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Barrick Mining Corporation (TSE:ABX)
NYSE:ABX

Barrick Mining (ABX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ABX

Barrick Mining

(NYSE:ABX)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
C$76.00
▲(16.03% Upside)
Barrick Mining's overall stock score of 80 reflects strong financial performance, positive technical indicators, and strategic corporate actions. The company's robust earnings call results and strategic initiatives, such as the potential IPO and dispute resolution, further bolster its growth prospects. While safety concerns and operational challenges in Mali present risks, the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow strength
Sustained, rapid free cash flow growth provides durable funding for capital projects, dividends, buybacks and debt reduction. High FCF conversion improves resilience through commodity cycles and funds value-creating optionality like exploration and strategic portfolio moves.
Prudent balance sheet / low leverage
Low leverage and a healthy ROE give Barrick financial flexibility to invest in large, multi-year projects, pursue strategic transactions, and withstand commodity volatility. Prudent capital structure supports long-term investor returns and lowers refinancing risk in stressed markets.
High and sustainable margins
Robust, industry-leading margins reflect operational scale, cost discipline and high-grade assets. Margin durability supports cash generation even with gold price swings, funds exploration and returns, and indicates competitive advantage at key sites like Nevada and Pueblo Viejo.
Negative Factors
Safety and operational risk
Fatal incidents trigger investigations, potential regulatory enforcement, and remediation costs. Beyond immediate disruptions, persistent safety lapses can damage reputation, raise insurance and operating costs, and constrain access or approvals in sensitive jurisdictions over the long term.
Geopolitical / operational exposure in Mali
Long-running legal and political disputes in Mali create sustained operational uncertainty, hinder asset sales and negotiations, and elevate sovereign risk. Continued exposure can constrain cash flow from the region and complicate strategic planning and investor confidence over months to years.
Reduction in geographic diversification via asset sales
Selling producing assets reduces geographic and resource diversification, concentrating future production in fewer jurisdictions. While proceeds boost liquidity, contingent consideration tied to gold prices creates timing and price risk, and lost ounces can limit long-term optionality.

Barrick Mining (ABX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Barrick Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarrick Gold Corporation engages in the exploration, mine development, production, and sale of gold and copper properties. It has ownership interests in producing gold mines that are located in Argentina, Canada, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Dominican Republic, Mali, Tanzania, and the United States. The company also has ownership interests in producing copper mines located in Chile, Saudi Arabia, and Zambia; and various other projects located throughout the Americas and Africa. Barrick Gold Corporation was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarrick Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and copper produced at its mining operations. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes several key revenue streams: gold sales account for the majority of its income, while copper sales contribute a smaller but significant portion. Additionally, Barrick engages in hedging strategies to manage price volatility and mitigate risks associated with fluctuating commodity prices. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which enhance its operational capabilities and resource access. Factors contributing to Barrick's earnings include global gold prices, operational efficiencies, production levels, and the successful execution of its exploration and development projects.

