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Tecogen (TGEN)
:TGEN

Tecogen (TGEN) AI Stock Analysis

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Tecogen

(NYSE MKT:TGEN)

63Neutral
Tecogen's stock score reflects a mix of ongoing financial challenges and promising strategic initiatives. While the company struggles with profitability and valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings, the technical analysis shows strong momentum. Strategic corporate moves, such as the NYSE uplisting, and positive earnings call feedback, suggest potential for future growth, providing a balanced outlook.

Tecogen (TGEN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tecogen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTecogen Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, and maintains industrial and commercial cogeneration systems for residential, commercial, recreational, and industrial use in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Products, Services, and Energy Production. The company offers InVerde e+ and TecoPower, a cogeneration product that supplies electricity and hot water; TECOCHILL air-conditioning and refrigeration chillers; Tecofrost gas engine-driven refrigeration compressors; and water heaters under the Ilios brand name, as well as emissions control technology under the Ultera brand name. It also provides long-term maintenance contracts, parts sales, and turnkey installation services through a network of eleven field service centers in California, the Midwest, the Northeast, and the Southeast, as well as in Ontario, Canada. In addition, the company installs, owns, operates, and maintains distributed generation of electricity, energy, and other complementary systems. It serves hospitals and nursing homes, colleges, universities, health clubs, spas, hotels, motels, office and retail buildings, food and beverage processors, multi-unit residential buildings, laundries, ice rinks, swimming pools, factories, municipal buildings, military installations, and indoor growing facilities. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyTecogen generates revenue through the sale and installation of its energy-efficient products, including cogeneration systems, chillers, and heat pumps. The company also derives income from long-term maintenance service contracts, ensuring optimal performance and longevity of its products. Additionally, Tecogen benefits from government incentives and regulations that promote the adoption of clean energy technologies. Partnerships with utility companies and other entities further enhance Tecogen's market reach and contribute to its revenue streams.

Tecogen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tecogen faces financial challenges with declining revenues and persistent net losses impacting profitability. Despite a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, negative free cash flow and equity returns suggest the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Tecogen's TTM revenue of $22.44M shows a decline compared to $25.14M in 2023. The gross profit margin stands at 42.27%, indicating a fair ability to cover production costs, though the negative net profit margin of -24.00% and declining revenue growth point to profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operating inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34 indicates a manageable debt level relative to equity. However, the decreased equity ratio of 41.14% reflects a reduced buffer against liabilities. A negative ROE of -47.65% in the TTM suggests significant challenges in generating returns on equity.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Tecogen's operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 0.01, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating cash generation issues. The free cash flow growth rate shows some improvement from the previous period, but it remains negative, highlighting ongoing liquidity challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
22.44M25.14M25.00M24.40M28.25M33.43M
Gross Profit
9.48M10.20M11.07M11.59M10.83M12.48M
EBIT
-5.24M-4.41M-2.39M53.84K-2.84M-2.05M
EBITDA
-4.69M-3.85M-1.94M4.24M-5.65M-4.24M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.39M-4.60M-2.40M3.70M-6.22M-4.79M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
272.55K1.35M1.91M3.61M1.49M877.68K
Total Assets
49.90M27.79M28.25M32.36M30.07M41.12M
Total Debt
2.01M1.48M1.31M1.96M3.60M4.58M
Net Debt
1.74M127.02K-602.93K-1.66M2.11M3.70M
Total Liabilities
21.87M13.14M9.27M11.23M12.81M17.76M
Stockholders Equity
27.78M14.75M19.09M21.21M17.31M23.27M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-774.12K-870.17K-1.70M310.49K1.22M-4.69M
Operating Cash Flow
79.94K-823.32K-1.35M465.03K1.41M-4.48M
Investing Cash Flow
-892.98K-244.89K-348.56K-215.06K-217.76K4.71M
Financing Cash Flow
1.45M505.50K-76.84K1.87M-576.93K298.39K

Tecogen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2.49
Positive
100DMA
2.41
Positive
200DMA
1.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Negative
RSI
76.41
Negative
STOCH
71.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.01, above the 50-day MA of 2.49, and above the 200-day MA of 1.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.41 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TGEN.

