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Chartwell Retirement Residences (TSE:CSH.UN)
TSX:CSH.UN
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Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CSH.UN

Chartwell Retirement Residences

(TSX:CSH.UN)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
C$22.50
▲(6.84% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by a stable but mixed financial profile (good revenue/EBITDA trends but very weak net income and elevated leverage), partially offset by constructive technical trend signals. Earnings call commentary and guidance were a clear positive (strong FFO/NOI/occupancy momentum and solid liquidity), while valuation is a notable headwind due to the very high P/E despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
FFO growth / cash generation
Sustained, large FFO growth indicates stronger underlying cash generation that supports distributions, internal funding for accretive deals and reinvestment. Durable FFO expansion improves financing optionality and reduces reliance on equity raises if occupancy and NOI momentum persist.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage remains materially above conservative benchmarks for stress scenarios; combined with non-trivial near‑term mortgage maturities, high leverage increases refinancing and interest‑rate sensitivity. It constrains capital flexibility and heightens risk if occupancy or NOI slips.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
FFO growth / cash generation
Sustained, large FFO growth indicates stronger underlying cash generation that supports distributions, internal funding for accretive deals and reinvestment. Durable FFO expansion improves financing optionality and reduces reliance on equity raises if occupancy and NOI momentum persist.
Read all positive factors

Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Chartwell Retirement Residences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chartwell is an unincorporated, open-ended real estate trust which indirectly owns and operates a complete range of seniors housing communities, from independent supportive living through assisted living to long term care. It is the largest operat...
How the Company Makes Money
Chartwell primarily makes money by charging residents recurring monthly fees to live in its retirement residences. The largest revenue stream is resident fees that combine (1) rental or accommodation charges for suites/units and (2) service packag...

Chartwell Retirement Residences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong operating and financial performance with outsized FFO growth (+~41%), double‑digit same‑property NOI increases (+18.4%) and material occupancy gains that drove margin expansion. Management demonstrated operational execution (technology, training, integration of acquisitions) and maintained healthy liquidity and financing flexibility while actively deploying capital via >$1.7B of 2025 acquisitions and a clear 2026–2028 growth/disposition plan. Offsetting items include higher finance and G&A costs, a ~5% incentive run rate that will temper blended rent growth in the near term, and competitive pressures on acquisitions and cap rates. Overall, the positives materially outweigh the manageable challenges.
Positive Updates
Substantial FFO Growth
Funds from operations (FFO) grew to $278.0M for 2025, an increase of 40.8% year-over-year; Q4 2025 FFO was $81.2M, up 40.9% versus Q4 2024.
Negative Updates
Higher Finance and G&A Costs
Adjusted finance costs increased $20.0M for the year (and $3.3M in Q4) and G&A expenses rose $7.1M for 2025 (and $2.4M in Q4), partially offsetting operational gains.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Substantial FFO Growth
Funds from operations (FFO) grew to $278.0M for 2025, an increase of 40.8% year-over-year; Q4 2025 FFO was $81.2M, up 40.9% versus Q4 2024.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Chartwell’s guidance for 2026–2028 is to sustain a weighted average occupancy above 95%, grow revenue per occupied suite by more than 4% annually, control costs and expand margins (from the low‑40% range toward the low‑to‑mid‑40% range), and execute roughly $2.0 billion of acquisitions and $1.0 billion of dispositions through 2028 (partly funding acquisitions with dispositions). Key financial and balance‑sheet metrics cited include liquidity of $483.8 million (cash $88.9M; undrawn credit capacity $394.9M), an unencumbered asset base of $2.1 billion, interest coverage of 3.5x, net debt-to‑adjusted EBITDA of 6.9x, and near‑term mortgage maturities of $209.6 million at a weighted average rate of 2.99%; market reference rates noted were ~3.85% (10‑yr CMHC) and ~3.88% (5‑yr debenture). Management reiterated recent operating momentum and baselines from 2025—FFO $278M (+40.8%), Q4 FFO $81.2M (+40.9%), same‑property occupancy up 480 bps to 92.8% for the year (95.2% in December; Q4 same‑property 94.7%), same‑property adjusted NOI +18.4% (+$45.7M), NOI per occupied suite up ~12.2% for the year—and noted incentives running at roughly 5% of revenue that will burn off over 2026–2028; the Board also approved a 2% monthly distribution increase to $0.052/unit effective for the March 31, 2026 distribution (payable April 15).

