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Chartwell Retirement Residences (TSE:CSH.UN)
TSX:CSH.UN
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Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CSH.UN

Chartwell Retirement Residences

(TSX:CSH.UN)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$22.00
â–²(11.45% Upside)
Chartwell Retirement Residences demonstrates strong operational performance and strategic growth initiatives, as highlighted in the earnings call, which positively impacts the overall score. The technical analysis supports a bullish trend, although the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. Financial performance shows growth and profitability improvements, but high leverage and cash flow issues require careful monitoring.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent growth in NOI and FFO indicates strong operational performance and effective management, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Occupancy Rates
High occupancy rates reflect strong demand and effective leasing strategies, supporting steady revenue streams and market position.
Strategic Acquisitions
Significant acquisitions expand market presence and diversify revenue sources, strengthening long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A substantial decline in free cash flow raises concerns about cash generation, which is critical for funding operations and growth initiatives.
Net Income Decline
A decline in net income indicates potential profitability challenges, which could affect the company's ability to sustain growth and shareholder returns.

Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Chartwell Retirement Residences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChartwell is an unincorporated, open-ended real estate trust which indirectly owns and operates a complete range of seniors housing communities, from independent supportive living through assisted living to long term care. It is the largest operator in the Canadian seniors living sector with over 200 quality retirement communities in four provinces including properties under development. Chartwell is committed to its vision of Making People's Lives BETTER and to providing a happier, healthier and more fulfilling life experience for its residents.
How the Company Makes MoneyChartwell Retirement Residences generates revenue primarily through rental income from its retirement living and long-term care facilities. The company charges monthly fees for accommodation and care services provided to residents, which can include meals, housekeeping, and personal care assistance. Additionally, Chartwell may earn revenue through ancillary services, such as pharmacy services, wellness programs, and other health-related offerings. The company benefits from long-term leases and partnerships with healthcare providers, ensuring a steady influx of residents and minimizing vacancy rates. Economic factors, demographic trends, and government funding policies for senior care also play significant roles in influencing its earnings.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted continued growth in adjusted NOI and FFO, strong occupancy rates, and strategic acquisitions. However, there were challenges such as a net loss compared to last year's net income, increased G&A expenses, and lower management fees. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans positive due to strong operational performance and strategic growth initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Continued Growth in Same-Property Adjusted NOI and FFO
Chartwell marked its ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in same-property adjusted NOI and FFO per unit. FFO grew to $73.1 million in Q3 2025, an increase of 30.8% compared to Q3 2024.
Strong Occupancy and Leasing Activity
Same-property occupancy increased 470 basis points to 93.1%. There was a net positive move-in to move-out ratio with an increase in both leases and permanent move-ins.
Significant Acquisitions
Chartwell completed over $1 billion of acquisitions in 2025 with significant properties added in Quebec, such as Les Tours Angrignon and Residence L'Aubier.
Reduction in Staffing Agency Costs
Staffing agency costs were reduced by 66% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024.
Resident Satisfaction
Achieved a 67% very satisfied resident score, which is significantly above the industry average of 51%.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net loss was $5.2 million in Q3 2025 compared to net income of $23.6 million in Q3 2024.
Higher G&A Expenses
General and administrative expenses increased by $0.9 million.
Lower Management Fees and Other Income
Management fees decreased by $1.9 million, and other income was lower by $1.4 million.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Chartwell reported its ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in same-property adjusted NOI and FFO per unit, with FFO rising by 30.8% to $73.1 million. The same-property occupancy increased by 470 basis points to 93.1%, driving a $10.2 million or 15.8% increase in same-property adjusted NOI. The company reduced staffing agency costs by 66% and achieved a resident satisfaction score of 67% very satisfied, surpassing the industry average of 51%. Chartwell's liquidity stood at approximately $508 million, supported by $480.5 million raised through its ATM program. The company completed over $1 billion in acquisitions, with planned investments of $700 million for 2025 and early 2026, and aims to maintain a net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 7.5x, highlighting its strong financial position and strategic growth initiatives in the senior living sector.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chartwell Retirement Residences shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics, which are positive indicators for the income statement. However, the balance sheet reveals high leverage, which could pose financial risks. The cash flow statement highlights significant challenges in free cash flow generation, which could impact future financial flexibility. Overall, while the company shows growth and profitability improvements, the high leverage and cash flow issues warrant careful monitoring.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Chartwell Retirement Residences shows a positive revenue growth rate of 7.67% TTM, indicating strong top-line growth. The gross profit margin is healthy at 35.76%, though it has slightly decreased from the previous year. The net profit margin has improved to 6.36% TTM, reflecting better profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 24.42% and 38.72% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the decline in gross profit margin and the historical volatility in revenue growth are areas to monitor.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.39 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which is common in the REIT industry but poses financial risk. Return on equity has improved to 5.25% TTM, suggesting better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 28.42%, showing a moderate level of equity financing. While the improvement in ROE is positive, the high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has significantly declined by 1459.72% TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, indicating moderate cash conversion efficiency. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests challenges in generating free cash flow relative to net income. The cash flow situation requires attention due to the substantial decline in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue986.13M861.61M736.74M704.68M669.36M924.77M
Gross Profit409.30M352.43M273.38M239.98M245.47M302.27M
EBITDA339.03M289.98M198.47M193.59M189.99M256.25M
Net Income54.59M22.41M128.27M49.53M10.13M14.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.47B4.09B3.23B3.51B3.42B3.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.22M20.05M24.62M28.47M95.49M70.16M
Total Debt2.86B2.60B2.03B2.34B2.35B2.52B
Total Liabilities3.20B3.01B2.44B2.74B2.59B2.76B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.07B791.46M769.80M826.11M733.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow141.36M93.58M28.18M26.35M40.98M52.23M
Operating Cash Flow277.11M200.85M157.43M137.71M156.32M184.62M
Investing Cash Flow-768.21M-652.99M78.94M-165.61M-36.49M-62.19M
Financing Cash Flow501.15M447.57M-240.21M-39.11M-94.51M-75.16M

