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Barrick Mining (TSE:ABX)
TSX:ABX
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Barrick Mining (ABX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ABX

Barrick Mining

(TSX:ABX)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$66.00
▲(12.96% Upside)
Barrick Mining's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust profitability, efficient operations, and effective cash flow management position it well for continued growth. Technical analysis indicates strong bullish momentum, although the stock is in overbought territory. Valuation is fair, supporting the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
Barrick's strong profitability and efficient operations, with a gross profit margin of 48.32% and a net profit margin of 24.53%, indicate a solid financial foundation and ability to sustain growth.
Resolution of Mali Disputes
Resolving disputes in Mali restores operational control and eliminates legal uncertainties, enhancing Barrick's operational stability and future growth prospects in the region.
Significant Gold Discovery
The significant gold discovery at Fourmile, with increased exploration budget, positions Barrick for substantial future resource growth and long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Safety Concerns
The occurrence of fatalities raises concerns about Barrick's safety practices, potentially impacting employee morale and operational efficiency if not addressed.
Copper Production Decline
A decline in copper production due to operational shutdowns could affect revenue diversification and highlight potential operational vulnerabilities.
Leadership Change
Leadership changes can create strategic uncertainty and may impact the company's governance and decision-making processes in the short to medium term.

Barrick Mining (ABX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Barrick Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarrick Gold Corporation engages in the exploration, mine development, production, and sale of gold and copper properties. It has ownership interests in producing gold mines that are located in Argentina, Canada, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Dominican Republic, Mali, Tanzania, and the United States. The company also has ownership interests in producing copper mines located in Chile, Saudi Arabia, and Zambia; and various other projects located throughout the Americas and Africa. Barrick Gold Corporation was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarrick Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and copper produced at its mining operations. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes several key revenue streams: gold sales account for the majority of its income, while copper sales contribute a smaller but significant portion. Additionally, Barrick engages in hedging strategies to manage price volatility and mitigate risks associated with fluctuating commodity prices. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which enhance its operational capabilities and resource access. Factors contributing to Barrick's earnings include global gold prices, operational efficiencies, production levels, and the successful execution of its exploration and development projects.

Barrick Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial and operational performance, with record-breaking metrics and increased returns to shareholders. However, significant challenges were noted in safety with multiple fatalities, and operational issues in Mali continued to pose difficulties. Despite these setbacks, the sentiment leans positive due to the substantial financial achievements and promising developments in gold production.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Third quarter 2025 set company records for operating cash flow, free cash flow, and adjusted net earnings. Free cash flow increased by 274% quarter-over-quarter, and attributable EBITDA increased by 20%.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Base dividend increased by 25% and combined dividends and buybacks resulted in a record quarterly cash return to shareholders. Additionally, a $500 million increase to the share repurchase program was authorized.
Gold Production and Cost Improvements
Gold production increased by 4% over Q2, and cost metrics per ounce decreased, leading to improved EBITDA. The production growth was driven by higher grades and throughput at several sites.
Significant Gold Discovery at Fourmile
Fourmile is described as one of the most significant gold discoveries of the century. The exploration budget for Fourmile was increased by over $10 million for 2025.
Negative Updates
Safety Concerns with Multiple Fatalities
Three fatalities were reported during the quarter, prompting a full investigation and raising concerns about safety culture and practices.
Copper Production Decline
Copper production was slightly down from Q2 due to a plant shutdown at Lumwana.
Challenges in Mali
The focus in Mali is on negotiating the release of four employees who have been imprisoned for eleven months, impacting operations and potential asset sales.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Barrick Mining Corporation reported strong operational and financial results, setting company records for adjusted earnings per share, operating cash flow, free cash flow, and adjusted net earnings. Gold production increased by 4% from the previous quarter, driven by higher grades at Kibali and increased throughput at Cortez and Turquoise Ridge, with a record high throughput at Pueblo Viejo. Costs per ounce decreased, contributing to a 25% quarter-on-quarter rise in attributable gold EBITDA. The higher gold price and improved production led to a 274% increase in free cash flow, enabling a significant 25% increase in the base dividend and a record quarterly cash return to shareholders. The company also announced an expanded $1.5 billion US buyback program, supported by asset sales. However, the quarter was marred by three fatalities, emphasizing a renewed focus on safety. Copper production declined slightly due to preventive maintenance at Lumwana, but both gold and copper are expected to meet their annual production and cost guidance. The updated PEA for Fourmile highlighted it as a significant gold discovery, with plans to double the existing resource this year.