Barrick Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial and operational performance, with record-breaking metrics and increased returns to shareholders. However, significant challenges were noted in safety with multiple fatalities, and operational issues in Mali continued to pose difficulties. Despite these setbacks, the sentiment leans positive due to the substantial financial achievements and promising developments in gold production.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Third quarter 2025 set company records for operating cash flow, free cash flow, and adjusted net earnings. Free cash flow increased by 274% quarter-over-quarter, and attributable EBITDA increased by 20%.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Base dividend increased by 25% and combined dividends and buybacks resulted in a record quarterly cash return to shareholders. Additionally, a $500 million increase to the share repurchase program was authorized.
Gold Production and Cost Improvements
Gold production increased by 4% over Q2, and cost metrics per ounce decreased, leading to improved EBITDA. The production growth was driven by higher grades and throughput at several sites.
Significant Gold Discovery at Fourmile
Fourmile is described as one of the most significant gold discoveries of the century. The exploration budget for Fourmile was increased by over $10 million for 2025.
Negative Updates
Safety Concerns with Multiple Fatalities
Three fatalities were reported during the quarter, prompting a full investigation and raising concerns about safety culture and practices.
Copper Production Decline
Copper production was slightly down from Q2 due to a plant shutdown at Lumwana.
Challenges in Mali
The focus in Mali is on negotiating the release of four employees who have been imprisoned for eleven months, impacting operations and potential asset sales.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Barrick Mining Corporation reported strong operational and financial results, setting company records for adjusted earnings per share, operating cash flow, free cash flow, and adjusted net earnings. Gold production increased by 4% from the previous quarter, driven by higher grades at Kibali and increased throughput at Cortez and Turquoise Ridge, with a record high throughput at Pueblo Viejo. Costs per ounce decreased, contributing to a 25% quarter-on-quarter rise in attributable gold EBITDA. The higher gold price and improved production led to a 274% increase in free cash flow, enabling a significant 25% increase in the base dividend and a record quarterly cash return to shareholders. The company also announced an expanded $1.5 billion US buyback program, supported by asset sales. However, the quarter was marred by three fatalities, emphasizing a renewed focus on safety. Copper production declined slightly due to preventive maintenance at Lumwana, but both gold and copper are expected to meet their annual production and cost guidance. The updated PEA for Fourmile highlighted it as a significant gold discovery, with plans to double the existing resource this year.

Barrick Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barrick Mining exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, efficient operations, and effective cash flow management. The income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 48.32% and a net profit margin of 24.53%. The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, and the cash flow statement is impressive with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 60.35%.
Income Statement
Barrick Mining's income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 48.32% and a net profit margin of 24.53% for the TTM period. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 5.64% in the latest period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 47.50% and 59.92%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy financial performance with strong growth and profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Barrick Mining is solid, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 14.51%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a strong capital structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
Barrick Mining's cash flow statement is impressive, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 60.35% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.12, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.44 suggests a good conversion of profits into free cash flow, supporting future investments and debt repayments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.60B12.92B11.40B11.01B11.98B12.60B
Gross Profit7.06B4.96B3.46B3.52B4.90B5.18B
EBITDA8.88B7.01B5.54B3.70B6.65B7.73B
Net Income3.58B2.14B1.27B432.00M2.02B2.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.36B47.63B45.81B45.97B46.89B46.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.04B4.07B4.15B4.44B5.28B5.19B
Total Debt4.71B5.26B5.22B5.25B5.47B5.36B
Total Liabilities14.44B14.37B13.81B14.68B14.58B14.80B
Stockholders Equity25.15B24.29B23.34B22.77B23.86B23.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.75B1.32B646.00M432.00M1.94B3.36B
Operating Cash Flow6.36B4.49B3.73B3.48B4.38B5.42B
Investing Cash Flow-2.29B-2.76B-2.82B-1.71B-1.90B-1.29B
Financing Cash Flow-3.22B-1.79B-1.21B-2.60B-2.39B-2.25B

Barrick Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.50
Price Trends
50DMA
54.99
Positive
100DMA
48.47
Positive
200DMA
38.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.42
Negative
RSI
70.85
Negative
STOCH
92.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ABX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.62, above the 50-day MA of 54.99, and above the 200-day MA of 38.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.85 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ABX.

Barrick Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$27.34B28.4355.69%2.47%57.32%126.96%
81
Outperform
C$50.70B20.9524.09%0.43%36.41%144.79%
80
Outperform
C$111.25B22.7514.63%1.17%21.76%129.56%
80
Outperform
C$125.35B26.0515.67%0.91%38.72%250.70%
79
Outperform
C$78.57B56.1813.05%0.55%54.48%68.44%
72
Outperform
C$58.39B45.4414.17%0.72%44.76%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ABX
Barrick Mining
65.50
42.85
189.16%
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
252.41
132.19
109.96%
TSE:FNV
Franco-Nevada
301.47
120.28
66.38%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
42.34
27.11
177.95%
TSE:WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals
170.39
86.76
103.75%
TSE:LUG
Lundin Gold
114.60
83.36
266.85%

Barrick Mining Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Barrick Mining Sets February 5 Date for Full-Year and Q4 2025 Results
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026

