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Canadian Apartment (TSE:CAR.UN)
TSX:CAR.UN

Canadian Apartment (CAR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CAR.UN

Canadian Apartment

(TSX:CAR.UN)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$39.00
▲(1.14% Upside)
The overall stock score of 54 reflects a combination of mixed financial performance, bearish technical indicators, and high valuation concerns. The strong profitability margins are overshadowed by declining revenue and cash flow growth. Technical analysis indicates a downtrend, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, despite an attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Canadian Apartment's scale and concentrated focus on multifamily in major Canadian urban centers supports a durable rental income base. A diversified portfolio and in-house property management/development capabilities enhance occupancy control, operational efficiency, and long-term tenant retention.
Operating Margins
Robust gross and EBIT margins indicate resilient operational economics in property operations and leasing. High margins provide a structural buffer against cyclical rent softness and fund maintenance, capex, and distributions, supporting cash available for long-term investor returns.
Moderate Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio around 0.65 reflects moderate leverage that can finance growth while limiting refinancing stress. This capital structure supports acquisitions and development without excessive debt burden, preserving financial flexibility for cyclical downturns and capital spending.
Negative Factors
Revenue Trend
Sustained revenue decline undermines the REIT's core cash generation and distribution capacity. Falling top-line suggests pressure on rents or occupancy, which reduces internal funding for maintenance, development and dividends, increasing reliance on external financing for growth.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A near 20% decline in free cash flow growth weakens the REIT's ability to self-fund capex, tenant improvements and acquisitions. Lower cash conversion and an operating cash to net income ratio of 0.45 raise the risk of dependence on debt or equity issuance to sustain distributions and growth.
Low ROE
An ROE below 1% signals limited efficiency in generating returns from shareholders' equity. Persistently low ROE can indicate asset underperformance or capital allocation issues, constraining long-term value creation for equity holders relative to peers and alternative investments.

Canadian Apartment (CAR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Canadian Apartment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCAPREIT is one of Canada's largest real estate investment trusts. CAPREIT owns approximately 57,000 suites, including townhomes and manufactured housing sites, in Canada and, indirectly through its investment in ERES, approximately 5,800 suites in the Netherlands. CAPREIT manages approximately 61,200 of its owned suites in Canada and Netherlands, and additionally approximately 3,800 suites in Ireland as at September 30, 2020.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAR.UN) generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of residential properties. The company collects monthly rent from tenants residing in its apartment buildings, townhomes, and manufactured home communities. Additionally, CAR.UN benefits from property appreciation and value-added services that may include laundry facilities, parking, and other amenities that enhance tenant satisfaction and retention. The trust's earnings are also influenced by strategic acquisitions and property development initiatives that expand its portfolio and increase rental capacity. Furthermore, CAR.UN may engage in partnerships or joint ventures to optimize property management and development, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Canadian Apartment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong operational and financial performance, characterized by high occupancy rates, rent growth, and effective capital recycling strategies. Despite increased interest expenses and maintenance costs, the company demonstrated robust financial strength and a strategic focus on optimizing their portfolio. Overall, the sentiment is positive with a clear emphasis on growth and stability.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
High Occupancy and Rent Growth
Occupancy remained high at 98%, with average rent at $1,617 per month. Rent growth drove a 5.2% increase in total portfolio operating revenues.
Strong Financial Performance
NOI increased by 6.1%, with a 60 basis point margin expansion to 67.1%. Diluted FFO per unit increased by 3.3% to $0.659 for the quarter.
Successful Capital Recycling Strategy
Nearly $1 billion in Canadian rental properties transacted in 2024, $219 million in European property sales completed, and over $1 billion in additional property dispositions in the Netherlands announced.
Debt Reduction and Financial Strength
Total debt to gross book value ratio decreased to 40.9% from 41.6%. Mortgages carry a low weighted average effective interest rate of just over 3%.
Negative Updates
Higher Interest Expenses
Higher interest expenses partially offset the healthy organic growth achieved in the quarter.
Increased Repairs and Maintenance Costs
Higher repairs and maintenance costs incurred, impacting margins despite scaling back on certain discretionary capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During the Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (CAPREIT) Q3 2024 earnings call, a robust set of metrics highlighted significant operational and strategic achievements. CAPREIT reported a high occupancy rate of 98% with an average rent of $1,617 per month. Rent growth led to a 5.2% increase in total portfolio operating revenues, with a 6.1% rise in NOI, expanding the margin by 60 basis points to 67.1%. Despite higher repairs and maintenance costs, diluted FFO per unit increased by 3.3% to $0.659 for the quarter. Over the first nine months, rent growth was 6.4%, and diluted FFO per unit rose by 6.5%, maintaining a conservative payout ratio of 57.3%. CAPREIT's strategic repositioning involved $1 billion in Canadian rental property transactions and $219 million in European property sales, with further dispositions planned, including a $740 million MHC portfolio sale set for closing in Q4 2024. The company's total debt to gross book value ratio improved to 40.9%, and a strategic CapEx program reduced capital spend by 7% year-over-year, enhancing cash flow generation.

