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Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:CHP.UN)
TSX:CHP.UN
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Choice Properties Real Estate Investment (CHP.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CHP.UN

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment

(TSX:CHP.UN)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$15.00
â–²(1.42% Upside)
The overall score reflects significant challenges in financial performance due to high leverage and negative profitability, partially offset by strong earnings call results and stable technical indicators. The attractive dividend yield provides some valuation support, but the negative P/E ratio remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment (CHP.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChoice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CHP.UN) is a Canadian real estate investment trust that primarily focuses on the ownership, operation, and development of retail and commercial properties. The company’s portfolio is largely anchored by its strategic partnership with Loblaw Companies Limited, which provides a robust tenant base and long-term leases. Choice Properties operates in the retail, industrial, and office sectors, aiming to deliver sustainable value through a diversified property portfolio across Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyChoice Properties generates revenue primarily through leasing its retail, industrial, and office spaces to tenants. The company earns rental income from long-term leases, which are typically structured to provide stable cash flows. A significant portion of its revenue is derived from its partnership with Loblaw Companies Limited, as many of its properties are leased to Loblaw stores, ensuring consistent occupancy and rental income. Additionally, the company may engage in property development and redevelopment projects, which can enhance the value of its portfolio and create new revenue streams. Other income can be generated from property management services and ancillary services related to its properties.

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in the second quarter, with significant achievements in occupancy, leasing spreads, and successful capital transactions. Despite some challenges in the residential market and strategic lease terminations, the overall outlook remains positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Near Full Occupancy
Achieved a near full occupancy rate of 97.8%, indicating strong demand for their assets.
FFO Per Unit Growth
Delivered a 3.9% growth in FFO per unit, showcasing solid financial performance.
Exceptional Leasing Spreads
Achieved exceptional leasing spreads of 24%, highlighting the quality of their assets.
Strong Industrial Portfolio Performance
Industrial portfolio occupancy increased by 30 basis points to 98% with strong leasing spreads.
Capital Recycling Program Success
Completed approximately $427 million in total real estate transactions, enhancing portfolio quality.
Loblaw Lease Renewals
Renewed 39 Loblaw locations totaling 2.5 million square feet at an 8.6% increase over expiring rents.
Negative Updates
Residential Market Softening
Observed some softening in residential markets as new supply comes online.
Strategic Lease Terminations Impacting Retention
Tenant retention impacted by strategic lease terminations, decreasing overall retention rate.
Company Guidance
During the Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust's Q2 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted to illustrate the company's strong performance and strategic direction. The company maintained near full occupancy levels at 97.8%, driven by robust demand for grocery-anchored retail and industrial assets. It achieved a 3.9% growth in funds from operations (FFO) per unit and exceptional leasing spreads of 24%, reflecting the high quality of its assets. The industrial portfolio saw occupancy increase by 30 basis points to 98%, and the company executed approximately $427 million in total real estate transactions, enhancing its portfolio quality. Additionally, the company completed 321,000 square feet of new leasing and achieved strong renewal spreads, with retail lease renewal spreads averaging 13.2% above expiring rents and industrial lease rate renewals averaging 38.9% above expiry. Same-Asset Net Operating Income (NOI) grew by 1.4%, and the company's IFRS Net Asset Value (NAV) increased by 1.5% to $14.38 per unit. These metrics underscore Choice Properties' resilience and strategic execution in a stable yet uncertain macroeconomic environment.

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Choice Properties faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability in the TTM period. Strong gross margins and cash flow generation are positive, but high leverage and negative profitability metrics pose significant risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue growth and negative net profit margin in the TTM period. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating effective cost management. However, the negative EBIT margin in the TTM suggests operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk. The equity ratio is stable, but the negative return on equity in the TTM highlights profitability issues. Overall, the balance sheet shows moderate stability with potential risks due to high leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, reliance on free cash flow to net income remains high, indicating potential cash flow volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.38B1.37B1.43B1.26B1.29B1.27B
Gross Profit991.90M978.57M1.04B900.64M912.01M886.60M
EBITDA467.26M1.37B1.14B1.28B956.90M981.61M
Net Income-121.55M784.44M796.69M744.25M23.01M450.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.72B17.56B17.31B16.82B16.17B15.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.36M63.39M252.42M64.74M84.30M207.22M
Total Debt6.82B6.68B6.70B6.55B6.23B6.49B
Total Liabilities13.20B12.66B12.94B13.00B12.86B12.12B
Stockholders Equity4.52B4.90B4.37B3.82B3.31B3.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow726.49M724.73M641.97M1.01B773.41M507.76M
Operating Cash Flow726.49M724.73M641.97M633.15M669.43M621.18M
Investing Cash Flow-716.84M-584.21M-361.35M-616.73M-64.12M155.19M
Financing Cash Flow-603.88M-329.56M-92.94M-35.99M-728.22M-611.15M

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.79
Price Trends
50DMA
14.58
Positive
100DMA
14.57
Positive
200DMA
13.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
49.50
Neutral
STOCH
4.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CHP.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.85, above the 50-day MA of 14.58, and above the 200-day MA of 13.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CHP.UN.

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
3.94B8.8716.70%5.83%4.26%72.02%
75
Outperform
5.67B20.273.87%5.91%17.42%377.43%
75
Outperform
1.66B26.703.12%5.50%23.01%-50.29%
73
Outperform
4.14B15.846.53%4.67%2.53%0.00%
72
Outperform
4.56B20.714.43%6.92%7.01%-15.80%
59
Neutral
$10.71B19.74-2.85%5.33%1.46%-118.83%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CHP.UN
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment
14.79
0.41
2.84%
RIOCF
RioCan Real Estate Investment
13.97
-0.33
-2.31%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
16.46
1.38
9.15%
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
19.47
1.63
9.14%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
26.74
1.62
6.45%
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
15.54
0.50
3.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025