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Thyssenkrupp Ag (OTC) (TKAMY)
OTHER OTC:TKAMY

thyssenkrupp AG (TKAMY) AI Stock Analysis

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TKAMY

thyssenkrupp AG

(OTC:TKAMY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(22.87% Upside)
thyssenkrupp AG's stock score reflects a balanced view of its strengths and challenges. The strong valuation and positive technical indicators are significant positives, while financial performance and earnings call insights highlight areas for improvement, particularly in cash flow management and market headwinds.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
A very low debt-to-equity ratio provides durable financial flexibility, reducing refinancing and interest risk. This supports multi-year restructuring, capital allocation and potential M&A or dividend programs, enabling the company to absorb cyclical downturns without stressing solvency.
Large Marine Systems backlog
An EUR 18.2bn backlog gives multi-year revenue visibility and pricing leverage in defense contracts. This structural demand base supports steady cash flow conversion and operational planning, insulating the group from near-term cyclical weakness in other end markets.
Consistent positive free cash flow pre-M&A
Three consecutive years of positive FCF before M&A indicate recurring cash generation capability. That persistence underpins investment funding, restructuring payouts and shareholder returns, while improving long-term balance sheet resilience even amid restructuring.
Negative Factors
Free cash flow volatility and weakness
A steep decline in free cash flow growth and a very low FCF-to-net-income ratio signal fragile liquidity dynamics. Over time this can constrain capex, limit ability to fund restructuring and increase reliance on asset sales or external financing during adverse cycles.
Profitability pressure and thin margins
Negative EBIT and a single-digit net margin reflect structural cost and mix challenges, limiting cushion for raw-material swings or pricing pressure. Persistently thin margins reduce reinvestment capacity and heighten sensitivity to cyclical downturns in end markets like automotive.
Steel Europe impairments and divestiture risk
Large impairments and an ongoing sale process signal deep structural issues in the steel unit. Divestiture could reduce earnings volatility long-term but carries execution, socio-political and integration risks, and may materially change the group's revenue diversification and cash flow profile.

thyssenkrupp AG (TKAMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

thyssenkrupp AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionthyssenkrupp AG is a diversified industrial group based in Germany, operating in various sectors including materials services, industrial components, automotive technology, elevators, and plant engineering. The company is known for its innovative solutions in steel production, metal processing, and advanced engineering, providing a wide range of products and services that cater to numerous industries such as automotive, construction, and aerospace.
How the Company Makes Moneythyssenkrupp AG generates revenue through several key business segments. The Materials Services division is a significant contributor, providing a comprehensive range of materials and logistics services. The Industrial Components segment focuses on manufacturing components for various industries, including automotive, which is another crucial revenue stream. The Elevator Technology division designs, installs, and maintains elevators and escalators, contributing a substantial portion of the company's earnings. Additionally, thyssenkrupp engages in the engineering and construction of plants, especially in the chemicals and cement sectors, which further bolsters its revenue. Partnerships with major global players in various sectors, investments in digitalization, and a focus on sustainability initiatives also play a critical role in enhancing profitability.