Canadian Apartment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Canadian Apartment's financial performance presents a mixed picture. While profitability margins remain strong, the decline in revenue growth and free cash flow growth raises concerns. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but low ROE suggests potential inefficiencies.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue has decreased by 2.82%, indicating a decline in growth. However, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 59.28% and a net profit margin of 5.77%. The EBIT margin is strong at 34.21%, but the EBITDA margin has slightly decreased compared to the previous year. Overall, the profitability remains stable, but the revenue decline is a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.65, indicating a balanced leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is low at 0.67%, suggesting limited profitability from equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company maintains a substantial equity base. The financial stability is adequate, but the low ROE highlights potential inefficiencies.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a 19.42% decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.45, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, suggesting that cash flow supports net income to some extent. The decline in free cash flow growth is a concern, impacting overall cash flow strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B1.11B1.07B1.01B933.14M882.64M
Gross Profit614.37M672.03M630.41M592.44M609.99M578.17M
EBITDA360.82M552.38M587.78M697.07M541.37M587.55M
Net Income59.83M292.74M-411.57M13.64M1.39B925.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.87B15.58B16.97B17.74B17.71B15.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments122.69M146.76M35.22M51.68M73.41M121.72M
Total Debt5.75B6.04B7.11B7.01B6.46B5.56B
Total Liabilities6.04B6.55B7.69B7.74B7.31B6.23B
Stockholders Equity8.83B9.03B9.28B10.00B10.40B9.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow287.33M399.04M308.09M261.56M252.01M236.50M
Operating Cash Flow535.43M648.85M615.92M598.03M551.43M481.36M
Investing Cash Flow2.34B1.74B-138.47M-502.97M-1.11B-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow-2.80B-2.29B-495.23M-132.32M512.50M185.45M

Canadian Apartment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.56
Price Trends
50DMA
37.07
Positive
100DMA
37.66
Positive
200DMA
39.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
56.05
Neutral
STOCH
19.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CAR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.71, above the 50-day MA of 37.07, and below the 200-day MA of 39.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CAR.UN.

Canadian Apartment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$952.31M7.856.37%4.41%3.83%63.32%
74
Outperform
C$3.65B10.966.23%2.46%6.52%-54.45%
71
Outperform
C$2.13B3.9318.10%4.42%6.19%79.98%
70
Outperform
C$638.15M8.537.26%3.87%-1.21%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
C$5.99B99.330.65%4.20%-6.51%-81.28%
47
Neutral
C$1.86B-18.68-4.40%3.01%1.55%-401.05%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
38.56
1.09
2.91%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
13.33
3.89
41.27%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
17.54
1.90
12.18%
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
18.26
2.32
14.54%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
17.42
4.71
37.05%
TSE:BEI.UN
Boardwalk REIT
68.85
8.99
15.02%

Canadian Apartment Corporate Events

Dividends
CAPREIT Declares January 2026 Monthly Distribution to Unitholders
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

CAPREIT has declared a monthly cash distribution for January 2026 of $0.12917 per unit, equivalent to $1.55 on an annualized basis, to be paid in mid-February to unitholders of record at the end of January. The announcement underscores the real estate investment trust’s continued focus on delivering regular income to investors from its large, diversified portfolio of rental properties in Canada and abroad.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
CAPREIT’s Inaugural Chief Investment Officer to Depart After $6 Billion in Deals
Negative
Jan 13, 2026

CAPREIT announced that Chief Investment Officer Julian Schonfeldt will depart around April 30, 2026, after leading more than $6 billion in strategic transactions since joining in 2022 as the REIT’s inaugural CIO. His exit marks a notable leadership change for the multifamily landlord, given his role in shaping CAPREIT’s acquisitions, dispositions, capital allocation, development initiatives and investor relations, potentially prompting investor focus on how the REIT will sustain its recent strategic and capital markets momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackM&A Transactions
CAPREIT Expands Portfolio with $293 Million in Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) has strategically acquired six rental properties across Canada for a total of $292.5 million, enhancing its portfolio with modern and well-located assets. These acquisitions, along with a $94 million investment in its Normal Course Issuer Bid program, reflect CAPREIT’s focus on strengthening its rental apartment portfolio’s quality and cash flow performance, positioning itself for continued growth in the Canadian real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
CAPREIT Announces December Distribution and Special Non-Cash Distribution
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) announced its December 2025 monthly distribution of $0.12917 per Unit, payable on January 15, 2026. Additionally, a special non-cash distribution of $0.90 per Unit will be issued on December 31, 2025, in the form of Additional Units to distribute net capital gains realized during the year. This special distribution will be followed by a unit consolidation to maintain the same number of outstanding Units. The announcement impacts unitholders by adjusting their income tax considerations and maintaining the value of their holdings.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
CAPREIT Declares November 2025 Distribution
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

CAPREIT announced its November 2025 monthly distribution of $0.12916 per Unit, payable on December 15, 2025, to Unitholders of record as of November 28, 2025. This announcement underscores CAPREIT’s ongoing commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the rental housing market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
CAPREIT Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Revenue Decline
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

CAPREIT reported its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a decrease in operating revenues and net income compared to the previous year. Despite these declines, the company maintained strong occupancy rates and increased its average monthly rent in both its Canadian and Netherlands portfolios. The financial metrics indicate a stable debt service coverage ratio and a slight increase in the weighted average mortgage interest rate, reflecting CAPREIT’s ongoing commitment to financial stability and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CAPREIT Reports Decreased Revenue and Income in Q3 2025 Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

CAPREIT reported its third-quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a decrease in operating revenues and net income compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company maintained a strong occupancy rate in its Canadian portfolio and increased its average monthly rent. The results reflect a challenging market environment, with a notable reduction in the number of suites and sites, and a decrease in investment properties’ fair value. CAPREIT’s financial metrics, such as the debt-to-gross book value ratio and interest coverage ratio, indicate stable financial health, although there is a decrease in cash and cash equivalents and available borrowing capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
CAPREIT Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) has appointed Francine Moore to its Board of Trustees, effective November 7, 2025. With over 25 years of experience in the real estate industry, including her tenure as President of Homestead Land Holdings Limited, Moore’s expertise is expected to significantly benefit CAPREIT’s board. This strategic appointment is anticipated to enhance CAPREIT’s industry positioning and operational effectiveness, potentially impacting stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CAR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Apartment stock, see the TSE:CAR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025