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Tecogen (TGEN)
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Tecogen (TGEN) AI Stock Analysis

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TGEN

Tecogen

(TGEN)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
Tecogen's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including negative profit margins and cash flow issues. While there is some technical strength and strategic progress, these are overshadowed by valuation concerns and operational inefficiencies.

Tecogen (TGEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tecogen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTecogen Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, and maintains industrial and commercial cogeneration systems for residential, commercial, recreational, and industrial use in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Products, Services, and Energy Production. The company offers InVerde e+ and TecoPower, a cogeneration product that supplies electricity and hot water; TECOCHILL air-conditioning and refrigeration chillers; Tecofrost gas engine-driven refrigeration compressors; and water heaters under the Ilios brand name, as well as emissions control technology under the Ultera brand name. It also provides long-term maintenance contracts, parts sales, and turnkey installation services through a network of eleven field service centers in California, the Midwest, the Northeast, and the Southeast, as well as in Ontario, Canada. In addition, the company installs, owns, operates, and maintains distributed generation of electricity, energy, and other complementary systems. It serves hospitals and nursing homes, colleges, universities, health clubs, spas, hotels, motels, office and retail buildings, food and beverage processors, multi-unit residential buildings, laundries, ice rinks, swimming pools, factories, municipal buildings, military installations, and indoor growing facilities. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyTecogen generates revenue through the sale of its natural gas-powered CHP systems, which are installed in various commercial and industrial applications. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes equipment sales, installation services, and ongoing maintenance contracts. Key revenue streams come from the initial sale of its energy systems, as well as follow-on revenues from service agreements that ensure the optimal operation of the systems over time. Additionally, Tecogen may benefit from partnerships with energy management firms and utility companies that promote the adoption of its technology, further enhancing its market presence and revenue potential.

Tecogen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Tecogen's substantial revenue growth and progress in its data center strategy, alongside successful product innovation and capital raise. However, these positive aspects are tempered by challenges such as decreased profit margins and declines in the service and energy production segments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Total revenues for the quarter increased to $7.3 million, compared to $4.8 million in the second quarter of 2024, due to a 54% increase in products revenues.
Data Center Strategy Progress
Tecogen signed its first Letter of Intent with a 100-megawatt-plus data center, with potential to expand to 500 megawatts. The company is quoting two additional projects with 60 to 100 chillers each.
New Product Introduction
Introduction of a dual power source 300-ton chiller targeted at data centers, offering enhanced resiliency and fuel flexibility.
Improvement in EBITDA
The EBITDA loss improved to $1.16 million, and the adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $1.54 million, compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.19 million in the second quarter of 2024.
Successful Capital Raise
Post capital raise, the company's cash position increased to $18.7 million, enhancing its financial stability.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Profit Margins
Gross profit margins decreased by 10% to 34% from 44% in the same period in 2024, due to higher labor costs and initial low-volume production of a new product.
Service Segment Challenges
Service revenue decreased by 4%, and margins decreased by 9% due to increased labor and material costs, particularly in New Jersey and Manhattan.
Energy Production Revenue Decline
Energy production revenue decreased by 64% due to expiration of contracts and temporary shutdowns for maintenance, leading to a decrease in gross margin to 25% from 41%.
Company Guidance
During Tecogen's second quarter 2025 conference call, management provided guidance on several key metrics. Despite setbacks such as lower gross profit margins due to increased labor costs and supply chain adjustments, the company is targeting gross profit margins on service greater than 50% within the next 9 to 12 months. Tecogen reported a $2.5 million increase in total revenues, reaching $7.3 million, with a notable 54% increase in product revenues. However, the company's net loss only marginally decreased to $1.46 million from $1.54 million in the previous year. The EBITDA loss improved to $1.16 million, down from $2.3 million in the second quarter of 2024. Management underscored their priority on the data center strategy, having signed their first letter of intent (LOI) with a 100-megawatt-plus data center, with potential expansion to over 500 megawatts. The company expects to ship six STx chillers valued between $1.5 million and $2 million in Q4 2025 or early next year. Additionally, Tecogen highlighted plans to enhance production capacity to 80-100 chillers annually, backed by a recent capital raise increasing their cash reserves to $18.7 million.

