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Chorus Aviation V&VV (TSE:CHR)
TSX:CHR
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Chorus Aviation (CHR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CHR

Chorus Aviation

(TSX:CHR)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$24.00
▲(2.87% Upside)
Chorus Aviation's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with some positive technical indicators and a strong earnings call. The company's strategic initiatives and operational improvements are positive, but valuation concerns and cash flow challenges weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
Chorus Aviation's proactive debt management, including redeeming debentures, reduces financial leverage, enhancing long-term financial stability and flexibility.
Strategic Asset Sales
The sale of aircraft unlocks capital, allowing Chorus to reinvest in higher-return opportunities, strengthening its balance sheet and strategic positioning.
Operational Performance
Strong operational performance by Jazz enhances Chorus's reputation and reliability, supporting sustained partnerships and revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue suggests challenges in maintaining growth, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market competitiveness.
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant decline in free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting Chorus's ability to invest in growth and manage debt effectively.
Geopolitical Impact
Geopolitical challenges affecting contracts can lead to increased costs and strategic shifts, impacting Chorus's revenue and margin stability.

Chorus Aviation (CHR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Chorus Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChorus Aviation Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various aviation support services in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Regional Aviation Services and Regional Aircraft Leasing. The Regional Aviation Services segment includes all three sectors of the regional aviation, such as contract flying, including ACMI and charter operations; aircraft leasing; and maintenance, repair, and overhaul, as well as part sales and technical services. The Regional Aircraft Leasing segment provides aircraft leasing to third-party air operators. As of December 31, 2021, this segment's portfolio of leased aircraft consisted of 62 aircraft of which 56 aircraft were on lease to airline customers, such as 23 Dash 8-400s, 18 ATR72-600s, four CRJ1000s, four E190s, two E195s and five A220-300s. The company was formerly known as Jazz Air Income Fund and changed its name to Chorus Aviation Inc. in January 2011. Chorus Aviation Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Dartmouth, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyChorus Aviation generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from its regional airline operations, where it earns revenue through capacity purchase agreements (CPA) with Air Canada, which provides a stable and predictable cash flow. Under these agreements, Chorus provides airline services using its fleet of regional aircraft, and Air Canada compensates it based on the number of flights operated and the number of available seat miles. Furthermore, Chorus Aviation Capital, the leasing division, generates income by leasing aircraft to other airlines, which includes long-term lease agreements and maintenance services. The company also benefits from maintenance and repair services provided to its aircraft and those of its leasing clients. Strategic partnerships with major airlines and a diverse fleet of regional aircraft enhance its revenue stability and growth potential.

Chorus Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Chorus Aviation reported strong financial results and operational performance, with strategic initiatives like share buybacks and debt repayment. However, challenges such as decreased adjusted EBITDA and geopolitical impacts on contracts were noted. Overall, the positive developments and growth opportunities outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Share Buybacks and Debt Repayment
Chorus Aviation announced the intention to repurchase up to $50 million of common shares and has repurchased $35.2 million year-to-date. The company also completed the redemption of Series B debentures, substantially completing its debt repayment plans.
Successful Sale of Dash 8-400 Aircraft
Executed agreements to sell all 9 Dash 8-400 aircraft for net proceeds of approximately CAD 86 million, unlocking meaningful value.
Expansion in Specialized MRO and Defense Capabilities
Completed the acquisition of Elisen, enhancing specialized MRO and defense capabilities, and enabling higher value opportunities.
Strong Operational Performance and New Contracts
Jazz team delivered solid on-time performance and strong earnings. New contracts were awarded to Voyageur by the Department of National Defense, enhancing aviation support.
Positive Financial Metrics
Adjusted earnings per share increased by 40% compared to last year. Free cash flow increased by $0.7 million, and the leverage ratio was at 1.5, within the targeted range.
Negative Updates
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $2 million compared to last year, primarily due to lower aircraft leasing revenue under the CPA.
Impact of Geopolitical Environment on Contracts
Voyageur faced increased cost pressures due to changes in the geopolitical environment affecting UN and World Food Program contracts, leading to an expedited shift away from lower-margin contracts.
Company Guidance
During the third-quarter 2025 financial results conference call, Chorus Aviation Inc. provided several key metrics and insights into their recent performance and strategic initiatives. The company announced a substantial issuer bid (SIB) with the intent of repurchasing up to $50 million of common shares, adding to the $35.2 million in share buybacks year-to-date, and a total commitment of $124 million since the program's inception in 2022. Chorus also completed the redemption of their Series B debentures, significantly advancing their debt repayment plans. The company declared a second dividend payment of $0.08 per share for the quarter. Financially, Chorus reported adjusted earnings available to common shareholders per share of $0.60, marking a 40% increase over the previous year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $51.6 million, slightly down from $53.6 million last year. Free cash flow was reported at $33.2 million, with a leverage ratio of 1.5. The company also highlighted the successful execution of agreements to sell nine Dash 8-400 aircraft for net proceeds of approximately CAD 86 million. Voyageur's revenue increased by approximately $10 million year-to-date, despite a strategic shift away from lower-margin contracts. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $217 million available at quarter-end and expects further proceeds from aircraft sales.

