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Exchange Income Corp (TSE:EIF)
TSX:EIF
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Exchange Income (EIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EIF

Exchange Income

(TSX:EIF)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$81.00
▲(4.65% Upside)
Exchange Income's strong technical momentum and positive earnings call outlook are the primary drivers of its score. While financial performance shows growth, high leverage and cash flow issues are concerns. The stock's valuation is relatively high, but the dividend yield offers some compensation.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Canadian North strengthens Exchange Income's market position in the aviation sector, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its geographic reach, which is likely to drive long-term revenue growth and competitive advantage.
Revenue Growth
Record-breaking revenue indicates strong demand and effective business operations, suggesting that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities and sustain growth over the coming months.
Long-term Contracts
The long-term contract with the government of Nunavut provides stable and recurring revenue, enhancing the company's financial stability and reinforcing its position as a key service provider in the region.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses a risk to financial stability, as it can strain cash flow and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns, potentially impacting long-term sustainability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could hinder the company's ability to fund operations, pay down debt, or invest in future growth, posing a risk to financial health.
Impact of Aluminum Tariffs
Aluminum tariffs impact profitability in the manufacturing segment, potentially reducing margins and competitiveness, which could affect the company's ability to maintain its market position and profitability over time.

Exchange Income (EIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Exchange Income Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExchange Income Corporation engages in aerospace and aviation services and equipment, and manufacturing businesses worldwide. It operates in two segments, Aerospace & Aviation, and Manufacturing. The Aerospace & Aviation segment offers scheduled airline, cargo, charter, and emergency medical services to communities located in Manitoba, Ontario, Nunavut, British Columbia, and Alberta, as well as Newfoundland and Labrador, Québec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia. It also provides after-market aircraft, engines, and component parts to regional airline operators; designs, modifies, maintains, and operates custom sensor-equipped aircraft; and offers maritime surveillance and support services in Canada, the Caribbean, and the Middle East. In addition, this segment provides pilot flight training services. The Manufacturing segment manufactures window wall systems primarily used in high-rise multi-family residential projects; stainless steel tanks, vessels, and processing equipment; heavy-duty pressure washing and steam systems, commercial water recycling systems, and custom tanks for the transportation of various products, primarily oil, gasoline, and water products; precision parts and components primarily used in the aerospace, defense, healthcare, and security sectors; electrical and control systems integrator focused on the agricultural material handling; and precision sheet metal and tubular products. This segment also focuses on the engineering, design, manufacture, and construction of communication infrastructure, as well as wireless and wireline construction and maintenance services; and provision of technical services. Exchange Income Corporation is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyExchange Income generates revenue through multiple streams. In its aviation segment, the company earns income from passenger flights, freight services, and charter operations, serving remote and regional markets that require reliable transportation solutions. The manufacturing division contributes to revenue through the sale of specialized equipment and components, often under long-term contracts with clients in sectors such as industrial, aerospace, and healthcare. Additionally, EIF benefits from strategic partnerships with other companies in its sectors, which can enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. The company's diversified portfolio allows it to mitigate risks and capitalize on growth opportunities across different industries.

Exchange Income Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements such as record-high financial metrics and strategic acquisitions, alongside challenges in specific segments like the Multi-Storey Window business. The positive outlook for future growth, particularly in the Aerospace & Aviation segment and the strategic integration of Canadian North, provides an optimistic sentiment for the company's future performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-High Quarterly Financial Metrics
EIC set all-time high watermarks for key financial metrics including revenue, adjusted EBITDA, net earnings, adjusted net earnings, free cash flow, and free cash flow less maintenance capital expenditures. Revenue increased to $960 million, adjusted EBITDA to $231 million, and net earnings to $69 million for the third quarter of 2025.
Successful Acquisition of Canadian North
The acquisition of Canadian North is viewed as a strategic success, cementing EIC's position in Northern Aviation. The integration is proceeding as planned, and the acquisition is expected to meet profitability and cash flow requirements by late 2026.
Strong Aerospace & Aviation Segment Performance
Revenue in the Aerospace & Aviation segment increased by 57% to $680 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 30% to $202 million. The segment saw strong demand and improvements in various business lines, including medevac contracts.
Dividend Increase
EIC increased its dividend from $2.64 to $2.76 per annum, reflecting a 5% increase, driven by a 25% growth in earnings and a 17% increase in earnings per share year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Multi-Storey Window Business
The Multi-Storey Window business continues to face challenges due to aluminum tariffs, project deferrals, and retained skilled workers, resulting in decreased profitability.
Maintenance Capital Expenditure Increase
Maintenance capital expenditures increased notably, from $55 million in the previous year to $83 million in the third quarter of 2025, mainly due to the acquisition of Canadian North and changes in policy related to aircraft sales and leasing.
Company Guidance
During the Exchange Income Corporation's conference call on November 8, 2025, CEO Mike Pyle reported record financial metrics for Q3 2025, including revenue of $960 million, adjusted EBITDA of $231 million, net earnings of $69 million, adjusted net earnings of $76 million, and free cash flow of $171 million. He highlighted that these results were achieved despite a significant increase in share count due to the redemption of convertible debentures and acquisitions. Pyle also announced that future guidance for 2026 anticipates adjusted EBITDA between $825 million and $875 million, driven by robust demand across its segments, notably the Aerospace and Aviation segment, which experienced significant growth due to the acquisition of Canadian North. This acquisition is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in Northern Aviation and contribute positively to future profitability and free cash flow returns by late 2026.

