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Morguard NA REIT UN (TSE:MRG.UN)
TSX:MRG.UN
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Morguard NA REIT UN (MRG.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MRG.UN

Morguard NA REIT UN

(TSX:MRG.UN)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$18.00
▲(0.84% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/30/26
The score is supported primarily by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield) and a stable-but-not-standout financial profile with manageable but meaningful leverage. The main offset is weak technical momentum, with the price trading below key moving averages and bearish RSI readings.
Positive Factors
Stable recurring rental revenue model
MRG.UN’s core business is multi-suite residential rentals, giving it durable recurring cash inflows from monthly rents. This business model produces predictable revenue streams and occupancy-linked cash flow that support operations and long-term financing plans across cycles.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage with limited flexibility
Debt roughly equal to equity (D/E ~0.89) raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. In a higher-rate or tighter credit environment this leverage reduces strategic optionality, increases cash required for debt service, and constrains acquisition or capex capacity over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable recurring rental revenue model
MRG.UN’s core business is multi-suite residential rentals, giving it durable recurring cash inflows from monthly rents. This business model produces predictable revenue streams and occupancy-linked cash flow that support operations and long-term financing plans across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Morguard NA REIT UN (MRG.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Morguard NA REIT UN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The REIT is an unincorporated, open-ended real estate investment trust established under and governed by the laws of the Province of Ontario. The Units of the REIT trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol MRG.UN. With a strategi...
How the Company Makes Money
The REIT primarily makes money by generating rental income from its residential properties. Tenants pay monthly rent, which forms the core recurring revenue stream and is supported by ancillary rental-related income where applicable (null). The RE...

Morguard NA REIT UN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong asset growth and rent increases in Canada offset by significant net loss and decreased occupancy in the U.S. Interest expense rise and operational challenges contributed to a cautious outlook.
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Assets
Total assets increased to $4.4 billion in Q3 2024, up from $4.1 billion at the end of 2023, due to a fair value increase on real estate properties and foreign exchange rate fluctuations.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Loss
Net loss of $18.8 million for Q3 2024 compared to net income of $39.2 million in 2023, primarily due to noncash items such as a $99.7 million increase in fair value loss on Class B LP units.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Negative
Increase in Total Assets
Total assets increased to $4.4 billion in Q3 2024, up from $4.1 billion at the end of 2023, due to a fair value increase on real estate properties and foreign exchange rate fluctuations.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for MRG.UN.TO, several key financial metrics and guidance were provided. The REIT's total assets increased to $4.4 billion, up from $4.1 billion at the end of 2023, due to factors including a fair value increase in real estate properties. They reported $103.3 million in cash and a $1.7 billion long-term debt. Mortgage payables have a weighted average term of 5.1 years and an interest rate of 3.87%. The debt-to-gross book value ratio slightly increased to 38.9%. The REIT repurchased about 1.1 million units under the NCIB at an average price of $16.94, with an IFRS net asset value per unit at $41.30. The annual cash distribution was increased by 2.7% to $0.76 per unit. Despite a net loss of $18.8 million, mostly due to non-cash items, the REIT saw a net operating income of $52 million, a slight decrease from the previous year. In Canada, the average monthly rent rose by 6% to $1,754, while in the U.S., it increased by 2% to USD 1,911. Canadian occupancy was at 97.8%, and U.S. occupancy at 91.7%. The REIT also completed $31.8 million in capital expenditures. Looking ahead, the REIT plans to continue with its share buyback strategy and is exploring acquisition opportunities, particularly where cap rates are favorable.

Morguard NA REIT UN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid but mid-range: TTM revenue is slightly down (~-1.1%), profitability remains healthy, but earnings have been volatile versus prior years. Leverage is meaningful (debt-to-equity ~0.89) with modest current ROE (~5%). Cash flow is steady with improved FCF growth, though cash conversion versus reported earnings is a key watch item.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue350.84M354.65M344.19M331.62M278.49M245.57M
Gross Profit166.90M166.49M186.38M180.24M131.86M115.10M
EBITDA220.73M197.05M179.27M254.03M149.68M68.22M
Net Income102.29M102.97M101.86M176.34M219.28M242.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.62B4.54B4.57B4.10B3.93B3.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.32M114.63M51.26M17.82M14.64M26.56M
Total Debt1.78B1.77B1.79B1.56B1.48B1.38B
Total Liabilities2.46B2.43B2.46B2.14B2.08B1.91B
Stockholders Equity2.05B1.99B2.00B1.85B1.75B1.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.09M87.76M97.50M88.97M75.17M63.70M
Operating Cash Flow90.09M87.76M97.50M88.97M75.17M63.70M
Investing Cash Flow-76.98M-71.30M-59.40M-209.01M-11.06M-31.30M
Financing Cash Flow19.82M49.14M-6.74M120.84M-78.88M-33.05M

Morguard NA REIT UN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.85
Price Trends
50DMA
17.73
Positive
100DMA
17.54
Positive
200DMA
17.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
62.99
Neutral
STOCH
83.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MRG.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.08, above the 50-day MA of 17.73, and above the 200-day MA of 17.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MRG.UN.

Morguard NA REIT UN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
C$878.97M5.865.16%4.41%-4.11%-13.14%
61
Neutral
C$2.08B69.280.93%4.42%5.44%-96.13%
60
Neutral
C$1.85B27.540.81%3.01%1.16%
57
Neutral
C$638.88M-3.537.26%3.87%-1.50%-308.96%
49
Neutral
C$641.89M-6.29-3.64%4.57%-12.59%-78.11%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
16.79
0.25
1.54%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
13.18
2.15
19.52%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
17.01
-0.20
-1.19%
TSE:HOM.UN
BSR Real Estate Investment Trust
16.32
-0.53
-3.12%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
17.50
4.29
32.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026