Chorus Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chorus Aviation's financial performance shows mixed results. While there are improvements in operational efficiency and debt management, challenges remain in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow scores reflect these mixed outcomes, with stable gross profit margins but low net profit margins and significant declines in free cash flow.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Chorus Aviation's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is stable at 19.33%, but the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.64%. Revenue has declined by 1.91% in the TTM, indicating a potential challenge in maintaining growth. However, the company has managed to improve its EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.72 in the TTM, indicating reduced leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity is modest at 11.97%, and the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited asset backing by equity. The company has made progress in reducing debt, which is a positive sign.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns. Free cash flow has decreased significantly by 55.12% in the TTM, impacting liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.29, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains reasonable at 0.58, suggesting some level of cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37B1.40B1.40B1.60B1.02B948.72M
Gross Profit264.48M270.89M337.13M423.40M205.63M230.12M
EBITDA196.87M165.54M271.36M381.35M270.46M363.12M
Net Income63.52M-158.50M101.35M48.89M-20.48M41.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.35B1.61B3.85B4.06B3.18B3.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.09M222.22M88.83M100.03M123.57M165.72M
Total Debt384.28M516.38M1.76B2.03B1.91B2.19B
Total Liabilities816.19M1.10B2.57B2.79B2.49B2.70B
Stockholders Equity537.23M511.95M1.19B1.18B690.47M641.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.69M212.13M256.51M217.23M110.26M-249.50M
Operating Cash Flow84.56M265.02M299.68M279.51M184.97M156.64M
Investing Cash Flow719.51M818.67M37.56M-231.37M-45.74M-407.59M
Financing Cash Flow-949.54M-1.06B-325.55M-71.46M-180.93M334.56M

Chorus Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.33
Price Trends
50DMA
21.92
Positive
100DMA
21.74
Positive
200DMA
20.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
61.17
Neutral
STOCH
60.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.10, above the 50-day MA of 21.92, and above the 200-day MA of 20.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CHR.

Chorus Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$4.20B28.919.88%3.51%15.47%9.40%
72
Outperform
C$640.22M18.6414.38%3.47%-0.73%221.74%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$19.82B33.536.60%-1.71%
61
Neutral
C$5.52B-10.66%-0.09%-109.21%
59
Neutral
C$596.93M-17.932.09%0.34%-12.42%69.23%
47
Neutral
$1.48B-38.04%-28.34%-61.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CHR
Chorus Aviation
23.33
1.29
5.85%
TSE:BLDP
Ballard Power Systems
4.91
3.04
162.57%
TSE:BBD.B
Bombardier
196.44
97.10
97.75%
TSE:AC
Air Canada
18.62
-4.51
-19.50%
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
77.40
24.69
46.84%
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
10.46
4.27
68.98%