Barrick Mining Corporation announced it will publish its full-year and fourth-quarter 2025 financial results before the market opens on February 5, 2026, followed by a live webcast and management presentation later that morning. The scheduled webcast, including a Q&A session with analysts, and the availability of presentation materials and replay on the company’s website underscore Barrick’s continuing efforts to maintain transparent communication with investors and other stakeholders around its operational and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Barrick Mining Completes Sale of Tongon Gold Mine
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has completed the sale of its interests in the Tongon gold mine and certain exploration properties in Côte d’Ivoire to the Atlantic Group for up to $305 million. This transaction includes an immediate cash payment of $192 million and contingent payments up to $113 million, dependent on future gold prices and resource conversions. This divestiture aligns with Barrick’s strategic focus on optimizing its portfolio and could impact its operational dynamics and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Barrick Mining Considers IPO for North American Gold Assets
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation announced its consideration of an initial public offering (IPO) for a subsidiary holding its premier North American gold assets, named ‘NewCo.’ This move aims to highlight the value of these assets by creating a focused publicly traded entity, while Barrick retains a significant controlling interest. The IPO would include Barrick’s joint venture interests in Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo, as well as the wholly owned Fourmile gold discovery in Nevada. This strategic initiative is part of Barrick’s ongoing efforts to maximize shareholder value, particularly in North America, and could provide new and existing shareholders with more options in a pure gold company with growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Barrick Mining Announces Leadership Changes on Board
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation announced a change in its board leadership, with Ben van Beurden stepping down as Director and Lead Independent Director, and Loreto Silva taking over the latter role. This change is part of Barrick’s ongoing commitment to delivering long-term value for shareholders, supported by its strong leadership team and industry-leading assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Barrick Resolves Mali Disputes, Regains Control of Key Mines
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has resolved its disputes with the Government of Mali concerning the Loulo and Gounkoto mines. This agreement includes the dropping of charges against Barrick and its employees, the release of detained employees, and the return of operational control over the Loulo-Gounkoto complex to Barrick. The settlement also involves the withdrawal of arbitration claims at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes, paving the way for improved relations and operational stability in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Barrick Mining Achieves Record Q3 Financial Results and Increases Dividend
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with gold production increasing by 4% and copper production aligning with plans. The company achieved record operating and free cash flow, leading to a 25% increase in its base quarterly dividend. Despite operational challenges, Barrick remains committed to safety and improving performance, with a focus on its Tier One gold assets. The company also expanded its share buyback program and confirmed the significance of the Fourmile gold discovery.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividends
Barrick Mining Boosts Dividends and Share Buybacks for Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced a 25% increase in its quarterly base dividend to $0.125 per share, alongside a third-quarter dividend of $0.175 per share, which includes a performance dividend. The company also repurchased approximately 18.60 million shares in Q3 as part of its share buyback program, totaling 39.79 million shares repurchased this year. These actions reflect Barrick’s strategy to provide significant financial returns to shareholders while maintaining a strong balance sheet, supported by robust operating performance and cash flows.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Barrick Mining Expands Share Buyback Program by $500 Million
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced an increase of $500 million to its existing share repurchase program, following the successful repurchase of $1.0 billion worth of shares earlier this year. This move reflects Barrick’s strong financial performance and cash flow generation, allowing for further repurchases. The company believes its shares may sometimes trade below their intrinsic value, and the repurchase program aims to capitalize on this. The decision underscores Barrick’s strategic focus on shareholder returns and financial flexibility, with potential implications for its market positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Barrick Mining Completes Sale of Alturas Project to Boroo
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has completed the sale of its Alturas Project in Chile to Boroo Pte. Ltd for $50 million, with an additional 0.5% net smelter return royalty on gold and silver production. This divestiture aligns with Barrick’s strategic focus on optimizing its portfolio and enhancing shareholder value through disciplined asset management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Barrick Mining to Announce Q3 2025 Results on November 10
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced that it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, before the markets open. A webcast presentation and Q&A session with analysts will follow later in the day. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025