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Morguard NA REIT UN (TSE:MRG.UN)
TSX:MRG.UN
Canadian Market
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Morguard NA REIT UN (MRG.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MRG.UN

Morguard NA REIT UN

(TSX:MRG.UN)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$19.50
▲(11.43% Upside)
Morguard NA REIT UN's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could pose a risk. The stock's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield are significant positives, but declining profit margins and cash flow growth need attention.

Morguard NA REIT UN (MRG.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Morguard NA REIT UN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMorguard North American Real Estate Investment Trust (MRG.UN) is a real estate investment trust that invests in a diversified portfolio of income-producing properties across North America. The REIT primarily focuses on acquiring, owning, and managing retail, office, and industrial properties. With a strategy centered on enhancing property values and generating consistent returns, Morguard aims to provide sustainable income and capital appreciation for its unitholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyMorguard NA REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. The REIT leases space to tenants in its retail, office, and industrial sectors, which provides a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, MRG.UN may benefit from property management fees and other ancillary services related to its real estate holdings. Key revenue streams include long-term leases with tenants, which often include built-in rent escalations, and the potential for property appreciation over time, enhancing overall asset value. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to expand its portfolio and leverage additional resources, further contributing to its earnings.

Morguard NA REIT UN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong asset growth and rent increases in Canada offset by significant net loss and decreased occupancy in the U.S. Interest expense rise and operational challenges contributed to a cautious outlook.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Assets
Total assets increased to $4.4 billion in Q3 2024, up from $4.1 billion at the end of 2023, due to a fair value increase on real estate properties and foreign exchange rate fluctuations.
Strong Canadian Rent Growth
Average monthly rent in Canada increased by 6% compared to 2023, with a 24.1% AMR growth on suite turnover.
Increase in Annual Cash Distribution
Annual cash distribution increased by $0.02 per unit, a 2.7% increase, to $0.76 per unit.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Loss
Net loss of $18.8 million for Q3 2024 compared to net income of $39.2 million in 2023, primarily due to noncash items such as a $99.7 million increase in fair value loss on Class B LP units.
Decrease in U.S. Occupancy
U.S. occupancy decreased to 91.7% from 93.7% in 2023, driven by turnover during the summer leasing season.
Interest Expense Increase
Interest expense increased by $5.5 million compared to Q3 2023, primarily due to higher principal and interest rates.
Decrease in Net Operating Income
IFRS net operating income decreased by $0.4 million or 0.7% compared to 2023, with NOI in the U.S. decreasing by 4%.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for MRG.UN.TO, several key financial metrics and guidance were provided. The REIT's total assets increased to $4.4 billion, up from $4.1 billion at the end of 2023, due to factors including a fair value increase in real estate properties. They reported $103.3 million in cash and a $1.7 billion long-term debt. Mortgage payables have a weighted average term of 5.1 years and an interest rate of 3.87%. The debt-to-gross book value ratio slightly increased to 38.9%. The REIT repurchased about 1.1 million units under the NCIB at an average price of $16.94, with an IFRS net asset value per unit at $41.30. The annual cash distribution was increased by 2.7% to $0.76 per unit. Despite a net loss of $18.8 million, mostly due to non-cash items, the REIT saw a net operating income of $52 million, a slight decrease from the previous year. In Canada, the average monthly rent rose by 6% to $1,754, while in the U.S., it increased by 2% to USD 1,911. Canadian occupancy was at 97.8%, and U.S. occupancy at 91.7%. The REIT also completed $31.8 million in capital expenditures. Looking ahead, the REIT plans to continue with its share buyback strategy and is exploring acquisition opportunities, particularly where cap rates are favorable.

Morguard NA REIT UN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Morguard NA REIT UN shows strong revenue growth and efficient operations with a solid income statement. However, declining profit margins and cash flow growth are concerns. The balance sheet is stable, but there is room for improvement in return on equity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 79.5%, indicating robust expansion. Gross profit margin is healthy at 47.8%, though it has decreased from previous years. Net profit margin is solid at 26.97%, but has declined from 29.59% in the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90, showing a slight increase from previous years. Return on equity is moderate at 4.82%, indicating room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong asset base relative to liabilities.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable at 0.27, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.0, indicating good cash conversion from profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue352.49M344.19M331.62M278.49M245.57M248.68M
Gross Profit168.43M186.38M180.24M131.86M115.10M120.30M
EBITDA171.75M179.27M254.03M149.68M68.22M139.29M
Net Income95.05M101.86M176.34M219.28M242.09M175.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.54B4.57B4.10B3.93B3.47B3.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments66.00M51.26M17.82M14.64M26.56M27.30M
Total Debt1.77B1.79B1.56B1.48B1.38B1.31B
Total Liabilities2.46B2.46B2.14B2.08B1.91B1.74B
Stockholders Equity1.97B2.00B1.85B1.75B1.48B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow92.85M97.50M88.97M75.17M63.70M50.13M
Operating Cash Flow92.85M97.50M88.97M75.17M63.70M50.13M
Investing Cash Flow-64.51M-59.40M-209.01M-11.06M-31.30M-28.06M
Financing Cash Flow-89.48M-6.74M120.84M-78.88M-33.05M-11.57M

Morguard NA REIT UN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.50
Price Trends
50DMA
18.05
Negative
100DMA
18.07
Negative
200DMA
17.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
43.27
Neutral
STOCH
21.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MRG.UN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.66, below the 50-day MA of 18.05, and above the 200-day MA of 17.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:MRG.UN.

Morguard NA REIT UN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
C$486.85M7.047.26%3.95%-1.21%
68
Neutral
C$898.29M7.406.37%4.34%3.83%63.32%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
C$758.36M9.275.58%9.07%-26.40%
58
Neutral
C$1.87B-10.78-7.49%2.97%1.56%-9446.15%
55
Neutral
$598.06M-3.37%8.84%-21.40%71.00%
52
Neutral
C$631.07M-9.21-3.64%4.88%-6.91%82.31%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
17.50
-0.18
-1.03%
TSE:DRM
DREAM Un Cl A
18.05
-8.44
-31.85%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
13.38
2.98
28.64%
TSE:AX.UN
Artis Real Estate Investment
6.79
-0.50
-6.92%
TSE:HOM.UN
BSR Real Estate Investment Trust
16.11
-1.68
-9.45%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
13.15
-0.46
-3.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025