Exchange Income Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exchange Income shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with stable margins. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges, including negative free cash flow, suggest a need for better cash management and debt reduction.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Exchange Income has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.18%. The gross profit margin has remained stable, currently at 25.31% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.71%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.70, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. Return on equity is moderate at 9.39%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 30.32%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -52.02% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.68, indicating that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.79B2.66B2.50B2.06B1.41B1.15B
Gross Profit705.00M657.74M594.49M491.35M334.45M273.83M
EBITDA652.68M616.26M548.71M449.60M332.85M276.78M
Net Income131.28M121.23M122.31M109.67M68.59M28.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.77B4.60B4.08B3.55B2.59B2.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.79M71.80M103.56M139.90M75.41M69.86M
Total Debt2.46B2.33B2.01B1.78B1.29B1.21B
Total Liabilities3.33B3.19B2.83B2.53B1.79B1.61B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.41B1.25B1.02B800.27M685.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-60.06M-133.38M-152.61M-31.46M5.62M113.72M
Operating Cash Flow447.63M357.01M353.23M335.12M285.05M259.97M
Investing Cash Flow-562.40M-567.54M-650.75M-655.45M-357.94M-196.28M
Financing Cash Flow300.29M176.33M261.35M380.97M79.42M-15.15M

Exchange Income Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price77.40
Price Trends
50DMA
73.97
Positive
100DMA
69.87
Positive
200DMA
60.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Positive
RSI
58.30
Neutral
STOCH
54.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EIF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.04, above the 50-day MA of 73.97, and above the 200-day MA of 60.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EIF.

Exchange Income Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$4.20B28.919.88%3.51%15.47%9.40%
71
Outperform
C$3.28B27.549.64%57.21%136.79%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
C$5.52B-10.66%-0.09%-109.21%
59
Neutral
C$596.93M-17.932.09%0.34%-12.42%69.23%
48
Neutral
$4.27B-216.08-6.18%0.73%-34.52%-122.74%
45
Neutral
$69.11M-12.5716.18%87.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
77.40
24.69
46.84%
TSE:JET
Global Crossing Airlines
1.36
0.00
0.00%
TSE:AC
Air Canada
18.62
-4.51
-19.50%
TSE:CHR
Chorus Aviation
23.33
1.29
5.85%
TSE:BBU.UN
Brookfield Business Partners
42.96
8.55
24.83%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
23.32
-2.57
-9.93%

Exchange Income Corporate Events

Dividends
Exchange Income Corporation Declares August 2025 Dividend
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for August 2025, payable on September 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and may enhance investor confidence through the eligibility for enhanced dividend tax credits under Canadian law.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exchange Income Corporation Achieves Record Q2 Results and Expands Northern Operations
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation reported record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $720 million, a 9% increase from the previous year. The company also announced the completion of its acquisition of Canadian North and a significant ten-year Air Services Agreement with the Government of Nunavut, highlighting its strategic expansion in Northern Canada. This acquisition and agreement are expected to bolster EIC’s capabilities in the region, aligning with Canadian government strategies for economic development and sovereignty in the Arctic.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Exchange Income Corporation Declares July 2025 Dividend
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for July 2025, payable on August 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of July 31, 2025. This dividend is designated as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax legislation, potentially offering enhanced tax credits to Canadian residents. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and maintaining its financial health, which is crucial for its strategic positioning in the aerospace, aviation, and manufacturing sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Hold with a C$59.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Exchange Income Corporation Secures Long-Term Air Service Agreement with Nunavut
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has entered into a long-term air service agreement with the Government of Nunavut through its subsidiaries Calm Air International and Canadian North. This agreement, which spans 10 years with an option to extend for an additional 5 years, aims to provide medical travel, family services travel, duty travel, and air freight services across Nunavut. The agreement signifies a strong partnership between EIC and the Government of Nunavut, with EIC granting the government an option to purchase a significant minority stake in Canadian North. This collaboration is expected to bring stability to EIC’s operations in the region, allowing continued investment in community infrastructure and initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Hold with a C$59.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Exchange Income Corporation Schedules Q2 2025 Results Conference Call
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced it will host a conference call on August 12, 2025, to discuss its second quarter financial results, which are expected to be released on August 11, 2025. This announcement underscores the company’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market position and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Exchange Income Corporation Expands Indigenous Pilot Program in Nunavut
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has announced its commitment to double the capacity of the Atik Mason Indigenous Pilot Pathway in Nunavut for 2026. This expansion follows the acquisition of Canadian North and aims to remove barriers to flight training for Indigenous students, while investing in the communities and future pilots in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Exchange Income Corporation Expands Northern Reach with Canadian North Acquisition
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has completed the acquisition of Canadian North, a Northern airline operating in the Canadian Arctic, for $205 million. This acquisition allows EIC to expand its aviation services to all regions in the far north, enhancing its market presence and providing stable and efficient service to remote communities. The acquisition is expected to improve EIC’s operational scope and efficiency, with targeted returns on capital anticipated by the end of the second year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Exchange Income Corporation Declares June 2025 Dividend
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for June 2025, payable on July 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025. This dividend is designated as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax law, potentially offering enhanced tax credits to Canadian residents. The announcement underscores the company’s commitment to providing shareholder value and reflects its stable financial performance in its niche markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Exchange Income Corporation Declares May 2025 Dividend
Positive
May 16, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for May 2025, payable on June 13, 2025, to shareholders of record as of May 30, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and reinforces its stable financial position in the aerospace, aviation, and manufacturing sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Exchange Income Corporation Reports 2025 AGM Voting Results
Positive
May 15, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where shareholders approved all items of business, including the election of directors and the reappointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the auditor. The corporation’s approach to executive compensation was also endorsed. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and is likely to reinforce the company’s stability and strategic direction in its core sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025