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Barrick Mining (TSE:ABX)
TSX:ABX
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Barrick Mining (ABX) AI Stock Analysis

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Barrick Mining

(TSX:ABX)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$33.00
▲(16.07%Upside)
Barrick Mining's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives are major strengths. While technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum, valuation is fair. Earnings call insights and corporate events both show positive progress but also highlight challenges in Mali, which slightly dampen the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Bitcoin acquisition strategy
Metaplanet emerges as Japan's answer to MSTR with Bitcoin acquisition strategy aimed at hyper-accumulation.
Cash flow
The company reported strong free cash flow in Q1’25 of $375 million, which was well above expectations.
Financial performance
Barrick Mining reported better than forecast Q1’25 adjusted earnings and maintained its 2025 guidance, including gold production of 3.15-3.5 million ounces.
Negative Factors
Political challenges
There are political challenges in Mali and technical difficulties at Pueblo Viejo affecting Barrick Mining.
Risk perceptions
Risk perceptions around Reko Diq are likely to weigh on multiples to some extent in the near term.
Shutdown in Mali
The shutdown in Mali is costing the company ~$15M per month in cash.

Barrick Mining (ABX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Barrick Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarrick Gold Corporation is a leading global mining company with a focus on gold and copper mining. Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Barrick operates mines and projects in various countries, including the United States, Canada, Argentina, the Dominican Republic, and Mali. The company is committed to responsible mining practices and sustainable economic development, aiming to create long-term value for its shareholders and the communities in which it operates.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarrick Gold makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and copper. The company's revenue model is centered around mining operations, where it explores, develops, and produces gold and copper from its various mining sites. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold and copper directly to refineries and other buyers. Barrick also engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies to optimize resource extraction and share operational risks. Additionally, the company focuses on cost management and operational efficiency to enhance profitability. Fluctuations in commodity prices, production volumes, and operational costs are significant factors that influence Barrick's earnings.

Barrick Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong production and financial performance, progress in sustainability, and advancements in growth projects. However, challenges in Mali, operational downtime, and complexities at Kibali offset some positive aspects.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Production and Financial Results
Production was up at the top of the guidance, and forecast improvements throughout the year. Dividends maintained at $0.10 per share, debt reduced, and share buyback program continued. Announced $1 billion sale of Donlin and rationalizing portfolio to focus on Tier-1 assets.
Operational and Sustainability Achievements
Significant projects completed at Pueblo Viejo, Nevada Gold Mines, and Lumwana. Copper had a great quarter, with full-year production targets on track for both gold and copper. Strong progress in sustainability with improvements in lost time injury frequency rate and total recordable injury frequency rate.
Advancements in Growth Projects
Growth projects gaining momentum with Pueblo Viejo ramping up, Fourmile moving to pre-feasibility, Lumwana and Reko Diq moving to construction, and a new discovery within the Reko Diq mining lease.
Exploration and Resource Expansion
Drilling project at Norris kicked off, and progress in other project opportunities. Drilling permits applied for in Pascua-Lama, and exploration across the Central African copper belt and other regions continue.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Mali
Operations at Loulo-Gounkoto remain suspended, with ongoing engagement with the transitional government to achieve a long-term solution. Current costs around $15 million a month, with potential to reduce to under $10 million on full care and maintenance.
Operational Downtime and Maintenance
Goldstrike roaster planned maintenance resulted in downtime, affecting production. Planned maintenance at Nevada Gold Mines impacted Q1 results, with expectations for improvement in Q2 and the second half.
Complexities at Kibali
Lower production in Q1 due to lower ore grades from underground, expected to improve over the year. Complex geological structures requiring ongoing exploration and analysis.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Barrick Mining Corporation reported production at the top of its guidance range with expectations of continued improvements throughout the year. The company maintained its dividend at $0.10 per share, reduced debt, and continued its share buyback program. A $1 billion sale of Donlin was completed as part of a strategic focus on Tier-1 assets. Operational highlights included significant projects at Pueblo Viejo, Nevada Gold Mines, and Lumwana, positioning the company well for the rest of the year and beyond. Copper production was strong, aligning with full-year targets. Financially, the company experienced significant growth in operating cash flow, free cash flow, and earnings, bolstered by higher gold prices. Sustainability efforts included a 31,000 critical control verification initiative and improvements in the lost time injury frequency rate. Environmental permits were secured at Reko Diq, and a social metric tracker aligned with the UN Sustainable Development Goals was implemented. Overall, Barrick demonstrated resilience and strategic focus, supported by a portfolio of long-life gold assets and a growing copper business, with ongoing exploration and operational enhancements across its global sites.

