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Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (TSE:AEM)
NYSE:AEM
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Agnico Eagle (AEM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AEM

Agnico Eagle

(NYSE:AEM)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$233.00
â–¼(-22.67% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/02/26
High score driven primarily by very strong financial fundamentals (elite balance sheet, strong margins, solid cash generation) and a positive earnings update with reaffirmed guidance and shareholder-return focus. The main offset is weak near-term technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation is reasonable but not especially cheap.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Exceptionally low leverage and a materially improved ROE provide durable financial flexibility. Minimal interest burden and strong equity base let the company fund projects, withstand commodity downturns, and support capital returns without raising structurally risky debt.
Negative Factors
Workplace Safety / Operational Risk
Recent fatalities raise long-term reputational and regulatory risk; investigations and stricter controls can increase operating costs, slow projects, and elevate oversight. Persistent safety shortcomings may impair permitting and community trust, affecting project timelines.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Exceptionally low leverage and a materially improved ROE provide durable financial flexibility. Minimal interest burden and strong equity base let the company fund projects, withstand commodity downturns, and support capital returns without raising structurally risky debt.
Read all positive factors

Agnico Eagle (AEM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Agnico Eagle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, a mining company headquartered in Toronto, Canada, since its incorporation in 1953, specializes in the discovery, development, and extraction of mineral resources. The firm conducts operations across Canada, Mexico, and...
How the Company Makes Money
Agnico Eagle makes money primarily by producing and selling gold from its operating mines. Revenue is generated when gold doré or refined gold produced from mined ore is sold at prevailing market prices, with the company’s earnings largely influen...

Agnico Eagle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial performance: record-adjusted net income, robust free cash flow, a strengthened balance sheet (net cash ~ $2.9B), meaningful returns to shareholders, continued cost guidance adherence, and clear progress on multiple growth projects and exploration programs (including a strategic Finnish consolidation). Material negatives (two recent fatalities, localized operational issues such as Macassa paste plant commissioning, regulatory timing at San Nicolás, and sizable cash tax outflows) were acknowledged and management outlined remediation and disciplined capital allocation actions. On balance, the positive financial results, project momentum and balance sheet strength outweigh the challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Adjusted net income of approximately $1.7 billion ($3.41 per share) and adjusted EBITDA just over $3.0 billion in Q1; generated ~$730 million of free cash flow in the quarter despite paying ~50% of expected 2026 cash taxes (totaling $1.8 billion).
Negative Updates
Workplace Fatalities
Two fatalities over the past five months; investigations are ongoing and management has mandated company-wide safety stand‑downs and reinforced major-hazard controls — a material human and reputational issue.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Financial Results
Adjusted net income of approximately $1.7 billion ($3.41 per share) and adjusted EBITDA just over $3.0 billion in Q1; generated ~$730 million of free cash flow in the quarter despite paying ~50% of expected 2026 cash taxes (totaling $1.8 billion).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 production guidance with the year weighted roughly 48%/52% H1/H2 after a solid Q1 (~825,000 oz, ~24% of midpoint and slightly above plan), and reaffirmed full‑year cost guidance of total cash costs $1,020–$1,120/oz and AISC $1,400–$1,550/oz (Q1: TCC $1,093/oz; AISC $1,483/oz). Guidance assumptions include diesel at $0.78/L and direct Nunavut diesel consumption of ~108 L/oz (≈7% of operating costs) with a 10% diesel price move ≈ $6/oz TCC impact. Q1 financials: adjusted net income ≈ $1.7B ($3.41/sh), adjusted EBITDA just over $3B, free cash flow ≈ $730M; the quarter included a $1.3B 2025 tax catch‑up (roughly 50% of expected 2026 cash taxes of ~$1.8B paid), ~$375M returned to shareholders (including $150M of buybacks), nearly $400M invested in growth projects, and cash/net cash about $3.1B/$2.9B. The company raised its NCIB to $2B, targets returning ~40% of annual free cash flow to shareholders, and is advancing five value‑driver projects intended to support 20–30% production growth over the next decade (e.g., Detour and Malartic to ~1.0 Moz/yr; a potential 500 koz/yr Finnish platform).

Agnico Eagle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exceptional balance-sheet strength (minimal leverage; improving ROE) and very strong profitability (high gross/EBIT/net margins) supported by solid operating and free cash flow. Main risk is commodity-cycle sensitivity and ongoing capital intensity (free cash flow below net income).
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
96
Very Positive
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.56B12.12B8.29B6.63B5.74B3.82B
Gross Profit8.26B6.79B3.69B3.72B2.00B1.33B
EBITDA9.54B8.15B4.42B4.05B2.27B1.75B
Net Income5.35B4.54B1.90B1.94B670.25M561.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.16B34.41B29.99B28.68B23.49B10.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.12B2.87B933.74M348.85M658.63M191.07M
Total Debt319.22M321.47M1.28B2.00B1.49B1.70B
Total Liabilities8.88B9.71B9.15B9.26B7.25B4.21B
Stockholders Equity26.28B24.70B20.83B19.42B16.24B5.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.52B4.45B2.13B953.66M558.40M398.31M
Operating Cash Flow7.13B6.93B3.96B2.65B2.10B1.32B
Investing Cash Flow-2.72B-2.64B-2.01B-2.81B-710.46M-1.23B
Financing Cash Flow-2.43B-2.32B-1.36B-163.96M-914.85M-297.24M

Agnico Eagle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price301.31
Price Trends
50DMA
236.46
Negative
100DMA
263.42
Negative
200DMA
255.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.75
Positive
RSI
35.57
Neutral
STOCH
26.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AEM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 301.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 223.42, above the 50-day MA of 236.46, and above the 200-day MA of 255.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AEM.

Agnico Eagle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$85.13B10.0423.48%1.17%42.43%170.59%
79
Outperform
C$103.57B13.5522.02%0.91%50.46%123.62%
76
Outperform
C$54.69B28.5418.68%0.72%70.06%119.01%
76
Outperform
C$39.66B10.1334.46%0.43%41.92%138.48%
74
Outperform
C$69.33B27.4021.33%0.55%86.33%186.98%
73
Outperform
C$17.16B11.7025.24%0.25%46.83%306.46%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
202.84
41.01
25.34%
TSE:ABX
Barrick Mining
51.26
23.07
81.85%
TSE:FNV
Franco-Nevada
285.28
71.47
33.43%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
33.58
12.56
59.73%
TSE:WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals
152.69
29.16
23.60%
TSE:AGI
Alamos Gold
41.28
5.33
14.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026