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Boston Pizza Fnd Un (TSE:BPF.UN)
TSX:BPF.UN
Canadian Market

Boston Pizza Fund (BPF.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BPF.UN

Boston Pizza Fund

(TSX:BPF.UN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$28.00
▲(21.69% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financials (steady revenue and positive, growing free cash flow) and supportive valuation (reasonable P/E and strong yield). These are tempered by higher 2025 leverage/uncertainty around margin and cash-conversion quality, plus technical indicators that look overbought, and an earnings-call watch item around payout ratio sustainability (despite strong operating momentum).
Positive Factors
Royalty business model
The Fund's royalty model converts franchise sales into recurring revenue without operating restaurants, lowering operating leverage and capex needs. This structure generates predictable cash flows tied to franchise performance and supports durable distributions and scalable upside as the brand grows.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage in 2025
An uptick in debt increases financial risk and reduces balance-sheet flexibility. Higher leverage raises interest exposure and limits capacity for acquisitions or developer support, potentially constraining the Fund's ability to fund renovations, support franchisees or maintain distributions during downturns.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Royalty business model
The Fund's royalty model converts franchise sales into recurring revenue without operating restaurants, lowering operating leverage and capex needs. This structure generates predictable cash flows tied to franchise performance and supports durable distributions and scalable upside as the brand grows.
Read all positive factors

Boston Pizza Fund (BPF.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Boston Pizza Fund Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund operates as a limited purpose open-ended trust. The company, indirectly through Boston Pizza Royalties Limited Partnership, owns trade-marks used by Boston Pizza International Inc. It operates and franchises Bost...
How the Company Makes Money
Boston Pizza Fund makes money primarily through the collection of royalty income from Boston Pizza International Inc. (BPI), which operates the Boston Pizza restaurants. The fund receives a percentage of the franchise revenues generated by the Bos...

Boston Pizza Fund Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a largely positive performance: record annual franchise sales, solid same-restaurant sales, growth in royalty/distribution income, higher net income and distributable cash per unit, successful marketing and significant renovation activity. Key negatives were a higher payout ratio (largely due to a one-time special distribution), increased income taxes and no openings in 2025. Management emphasized sustainable monthly distributions, a renewed development pipeline for 2026, and continued promotional initiatives, indicating confidence in ongoing momentum.
Positive Updates
Record Annual Franchise Sales
Boston Pizza Restaurants achieved the highest annual total franchise sales in brand history: $976.3 million for FY2025, up 4.8% versus FY2024 ($931.7 million).
Negative Updates
Elevated Payout Ratio Due to Special Distribution
Payout ratio rose to 127.3% in Q4 2025 (vs 118.4% in Q4 2024) and 101.9% for the year (vs 99.9% in 2024), driven by distributions (including the special $0.11) increasing faster than distributable cash. Without the special distribution, Q4 and year payout ratios would have been 97.5% and 94.5%, respectively.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Annual Franchise Sales
Boston Pizza Restaurants achieved the highest annual total franchise sales in brand history: $976.3 million for FY2025, up 4.8% versus FY2024 ($931.7 million).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call guided that the trustees approved a monthly cash distribution of $0.12 per unit for January 2026 (payable Feb. 27, 2026; record date Feb. 21, 2026) and emphasized sustainability and close monitoring of available cash balances (after a special $0.11/unit distribution paid Dec. 31, 2025); operational guidance highlighted Q1 marketing and menu initiatives (Popular Pasta Tuesday with pastas from $11.99/$15.99, Valentine’s heart‑shaped pizzas with $1 donated per pizza, gift‑card promo of $50 → $10 promotional card redeemable Jan–Mar 2026, NFL/Pepsi and upcoming Olympics/World Cup activations) and continued restaurant investment (9 renovations in Q4, 40 in 2025 and a similar ~40 renovation target for 2026, two new restaurant projects pushed from 2025 into early 2026), while key recent metrics noted were Q4 franchise sales $244.4M / FY $976.3M (+4.3% Q4, +4.8% Y/Y), SRS +3.7% Q4 / +4.7% FY, royalty income $9.8M Q4 / $39.1M FY, distribution income $3.2M Q4 / $12.8M FY, cash from operations $9.9M Q4 / $39.7M FY, distributable cash $7.9M Q4 / $31.6M FY (per unit $0.369 Q4 / $1.487 FY), and payout ratios 127.3% Q4 (97.5% ex‑special) and 101.9% FY (94.5% ex‑special); management reiterated focus on supporting franchisees and driving sustainable, long‑term growth (average sales per location ≈ $3.3M).

Boston Pizza Fund Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth and consistently positive/free-cash-flow generation support fundamentals, and profitability improved into 2025. Offsetting factors are the notable increase in debt in 2025 and signs that profitability/cash conversion may include volatility or non-recurring effects (unusually high margins and a sharp drop in operating cash flow coverage in 2025).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.78M51.89M49.51M49.19M45.47M35.15M
Gross Profit50.72M51.62M49.51M49.19M45.47M35.15M
EBITDA58.05M65.14M51.97M47.30M46.96M554.00K
Net Income36.61M42.17M31.87M29.57M30.58M37.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets435.95M449.45M422.89M413.06M413.70M411.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.31M3.89M4.57M4.59M5.21M5.16M
Total Debt86.57M141.54M97.06M123.76M86.44M126.02M
Total Liabilities147.30M159.41M142.66M134.17M133.12M135.51M
Stockholders Equity288.65M290.05M280.22M278.89M280.58M275.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.61M39.70M38.12M37.93M34.35M29.18M
Operating Cash Flow38.61M39.70M38.12M37.93M34.35M30.48M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.00-1.29M
Financing Cash Flow-38.49M-40.38M-38.14M-38.55M-34.30M-33.01M

Boston Pizza Fund Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
14.429.03%7.99%-62.68%
71
Outperform
11.4013.06%6.19%4.43%23.32%
69
Neutral
C$523.32M16.6210.35%5.98%1.35%-1.11%
62
Neutral
C$891.86M16.4227.32%5.07%-2.54%-10.57%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
C$50.42B50.4225.66%3.58%19.92%-18.34%
67
Neutral
C$930.33M7.283.64%3.51%1.38%-64.10%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BPF.UN
Boston Pizza Fund
25.20
9.49
60.39%
TSE:PZA
Pizza Pizza Royalty
15.69
3.38
27.41%
TSE:QSP.UN
Restaurant BrndLP
109.26
22.05
25.28%
TSE:SRV.UN
SIR Royalty Income
15.42
4.17
37.05%
TSE:MTY
MTY Food Group
40.73
2.94
7.77%
TSE:AW
A & W Food Services of Canada Inc.
37.15
7.63
25.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026