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Black Diamond Group (TSE:BDI)
TSX:BDI

Black Diamond (BDI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BDI

Black Diamond

(TSX:BDI)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$17.50
â–²(4.92% Upside)
Black Diamond's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors, indicating robust growth and profitability. However, technical indicators and valuation suggest caution, with a high P/E ratio and neutral market momentum.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Profitability
Very strong TTM revenue growth and healthy gross and net margins indicate the business scales revenue without proportionate margin erosion. This suggests durable demand, pricing power or product mix strength and supports sustainable earnings growth and reinvestment capacity over the medium term.
Balance Sheet Health
A moderate D/E and near-50% equity financing provide a stable capital structure that supports investment and acquisition activity while limiting solvency risk. Reasonable ROE shows effective equity use, giving the company durable financial flexibility for strategic initiatives.
Cash Generation & Capital Allocation
Improving quarterly free cash flow and strong liquidity support sustained dividend increases and disciplined M&A. Reliable cash generation provides a durable funding source for organic capex and strategic acquisitions without excessive reliance on external financing, strengthening long-term growth optionality.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow Growth
A notable decline in free cash flow growth and low FCF relative to earnings signal weaker ability to convert profits into distributable cash. Over time this can constrain reinvestment, dividend funding and M&A, making long-term growth and financial flexibility more sensitive to operating shocks.
Rising Total Debt Trend
Although leverage is moderate now, the trend of rising total debt increases interest and refinancing exposure. If growth slows or margins compress, higher debt servicing needs could crowd out capex or dividends and reduce resilience to cyclical downturns over the medium term.
Contract Visibility & Sector Exposure
A decline in contracted rental revenue and exposure to the education sector’s funding cycles reduce forward revenue visibility. Structural reliance on specific customer segments and contractual backlog makes top-line and utilization rates vulnerable to policy or funding shifts, weakening long-term predictability.

Black Diamond (BDI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Black Diamond Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlack Diamond Group Limited rents and sells modular space and workforce accommodation solutions. It operates through two segments, Modular Space Solutions and Workforce Solutions. The Modular Space Solutions segment provides modular space rentals to customers in the construction, real estate development, education, manufacturing, health care, financial, government, and defense industries in North America. Its products include office units, lavatories, storage units, large multi-unit office complexes, classroom facilities, banking and health care facilities, custom manufactured modular facilities, and blast resistant structures. This segment also sells new and used space rentals units; and provides delivery, installation, project management, and ancillary products and services. The Workforce Solutions segment provides workforce housing solutions, including rental of accommodations and surface equipment, and provision of turnkey lodging and travel management logistics services in Canada, the United States, and Australia. This segment also provides associated services, such as installation, transportation, dismantlement, and sale of used fleet assets. This segment primarily serves the resource, infrastructure, construction, disaster recovery, and education sectors. company also provides specialized field rentals to oil and gas industries. Black Diamond Group Limited markets its rental assets, custom sales, and ancillary products and services through in-house sales personnel, its website, social media, web campaigns, and its digital marketplace. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlack Diamond generates revenue primarily through the sale of its outdoor equipment and apparel, which is distributed through various channels including specialty outdoor retailers, online platforms, and international distributors. The company has established key partnerships with retail chains and e-commerce platforms to expand its market reach. In addition to product sales, BDI also benefits from brand loyalty and a strong community presence within the climbing and skiing industries, which drives repeat purchases and customer engagement. Seasonal demand fluctuations, particularly during peak climbing and skiing seasons, contribute to revenue variations. Furthermore, Black Diamond invests in research and development to continually enhance its product offerings, which can lead to increased sales and market share.

