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Barrick Mining (TSE:ABX)
TSX:ABX
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Barrick Mining (ABX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ABX

Barrick Mining

(TSX:ABX)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
C$37.00
▲(14.84% Upside)
Barrick Mining's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions, supported by positive earnings call insights. The technical analysis suggests bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought signals. Valuation is reasonable but not particularly compelling. Legal challenges in Mali present a risk, but the company's strategic focus on Tier-1 assets and sustainability initiatives are positive factors.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Strategy
Metaplanet's Bitcoin acquisition strategy aimed at hyper-accumulation is seen positively by analysts.
Financial Performance
Barrick Mining reported strong free cash flow of $375 million in Q1’25, significantly surpassing expectations.
Production Guidance
Barrick Mining maintained its 2025 production guidance for both gold and copper, indicating stronger production prospects.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Risk
Risk perceptions around Reko Diq could weigh on multiples and affect investor sentiment.
Operational Challenges
Political challenges in Mali and technical difficulties at Pueblo Viejo are negatively impacting Barrick Mining.
Operational Costs
The shutdown in Mali is costing the company approximately $15 million monthly, posing a financial strain.

Barrick Mining (ABX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Barrick Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarrick Gold Corporation engages in the exploration, mine development, production, and sale of gold and copper properties. It has ownership interests in producing gold mines that are located in Argentina, Canada, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Dominican Republic, Mali, Tanzania, and the United States. The company also has ownership interests in producing copper mines located in Chile, Saudi Arabia, and Zambia; and various other projects located throughout the Americas and Africa. Barrick Gold Corporation was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarrick Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction, production, and sale of gold and copper. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of gold bullion, gold and copper concentrate, and by-products. Barrick engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize its mining operations, increase production efficiency, and explore new reserves. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuations in global commodity prices, operational efficiency, and cost management. Additionally, Barrick invests in exploration and development projects to expand its resource base and sustain future production levels.

Barrick Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong production and financial performance, progress in sustainability, and advancements in growth projects. However, challenges in Mali, operational downtime, and complexities at Kibali offset some positive aspects.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Production and Financial Results
Production was up at the top of the guidance, and forecast improvements throughout the year. Dividends maintained at $0.10 per share, debt reduced, and share buyback program continued. Announced $1 billion sale of Donlin and rationalizing portfolio to focus on Tier-1 assets.
Operational and Sustainability Achievements
Significant projects completed at Pueblo Viejo, Nevada Gold Mines, and Lumwana. Copper had a great quarter, with full-year production targets on track for both gold and copper. Strong progress in sustainability with improvements in lost time injury frequency rate and total recordable injury frequency rate.
Advancements in Growth Projects
Growth projects gaining momentum with Pueblo Viejo ramping up, Fourmile moving to pre-feasibility, Lumwana and Reko Diq moving to construction, and a new discovery within the Reko Diq mining lease.
Exploration and Resource Expansion
Drilling project at Norris kicked off, and progress in other project opportunities. Drilling permits applied for in Pascua-Lama, and exploration across the Central African copper belt and other regions continue.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Mali
Operations at Loulo-Gounkoto remain suspended, with ongoing engagement with the transitional government to achieve a long-term solution. Current costs around $15 million a month, with potential to reduce to under $10 million on full care and maintenance.
Operational Downtime and Maintenance
Goldstrike roaster planned maintenance resulted in downtime, affecting production. Planned maintenance at Nevada Gold Mines impacted Q1 results, with expectations for improvement in Q2 and the second half.
Complexities at Kibali
Lower production in Q1 due to lower ore grades from underground, expected to improve over the year. Complex geological structures requiring ongoing exploration and analysis.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Barrick Mining Corporation reported production at the top of its guidance range with expectations of continued improvements throughout the year. The company maintained its dividend at $0.10 per share, reduced debt, and continued its share buyback program. A $1 billion sale of Donlin was completed as part of a strategic focus on Tier-1 assets. Operational highlights included significant projects at Pueblo Viejo, Nevada Gold Mines, and Lumwana, positioning the company well for the rest of the year and beyond. Copper production was strong, aligning with full-year targets. Financially, the company experienced significant growth in operating cash flow, free cash flow, and earnings, bolstered by higher gold prices. Sustainability efforts included a 31,000 critical control verification initiative and improvements in the lost time injury frequency rate. Environmental permits were secured at Reko Diq, and a social metric tracker aligned with the UN Sustainable Development Goals was implemented. Overall, Barrick demonstrated resilience and strategic focus, supported by a portfolio of long-life gold assets and a growing copper business, with ongoing exploration and operational enhancements across its global sites.

