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A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. (TSE:AW)
TSX:AW
Canadian Market
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A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. (AW) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AW

A & W Food Services of Canada Inc.

(TSX:AW)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$40.00
▲(5.40% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's strong technical analysis indicators, which suggest a positive trend. However, the high P/E ratio and financial challenges, such as high leverage and declining cash flow, weigh down the score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. (AW) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionA & W Food Services of Canada Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants in Canada. The company offers burgers, chicken products, fries, onion rings, breakfast items, and kid's packs, as well as soft drinks and beer under the A&W brand name. It also offers its products online. A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. was founded in 1956 and is based in North Vancouver, Canada. It has additional locations in Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyA & W Food Services of Canada Inc. generates revenue primarily through its franchising model, where franchisees pay initial fees and ongoing royalties based on their sales. Additionally, the company profits from company-operated restaurants, which contribute directly to sales revenue. Key revenue streams include the sale of food and beverages at its locations, promotional partnerships, and limited-time offers that drive customer traffic. A & W also benefits from strategic marketing campaigns and collaborations that enhance brand visibility and customer loyalty, contributing to overall earnings.

A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. displays strong profitability with a solid EBITDA margin of 27.88% and efficient cash flow management. However, challenges include a slight decline in revenue growth and high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests significant risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a gross profit margin of 46.61% and a net profit margin of 4.58%, indicating decent profitability. The revenue growth rate is slightly negative at -1.57% from 2023 to 2024, showing a slight decline, but the EBIT margin improved to 17.70%, and the EBITDA margin is solid at 27.88%. Overall, the company shows strong profitability, although revenue growth poses a concern.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is high, with total debt significantly outweighing equity, suggesting high leverage. However, the return on equity (ROE) is not calculable due to negative equity in previous periods. The equity ratio stands at 13.63% for TTM, indicating moderate equity presence. While leverage is a risk, the company has managed to maintain its asset base.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -7.95%, indicating a decline, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, showcasing efficient cash earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting good cash generation relative to reported net income. Despite a dip in free cash flow growth, cash flow management appears effective.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue299.11M292.30M299.31M299.36M
Gross Profit172.27M248.26M244.45M131.52M
EBITDA95.44M72.42M64.12M62.58M
Net Income17.19M11.88M24.11M35.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23B1.21B924.59M886.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.71M22.53M3.85M5.04M
Total Debt899.04M915.36M659.13M631.04M
Total Liabilities1.02B1.04B1.05B1.02B
Stockholders Equity209.50M163.68M-211.93M-216.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.91M58.32M12.95M14.20M
Operating Cash Flow50.38M61.23M18.95M15.88M
Investing Cash Flow-178.17M-168.38M5.13M-4.63M
Financing Cash Flow128.17M125.83M-25.26M-15.88M

A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price37.95
Price Trends
50DMA
38.17
Negative
100DMA
35.46
Positive
200DMA
34.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
48.76
Neutral
STOCH
31.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 37.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.37, below the 50-day MA of 38.17, and above the 200-day MA of 34.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:AW.

A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$17.75B12.56-5.49%3.02%1.43%-14.12%
56
Neutral
53.6239.10%3.50%2.91%-50.13%
$395.46M17.4910.14%5.60%
45
Neutral
C$19.69M
-2.40%9.13%
C$29.00M6.84%
$645.53M23.894.59%3.23%
C$50.19M-7.73%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AW
A & W Food Services of Canada Inc.
38.17
-1.61
-4.05%
PZRIF
Pizza Pizza Royalty
11.86
2.93
32.81%
TSE:ODD
Odd Burger Corporation
0.20
0.04
25.00%
TSE:AEG
Aegis Brands
0.34
-0.06
-15.00%
MTYFF
MTY Food Group
28.07
-2.91
-9.39%
TSE:FRSH
Fresh Factory B.C. Ltd.
0.98
0.06
6.52%

A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
A&W Announces Retirement of Key Executive Neil Farmer
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. announced the retirement of Neil Farmer, Vice President of Restaurants, effective December 31, 2025. Farmer, who began his career with A&W as a part-time employee, has been instrumental in fostering strong relationships with franchisees and developing a robust operations team. His departure marks a significant transition for the company, with succession plans to be announced soon, highlighting his impactful leadership and dedication to A&W’s growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AW) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. stock, see the TSE:AW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
A&W Food Services Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Growth
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. reported a strong second quarter for fiscal 2025, with notable financial growth and strategic initiatives. The company opened four new restaurants and achieved a 3.4% increase in system sales, driven by successful marketing campaigns and the launch of a new loyalty program, A&W Rewards. Financial highlights include a 7% increase in revenue to $68.8 million and a 63% rise in income before taxes to $17.2 million. These results underscore A&W’s effective market positioning and its commitment to enhancing customer engagement and operational expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AW) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. stock, see the TSE:AW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
A&W Food Services Appoints Darin Harris as New Director
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. has appointed Darin Harris as a new Director, effective August 15, 2025. Harris, currently the CEO of Goddard Systems, LLC, brings extensive leadership experience from various roles in the franchise and restaurant sectors, including CEO positions at Jack in the Box Inc. and Del Taco Restaurants, Inc. His appointment is expected to enhance A&W’s board with his unique perspective and expertise in brand strategy, operations, and franchise development, potentially strengthening the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AW) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. stock, see the TSE:AW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. to Release Q2 Fiscal 2025 Results
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. announced the release of its second-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results on July 24, 2025, before the market opens. The company will also hold a conference call on the same day, where CEO Susan Senecal and CFO Kelly Blankstein will discuss the financial results and provide updates on corporate developments, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perspectives on the company’s performance and strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AW) stock is a Hold with a C$34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. stock, see the TSE:AW Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
A&W Food Services Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

A&W Food Services of Canada Inc. has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.480 per share, payable on June 30, 2025, to shareholders on record as of June 13, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact investor sentiment and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AW) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. stock, see the TSE:AW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025