Barrick Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barrick Mining exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, efficient operations, and effective cash flow management. The income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 48.32% and a net profit margin of 24.53%. The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, and the cash flow statement is impressive with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 60.35%.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Barrick Mining's income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 48.32% and a net profit margin of 24.53% for the TTM period. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 5.64% in the latest period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 47.50% and 59.92%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy financial performance with strong growth and profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Barrick Mining is solid, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 14.51%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a strong capital structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Barrick Mining's cash flow statement is impressive, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 60.35% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.12, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.44 suggests a good conversion of profits into free cash flow, supporting future investments and debt repayments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.60B12.92B11.40B11.01B11.98B12.60B
Gross Profit7.06B4.96B3.46B3.52B4.90B5.18B
EBITDA8.88B7.01B5.54B3.70B6.65B7.73B
Net Income3.58B2.14B1.27B432.00M2.02B2.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.36B47.63B45.81B45.97B46.89B46.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.04B4.07B4.15B4.44B5.28B5.19B
Total Debt4.71B5.26B5.22B5.25B5.47B5.36B
Total Liabilities14.44B14.37B13.81B14.68B14.58B14.80B
Stockholders Equity25.15B24.29B23.34B22.77B23.86B23.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.75B1.32B646.00M432.00M1.94B3.36B
Operating Cash Flow6.36B4.49B3.73B3.48B4.38B5.42B
Investing Cash Flow-2.29B-2.76B-2.82B-1.71B-1.90B-1.29B
Financing Cash Flow-3.22B-1.79B-1.21B-2.60B-2.39B-2.25B

Barrick Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.43
Price Trends
50DMA
48.32
Positive
100DMA
40.88
Positive
200DMA
33.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.92
Negative
RSI
72.64
Negative
STOCH
96.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ABX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.24, above the 50-day MA of 48.32, and above the 200-day MA of 33.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.64 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ABX.

Barrick Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$46.40B19.1324.09%0.45%36.41%144.79%
80
Outperform
C$122.39B25.4415.67%0.93%38.72%250.70%
79
Outperform
$97.03B19.8414.63%1.35%21.76%129.56%
79
Outperform
$69.68B49.8213.05%0.60%54.48%68.44%
76
Outperform
$22.20B29.7614.27%0.29%34.64%115.75%
74
Outperform
$56.07B43.6314.17%0.72%44.76%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ABX
Barrick Mining
58.43
34.70
146.23%
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
243.79
128.60
111.65%
TSE:FNV
Franco-Nevada
292.15
123.27
72.99%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
39.38
26.08
196.13%
TSE:WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals
153.47
67.76
79.05%
TSE:AGI
Alamos Gold
52.76
26.87
103.81%