thyssenkrupp AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful strategic initiatives like the TKMS spin-off and positive net income and free cash flow figures. However, these positives were balanced by sales declines, challenges in Steel Europe, and cautious guidance for future cash flow, indicating ongoing market struggles.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Spin-off of TKMS
Successfully listed TKMS on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, delivering over 14% value creation for thyssenkrupp shareholders on the first day of trading.
Positive Net Income
Achieved a positive net income of EUR 532 million for the fiscal year.
Free Cash Flow
Reported a positive free cash flow before M&A of EUR 363 million, marking the third consecutive year of positive free cash flow.
Improved EBIT Adjusted
Saw an increase in EBIT adjusted to EUR 640 million, a rise of EUR 72 million compared to the previous year.
Marine Systems Backlog
Recorded a backlog at Marine Systems of EUR 18.2 billion, indicating strong demand in the defense sector.
Negative Updates
Sales Decline
Experienced a sales decline of 6%, equivalent to a EUR 2.2 billion decrease over the fiscal year.
Challenges in Steel Europe
Steel Europe faced impairments of approximately EUR 600 million, contributing to the overall impairments of EUR 800 million for the fiscal year.
Negative Free Cash Flow Guidance
Guidance for the next fiscal year includes a potential negative free cash flow before M&A between minus EUR 600 million to minus EUR 300 million.
Ongoing Market Headwinds
Faced persistent market headwinds, notably in the automotive sector, impacting sales and EBIT.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal year '24-'25 conference call, thyssenkrupp's leadership outlined several key financial metrics and strategic updates for the company. The fiscal year saw a sales decline of around 6%, amounting to a €2.2 billion decrease, yet the company managed to keep its EBIT adjusted stable at €640 million, marking a €72 million increase year-over-year. This was achieved despite the persistent market headwinds, thanks to effective performance management and restructuring efforts, including a reduction of 4,800 FTEs. The net income for the fourth quarter was significantly boosted by a €902 million elevator valuation effect, leading to a quarterly net income of €653 million. Free cash flow before M&A was positive at €363 million, supported by a strong fourth quarter and including a €250 million cash out for restructuring. The company's net cash position stood at nearly €5 billion, aided by proceeds from the sale of its Electrical Steel India business. Looking ahead, thyssenkrupp anticipates a slight sales increase of up to 1% for fiscal '25-'26, with EBIT adjusted projected to reach up to €900 million. However, the company foresees a potential negative free cash flow before M&A, ranging from minus €600 million to €300 million, impacted by ongoing restructuring cash outs estimated at €350 million. The net income for the upcoming year is expected to be between minus €800 million and minus €400 million, factoring in significant restructuring provisions, particularly within Steel Europe.

thyssenkrupp AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
thyssenkrupp AG shows signs of recovery with revenue growth and improved profitability metrics. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but cash flow challenges persist, particularly in free cash flow generation. Continued focus on cost management and cash flow improvement will be crucial for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 8.63% in the latest year, indicating a recovery from previous declines. However, profitability remains a concern with a negative EBIT margin and a modest net profit margin of 1.42%. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 11.32%, suggesting cost management challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is positive at 5.26%, reflecting some profitability. However, the equity ratio of 27.52% suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow, with a growth rate of -126.32%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.62, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.84B36.25B35.04B37.53B41.14B34.02B
Gross Profit3.87B4.10B3.24B2.66B5.66B4.36B
EBITDA3.40B3.40B1.03B1.83B2.99B1.30B
Net Income513.36M513.36M-1.51B-2.07B1.14B-19.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.48B35.48B29.33B33.29B37.49B36.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.74B6.74B6.33B7.83B8.20B9.53B
Total Debt878.00M878.00M1.47B3.02B3.98B5.43B
Total Liabilities23.08B23.08B18.98B20.60B22.75B25.97B
Stockholders Equity9.77B9.77B9.58B11.84B14.20B10.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.93M30.00M-243.00M307.00M-679.00M-1.36B
Operating Cash Flow1.87B1.86B1.35B2.06B617.00M92.00M
Investing Cash Flow-915.65M-939.50M-1.13B-1.58B-277.00M-510.00M
Financing Cash Flow-971.36M-1.03B-1.64B-716.00M-1.79B-1.28B

thyssenkrupp AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.58
Price Trends
50DMA
10.81
Positive
100DMA
10.06
Positive
200DMA
8.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Negative
RSI
59.25
Neutral
STOCH
73.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKAMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.35, below the 50-day MA of 10.81, and above the 200-day MA of 8.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKAMY.

thyssenkrupp AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$16.74B40.4425.43%7.75%6.84%
78
Outperform
$14.27B19.2126.06%0.85%15.71%29.60%
75
Outperform
$16.09B39.5123.16%0.24%2.40%81.54%
70
Outperform
$7.53B14.734.87%52.22%-4.44%
69
Neutral
$2.66B25.2511.31%1.27%7.43%148.83%
69
Neutral
$7.29B30.3213.86%0.33%1.19%-7.78%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TKAMY
thyssenkrupp AG
12.04
9.09
308.51%
ATI
ATI
125.39
66.92
114.45%
CRS
Carpenter Technology
340.11
129.76
61.69%
MLI
Mueller Industries
130.76
49.01
59.95%
WOR
Worthington Industries
54.51
12.63
30.16%
ESAB
ESAB Corporation
121.81
-6.36
-4.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025