Black Diamond Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted solid financial performance with increased revenue, profit, and free cash flow. The company showed strong growth in its Modular Space Solutions and LodgeLink platforms. However, there were concerns regarding a slight decrease in future contracted rental revenue and challenges in the education sector affecting MSS non-rental revenue. Overall, the positive aspects, including increased dividends and strong cash flow, outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Revenue and Profit
Consolidated quarterly revenue of $105.3 million increased 4%, contributing to adjusted EBITDA of $31.8 million, 10% above the comparative quarter. Profit for the third quarter increased 65% to $12.2 million.
Dividend Increase
Announced an increase to the dividend of 29% to $0.045 per share, starting with the fourth quarter of this year, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase since reinstatement in 2021.
Modular Space Solutions Performance
MSS unit achieved a rental revenue record of $28.1 million, up 15% from the comparative quarter, with a compound annual growth rate of 23% from Q3 2020 to Q3 2025.
LodgeLink Growth
Room night bookings reached over 148,000, driving gross bookings to $35.7 million, up 31% from the comparative quarter, resulting in net revenue of $4.3 million, up 26%.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Third quarter free cash flow of $23 million, up 17% from the comparative quarter, driven by higher revenue and declines in maintenance capital and interest costs.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Future Contracted Rental Revenue
Future contracted rental revenue decreased by 3% from the comparative period, although it increased 4% on a sequential basis.
Decline in MSS Non-Rental Revenue
MSS non-rental revenue of $18.2 million was down 17% from a strong comparative quarter.
Uncertainty in Education Sector
Mentioned a degree of hesitation in the education sector in the U.S. affecting custom sales and rental dynamics due to government funding uncertainties.
Company Guidance
In the Black Diamond Group's third-quarter 2025 results conference call, the company reported a consolidated quarterly revenue of $105.3 million, marking a 4% increase compared to the same quarter last year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $31.8 million, which is 10% higher than the previous year. The profit for the third quarter rose significantly by 65% to $12.2 million, increasing the basic EPS by 58% to $0.19 per share. Rental revenue, considered the core of Black Diamond's business, reached $41.3 million, a 9% rise from the comparative quarter, attributed to increased capital investment in fleet assets. Capital expenditures for the quarter stood at $19.6 million, down 18% from the comparative quarter. The company announced a 29% increase in its dividend to $0.045 per share, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase since 2021. Despite a slight 3% decrease in future contracted rental revenue, the company expressed confidence in stable rental run rates, supported by $159 million in future contracted rental revenue as of September 30, 2025. The Modular Space Solutions unit reported a 15% increase in rental revenue, while Workforce Solutions saw a 12% increase in consolidated revenue. With a net debt of $197.1 million and liquidity of nearly $230 million, Black Diamond is positioned to fund the anticipated acquisition of Royal Camp Services by year-end. The company remains optimistic about future growth prospects, particularly in Canada, and plans to scale its operations in the U.S. and the Asia Pacific region, supported by a stable balance sheet and ongoing capital allocation for organic and inorganic growth strategies.

Black Diamond Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Black Diamond demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, though rising debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is particularly impressive, providing a solid foundation for future investments and debt servicing.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Black Diamond has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM growth rate of 2.29%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 40.64% and a net profit margin of 6.96% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 13.60% and 25.33%, respectively. However, there is a slight decline in gross profit margin compared to the previous year, which could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is 9.58%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 41.83%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow performance is robust, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 304.78% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.30, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.07, but this is offset by the substantial growth in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue445.65M403.00M393.50M324.54M339.55M179.86M
Gross Profit190.50M183.77M174.45M138.14M111.63M72.21M
EBITDA118.06M102.53M98.81M84.27M61.23M35.83M
Net Income36.56M25.65M30.36M26.38M20.36M-2.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets784.17M748.55M647.64M649.44M530.34M511.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.82M13.32M6.51M8.31M4.56M3.68M
Total Debt235.45M262.66M211.74M249.06M179.68M198.56M
Total Liabilities405.26M421.50M353.68M376.90M283.54M285.21M
Stockholders Equity376.03M323.19M290.08M268.53M234.46M212.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.26M2.14M63.91M16.55M33.26M14.06M
Operating Cash Flow111.98M111.36M133.00M70.79M71.14M50.03M
Investing Cash Flow-83.57M-112.25M-68.59M-101.94M-33.63M-109.85M
Financing Cash Flow-33.63M7.53M-65.88M34.51M-36.56M59.04M

Black Diamond Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.68
Price Trends
50DMA
14.50
Positive
100DMA
13.97
Positive
200DMA
11.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Negative
RSI
78.88
Negative
STOCH
83.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BDI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.29, above the 50-day MA of 14.50, and above the 200-day MA of 11.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BDI.

Black Diamond Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$864.03M11.1212.33%5.85%28.20%36.95%
74
Outperform
C$1.60B15.369.33%5.21%5.53%-21.87%
73
Outperform
C$805.59M20.2114.38%3.02%-0.73%221.74%
69
Neutral
C$1.05B27.2910.23%0.93%19.27%47.30%
69
Neutral
C$1.63B17.4021.68%2.88%6.26%0.52%
69
Neutral
C$619.08M13.448.84%5.09%3.71%-12.70%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BDI
Black Diamond
16.68
7.77
87.21%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
29.90
7.89
35.85%
TSE:DBM
Doman Building Materials Group
10.23
2.44
31.32%
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
13.46
6.02
80.91%
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
16.67
2.47
17.39%
TSE:WJX
Wajax Corporation
28.34
7.52
36.12%

Black Diamond Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Black Diamond Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Boosts Dividend
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Black Diamond Group Limited reported a strong third quarter in 2025, with a 9% increase in consolidated rental revenue and a 65% rise in profit compared to the previous year. The company also announced a 29% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting its robust financial performance and strategic acquisitions, including the purchase of Royal Camp Services Ltd. and Spencer Group of Companies. These moves are expected to enhance Black Diamond’s market position and provide significant growth opportunities, particularly in Canada and the Asia-Pacific region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BDI) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Diamond stock, see the TSE:BDI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025