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Exchange Income Corp (TSE:EIF)
TSX:EIF
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Exchange Income (EIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EIF

Exchange Income

(TSX:EIF)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$85.00
▲(6.45% Upside)
Exchange Income Corporation's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided an optimistic outlook with strategic acquisitions and record financial metrics. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges pose risks, and the stock's high valuation suggests caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth and record-high financial metrics demonstrate strong market demand and effective business operations, supporting long-term expansion.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Canadian North strengthens the company's position in Northern Aviation, enhancing capabilities and expected to boost profitability and cash flow by late 2026.
Aviation Segment Performance
Strong performance in the Aerospace & Aviation segment reflects robust demand and operational improvements, contributing positively to overall company growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage could pose financial risks if not managed properly, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity concerns, limiting the company's ability to reinvest in its business and meet financial obligations.
Challenges in Multi-Storey Window Business
Ongoing issues in the Multi-Storey Window business could hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments to mitigate impact on overall performance.

Exchange Income (EIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Exchange Income Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExchange Income Corporation (EIF) is a diversified investment company based in Canada, primarily focused on the aviation and manufacturing sectors. The company operates through two main divisions: aviation services and manufacturing. Its aviation segment includes regional airline operations and specialized aviation services that cater to remote communities and industrial operations. The manufacturing segment produces a variety of products, including custom-made equipment and components for various industries, primarily in North America.
How the Company Makes MoneyExchange Income generates revenue through multiple streams. In its aviation segment, the company earns income from passenger flights, freight services, and charter operations, serving remote and regional markets that require reliable transportation solutions. The manufacturing division contributes to revenue through the sale of specialized equipment and components, often under long-term contracts with clients in sectors such as industrial, aerospace, and healthcare. Additionally, EIF benefits from strategic partnerships with other companies in its sectors, which can enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. The company's diversified portfolio allows it to mitigate risks and capitalize on growth opportunities across different industries.

Exchange Income Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements such as record-high financial metrics and strategic acquisitions, alongside challenges in specific segments like the Multi-Storey Window business. The positive outlook for future growth, particularly in the Aerospace & Aviation segment and the strategic integration of Canadian North, provides an optimistic sentiment for the company's future performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-High Quarterly Financial Metrics
EIC set all-time high watermarks for key financial metrics including revenue, adjusted EBITDA, net earnings, adjusted net earnings, free cash flow, and free cash flow less maintenance capital expenditures. Revenue increased to $960 million, adjusted EBITDA to $231 million, and net earnings to $69 million for the third quarter of 2025.
Successful Acquisition of Canadian North
The acquisition of Canadian North is viewed as a strategic success, cementing EIC's position in Northern Aviation. The integration is proceeding as planned, and the acquisition is expected to meet profitability and cash flow requirements by late 2026.
Strong Aerospace & Aviation Segment Performance
Revenue in the Aerospace & Aviation segment increased by 57% to $680 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 30% to $202 million. The segment saw strong demand and improvements in various business lines, including medevac contracts.
Dividend Increase
EIC increased its dividend from $2.64 to $2.76 per annum, reflecting a 5% increase, driven by a 25% growth in earnings and a 17% increase in earnings per share year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Multi-Storey Window Business
The Multi-Storey Window business continues to face challenges due to aluminum tariffs, project deferrals, and retained skilled workers, resulting in decreased profitability.
Maintenance Capital Expenditure Increase
Maintenance capital expenditures increased notably, from $55 million in the previous year to $83 million in the third quarter of 2025, mainly due to the acquisition of Canadian North and changes in policy related to aircraft sales and leasing.
Company Guidance
During the Exchange Income Corporation's conference call on November 8, 2025, CEO Mike Pyle reported record financial metrics for Q3 2025, including revenue of $960 million, adjusted EBITDA of $231 million, net earnings of $69 million, adjusted net earnings of $76 million, and free cash flow of $171 million. He highlighted that these results were achieved despite a significant increase in share count due to the redemption of convertible debentures and acquisitions. Pyle also announced that future guidance for 2026 anticipates adjusted EBITDA between $825 million and $875 million, driven by robust demand across its segments, notably the Aerospace and Aviation segment, which experienced significant growth due to the acquisition of Canadian North. This acquisition is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in Northern Aviation and contribute positively to future profitability and free cash flow returns by late 2026.

Exchange Income Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exchange Income shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with stable margins. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges, including negative free cash flow, suggest a need for better cash management and debt reduction.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Exchange Income has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.18%. The gross profit margin has remained stable, currently at 25.31% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.71%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.70, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. Return on equity is moderate at 9.39%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 30.32%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -52.02% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.68, indicating that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.79B2.66B2.50B2.06B1.41B1.15B
Gross Profit705.00M657.74M594.49M491.35M334.45M273.83M
EBITDA652.68M616.26M548.71M449.60M332.85M276.78M
Net Income131.28M121.23M122.31M109.67M68.59M28.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.77B4.60B4.08B3.55B2.59B2.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.79M71.80M103.56M139.90M75.41M69.86M
Total Debt2.46B2.33B2.01B1.78B1.29B1.21B
Total Liabilities3.33B3.19B2.83B2.53B1.79B1.61B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.41B1.25B1.02B800.27M685.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-60.06M-133.38M-152.61M-31.46M5.62M113.72M
Operating Cash Flow447.63M357.01M353.23M335.12M285.05M259.97M
Investing Cash Flow-562.40M-567.54M-650.75M-655.45M-357.94M-196.28M
Financing Cash Flow300.29M176.33M261.35M380.97M79.42M-15.15M

Exchange Income Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.85
Price Trends
50DMA
76.12
Positive
100DMA
72.45
Positive
200DMA
62.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.26
Negative
RSI
71.02
Negative
STOCH
86.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EIF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.28, above the 50-day MA of 76.12, and above the 200-day MA of 62.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.02 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EIF.

