.96M731.00M565.00M512.00M310.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.14B12.86B10.78B7.95B5.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.14B1.99B1.29B935.08M794.46M
Total Debt5.78B4.53B4.46B2.31B1.38B
Total Liabilities11.88B9.57B8.84B6.00B4.21B
Stockholders Equity3.57B2.79B1.86B1.73B1.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.57B1.89B1.63B1.15B1.22B
Operating Cash Flow2.64B1.95B1.68B1.19B1.24B
Investing Cash Flow-1.97B-1.52B-1.67B-1.65B-1.22B
Financing Cash Flow358.16M277.98M456.28M540.42M-983.21K

Constellation Software Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2626.45
Price Trends
50DMA
2508.13
Positive
100DMA
2809.03
Negative
200DMA
3514.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.37
Negative
RSI
58.46
Neutral
STOCH
82.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2626.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2453.76, above the 50-day MA of 2508.13, and below the 200-day MA of 3514.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CSU.

Constellation Software Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$947.73M14.6212.17%5.69%-2.18%-18.24%
71
Outperform
C$8.56B38.3810.76%13.08%14.82%
69
Neutral
C$4.00B49.3316.46%15.72%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
C$51.75B97.7915.35%0.17%17.69%-31.66%
59
Neutral
C$7.90B12.2010.88%3.27%-2.34%-29.40%
56
Neutral
C$1.74B-12.26-44.56%14.98%-500.11%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CSU
Constellation Software
2,441.95
-2,544.48
-51.03%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
31.51
-4.17
-11.68%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
99.45
-49.26
-33.12%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
144.74
-43.38
-23.06%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
17.39
-6.55
-27.37%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
12.69
-0.66
-4.94%

Constellation Software Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Constellation Software, Topicus and Lumine Set Joint Hybrid AGMs and Q&A for May 15
Positive
Apr 10, 2026
Constellation Software, along with affiliates Topicus.com and Lumine Group, will hold their annual shareholder meetings on May 15, 2026 in Toronto using a hybrid in-person and webcast format. Topicus will convene at 8:00 a.m. ET, Lumine at 8:15 a....
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Constellation Founder Mark Leonard to Step Down From Board, Remain Advisor
Neutral
Mar 28, 2026
Constellation Software announced that founder and former president Mark Leonard will not stand for re-election to the board of directors, with his term ending after the May 15, 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting. Leonard will remain closely i...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Constellation Software Grows Revenue and Cash Flow as Earnings Decline Amid Heavy Deal Activity
Neutral
Mar 9, 2026
Constellation Software reported strong top‑line momentum for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with revenue up 18% in Q4 and 15% for the year, driven largely by acquisitions and mid‑single‑digit organic growth. Despite this,...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Constellation Software Moves Fourth-Quarter Earnings Call to March 9
Neutral
Feb 20, 2026
Constellation Software Inc. has rescheduled its fourth-quarter results conference call, moving it from March 10 to March 9, 2026, and shifting the start time to 8:30 a.m. Eastern. The company will release its quarterly earnings earlier that mornin...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Constellation Software Sets March 10 Call on Fourth-Quarter Results
Neutral
Feb 18, 2026
Constellation Software Inc. will release its fourth-quarter results after the Toronto Stock Exchange closes on March 9, 2026, and will host a conference call and live audio webcast the following morning at 8:00 a.m. ET. Senior executives, includin...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Lumine Group Closes Acquisition of Cloud Software Firm Synchronoss Technologies
Positive
Feb 13, 2026
Lumine Group has completed its acquisition of Synchronoss Technologies through a wholly owned subsidiary, adding a leading personal cloud and SaaS platform provider for global telecom operators to its communications and media software portfolio. T...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Constellation Software Sets 2026 Interest Rate for Series 1 Debentures at 8.6%
Neutral
Jan 19, 2026
Constellation Software Inc. has announced that the annual interest rate on its unsecured subordinated floating rate Series 1 debentures will be reset to 8.6% per annum effective March 31, 2026, based on the annual average change in Canada’s ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026