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Canadian Apartment (TSE:CAR.UN)
TSX:CAR.UN
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Canadian Apartment (CAR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Canadian Apartment

(TSX:CAR.UN)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$48.00
▲(6.64%Upside)
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust demonstrates stable financial performance and positive corporate events bolstering its strategic positioning. However, a high valuation presents a risk if growth expectations are unmet, and technical signals indicate only modest upward momentum.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Meaningful balance sheet improvement with a strong financial position has afforded CAR the flexibility to opportunistically allocate capital.
Dividend Growth
Management appears confident in the long-term FFO growth, and the Board of Trustees approved a 3.4% increase to the monthly distribution.
Portfolio Transition
The Canadian residential portfolio now accounts for 91% of SP-NOI, illustrating considerable progress in transitioning to a pure-play residential company.
Negative Factors
Asset Sales Impact
FFO per unit has been negatively impacted in the near term due to asset sales.
Financial Performance
Consolidated NOI was $1.2M short of the forecast, with higher-than-expected operating expenses offsetting revenue.
Rental Growth
Rental growth is moderating, and bad debt expense has increased.

Canadian Apartment (CAR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Canadian Apartment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCAPREIT is one of Canada's largest real estate investment trusts. CAPREIT owns approximately 57,000 suites, including townhomes and manufactured housing sites, in Canada and, indirectly through its investment in ERES, approximately 5,800 suites in the Netherlands. CAPREIT manages approximately 61,200 of its owned suites in Canada and Netherlands, and additionally approximately 3,800 suites in Ireland as at September 30, 2020.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of residential properties. The company owns and manages a wide variety of rental units, including apartments and townhomes, which provide a steady stream of rental payments from tenants. Additionally, CAPREIT invests in maintaining and upgrading its properties to increase their value and attract higher rental rates, thereby enhancing its income potential. The company may also engage in property acquisitions to expand its portfolio and capitalize on market opportunities. CAPREIT's earnings are influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, rental market trends, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures may also play a role in its growth strategy, though specific partnerships are not detailed.

Canadian Apartment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 6.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong operational and financial performance, characterized by high occupancy rates, rent growth, and effective capital recycling strategies. Despite increased interest expenses and maintenance costs, the company demonstrated robust financial strength and a strategic focus on optimizing their portfolio. Overall, the sentiment is positive with a clear emphasis on growth and stability.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
High Occupancy and Rent Growth
Occupancy remained high at 98%, with average rent at $1,617 per month. Rent growth drove a 5.2% increase in total portfolio operating revenues.
Strong Financial Performance
NOI increased by 6.1%, with a 60 basis point margin expansion to 67.1%. Diluted FFO per unit increased by 3.3% to $0.659 for the quarter.
Successful Capital Recycling Strategy
Nearly $1 billion in Canadian rental properties transacted in 2024, $219 million in European property sales completed, and over $1 billion in additional property dispositions in the Netherlands announced.
Debt Reduction and Financial Strength
Total debt to gross book value ratio decreased to 40.9% from 41.6%. Mortgages carry a low weighted average effective interest rate of just over 3%.
Negative Updates
Higher Interest Expenses
Higher interest expenses partially offset the healthy organic growth achieved in the quarter.
Increased Repairs and Maintenance Costs
Higher repairs and maintenance costs incurred, impacting margins despite scaling back on certain discretionary capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During the Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (CAPREIT) Q3 2024 earnings call, a robust set of metrics highlighted significant operational and strategic achievements. CAPREIT reported a high occupancy rate of 98% with an average rent of $1,617 per month. Rent growth led to a 5.2% increase in total portfolio operating revenues, with a 6.1% rise in NOI, expanding the margin by 60 basis points to 67.1%. Despite higher repairs and maintenance costs, diluted FFO per unit increased by 3.3% to $0.659 for the quarter. Over the first nine months, rent growth was 6.4%, and diluted FFO per unit rose by 6.5%, maintaining a conservative payout ratio of 57.3%. CAPREIT's strategic repositioning involved $1 billion in Canadian rental property transactions and $219 million in European property sales, with further dispositions planned, including a $740 million MHC portfolio sale set for closing in Q4 2024. The company's total debt to gross book value ratio improved to 40.9%, and a strategic CapEx program reduced capital spend by 7% year-over-year, enhancing cash flow generation.

