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T1 Energy (TE)
NYSE:TE
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T1 Energy (TE) AI Stock Analysis

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TE

T1 Energy

(NYSE:TE)

Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
T1 Energy's stock score reflects significant financial difficulties, including ongoing losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, while valuation is unattractive. Positively, recent earnings call and corporate events indicate strategic transformation and progress, but these are offset by challenges with legacy operations and regulatory hurdles. Signs of potential turnaround exist, but significant risks remain.
Positive Factors
Earnings
TE reported Q2 earnings with an EBITDA gain of ~$1M, above the -$9M estimate.
Production Capabilities
All seven production lines at the G1 Dallas plant are now fully operational, enhancing TE's production capabilities.
Supply Chain Strategy
TE announced a deal to source polysilicon and solar wafers from Corning, fully integrating the company's modules into the US supply chain with over 70% domestic content.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
EBITDA guidance was significantly reduced due to lower target module production, reflecting financial challenges.
Interest Rate Risk
Interest on the note increases by 3% every 60 days if conversion doesn't occur within specified deadlines, which could lead TE to replace the note with a new unsecured note.
Tariff Impact
Tariff uncertainty is impacting TE's production forecast, leading to a reduction in expected module production.

T1 Energy (TE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T1 Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT1 Energy Inc engages in the production and sale of battery cells for stationary energy storage, electric mobility, and marine applications in Europe and internationally. The company designs and manufactures lithium-ion based battery cell facilities. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyT1 Energy (TE) generates revenue through multiple streams. Its primary revenue comes from the sale of electricity generated from its solar and wind energy farms to utility companies and large-scale industrial customers. Additionally, TE offers energy storage solutions, allowing customers to manage and store energy efficiently, which is billed as a service fee. The company also earns income through consulting services, providing expertise in energy efficiency and renewable energy integration. Strategic partnerships with government entities and private sectors further enhance its revenue by facilitating large-scale renewable energy projects and securing long-term power purchase agreements.

T1 Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 20, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic agreements and project developments, indicating strong future growth potential. However, current financial performance and policy uncertainties present notable challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Agreement with Corning
T1 Energy announced a transformative strategic agreement with Corning, converting a long-term U.S. polysilicon contract with Hemlock Semiconductor to a U.S. wafer sourcing agreement with Corning, enhancing domestic supply chain capabilities.
473-Megawatt Merchant Sales Agreement
T1 secured a 473-megawatt merchant sales agreement with a major U.S. utility, selling out capacity relative to the low end of the 2025 production plan of 2.6 gigawatts.
G2_Austin Project Progress
Development of a 5 gigawatt U.S. solar cell manufacturing facility in Rockdale, Texas, is advancing, with construction expected to start in Q3 or Q4 2025.
U.S. Government CFIUS Review Cleared
T1 cleared the U.S. government's CFIUS review of the Trina transaction, providing flexibility in compliance with FEOC requirements.
High Domestic Content Strategy
With Corning agreement and G2_Austin development, T1 is positioned to produce modules with over 70% U.S. content, aligning with recent policy frameworks.
Increased Customer Interest
Following the passage of the OBBB, T1 received a flurry of inquiries and requests for quotations, highlighting growing commercial progress.
Negative Updates
EBITDA Shortfall in Q2
EBITDA during Q2 fell short of expectations due to pricing on sales and timing of shipments.
Potential Downside Risks to 2025 EBITDA Guidance
Risks include a higher mix of merchant agreements, uncertain impacts from tariffs, and timing uncertainties associated with customer safe harbor projects.
Uncertain Policy Environment
Recent developments in Washington, D.C., introduced uncertainty for solar industry investors, impacting strategic planning.
Company Guidance
During T1 Energy's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, key guidance metrics were highlighted. The company has secured a 473-megawatt merchant sales agreement with a major U.S. utility for the second half of 2025 deliveries, marking them sold out for 2025 based on their low-end production plan of 2.6 gigawatts. T1 is advancing its G2_Austin facility, a planned 5-gigawatt solar cell manufacturing site targeting first production by Q4 2026. They aim to achieve an annual EBITDA run rate of $650 million to $700 million by 2027. Additionally, T1 is aligning with U.S. policy frameworks and advancing a domestic supply chain strategy, aiming for over 70% U.S. content in their modules upon G2_Austin's launch. The company's commercial pipeline includes pursuits totaling over 58.2 gigawatts, indicating strong market demand.