Exchange Income Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
C$4.20B28.919.88%3.22%15.47%9.40%
69
Neutral
C$3.28B27.548.88%57.77%57.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$5.65B-10.66%-0.09%-109.21%
59
Neutral
C$596.93M-17.932.09%0.36%-12.42%69.23%
53
Neutral
$4.27B-216.08-6.18%0.73%-36.15%-122.76%
46
Neutral
$69.11M16.18%87.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
82.24
27.67
50.71%
TSE:JET
Global Crossing Airlines
1.36
0.00
0.00%
TSE:AC
Air Canada
19.34
-5.56
-22.33%
TSE:CHR
Chorus Aviation
21.97
-1.53
-6.51%
TSE:BBU.UN
Brookfield Business Partners
49.25
13.30
37.00%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
23.12
-4.57
-16.50%

Exchange Income Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Exchange Income Corporation Achieves Record Q3 Results and Increases Dividend
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation reported record financial results for the third quarter, driven by its diversified business model. Key metrics such as revenue, net earnings, and free cash flow reached all-time highs. The company also announced a dividend increase, reflecting its strong financial performance and commitment to providing stable and growing returns to shareholders. The redemption of convertible debentures has simplified the company’s capital structure, enhancing its financial stability and equity position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Exchange Income Corporation Announces Early Debenture Redemption
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced the early redemption of its 7-year 5.25% Convertible Unsecured Subordinated Debentures due January 15, 2029. The decision to redeem these debentures is driven by the current market price of EIC’s common shares exceeding 125% of the conversion price, allowing the corporation to proceed with the redemption. This move signifies a strategic financial decision by EIC, potentially impacting its capital structure and offering debenture holders the option to convert their holdings into common shares at a favorable rate before the redemption date.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Exchange Income Corporation Declares October 2025 Dividend
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for October 2025, payable on November 14, 2025, to shareholders of record as of October 31, 2025. This dividend is classified as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax laws, potentially offering enhanced tax credits for Canadian residents. The announcement underscores the company’s commitment to providing shareholder value and reflects its stable financial performance in its core sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exchange Income Corporation to Discuss Q3 Financial Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced it will host a conference call to discuss its third quarter financial results on November 7, 2025. The call will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its operations and industry positioning. This announcement is significant for stakeholders interested in the company’s ongoing growth and market strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Exchange Income Corporation Completes Debenture Redemption
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has completed the redemption of its 7-year 5.25% Convertible Unsecured Subordinated Debentures due July 31, 2028. This strategic move saw a significant portion of the debentures converted into common shares, reflecting investor confidence and potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Hold with a C$69.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Exchange Income Corporation Expands Indigenous Pilot Training Program
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation (EIC) has successfully completed the fourth season of its Atik Mason Indigenous Pilot Pathway, a program designed to train Indigenous pilots, in Thompson, Manitoba. The program, supported by Manitoba Keewatinowi Okimakank Inc. and the Government of Nunavut, has expanded its operations to Rankin Inlet, Nunavut, and has celebrated its first graduate from this base. EIC has offered employment to several graduates, including the first Nunavut graduate, Nujaliah Iyerak, who will work with EIC subsidiary Keewatin Air. The initiative aims to increase Indigenous representation among pilots and invest in Inuit communities, aligning with the Truth and Reconciliation Commission of Canada’s Calls to Action.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Exchange Income Corporation Declares September 2025 Dividend
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for September 2025, payable on October 15, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and its strategic focus on stable financial performance, which may enhance its market positioning and appeal to investors seeking reliable dividend income.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Exchange Income Corporation Announces Early Redemption of Debentures
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced the early redemption of its 7-year 5.25% Convertible Unsecured Subordinated Debentures due July 31, 2028. This decision is driven by the current market price of EIC’s common shares, which exceeds 125% of the debentures’ conversion price, allowing the company to redeem the debentures. Debentureholders are advised to review redemption instructions from their financial institutions to ensure timely conversion requests. The redemption reflects EIC’s strategic financial management and may impact stakeholders by potentially increasing the company’s equity base.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Exchange Income Corporation Declares August 2025 Dividend
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for August 2025, payable on September 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and may enhance investor confidence through the eligibility for enhanced dividend tax credits under Canadian law.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Exchange Income’s Record Earnings and Strategic Growth
Aug 14, 2025

The recent earnings call for Exchange Income Corporation (EIC) painted a picture of robust performance and strategic growth, despite facing some operational challenges. The sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, with the company achieving record-breaking financial metrics and making significant strategic acquisitions, although tariffs and forest fires posed some hurdles.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Exchange Income Corporation Achieves Record Q2 Results and Expands Northern Operations
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation reported record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $720 million, a 9% increase from the previous year. The company also announced the completion of its acquisition of Canadian North and a significant ten-year Air Services Agreement with the Government of Nunavut, highlighting its strategic expansion in Northern Canada. This acquisition and agreement are expected to bolster EIC’s capabilities in the region, aligning with Canadian government strategies for economic development and sovereignty in the Arctic.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EIF) stock is a Buy with a C$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exchange Income stock, see the TSE:EIF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2025