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Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (TSE:AEM)
TSX:AEM

Agnico Eagle (AEM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AEM

Agnico Eagle

(TSX:AEM)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
C$315.00
▲(15.07% Upside)
Agnico Eagle's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust operational efficiency and strategic project development contribute to a positive outlook. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the high P/E ratio suggests the stock may be overvalued, which could limit immediate upside potential.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained, high free cash flow growth and efficient cash conversion provide durable funding for capital projects, dividends and buybacks without heavy reliance on debt. This strengthens strategic optionality, supports reinvestment in exploration and de-risks funding for multi-year development plans.
Very low leverage and strong equity base
A minimal debt load and high equity ratio offer resilience across commodity cycles, lowering financial risk and enabling opportunistic M&A or project funding. This balance sheet strength preserves credit capacity and reduces refinancing risk, supporting long-term operational continuity.
Robust project pipeline and exploration success
Progressing multiple development projects and strong drill results expand future production potential (management cites 1.3–1.5M oz upside), extending reserve life and diversifying mine supply. This organic growth pipeline strengthens medium-term production visibility and long-run cash generation.
Negative Factors
Sustainability of high growth
Record revenue and margins have been driven by exceptional conditions; sustaining elevated growth and margins is uncertain given mining project lead times and commodity cyclicality. A reversion toward mean production or prices would materially affect earnings and cash flow profiles over months to years.
Higher cash costs from royalties
Royalties that scale with metal prices introduce a structural uplift to unit costs as prices rise, compressing long-run margins and raising all-in sustaining costs. This dynamic can erode incremental cash flow from price spikes and reduce margin resilience if royalty regimes persist or expand.
Skilled labor shortage risk
Persistent labor shortages can inflate operating costs, slow project schedules, and hamper productivity across multi-jurisdiction operations. For a growth-focused miner, recruiting and training timelines add execution risk to development plans and can reduce margin sustainability over the medium term.

Agnico Eagle (AEM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Agnico Eagle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAgnico Eagle Mines Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in Canada, Mexico, and Finland. It operates through Northern Business and Southern Business segments. The company primarily produces and sells gold deposits, as well as explores for silver, zinc, and copper deposits. Its flagship property is the LaRonde mine located in the Abitibi region of northwestern Quebec, Canada. As of December 31, 2021, the company's LaRonde mine had proven and probable mineral reserves of approximately 3.0 million ounces of gold. It is also involved in exploration activities in Europe, Latin America, and the United States. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAgnico Eagle generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and other precious metals. The company operates multiple mining sites and generates income by selling the gold produced at these facilities to global markets. Key revenue streams include gold sales, which are influenced by market prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Additionally, Agnico Eagle may benefit from by-product sales, such as silver, which can provide supplemental income. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that can enhance its resource base, reduce operational costs, and diversify its portfolio, contributing positively to its earnings. Moreover, Agnico Eagle's focus on sustainable practices and community engagement can lead to long-term operational stability and profitability.

Agnico Eagle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with record results and a solid operational outlook. Despite challenges such as increased cash costs due to higher royalties and a skilled labor shortage, the company continues to excel in operational efficiency and strategic project development. The highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive trajectory for Agnico Eagle.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Agnico Eagle reported record gold prices, strong production, and solid cost control leading to record financial results. Gold production for Q3 was 867,000 ounces, contributing to 77% of the full-year guidance. The company achieved a record average selling price of $3,476 per ounce.
Debt Reduction and Shareholder Returns
The company repaid $400 million of debt, returned $350 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, and increased its net cash position to $2.2 billion. Additionally, Agnico Eagle received a credit rating upgrade.
Project Pipeline and Exploration Success
Agnico Eagle is advancing construction and development of key pipeline projects and investing heavily in exploration. The company is ahead of schedule on several projects, including Malartic and Upper Beaver, and has achieved exceptional drill results at Hope Bay and San Nicolas.
Operational Excellence and Cost Control
Strong cost control with cash costs of $994 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of $1,373 per ounce. The company remains within its guidance range and continues to optimize operations.
Negative Updates
Increased Cash Costs Due to Higher Royalties
Q3 cash costs were higher due to increased royalty expenses as a result of higher gold prices. Cash costs rose by approximately $60 per ounce compared to budget.
Skilled Labor Shortage
The mining industry faces a skilled labor shortage, which affects operational needs and cost management. Agnico Eagle is addressing this through workforce planning and local training programs.
Company Guidance
During the Agnico Eagle Mines Limited Q3 2025 conference call, the company reported record financial results driven by record gold prices and strong operational performance. Key metrics included quarterly gold production of 867,000 ounces, which put the company at 77% of their full-year guidance range. Gold was sold at an average price of $3,476 per ounce, contributing to record margins despite cash costs of $994 per ounce, primarily due to higher royalty expenses. Adjusted EBITDA reached $2.1 billion, and adjusted net income was $1.1 billion, translating to $2.16 per share. The company also strengthened its balance sheet by repaying $400 million in debt and returning $350 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Agnico Eagle invested in future growth by advancing key projects and exploration programs, with potential production from these initiatives estimated between 1.3 million to 1.5 million ounces. They continued to focus on cost control and productivity, aiming to achieve higher efficiency even amidst high gold prices.