Barrick Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barrick Mining demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and operational efficiency. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage and strong cash flow generation, underscoring financial stability and effective cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Barrick Mining exhibits strong profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 40.4% and a Net Profit Margin of 17.5% for TTM. Revenue grew by 3% from the previous year, indicating stable growth. The EBIT Margin is healthy at 36.4%, and the EBITDA Margin is robust at 54.8%, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.19, indicating low leverage. The Return on Equity stands at 9.5%, showcasing efficient use of equity. The Equity Ratio is strong at 50.8%, emphasizing a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Barrick Mining demonstrates strong cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow growth of 29% from the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.1, highlighting cash-generating capability. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.73, indicating effective cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.92B11.40B11.01B11.98B12.60B
Gross Profit4.96B3.46B3.52B4.90B5.18B
EBITDA7.01B5.16B3.70B6.65B7.73B
Net Income2.14B1.27B432.00M3.29B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.63B45.81B45.97B46.89B46.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.07B4.15B4.44B5.28B5.19B
Total Debt5.26B5.22B5.25B5.47B5.36B
Total Liabilities14.37B13.81B14.68B14.58B14.80B
Stockholders Equity24.29B23.34B22.77B23.86B23.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.32B646.00M432.00M1.94B3.36B
Operating Cash Flow4.49B3.73B3.48B4.38B5.42B
Investing Cash Flow-2.76B-2.82B-1.71B-1.90B-1.29B
Financing Cash Flow-1.79B-1.21B-2.60B-2.39B-2.25B

Barrick Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.43
Price Trends
50DMA
27.63
Positive
100DMA
27.18
Positive
200DMA
25.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
49.23
Neutral
STOCH
38.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ABX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.78, above the 50-day MA of 27.63, and above the 200-day MA of 25.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ABX.

Barrick Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAEM
80
Outperform
$81.70B24.5411.45%1.41%32.68%419.46%
TSABX
78
Outperform
$48.88B15.329.70%3.17%19.13%66.78%
TSK
77
Outperform
$25.78B15.3118.12%0.99%30.84%188.80%
TSWPM
75
Outperform
$55.03B63.508.51%0.89%37.40%8.55%
TSFNV
74
Outperform
$40.83B47.2510.19%0.98%-7.22%
TSAGI
73
Outperform
$14.36B39.677.85%0.40%37.83%24.13%
63
Neutral
$10.28B9.980.11%3.21%2.26%-33.42%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ABX
Barrick Mining
28.43
3.72
15.05%
TSE:AGI
Alamos Gold
34.14
10.69
45.57%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
21.01
8.89
73.28%
TSE:WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals
121.23
39.47
48.28%
TSE:FNV
Franco-Nevada
211.93
42.84
25.33%
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
161.61
60.56
59.93%

Barrick Mining Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Barrick Mining to Announce Q2 2025 Results on August 11
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation announced that it will release its second quarter 2025 results on August 11, 2025, before the market opens. The release will be followed by a webcast hosted by President and CEO Mark Bristow, which will include a presentation and a Q&A session with analysts. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Advances $2 Billion Lumwana Expansion to Boost Copper Production
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation is advancing the $2 billion Super Pit Expansion Project at its Lumwana mine in Zambia, aiming to transform it into a Tier One copper mine. This expansion is expected to double copper production and significantly contribute to Zambia’s economy through local procurement and employment. The project aligns with Zambia’s Mining and Minerals 2031 policy, fostering regional development and environmental sustainability through initiatives like a REDD+ forest conservation program. Barrick’s efforts at Lumwana underscore its commitment to sustainable mining and strengthening partnerships with local communities and the Zambian government.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$33.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick’s Twiga Partnership Celebrates Five Years of Growth in Tanzania
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

