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Anaergia, Inc. (TSE:ANRG)
TSX:ANRG
Canadian Market

Anaergia (ANRG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ANRG

Anaergia

(TSX:ANRG)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▼(-5.21% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/18/25
Anaergia's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial position with significant improvements noted in the latest earnings call. While technical indicators are positive, the company's valuation remains weak due to ongoing profitability issues. The earnings call provided a strong positive sentiment, highlighting operational improvements and strategic growth, which partially offsets the financial weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
A 77% YoY quarterly revenue gain indicates expanding commercial traction and end-market demand for Anaergia's waste-to-energy solutions. Durable growth across quarters suggests scalable sales execution and secular tailwinds from decarbonization trends that can sustain top-line expansion over multiple quarters.
Large Contract Backlog
A $287M backlog provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and evidences customer commitment to projects. This contracted pipeline reduces near-term sales risk, supports capacity planning and financing, and underpins steady revenue conversion as projects are executed over the next 2–6+ months.
Improving Margins & EBITDA
Meaningful gross margin expansion alongside a return to positive adjusted EBITDA reflects improving unit economics and operational discipline. If efficiencies and higher-margin capital sales persist, margin gains can be sustainable and drive durable improvements in profitability as revenue scales.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Although losses narrowed materially, Anaergia remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis. Continued reliance on operating improvements to flip to consistent net income creates execution risk; failure to sustain margin and revenue momentum could require further capital or cost cuts, affecting long‑term stability.
Weak Balance Sheet
Negative equity and elevated leverage constrain financial flexibility, increase refinancing and covenant risk, and raise effective funding costs. For a capital-intensive project business, a fragile balance sheet can limit bidding capacity, slow project awards, and necessitate dilutive or costly financing to fund growth.
Operating Cash Flow Weakness
Historic negative operating cash flow means the company may rely on external financing to fund working capital and project execution. Even with improving free cash flow, inconsistent cash generation increases execution and funding risk for multi‑stage projects and could impair the ability to invest in growth without new capital.

Anaergia (ANRG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Anaergia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnaergia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides solutions for the generation of renewable energy and conversion of waste to resources. The company operates through three segments: Capital Sales; Services; and Build, Own, and Operate Projects. It offers waste processing solutions that capture and process organic waste contained within mixed municipal solid wastes; anaerobic digestion solution for the production of clean energy, fertilizers, and recycled water from waste streams; membrane-based system to upgrade biogas and create pipeline; liquid treatment for water re-use and nutrient recovery; and residue treatment solutions. The company offers wastewater resource recovery, municipal solid waste, and agri-food solutions. Anaergia Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Burlington, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnaergia generates revenue primarily through the sale of its anaerobic digestion systems and related technologies, which are utilized to convert organic waste into biogas and fertilizers. The company earns money through multiple revenue streams, including the installation and commissioning of its systems, ongoing maintenance services, and the sale of renewable energy credits associated with the biogas produced. Additionally, Anaergia may enter into long-term contracts with municipalities and private enterprises for the operation of waste-to-energy facilities, providing a steady income through service fees. Strategic partnerships with local governments and environmental agencies also contribute to its earnings by facilitating project funding and expanding its market reach.