Agnico Eagle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Agnico Eagle's financial performance is strong, with high profitability, stable leverage, and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains solid margins and asset management practices, though recent revenue challenges suggest a need for strategic focus on growth opportunities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Agnico Eagle demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross and net profit margins. The TTM gross profit margin is 47.9% and the net profit margin is 26.5%, reflecting efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 42.5% and 57.8% respectively. However, the recent revenue decline from the previous annual period warrants attention, indicating potential market challenges or operational adjustments.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet presents a stable financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, showcasing a conservative leverage approach. The equity ratio is healthy at 70.7%, signifying strong asset backing by shareholders' equity. Return on Equity stands at 8.3% annually, showing moderate profitability relative to equity. These indicators highlight financial stability, though the moderate ROE suggests room for enhanced shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow metrics are strong, with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.75, indicating excellent cash earnings quality. Free cash flow generation remains robust, despite a decline in growth rate, reflecting effective capital expenditure management. The cash flow profile highlights the company's ability to generate and manage cash efficiently, providing a solid foundation for future investment and debt service.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.68B8.29B6.63B5.74B3.82B3.14B
Gross Profit5.39B3.69B3.72B2.00B1.33B1.08B
EBITDA6.08B4.42B4.05B2.27B1.75B1.57B
Net Income2.96B1.90B1.94B670.25M561.95M511.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.69B29.99B28.68B23.49B10.19B9.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.57B933.74M348.85M658.63M191.07M406.46M
Total Debt733.69M1.28B2.00B1.49B1.70B1.69B
Total Liabilities9.15B9.15B9.26B7.25B4.21B3.93B
Stockholders Equity22.54B20.83B19.42B16.24B5.98B5.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.07B2.13B953.66M558.40M398.31M432.71M
Operating Cash Flow5.11B3.96B2.65B2.10B1.32B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow-2.43B-2.01B-2.81B-710.46M-1.23B-808.81M
Financing Cash Flow-2.04B-1.36B-163.96M-914.85M-297.24M-302.82M

Agnico Eagle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price273.74
Price Trends
50DMA
238.40
Positive
100DMA
229.15
Positive
200DMA
196.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.46
Negative
RSI
72.18
Negative
STOCH
90.32
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AEM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 273.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 246.70, above the 50-day MA of 238.40, and above the 200-day MA of 196.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AEM.

Agnico Eagle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$55.79B23.0524.09%0.43%36.41%144.79%
80
Outperform
C$137.43B28.5615.67%0.91%38.72%250.70%
80
Outperform
C$117.01B23.9214.63%1.17%21.76%129.56%
79
Outperform
C$83.96B60.0413.05%0.55%54.48%68.44%
77
Outperform
C$25.06B33.6614.27%0.25%34.64%115.75%
72
Outperform
C$63.55B49.4514.17%0.72%44.76%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
273.74
154.06
128.72%
TSE:ABX
Barrick Mining
69.34
47.17
212.74%
TSE:FNV
Franco-Nevada
329.68
151.49
85.02%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
46.22
31.59
215.97%
TSE:WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals
184.93
102.79
125.14%
TSE:AGI
Alamos Gold
59.68
31.79
113.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025