T1 Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T1 Energy faces significant financial challenges, with consistent losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. The company's operational difficulties are underscored by its inability to generate revenue and its reliance on external financing. The financial health of the company remains a concern, with limited growth prospects and a need for strategic restructuring.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
The company has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the years. The most recent year shows a negative gross profit margin and a substantial net loss, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The absence of revenue in multiple periods suggests significant revenue generation issues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage. Stockholders' equity has decreased, reflecting financial strain. However, the company maintains a reasonable level of cash and short-term investments, which could provide liquidity in the short term.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
The company suffers from negative free cash flow, highlighting its inability to generate cash from operations after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating poor operational cash generation relative to net losses. Financing cash flows have been positive, suggesting reliance on external funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.94M2.94M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit27.38M1.23M-4.70M-478.00K-120.00K-15.00K
EBITDA-58.00M-63.81M-13.51M-120.45M-75.45M-8.91M
Net Income-438.74M-450.15M-71.94M-98.79M-93.38M-9.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43B1.34B732.18M827.70M627.03M15.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.88M72.64M277.23M443.06M563.96M14.75M
Total Debt426.17M713.38M22.20M14.40M0.007.57M
Total Liabilities1.18B1.15B97.47M107.57M81.55M10.97M
Stockholders Equity201.94M237.14M633.20M717.46M545.49M4.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-189.93M-153.65M-275.75M-270.80M-76.91M-7.41M
Operating Cash Flow-131.41M-102.82M-87.93M-90.01M-63.14M-7.34M
Investing Cash Flow-113.24M-137.73M-186.98M-175.03M-33.79M-71.00K
Financing Cash Flow42.11M45.87M0.00250.07M649.00M20.46M

T1 Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.59
Price Trends
50DMA
1.37
Positive
100DMA
1.28
Positive
200DMA
1.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
60.69
Neutral
STOCH
63.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.33, above the 50-day MA of 1.37, and below the 200-day MA of 1.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TE.

T1 Energy Risk Analysis

T1 Energy disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T1 Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T1 Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$133.08M17.5316.59%2.13%29.60%42.80%
65
Neutral
£2.66B12.723.41%3.25%2.43%-21.98%
58
Neutral
$866.54M-22.60%14.82%-19.27%
44
Neutral
$228.20M-45.13%-14.27%-28.56%
43
Neutral
$95.72M-20.52%48.62%0.23%
40
Underperform
$247.94M-23.69%-385.19%
39
Underperform
$397.79M-23.85%-19.14%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TE
T1 Energy
1.59
0.30
23.26%
ESP
Espey Mfg & Electronics
47.00
24.90
112.67%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
4.20
-8.97
-68.11%
LTBR
Lightbridge
15.35
12.61
460.22%
SLDP
Solid Power
4.78
3.33
229.66%
NVX
NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR
1.43
-0.21
-12.80%

T1 Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
T1 Energy Expands Leadership with Key Appointments
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 25, 2025, T1 Energy Inc. announced an employment agreement with Daniel Barcelo as CEO, offering a substantial compensation package including salary, bonuses, and equity awards, with provisions for severance in case of termination. Additionally, on April 28, 2025, T1 Energy appointed Andrew Munro as Chief Legal Officer and Russell Gold as Executive Vice President of Strategic Communications, enhancing its leadership team with experienced professionals in the solar energy sector, aiming to strengthen its position in the U.S. solar-plus-storage market.

Spark’s Take on TE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TE is a Neutral.

T1 Energy’s overall stock score reflects significant financial difficulties, including ongoing losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, while valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. Positively, the recent earnings call and corporate events indicate strategic transformation and progress, but these are offset by challenges with legacy operations and regulatory hurdles. While there are signs of potential turnaround, significant risks remain.

To see Spark’s full report on TE stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
T1 Energy Strengthens Solar Capabilities with Acquisition
Positive
Apr 9, 2025

On December 23, 2024, T1 Energy completed the acquisition of Trina Solar US Holding Inc., a move that significantly enhances its solar module manufacturing capabilities. The transaction involved a mix of cash, stock, and notes, and included agreements to support the development and operation of a new solar module manufacturing facility in Wilmer, Texas. This strategic acquisition is expected to strengthen T1 Energy’s position in the solar energy market and support its growth ambitions.

Spark’s Take on TE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TE is a Neutral.

T1 Energy’s overall stock score reflects its significant financial difficulties, including ongoing losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. The technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, while the valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. Positively, the recent earnings call indicates strategic transformation and progress, but these are offset by challenges with legacy operations and regulatory hurdles. Overall, while there are signs of potential turnaround, significant risks remain.

To see Spark’s full report on TE stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
T1 Energy Announces 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Shift
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

On March 17, 2025, T1 Energy Inc. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2024, highlighting a strategic repositioning towards becoming a leader in the American solar and battery storage market. The company reported a significant production ramp at its G1 Dallas facility and plans for a major investment in a new solar cell manufacturing facility in Texas. Despite reporting a net loss for 2024, T1 Energy is focused on expanding its operations and creating thousands of jobs in Texas. The company also completed a transformative acquisition of Trina Solar’s U.S. manufacturing assets and rebranded itself as T1 Energy, with Austin, Texas as its global headquarters.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2025