Barrick Mining Corporate Events

Barrick Gold’s Earnings Call: Record Gains Amid Challenges
Nov 11, 2025

The recent earnings call for Barrick Gold highlighted a predominantly positive sentiment, underscored by the company’s strong financial and operational performance. Record-breaking metrics in cash flow and earnings were celebrated, alongside increased returns to shareholders. However, the call wasn’t without its challenges, as significant safety concerns with multiple fatalities were noted, and operational issues in Mali continued to pose difficulties. Despite these setbacks, the overall sentiment remained optimistic due to the substantial financial achievements and promising developments in gold production.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Barrick Mining Achieves Record Q3 Financial Results and Increases Dividend
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with gold production increasing by 4% and copper production aligning with plans. The company achieved record operating and free cash flow, leading to a 25% increase in its base quarterly dividend. Despite operational challenges, Barrick remains committed to safety and improving performance, with a focus on its Tier One gold assets. The company also expanded its share buyback program and confirmed the significance of the Fourmile gold discovery.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividends
Barrick Mining Boosts Dividends and Share Buybacks for Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced a 25% increase in its quarterly base dividend to $0.125 per share, alongside a third-quarter dividend of $0.175 per share, which includes a performance dividend. The company also repurchased approximately 18.60 million shares in Q3 as part of its share buyback program, totaling 39.79 million shares repurchased this year. These actions reflect Barrick’s strategy to provide significant financial returns to shareholders while maintaining a strong balance sheet, supported by robust operating performance and cash flows.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Barrick Mining Expands Share Buyback Program by $500 Million
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced an increase of $500 million to its existing share repurchase program, following the successful repurchase of $1.0 billion worth of shares earlier this year. This move reflects Barrick’s strong financial performance and cash flow generation, allowing for further repurchases. The company believes its shares may sometimes trade below their intrinsic value, and the repurchase program aims to capitalize on this. The decision underscores Barrick’s strategic focus on shareholder returns and financial flexibility, with potential implications for its market positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Barrick Mining Completes Sale of Alturas Project to Boroo
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has completed the sale of its Alturas Project in Chile to Boroo Pte. Ltd for $50 million, with an additional 0.5% net smelter return royalty on gold and silver production. This divestiture aligns with Barrick’s strategic focus on optimizing its portfolio and enhancing shareholder value through disciplined asset management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Barrick Mining to Announce Q3 2025 Results on November 10
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced that it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, before the markets open. A webcast presentation and Q&A session with analysts will follow later in the day. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Barrick Sells Tongon Mine Stake to Atlantic Group for $305 Million
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has agreed to sell its interests in the Tongon gold mine and certain exploration properties in Côte d’Ivoire to the Atlantic Group for up to $305 million. This transaction, expected to close in late 2025, will allow Barrick to strengthen its balance sheet and continue delivering returns to shareholders. The sale marks a transition to local ownership under Atlantic Group, a prominent Pan-African company, ensuring continued operational excellence and community benefits. The deal is subject to customary closing conditions, including government approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Barrick Mining Announces Leadership Transition with Mark Hill as Interim CEO
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced a leadership transition with Mark Hill appointed as the Group COO and Interim President & CEO, following the departure of Mark Bristow. Bristow, who led the company since its merger with Randgold in 2019, significantly strengthened Barrick’s portfolio and positioned it as a leading global producer of gold and copper. Under his leadership, Barrick returned $6.7 billion to shareholders and reduced net debt by $4 billion. The search for a permanent President and CEO is underway, with the company continuing to perform in line with its full-year expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Hold with a C$41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick’s Fourmile Project: A Century-Defining Gold Discovery
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced that its Fourmile project in Nevada is emerging as one of the most significant gold discoveries of the century. Recent studies and evaluations have confirmed the project’s potential to become a leading global gold producer, with high-grade, large-scale ore bodies that promise low-cost, long-life production. The project is expected to double its resource by the end of the year, with ongoing exploration revealing significant high-grade orebody extensions. The unique geometallurgy of Fourmile allows for more flexible and cost-effective processing, enhancing its value proposition. Barrick plans to expand its drilling operations to further evaluate and increase the project’s production potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Barrick Mining Sells Hemlo Gold Mine for $1.09 Billion
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced the sale of its Hemlo Gold Mine in Canada to Carcetti Capital Corp., which will be renamed Hemlo Mining Corp., for up to $1.09 billion. The transaction includes cash, shares, and a tiered gold price-linked payment structure. The sale is part of Barrick’s strategy to focus on its Tier One gold and copper portfolio, and the proceeds will be used to strengthen its balance sheet and return capital to shareholders. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to customary conditions and approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Hold with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Barrick Gold’s Earnings Call: Record Profits and Strategic Moves
Aug 13, 2025

Barrick Gold’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Performance Amidst Challenges

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividends
Barrick Mining Enhances Dividend and Expands Share Buyback Program
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced an enhanced dividend of $0.15 per share for the second quarter of 2025, in line with its Performance Dividend Policy. Additionally, the company repurchased 13.50 million shares during Q2 as part of its share buyback program, totaling approximately 21.19 million shares repurchased this year. These actions reflect Barrick’s strategy to provide significant returns to shareholders while maintaining a strong balance sheet, supported by solid operating performance and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$28.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Barrick Mining Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance with Increased Production and Shareholder Returns
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation reported a robust second quarter in 2025, with increased production of gold and copper, leading to higher free cash flow and net earnings per share. The company has made significant progress on its Tier One projects and returned substantial capital to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. The improved performance is attributed to operational enhancements and higher commodity prices, positioning Barrick for a strong second half of the year. Additionally, Barrick has made strides in sustainability initiatives, including a reduction in lost time injuries and the safe closure of tailings storage facilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$28.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Barrick Mining Appoints Ben van Beurden as Lead Director
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has appointed Ben van Beurden as the new Lead Independent Director of the Board, succeeding Brett Harvey. Van Beurden, former CEO of Shell, brings extensive experience in the energy and natural resources sectors, which is expected to enhance Barrick’s strategic direction and governance. His appointment is part of Barrick’s ongoing initiative to refresh its board composition to better navigate industry dynamics and deliver sustainable value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$28.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025