Barrick Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barrick Mining demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and operational efficiency. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage and strong cash flow generation, underscoring financial stability and effective cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Barrick Mining exhibits strong profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 40.4% and a Net Profit Margin of 17.5% for TTM. Revenue grew by 3% from the previous year, indicating stable growth. The EBIT Margin is healthy at 36.4%, and the EBITDA Margin is robust at 54.8%, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.19, indicating low leverage. The Return on Equity stands at 9.5%, showcasing efficient use of equity. The Equity Ratio is strong at 50.8%, emphasizing a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Barrick Mining demonstrates strong cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow growth of 29% from the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.1, highlighting cash-generating capability. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.73, indicating effective cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.92B11.40B11.01B11.98B12.60B
Gross Profit4.96B3.46B3.52B4.90B5.18B
EBITDA7.01B5.16B3.70B6.65B7.73B
Net Income2.14B1.27B432.00M3.29B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.63B45.81B45.97B46.89B46.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.07B4.15B4.44B5.28B5.19B
Total Debt5.26B5.22B5.25B5.47B5.36B
Total Liabilities14.37B13.81B14.68B14.58B14.80B
Stockholders Equity24.29B23.34B22.77B23.86B23.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.32B646.00M432.00M1.94B3.36B
Operating Cash Flow4.49B3.73B3.48B4.38B5.42B
Investing Cash Flow-2.76B-2.82B-1.71B-1.90B-1.29B
Financing Cash Flow-1.79B-1.21B-2.60B-2.39B-2.25B

Barrick Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.22
Price Trends
50DMA
28.85
Positive
100DMA
27.71
Positive
200DMA
26.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Negative
RSI
74.30
Negative
STOCH
90.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ABX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.68, above the 50-day MA of 28.85, and above the 200-day MA of 26.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.30 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ABX.

Barrick Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$55.40B17.369.70%2.21%19.13%66.78%
61
Neutral
$9.63B6.931.14%3.13%3.91%-37.00%
$68.17B23.0013.92%1.18%
$33.07B53.4910.19%0.86%
$23.14B15.2422.05%0.63%
$45.73B57.9010.60%0.64%
$11.01B31.6810.18%0.38%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ABX
Barrick Mining
32.22
6.63
25.89%
AEM
Agnico Eagle
135.61
60.20
79.83%
FNV
Franco-Nevada
171.59
49.00
39.97%
KGC
Kinross Gold
18.98
10.16
115.19%
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals
100.69
44.04
77.74%
AGI
Alamos Gold
26.18
8.18
45.44%

Barrick Mining Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Sells Alturas Project to Boroo for $50 Million
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced the sale of its Alturas Project in Chile to Boroo Pte Ltd for $50 million, along with a 0.5% net smelter return royalty on gold and silver produced from the project. The sale aligns with Barrick’s strategy to optimize its asset portfolio by focusing on long-life, sustainable Tier One gold and copper operations. The transaction is expected to strengthen Barrick’s balance sheet and support its growth projects, while Boroo is anticipated to effectively manage the Alturas Project, benefiting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$28.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Barrick Mining Enhances Transparency with New TSF Disclosures
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has published additional disclosures for its tailings storage facilities (TSFs) in line with the Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM), underscoring its commitment to transparency and responsible operations. The company is actively working on bringing inactive TSFs to Safe Closure, with 13 facilities already closed and five more targeted for next year, ensuring long-term environmental and human health safety.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$28.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nevada Gold Mines and Komatsu Launch Autonomous Haulage Partnership
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