Tecogen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tecogen's financial performance is challenged by negative profit margins and cash flow issues. Despite some revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability and liquidity, necessitating strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Tecogen's income statement reveals a challenging financial environment. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of 41.47%, which is a decline from previous years, indicating pressure on cost management. The net profit margin is negative at -16.17%, reflecting ongoing losses. Despite a revenue growth rate of 10.83% in the TTM, profitability remains a concern with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 in the TTM, indicating manageable leverage levels. However, the return on equity is negative at -42.20%, highlighting significant challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 32.09%, suggesting a stable capital structure but with room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a negative free cash flow growth rate of -130.19% in the TTM, pointing to cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.01, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting difficulties in converting income into cash. These metrics suggest potential liquidity issues and the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.28M22.62M25.14M25.00M24.40M28.25M
Gross Profit10.90M9.87M10.20M11.07M11.59M10.83M
EBITDA-3.44M-4.01M-3.91M-1.90M-752.32K-5.65M
Net Income-4.24M-4.76M-4.60M-2.45M3.70M-6.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.35M31.09M27.79M28.25M32.36M30.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.64M5.41M1.35M1.91M3.61M1.49M
Total Debt3.69M3.73M1.48M1.31M1.96M3.60M
Total Liabilities19.41M20.97M13.14M9.27M11.23M12.81M
Stockholders Equity9.10M10.23M14.75M19.09M21.21M17.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-495.89K3.09M-870.17K-1.70M310.49K1.22M
Operating Cash Flow194.63K4.06M-823.32K-1.35M465.03K1.41M
Investing Cash Flow-766.33K-1.01M-244.89K-348.56K-215.06K-217.76K
Financing Cash Flow1.37M1.01M505.50K-76.84K1.87M-576.93K

Tecogen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.68
Price Trends
50DMA
8.47
Negative
100DMA
8.28
Negative
200DMA
5.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
40.97
Neutral
STOCH
17.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.07, below the 50-day MA of 8.47, and above the 200-day MA of 5.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TGEN.

Tecogen Risk Analysis

Tecogen disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tecogen reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tecogen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$109.93M12.4517.68%2.58%13.46%34.71%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$103.86M29.572.35%5.86%-68.66%
48
Neutral
$242.28M-39.83%9.84%15.29%
43
Neutral
$244.15M-29.51%78.82%-20.81%
26
Underperform
$39.25M-0.7325.87%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TGEN
Tecogen
7.68
6.78
753.33%
ESP
Espey Mfg & Electronics
37.88
8.30
28.06%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
7.39
1.43
23.99%
ULBI
Ultralife
5.66
-2.09
-26.97%
SDST
Stardust Power
4.04
-72.76
-94.74%
NEOV
NeoVolta
4.79
-0.32
-6.26%

Tecogen Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Tecogen Unveils FAQ Document on AI Chillers
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Tecogen Inc. announced the release of a document addressing frequently asked questions about its natural gas-powered chillers for AI data centers. The company highlights the advantages of using its chillers, such as increased power availability for AI chips and reduced construction time for data centers. Tecogen’s chillers are designed to enhance power efficiency and profitability for data centers by freeing up electricity typically used by electric chillers. The company is working on overcoming perceived technology risks and aims to secure larger projects by leveraging its partnership with Vertiv and demonstrating the effectiveness of its chillers through proof-of-concept projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TGEN) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tecogen stock, see the TGEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tecogen Eliminates Debt with Promissory Note Prepayment
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

Tecogen Inc., a Delaware corporation, approved the prepayment of two promissory notes totaling $1 million, originally issued to John N. Hatsopoulos, a company director. The prepayments, made on September 3 and 4, 2025, amounted to $1,076,955.62, including interest, and eliminated the company’s outstanding debt and future interest charges of approximately $46,159.

The most recent analyst rating on (TGEN) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tecogen stock, see the TGEN Stock Forecast page.

Tecogen Inc’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Tecogen Inc’s latest earnings call reveals a mixed sentiment, reflecting both significant achievements and notable challenges. The company reported substantial revenue growth and progress in its data center strategy, alongside successful product innovation and a strengthened financial position due to a capital raise. However, these positive developments were offset by decreased profit margins and declines in the service and energy production segments, painting a complex picture of Tecogen’s current financial landscape.

Tecogen Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 14, 2025

Tecogen Inc., a prominent player in the clean energy sector, specializes in the design, manufacture, and maintenance of high-efficiency cogeneration products, including engine-driven combined heat and power systems, air conditioning systems, and water heaters. The company focuses on providing environmentally friendly solutions that significantly reduce carbon footprints.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Tecogen Raises $18.2 Million to Boost Operations
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

Tecogen reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showing a revenue increase to $7.29 million from $4.73 million in 2024, despite a net loss of $1.47 million. The company highlighted progress in its data center strategy, with a significant pilot project underway, and noted challenges such as reduced gross profit margins due to initial costs of new products and regional service issues. Tecogen also raised $18.2 million in July to enhance manufacturing and marketing efforts, aiming to scale up operations and capitalize on potential large-scale projects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025