Anaergia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive with significant improvements in revenue, margins, and adjusted EBITDA. The reduction in net loss and increase in revenue backlog highlight strong operational performance and customer confidence. However, the company still reported a net loss, which is a concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Anaergia reported a positive adjusted EBITDA of $2.6 million, marking the first time in over 2 years that the company achieved positive results, an improvement of $9 million or nearly 140% compared to a loss of $6.4 million last year.
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q3 was $51.4 million, an increase of 77% or $22.3 million compared to $29 million in the same period in 2024, driven by strong performance in Italy and North America.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margins climbed to 28.8%, up from 20.7% in Q3 2024, an 8.1% increase due to higher gross profit in the Capital Sales segment and efficiency gains.
Reduction in Net Loss
Net loss was reduced to $0.5 million in Q3 2025 from a net loss of $15.6 million in Q3 2024, showcasing a significant improvement of more than $15 million year-over-year.
Strong Revenue Backlog
Revenue backlog reached $287 million by quarter end, up from $244 million in Q2 and $103 million at the start of the year, indicating strong momentum and customer confidence.
Negative Updates
Continued Net Loss
Despite significant improvements, the company still reported a net loss of $0.5 million for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Anaergia Q3 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance that highlighted significant improvements in financial metrics, positioning Anaergia as a leader in the renewable energy sector. The company reported a revenue of $51.4 million for the quarter, marking a 77% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Gross profit reached $14.8 million, up 146% year-over-year, with gross margins improving to 28.8% from 20.7%. SG&A expenses decreased by 16%, contributing to a net loss reduction to $0.5 million from $15.6 million in Q3 2024. Importantly, adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $2.6 million, a $9 million improvement over the previous year. The revenue backlog grew to $287 million, a 179% increase from the start of the year, with significant contributions from Italy and North America. The company emphasized its disciplined approach, strong customer trust, and strategic geographic expansion as key drivers of its sustainable growth.

Anaergia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Anaergia is facing significant financial challenges across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow. The company has struggled with profitability, high leverage, and negative equity. While there is some revenue growth and improvement in free cash flow, the overall financial health remains precarious, requiring strategic actions to stabilize and improve its financial position.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Anaergia's income statement reveals a challenging financial position with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the years. Despite a recent revenue growth of 18.58% in TTM, the company has consistently reported negative net income, indicating ongoing profitability issues. The gross profit margin has improved slightly in TTM, but the overall profitability remains weak.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity and high debt levels, resulting in a negative debt-to-equity ratio in TTM. The return on equity is positive in TTM due to negative equity, but this is not a sign of strength. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Anaergia's cash flow statement indicates some improvement in free cash flow in TTM, but the overall cash flow position remains weak with negative operating cash flow in previous years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating operational cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Jun 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.56M111.65M147.22M162.85M153.58M128.04M
Gross Profit38.27M25.63M14.60M28.60M31.63M28.55M
EBITDA-11.25M-38.37M-185.49M-53.59M-11.38M-6.67M
Net Income-22.61M-42.89M-182.60M-74.71M-9.38M-16.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets237.21M233.33M278.67M935.11M703.91M452.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.16M30.22M22.11M55.38M79.32M41.16M
Total Debt66.55M71.71M70.89M377.65M221.50M168.63M
Total Liabilities195.05M180.12M205.08M592.97M367.30M326.46M
Stockholders Equity-62.92M-57.65M-55.38M208.84M218.02M43.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.55M-41.01M-130.87M-152.97M-127.54M-100.57M
Operating Cash Flow15.03M-30.23M-66.76M-30.56M-38.95M26.63M
Investing Cash Flow-25.18M10.90M-27.80M-192.50M-149.62M-154.48M
Financing Cash Flow1.54M32.52M64.76M198.13M229.91M153.87M

Anaergia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.11
Price Trends
50DMA
2.32
Negative
100DMA
2.35
Negative
200DMA
2.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
50.61
Neutral
STOCH
76.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ANRG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.23, below the 50-day MA of 2.32, and below the 200-day MA of 2.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ANRG.

Anaergia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
C$389.59M51.1936.36%28.43%80.34%
49
Neutral
C$32.08M-10.14-17.79%-27.40%23.40%
41
Neutral
C$39.69M-5.915297.73%135.68%68.99%
41
Neutral
C$29.08M-3.11307.55%12.06%-52.13%
39
Underperform
C$11.53M-5.76-352.14%-72.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ANRG
Anaergia
2.27
1.27
127.00%
TSE:ECM
Ecolomondo Corporation
0.18
<0.01
2.94%
TSE:CMC
Cielo Waste Solutions
0.06
-0.03
-33.33%
TSE:YES
CHAR Technologies
0.24
0.05
26.32%
TSE:VTX
Vertex Resource Group Ltd.
0.20
-0.05
-20.95%
TSE:ROOF
Northstar Clean Technologies
0.19
-0.19
-50.00%