Chartwell Retirement Residences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.74
Price Trends
50DMA
19.75
Negative
100DMA
18.85
Positive
200DMA
17.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
42.08
Neutral
STOCH
27.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSH.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.33, below the 50-day MA of 19.75, and above the 200-day MA of 17.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CSH.UN.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$3.38B10.086.23%2.45%6.52%-54.45%
72
Outperform
C$2.07B3.6918.10%4.31%6.19%79.98%
72
Outperform
C$447.26M12.856.45%6.98%5.14%209.83%
66
Neutral
C$6.30B103.581.99%3.10%28.05%662.10%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
C$5.93B74.790.65%4.06%-6.51%-81.28%
58
Neutral
C$1.87B-10.78-7.49%2.97%1.56%-9446.15%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CSH.UN
Chartwell Retirement Residences
19.74
4.61
30.47%
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
37.90
-5.48
-12.63%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
13.38
2.98
28.65%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
16.69
-0.81
-4.64%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
4.01
0.51
14.57%
TSE:BEI.UN
Boardwalk REIT
63.63
-4.60
-6.75%

Chartwell Retirement Residences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Retirement Residences Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Growth Plans
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences reported a significant increase in resident revenue by 32.3% for the third quarter of 2025, despite a net loss of $5.2 million compared to a net income in the previous year. The company achieved its ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in same property adjusted NOI and FFO per unit, driven by operational efficiencies and strategic acquisitions. Chartwell plans to continue enhancing its portfolio through strategic acquisitions and development partnerships, expecting continued growth in occupancy and cash flows due to robust demand and limited new supply in its markets.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSH.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chartwell Retirement Residences stock, see the TSE:CSH.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Chartwell Expands Portfolio with Strategic Acquisitions and Developments
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced strategic growth and financing initiatives, including the acquisition of several properties in Quebec and the development of a new retirement residence in Calgary. These initiatives are part of Chartwell’s strategy to expand its portfolio with modern, efficient properties in urban markets, supported by a $250 million equity raise and $87 million in new financings. The company’s investment grade rating was affirmed with a positive outlook, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSH.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chartwell Retirement Residences stock, see the TSE:CSH.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Occupancy Update
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on November 17, 2025, with an option for unitholders to participate in a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) to increase their holdings without additional fees. The company also provided an update on its same property occupancy rates, reflecting its ongoing efforts to maintain and improve occupancy levels, which are crucial for its operational stability and growth in the competitive seniors housing market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSH.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chartwell Retirement Residences stock, see the TSE:CSH.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Retirement Residences Announces Q3 2025 Results and Investor Day
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences has announced its schedule for the release of its third-quarter 2025 financial results and an upcoming Investor Day. The financial results will be disclosed on November 6, 2025, followed by a conference call and webcast on November 7, 2025. Additionally, the Investor Day on November 13, 2025, will feature presentations on Chartwell’s strategic plans and initiatives, including growth and technology deployment, which could impact its market positioning and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSH.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chartwell Retirement Residences stock, see the TSE:CSH.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Chartwell Announces September Distribution and Positive Occupancy Outlook
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit for September 2025, payable on October 15, 2025, with an option for unitholders to participate in a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) to increase their ownership. The company also provided an occupancy update, indicating optimism for continued growth in occupancy rates driven by strong demand due to demographic trends and a shortage of long-term care beds, which could positively impact Chartwell’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSH.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chartwell Retirement Residences stock, see the TSE:CSH.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences has announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on September 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of August 29, 2025. The company also offers a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) that allows unitholders to reinvest their distributions into additional Trust Units, with a 3% bonus, enabling them to increase their ownership without incurring additional fees.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSH.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chartwell Retirement Residences stock, see the TSE:CSH.UN Stock Forecast page.

Chartwell Retirement’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences’ recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture, highlighting consistent growth in key financial metrics, strategic acquisitions, and improved operational efficiencies. Despite these positive developments, the company faces challenges with increased net loss and specific properties struggling with occupancy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025