Chorus Aviation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Chorus Aviation Declares Quarterly Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per Class A Variable Voting Share and Class B Voting Share, payable on December 29, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 12, 2025. This dividend declaration reflects Chorus’ ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders, and it may have implications for the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests, particularly in the context of its operational and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Chorus Aviation Declares Quarterly Dividend, Reinforcing Shareholder Value
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. has announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per Class A Variable Voting Share and Class B Voting Share, payable on December 29, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 12, 2025. This dividend declaration reflects Chorus Aviation’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and highlights its stable financial position. The announcement may positively impact the company’s market perception and stakeholder confidence, although future dividends remain subject to the discretion of the board and various financial considerations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Chorus Aviation Announces Strategic Fleet Expansion
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Chorus Aviation has announced a strategic move that could significantly impact its operational capabilities and market positioning. The company has revealed plans to enhance its fleet and expand its service offerings, which is expected to strengthen its competitive edge in the aviation industry and potentially lead to increased stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Jazz Aviation Secures Tentative Union Agreements
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

Jazz Aviation LP has reached tentative agreements with the Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal Association, representing its heavy and line maintenance employees. These agreements, pending ratification, are crucial for maintaining operational stability and reflect Jazz’s ongoing commitment to its workforce, potentially impacting its service reliability and stakeholder value positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Other
Jazz Aviation Wins Canada’s Safest Public Transportation Employer Award
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

Jazz Aviation LP has been awarded the DriverCheck Award for Canada’s Safest Public Transportation Employer, highlighting its strong safety culture and commitment to employee engagement and psychological safety. This recognition underscores Jazz’s leadership in safety management and inclusivity, marking its ninth consecutive year of receiving accolades for outstanding occupational safety and health practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Hold with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Chorus Aviation to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. announced that it will present its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 7, 2025. The presentation will be led by the company’s President and CEO, Colin Copp, and CFO, Gary Osborne, who will also address analysts’ questions. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning within the aviation industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Hold with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Chorus Aviation Completes Debenture Redemption, Enhancing Financial Flexibility
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. has completed the redemption of its remaining 6.00% convertible senior unsecured debentures due June 30, 2026. The redemption was finalized on September 30, 2025, with holders receiving $1,015 for each $1,000 principal amount, including accrued interest. This move led to the delisting of the debentures from the Toronto Stock Exchange, marking a significant step in Chorus’s financial strategy by reducing its debt obligations and potentially improving its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Hold with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Chorus Aviation Launches $50 Million Share Buyback Program
Positive
Sep 27, 2025

Chorus Aviation has initiated a substantial issuer bid to repurchase up to $50 million of its Class A and Class B shares at a price between $23.00 and $25.00 per share. This move, which is set to expire on November 10, 2025, aims to optimize the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value. The offer reflects Chorus’ strategic focus on managing its financial resources effectively and may impact its market positioning by demonstrating confidence in its financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Hold with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Chorus Aviation Launches $50 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

Chorus Aviation has announced a substantial issuer bid to purchase up to $50 million of its Class A and Class B shares through a modified Dutch auction. This move is aimed at consolidating its shareholdings and potentially enhancing shareholder value, with the purchase price set between $23.00 and $25.00 per share. The offer, which is not contingent on a minimum number of shares being tendered, reflects the company’s strategic financial management and could impact its stock liquidity and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Hold with a C$20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Chorus Aviation to Sell Aircraft and Completes Elisen Acquisition
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. has announced an agreement to sell three Dash 8-400 aircraft, expecting to realize net proceeds of approximately US $20 million. Additionally, the company has completed the acquisition of Elisen & Associates Inc., enhancing its capabilities in aerospace engineering and certification services. These strategic moves are expected to impact Chorus’s operations by streamlining its fleet and expanding its service offerings, potentially strengthening its position in the aviation industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CHR) stock is a Hold with a C$20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chorus Aviation stock, see the TSE:CHR Stock Forecast page.

Chorus Aviation’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategy
Aug 8, 2025

Chorus Aviation’s recent earnings call conveyed a robust quarter marked by substantial growth in earnings, cash flow, and strategic acquisitions. Despite facing challenges such as geopolitical pressures and foreign exchange rate impacts, the company showcased resilience and strategic foresight. The acquisition of Elisen and the success of Voyageur and Jazz underscore Chorus’s operational excellence and future growth potential.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025