Nevada Gold Mines and Komatsu have launched a groundbreaking partnership to implement Komatsu’s FrontRunner Autonomous Haulage System in the U.S., marking a significant advancement in mining operations. This initiative aims to enhance safety and efficiency by automating haul trucks, supported by a 5G network from Sedna and Nokia, setting a new standard for the industry and demonstrating a commitment to innovative, sustainable mining practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$28.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Highlights Six Years of Sustainability Achievements
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation recently held its Annual Sustainability Update, emphasizing its commitment to sustainability and stakeholder engagement. The company released a new Summary Sustainability Report, highlighting achievements such as transitioning to renewable energy, distributing over $70 billion to various stakeholders, and forming local partnerships to build essential infrastructure. These efforts underscore Barrick’s dedication to transparent reporting and advancing its sustainability strategy globally.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Barrick Mining to Announce Q2 2025 Results on August 11
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation announced that it will release its second quarter 2025 results on August 11, 2025, before the market opens. The release will be followed by a webcast hosted by President and CEO Mark Bristow, which will include a presentation and a Q&A session with analysts. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Advances $2 Billion Lumwana Expansion to Boost Copper Production
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation is advancing the $2 billion Super Pit Expansion Project at its Lumwana mine in Zambia, aiming to transform it into a Tier One copper mine. This expansion is expected to double copper production and significantly contribute to Zambia’s economy through local procurement and employment. The project aligns with Zambia’s Mining and Minerals 2031 policy, fostering regional development and environmental sustainability through initiatives like a REDD+ forest conservation program. Barrick’s efforts at Lumwana underscore its commitment to sustainable mining and strengthening partnerships with local communities and the Zambian government.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$33.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick’s Twiga Partnership Celebrates Five Years of Growth in Tanzania
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

The Twiga partnership between Barrick Mining Corporation and the Tanzanian government has marked its fifth anniversary, showcasing significant contributions to the country’s economy and infrastructure. Barrick has invested $4.79 billion in Tanzania since 2019, with a strong focus on local procurement and workforce development. The partnership has led to advancements in mining operations, education, and community relations, positioning Barrick as a key economic contributor and a model for sustainable mining practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining’s Kibali Mine Shows Promising Growth and Sustainability Initiatives
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has announced promising drilling results from the ARK-KCD corridor at its Kibali mine, indicating potential for significant reserve growth and extended mine life. The Kibali mine is a major economic contributor to the DRC, with over $6.3 billion invested locally. Barrick emphasizes sustainable practices, with 85% renewable energy use and biodiversity initiatives, including the introduction of white rhinos into Garamba National Park. The company continues to focus on local partnerships and capacity building, reinforcing its commitment to long-term sustainable growth in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Engages in Arbitration Amid Mali Dispute
Negative
Jun 16, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation is currently involved in an arbitration process with the State of Mali, following a court ruling that placed its Loulo-Gounkoto complex under provisional administration. This move by the Malian government, which included blocking gold exports and seizing stocks, has led to operational disruptions and employee detentions, which Barrick views as unjustified. Despite these challenges, Barrick remains committed to resolving the dispute through dialogue and arbitration, emphasizing the need for mutual respect and legal certainty to maintain Mali’s credibility as an investment destination.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Sells 50% Stake in Donlin Gold Project for $1 Billion
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has finalized the sale of its 50% stake in the Donlin Gold Project in Alaska to Paulson Advisers LLC and NOVAGOLD Resources Inc. for $1 billion in cash. This divestiture is a strategic move that could impact Barrick’s operational focus and financial positioning, potentially allowing the company to reallocate resources to other projects or investments, thereby influencing its market strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Challenges Malian Government’s Move on Loulo-Gounkoto Operations
Negative
May 26, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation is currently opposing the Malian government’s attempt to take over the day-to-day operations of the Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex. The government has requested a court-appointed provisional administration, which Barrick argues is unjustified and contrary to Malian law and existing agreements. Despite the suspension of operations and the detention of employees, Barrick continues to support its workforce and seeks a fair resolution through international arbitration. The company’s actions highlight its commitment to protecting its investments and ensuring the long-term viability of its operations in Mali.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Advances Sustainable Development Goals with New Report
Positive
May 19, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has released its 2024 Sustainability Report, ‘Beyond the Horizon,’ highlighting its commitment to the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals. The report details Barrick’s efforts in economic growth, social progress, and environmental protection, including over $100 billion distributed in economic value and $200 million invested in community-led projects since its 2019 merger. The company is also recalibrating its greenhouse gas emissions profile to align with its expanding production base and renewable energy initiatives, aiming for a Net Zero target by 2050. Barrick’s new site-level Sustainable Development Goal performance framework underscores its dedication to transparent, community-focused progress, with significant investments in local economies and infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ABX) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Barrick Mining stock, see the TSE:ABX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Barrick Mining Corporation Adopts New Ticker Symbol ‘B’ on NYSE
Positive
May 9, 2025

Barrick Mining Corporation has changed its ticker symbol on the New York Stock Exchange to ‘B’, highlighting its status as a major player in the gold and copper mining industry. This move aligns with Barrick’s strategy to strengthen its position in the market by focusing on sustainable growth in gold and copper production, which is expected to benefit from rising global demand for electrification and infrastructure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025