Anaergia Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Anaergia Wins C$25 Million in New Spanish Biomethane Plant Contracts
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Anaergia Inc., through its Italian subsidiary Anaergia S.r.l., has secured additional contracts worth approximately C$25 million for two anaerobic digestion projects in Andujar and Arjona, Spain, under a broader C$184 million framework agreement covering more than 15 plants. The new facilities, to be completed in about 18 months, will convert olive oil production waste into renewable biomethane, reinforcing Anaergia’s role in Europe’s renewable energy build-out and underscoring growing demand for technologies that both decarbonize the energy mix and reduce the environmental and cost burdens of agricultural and organic waste management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ANRG) stock is a Hold with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anaergia stock, see the TSE:ANRG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Anaergia Names Sasha Rollings-Scattergood Chief Technology Officer to Drive Global RNG Technology Strategy
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Anaergia has appointed long-time executive Sasha Rollings-Scattergood as Chief Technology Officer, effective January 1, 2026, tasking him with leading the company’s global technology strategy, product companies and centralized R&D efforts. In the expanded role, he will oversee the commercialization of proprietary systems, manage the global intellectual property portfolio and head the technology profit and loss function, reinforcing the link between innovation, project delivery and Anaergia’s long-term growth and global expansion; the move is intended to strengthen execution capabilities and cement the company’s technology leadership in the clean energy and waste-to-RNG markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ANRG) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anaergia stock, see the TSE:ANRG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Anaergia Partners with PepsiCo Mexico for Waste-to-Energy Project
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Anaergia Technologies has signed a contract with PepsiCo Mexico Foods to provide an integrated waste-to-energy solution at a food production facility in Mexico. This project, Anaergia’s first in Mexico, will convert 50,000 tons of organic residuals into carbon-negative biomethane annually, reducing greenhouse gas emissions by up to 4,000 tons of CO2 per year. The initiative underscores Anaergia’s expanding global footprint and commitment to sustainable practices, while also enhancing PepsiCo’s environmental sustainability efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ANRG) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anaergia stock, see the TSE:ANRG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Anaergia Secures C$43.8 Million Contract for Renewable Power Facility in San Diego
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Anaergia Technologies has been awarded a C$43.8 million contract by the East County Advanced Water Purification Joint Powers Authority in San Diego to design and build a renewable power generation facility. This project will enhance energy resilience and reduce operational costs by converting organic waste into renewable energy, furthering Anaergia’s role in advancing energy resilience and the circular economy in Southern California.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ANRG) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anaergia stock, see the TSE:ANRG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Anaergia Inc. Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Anaergia Inc. has reported significant financial improvements under the leadership of its new CEO, with a 77% increase in revenue and a return to positive Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter of 2025. The company’s strategic realignment has bolstered its operational efficiency and profitability, supported by a growing revenue backlog and expanding project pipeline. Anaergia’s focus on technology innovation and sustainability positions it as a leader in the renewable natural gas and waste-to-value sectors, helping clients meet decarbonization goals while generating carbon-negative fuels. The company aims to build on its 2025 momentum by expanding service revenues and maintaining financial discipline to drive shareholder value and environmental impact.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ANRG) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anaergia stock, see the TSE:ANRG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Anaergia Achieves Strong Financial Growth in Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Anaergia Inc. reported a significant financial turnaround in the third quarter of 2025, with a 77% increase in revenue and a 146% rise in gross profit year-over-year. The company returned to positive Adjusted EBITDA, reflecting the success of its capital-light business model and strong market demand for renewable energy solutions. Anaergia’s revenue backlog grew to $287 million, indicating a robust project pipeline and a positive growth trajectory, as it continues to capitalize on its leadership in the renewable natural gas sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ANRG) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anaergia stock, see the TSE:ANRG Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Anaergia Inc. Announces Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

Anaergia Inc. has scheduled a conference call for November 12, 2025, to discuss its third-quarter financial results, which will be released after market close on November 11, 2025. The call will feature key executives and will be accessible via a webcast, with a replay available for one year. This announcement highlights Anaergia’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market perception and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ANRG) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anaergia stock, see the TSE:ANRG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025