Canadian Apartment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Canadian Apartment exhibits stable revenue growth and robust operational efficiency, as reflected in healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. While the balance sheet shows a strong equity position and manageable leverage, profitability fluctuations have impacted returns. The cash flows are resilient, with consistent free cash flow generation supporting financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows moderate revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $1.09 billion, up from $1.03 billion in the previous year, indicating a stable revenue trajectory. The gross profit margin remains healthy at approximately 59.64%, though the net profit margin has significantly declined to 10.88% in TTM due to a drop in net income. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 57.61% and 33.91%, respectively, suggesting strong operational efficiency, although profitability has been volatile.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 58.66%, providing a cushion against liabilities. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively moderate at 0.65, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, return on equity has decreased, reflecting a decline in profitability. Overall, the balance sheet indicates stability but with reduced profitability impacting returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong at $580.82 million in TTM, with a slight decrease from the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is consistent, supporting reinvestment and debt servicing. The cash flow statement shows resilience despite fluctuations in net income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B1.07B1.01B933.14M882.64M
Gross Profit672.03M630.41M592.44M609.99M578.17M
EBITDA552.38M587.78M697.07M541.37M587.55M
Net Income292.74M-411.57M13.64M1.39B925.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.58B16.97B17.74B17.71B15.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments146.76M35.22M51.68M73.41M121.72M
Total Debt6.04B7.11B7.01B6.46B5.56B
Total Liabilities6.55B7.69B7.74B7.31B6.23B
Stockholders Equity9.03B9.28B10.00B10.40B9.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow399.04M308.09M261.56M252.01M236.50M
Operating Cash Flow648.85M615.92M598.03M551.43M481.36M
Investing Cash Flow1.74B-138.47M-502.97M-1.11B-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow-2.29B-495.23M-132.32M512.50M185.45M

Canadian Apartment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price45.01
Price Trends
50DMA
43.74
Positive
100DMA
42.36
Positive
200DMA
42.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
56.74
Neutral
STOCH
55.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CAR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.46, above the 50-day MA of 43.74, and above the 200-day MA of 42.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CAR.UN.

Canadian Apartment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$2.30B3.5822.26%3.75%5.77%108.23%
75
Outperform
C$958.41M8.655.83%4.15%3.85%-31.81%
71
Outperform
C$539.27M6.089.03%3.52%-0.29%
70
Outperform
C$1.88B-7.00%2.93%2.52%-573.45%
68
Neutral
C$7.13B64.221.29%3.44%0.93%
63
Neutral
$6.74B18.42-1.93%7.60%4.67%-25.44%
$2.79B8.808.71%2.03%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
45.01
-2.76
-5.78%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
13.33
0.81
6.47%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
19.01
0.88
4.85%
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
18.32
2.03
12.46%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
14.62
-0.99
-6.34%
BOWFF
Boardwalk REIT
52.40
-3.24
-5.82%

Canadian Apartment Corporate Events

Dividends
CAPREIT Announces June 2025 Distribution to Unitholders
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) announced its June 2025 monthly distribution of $0.12917 per Unit, payable on July 15, 2025. This announcement reflects CAPREIT’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its unitholders, with a significant growth in cash distributions since its IPO in 1997.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CAPREIT Secures Strong Unitholder Support at 2025 Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

At its 2025 Annual and Special General Meeting, CAPREIT announced that all proposed items, including the election of trustees, appointment of auditors, and executive compensation approach, were approved by a significant majority of unitholders. This successful meeting reflects strong support for CAPREIT’s current management and strategic direction, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the rental housing market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CAPREIT to Expand Housing Supply with New Developments and Conversions
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

CAPREIT announced plans to invest in two infill development projects in Mississauga, Ontario, to construct approximately 120 residential rental suites, and convert underutilized spaces within its existing portfolio into 50 additional suites. These initiatives aim to address the housing supply gap in the Greater Toronto Area and leverage government incentives and construction efficiencies to achieve attractive returns. The projects are expected to enhance CAPREIT’s market position by increasing its rental suite offerings while maintaining low development risks and costs.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CAPREIT Renews $300 Million At-The-Market Equity Program
Positive
May 15, 2025

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) has renewed its at-the-market equity program, allowing the company to issue up to $300 million in Trust Units through the Toronto Stock Exchange or other permitted marketplaces. This program provides CAPREIT with additional financial flexibility for future investments, debt repayment, and general business purposes, enhancing its operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
CAPREIT Announces May 2025 Distribution
Positive
May 15, 2025

CAPREIT announced its May 2025 monthly distribution of $0.12916 per Unit, payable on June 16, 2025, continuing its trend of growing cash distributions since its IPO in 1997. This announcement underscores CAPREIT’s strong market position and commitment to providing consistent returns to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CAPREIT Reports Strategic Divestments and Reinvestment in Q1 2025
Positive
May 8, 2025

CAPREIT reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a strategic focus on simplifying its platform and upgrading its Canadian apartment portfolio. The company completed $400 million in strategic dispositions in Canada and Europe and plans further divestments in the Netherlands. These moves are part of CAPREIT’s strategy to reinvest proceeds into high-quality, mid-market rental properties, aiming to strengthen its market position and improve operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025