Tecogen Risk Analysis

Tecogen disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tecogen reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tecogen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$4.44B11.995.16%249.23%4.01%-11.87%
63
Neutral
$109.88M-36.98%-8.61%-2.30%
59
Neutral
$33.58M-43.18%-19.60%-483.35%
56
Neutral
$32.29M-1582.76%-1.45%-15.76%
46
Neutral
$93.58M-18.96%11.09%0.41%
GWGWH
39
Underperform
$25.90M-172.05%-58.05%-6.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TGEN
Tecogen
4.50
3.70
462.50%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
4.88
-18.58
-79.20%
PPSI
Pioneer Power Solutions
2.78
-0.10
-3.47%
FLUX
Flux Power Holdings
1.92
-1.10
-36.42%
GWH
ESS Tech
2.09
-10.06
-82.80%
RAYA
Erayak Power Solution Group Incorporation Class A
1.45
0.69
90.79%

Tecogen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 32.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Tecogen's Q1 2025 earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, strategic uplisting, and promising developments in the data center market. Although there were declines in energy production revenue and increased operating costs, the overall progress and strategic positioning suggest a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q1 2025 increased by 17.6% to $7.3 million compared to Q1 2024, slightly ahead of the forecast.
Uplisting Achievement
Successfully uplisted from OTCQX to the NYSE American stock exchange, increasing shareholder access and daily trading volume.
Improved Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed from $900,000 to $381,000, and gross profit margin improved from 41.6% to 44.3%.
Product Segment Growth
Products revenue increased by 70% quarter-over-quarter to $2.4 million due to increases in chiller and cogeneration shipments.
Data Center Strategy Success
Significant interest in Tecochill technology with multiple larger project quotes and positive feedback from prospective customers.
Partnership with Vertiv
Progress in partnership with Vertiv, including a dedicated project manager and ongoing marketing and sales training.
Increased Backlog
Current backlog is $10.8 million with expectations for further non-data center project additions.
Negative Updates
Energy Production Revenue Decline
Energy production revenue decreased by 27% quarter-over-quarter due to the expiration of several contracts.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose by 5.2% due to recruitment and professional fees related to uplisting and R&D hiring.
Challenges in Customer Adoption
Difficulty in convincing customers to adopt Tecochill technology over conventional systems despite its advantages.
Company Guidance
During the Tecogen Q1 2025 earnings call, management provided several key financial metrics and updates. The company's revenue for the quarter increased by 17.6% to $7.3 million, surpassing forecasts. The adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed significantly from $900,000 to $381,000, and the gross profit margin improved from 41.6% to 44.3%. Despite incurring additional operating expenses for strategic initiatives, the company successfully uplisted from OTCQX to the NYSE American, enhancing shareholder accessibility. The backlog stood at $10.8 million, with $2 million expected from non-data center projects soon. Additionally, Tecogen's cash position was reported at $3 million, following investments in material purchases and service fleet improvements. These financial strides are complemented by strategic partnerships and a focus on expanding in the data center market.

Tecogen Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tecogen Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results Improvement
Positive
May 12, 2025

Tecogen Inc. reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, showing a revenue increase to $7.28 million and a reduced net loss of $0.66 million compared to the previous year. The company has improved its financial performance with a 17.6% revenue increase and a narrowed adjusted EBITDA loss, despite higher operating expenses due to increased R&D and strategic hires. Tecogen’s recent listing on the NYSE American stock exchange aims to boost stock liquidity and visibility. The company continues to advance its data center strategy, with updates on larger scale projects and a partnership with Vertiv expected during an upcoming conference call.

Spark’s Take on TGEN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TGEN is a Neutral.

Tecogen’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges with declining revenues and ongoing losses. While technical analysis indicates positive momentum, valuation concerns due to unprofitability weigh negatively. The earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic improvements and potential growth opportunities, balancing the challenges with some optimism.

To see Spark’s full report on TGEN stock, click here.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tecogen Announces NYSE American Uplisting Approval
Positive
May 1, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Tecogen Inc. announced that its shares of common stock have been approved for listing on the NYSE American stock exchange, with trading expected to commence on or about May 6, 2025. This uplisting from the OTCQX Best Market is anticipated to enhance the company’s visibility, expand its investor base, and improve liquidity for its shares, marking a significant milestone in Tecogen’s growth strategy.

Spark’s Take on TGEN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TGEN is a Neutral.

Tecogen’s stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and ongoing losses impacting the financial performance score. The earnings call revealed strategic improvements, including a partnership with Vertiv and increased recurring revenues, indicating potential for future growth. The technical analysis shows positive momentum, but valuation concerns due to unprofitability weigh on the overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on TGEN stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tecogen’s President Increases Commitment Amid Growth Plans
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

In February 2025, Tecogen Inc. announced that President and COO Robert A. Panora increased his commitment to full-time to address anticipated growth opportunities, leading to a salary increase. Additionally, the company hired a new Manufacturing Manager in January 2025 to enhance production, and Vice President of Operations Joseph E. Gehret departed in February 2025 but will remain available for consultations for up to a year.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.