Chartwell Retirement Residences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth and solid EBITDA margins support stability, but net income is very thin (TTM net margin ~0.4%) with notable below-the-line volatility. Leverage remains elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.62x) despite improving trends, and free cash flow is serviceable but not strongly accelerating (TTM FCF ~C$151M with ~-9% growth).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.16B1.11B861.61M736.74M704.68M669.36M
Gross Profit204.20M-36.05M352.43M273.38M239.98M245.47M
EBITDA428.60M446.54M289.98M198.47M193.59M189.99M
Net Income4.23M29.41M22.41M128.27M49.53M10.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.16B5.06B4.09B3.23B3.51B3.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments251.69M109.13M20.05M24.62M28.47M95.49M
Total Debt2.95B2.99B2.60B2.03B2.34B2.35B
Total Liabilities3.33B3.35B3.01B2.44B2.74B2.59B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.71B1.07B791.46M769.80M826.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow151.30M143.98M93.58M28.18M26.35M40.98M
Operating Cash Flow306.26M294.03M200.85M157.43M137.71M156.32M
Investing Cash Flow-705.55M-876.84M-652.99M78.94M-165.61M-36.49M
Financing Cash Flow586.55M671.90M447.57M-240.21M-39.11M-94.51M

Chartwell Retirement Residences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.06
Price Trends
50DMA
20.74
Negative
100DMA
20.88
Negative
200DMA
20.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
39.84
Neutral
STOCH
16.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSH.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.99, above the 50-day MA of 20.74, and above the 200-day MA of 20.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CSH.UN.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
C$2.24B-103.04-0.71%4.42%4.79%-103.92%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
C$1.82B392.480.20%3.01%>-0.01%
57
Neutral
C$6.62B1,531.010.27%3.00%28.24%-94.93%
54
Neutral
C$5.41B823.560.08%4.20%-8.46%-97.03%
52
Neutral
C$634.85M-2.99-39.64%3.87%-0.32%-340.85%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CSH.UN
Chartwell Retirement Residences
20.20
2.56
14.49%
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
35.06
-7.04
-16.72%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
13.01
-0.20
-1.51%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
18.34
-0.30
-1.62%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
17.33
3.43
24.65%

Chartwell Retirement Residences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Chartwell Declares April Distribution and Adjusts Seniors Housing Portfolio
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
Chartwell Retirement Residences has declared a cash distribution of $0.052 per trust unit for April 2026, payable on May 15 to unitholders of record as of April 30, and continues to offer a Distribution Reinvestment Plan that allows investors to r...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Chartwell Expands Ontario Footprint With $432 Million Senior Housing Acquisition
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
Chartwell Retirement Residences has completed the acquisition of six purpose-built seniors housing communities in southwestern Ontario, adding 1,024 suites across London, Waterloo, Dorchester, and Mississauga for a total purchase price of $432 mil...
Financial Disclosures
Chartwell Sets Date for Q1 2026 Results and Investor Call
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
Chartwell Retirement Residences will release its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, after markets close on May 7, 2026, and will hold a conference call and webcast on May 8, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. ET to discuss the performa...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Chartwell Declares March 2026 Distribution and Updates Occupancy Trends
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
Chartwell Retirement Residences has declared a cash distribution of $0.052 per trust unit for March 2026, payable on April 15 to unitholders of record as of March 31. The company is also reminding investors of its Distribution Reinvestment Plan, w...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Posts Record 2025 Results, Lifts Distributions as Occupancy Surges
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
Chartwell Retirement Residences reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with property revenue rising roughly 34% for both the quarter and the year and occupancy climbing to 95.2% at year-end, above its 95% target. Net income and...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Chartwell Declares February Distribution and Updates Occupancy Outlook
Positive
Feb 17, 2026
Chartwell Retirement Residences has declared a cash distribution of $0.051 per trust unit for February 2026, payable on March 16 to unitholders of record as of Feb. 27, and continues to offer a Distribution Reinvestment Plan that allows investors ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026