The Twiga partnership between Barrick Mining Corporation and the Tanzanian government has marked its fifth anniversary, showcasing significant contributions to the country’s economy and infrastructure. Barrick has invested $4.79 billion in Tanzania since 2019, with a strong focus on local procurement and workforce development. The partnership has led to advancements in mining operations, education, and community relations, positioning Barrick as a key economic contributor and a model for sustainable mining practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining’s Kibali Mine Shows Promising Growth and Sustainability Initiatives
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced promising drilling results from the ARK-KCD corridor at its Kibali mine, indicating potential for significant reserve growth and extended mine life. The Kibali mine is a major economic contributor to the DRC, with over $6.3 billion invested locally. Barrick emphasizes sustainable practices, with 85% renewable energy use and biodiversity initiatives, including the introduction of white rhinos into Garamba National Park. The company continues to focus on local partnerships and capacity building, reinforcing its commitment to long-term sustainable growth in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Engages in Arbitration Amid Mali Dispute
Negative
Jun 16, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation is currently involved in an arbitration process with the State of Mali, following a court ruling that placed its Loulo-Gounkoto complex under provisional administration. This move by the Malian government, which included blocking gold exports and seizing stocks, has led to operational disruptions and employee detentions, which Barrick views as unjustified. Despite these challenges, Barrick remains committed to resolving the dispute through dialogue and arbitration, emphasizing the need for mutual respect and legal certainty to maintain Mali’s credibility as an investment destination.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Sells 50% Stake in Donlin Gold Project for $1 Billion
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has finalized the sale of its 50% stake in the Donlin Gold Project in Alaska to Paulson Advisers LLC and NOVAGOLD Resources Inc. for $1 billion in cash. This divestiture is a strategic move that could impact Barrick’s operational focus and financial positioning, potentially allowing the company to reallocate resources to other projects or investments, thereby influencing its market strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Challenges Malian Government’s Move on Loulo-Gounkoto Operations
Negative
May 26, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation is currently opposing the Malian government’s attempt to take over the day-to-day operations of the Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex. The government has requested a court-appointed provisional administration, which Barrick argues is unjustified and contrary to Malian law and existing agreements. Despite the suspension of operations and the detention of employees, Barrick continues to support its workforce and seeks a fair resolution through international arbitration. The company’s actions highlight its commitment to protecting its investments and ensuring the long-term viability of its operations in Mali.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Advances Sustainable Development Goals with New Report
Positive
May 19, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has released its 2024 Sustainability Report, ‘Beyond the Horizon,’ highlighting its commitment to the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals. The report details Barrick’s efforts in economic growth, social progress, and environmental protection, including over $100 billion distributed in economic value and $200 million invested in community-led projects since its 2019 merger. The company is also recalibrating its greenhouse gas emissions profile to align with its expanding production base and renewable energy initiatives, aiming for a Net Zero target by 2050. Barrick’s new site-level Sustainable Development Goal performance framework underscores its dedication to transparent, community-focused progress, with significant investments in local economies and infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Corporation Adopts New Ticker Symbol ‘B’ on NYSE
Positive
May 9, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has changed its ticker symbol on the New York Stock Exchange to ‘B’, highlighting its status as a major player in the gold and copper mining industry. This move aligns with Barrick’s strategy to strengthen its position in the market by focusing on sustainable growth in gold and copper production, which is expected to benefit from rising global demand for electrification and infrastructure.

Stock BuybackDividends
Barrick Mining Declares Q1 Dividend and Completes Share Buyback
Positive
May 7, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation announced a dividend of $0.10 per share for Q1 2025, in line with its Performance Dividend Policy. Additionally, the company repurchased approximately 7.69 million shares, reflecting its strong operational performance and financial health. This move underscores Barrick’s commitment to delivering substantial returns to shareholders while maintaining a robust balance sheet to support future growth initiatives.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Barrick Gold Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Advances Strategic Growth
Positive
May 7, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation reported a strong start to 2025 with significant progress on strategic growth objectives. The company saw a 59% increase in net earnings per share and an 84% rise in adjusted net earnings per share compared to the previous year. Operating cash flow increased by 59% to $1.2 billion, and free cash flow improved materially, enabling a 5% reduction in net debt. Barrick maintained its full-year guidance for gold and copper production, with costs per ounce expected to trend lower. Key growth projects, including Reko Diq and Lumwana, are advancing, and the company is focused on expanding its gold-equivalent ounces by 30% by the end of the decade. Barrick also demonstrated its commitment to sustainability and shareholder returns through share buybacks and dividends.

Delistings and Listing ChangesExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Barrick Gold Rebrands as Barrick Mining Corporation and Confirms Board of Directors
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation announced a name change from Barrick Gold to Barrick Mining Corporation, effective May 9, 2025, following shareholder approval. The company’s shares will trade under the new ticker symbol ‘B’ on the New York Stock Exchange, while retaining ‘ABX’ on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Additionally, the election of directors was confirmed, with all nominees successfully elected, signaling stability and continuity in leadership.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Gold to Rebrand as Barrick Mining Corporation
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation announced its intention to change its name to Barrick Mining Corporation, subject to shareholder approval, to better reflect its focus on both gold and copper mining. The company plans to change its ticker symbol on the NYSE to ‘B’ while maintaining ‘ABX’ on the TSX, aligning with its strategy to grow sustainably and profitably in the gold and copper sectors.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Gold Sells Stake in Donlin Gold Project for $1 Billion
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation has announced the sale of its 50 percent stake in the Donlin Gold Project in Alaska to Paulson Advisers LLC and NOVAGOLD Resources Inc. for $1 billion in cash. This strategic move allows Barrick to optimize its asset portfolio by focusing on its core operations and growth projects, while NOVAGOLD and Paulson will develop the Donlin Gold Project. The transaction is expected to strengthen Barrick’s balance sheet and support shareholder returns, pending customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Gold Sells Stake in Donlin Gold Project for $1 Billion
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

Barrick Gold Corporation has announced the sale of its 50% stake in the Donlin Gold Project in Alaska to Paulson Advisers LLC and NOVAGOLD Resources Inc. for $1 billion in cash. The transaction allows Barrick to optimize its asset portfolio by exiting the project at an attractive valuation, while NOVAGOLD and Paulson will continue its development. The proceeds from the sale will be used to strengthen Barrick’s balance sheet and support its strategic focus on sustainable growth projects. The transaction is expected to close by mid-2025, pending regulatory approvals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025