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Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. (TCBS)
:TCBS
US Market
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Texas Community (TCBS) AI Stock Analysis

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TCBS

Texas Community

(NASDAQ:TCBS)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▼(-0.56% Downside)
Texas Community's stock score is primarily influenced by its solid financial performance, particularly in cash flow generation. However, the technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. These factors collectively result in a moderate overall stock score.

Texas Community (TCBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Texas Community Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTexas Community (TCBS) is a multifaceted organization focused on fostering community development and engagement across Texas. Operating primarily in the nonprofit sector, TCBS provides a range of services including educational programs, community outreach initiatives, and support for local businesses. The organization aims to enhance the quality of life for residents by promoting social welfare and economic growth through various projects and partnerships that address the unique needs of Texas communities.
How the Company Makes MoneyTCBS generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily relying on donations, grants, and sponsorships from local businesses and philanthropic organizations. Additionally, the company hosts fundraising events and community programs that not only engage the public but also serve as revenue-generating opportunities. Membership fees from individuals and local businesses who wish to be part of the community network further contribute to TCBS's financial sustainability. Strategic partnerships with government agencies and other nonprofits also provide access to funding and resources that support TCBS's initiatives.

Texas Community Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Texas Community shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics in the TTM period. However, the company faces cash flow challenges with negative free cash flow, indicating liquidity management needs improvement. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged, with potential risks if liabilities grow faster than assets.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Texas Community has shown a strong revenue growth of 19% from 2023 to 2024 and a further 19% growth into TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin improved to 58.4% in TTM from 51.7% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in its EBIT margin, currently at 9.5% in TTM, bouncing back from negative margins in prior periods. Net profit margin improved to 8.2% in TTM from negative margins, reflecting better profitability, though still below industry leaders.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the equity ratio has slightly decreased to 11.9% in TTM from 11.8% in 2024, which could signal potential risks if liabilities continue to grow. Return on equity has improved to 3.8% in TTM, showing better utilization of equity, but still below optimal levels for significant value creation.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Texas Community's cash flow indicates challenges, with a negative free cash flow of -$476,000 in TTM, a decline from positive flows in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting difficulties in converting earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, signaling potential liquidity constraints and the need for improved cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.23M20.84M19.33M14.43M12.25M12.36M
Gross Profit15.27M10.78M11.06M11.94M10.09M9.37M
EBITDA3.53M-1.21M-515.00K2.61M1.05M1.37M
Net Income2.52M-1.30M-733.00K1.75M518.00K749.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets439.49M443.46M452.04M417.35M364.83M299.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.16M88.92M111.04M116.11M77.41M32.95M
Total Debt48.77M49.88M76.90M62.49M27.57M30.77M
Total Liabilities385.95M391.35M398.36M361.48M304.69M267.70M
Stockholders Equity53.53M52.11M53.69M55.87M60.13M31.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow726.00K740.00K-3.31M2.74M1.62M1.10M
Operating Cash Flow987.00K1.94M2.29M3.13M1.76M1.91M
Investing Cash Flow3.42M8.80M-31.15M-72.18M-52.80M-29.91M
Financing Cash Flow-9.98M-10.51M33.00M56.07M64.88M30.54M

Texas Community Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.09
Price Trends
50DMA
16.14
Negative
100DMA
16.10
Negative
200DMA
15.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
41.27
Neutral
STOCH
10.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCBS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.98, below the 50-day MA of 16.14, and above the 200-day MA of 15.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TCBS.

Texas Community Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$47.30M3.1315.03%14.91%0.81%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$60.84M25.542.72%76.66%
55
Neutral
$46.11M18.524.74%1.01%12.12%
54
Neutral
$35.76M-2.78-11.14%3.96%1.63%-508.72%
54
Neutral
$93.32M-336.88-0.35%11.64%-913.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCBS
Texas Community
15.82
1.12
7.62%
OPHC
Optimumbank Holdings
4.15
-0.74
-15.13%
FSEA
First Seacoast Bancorp
11.68
2.59
28.49%
BAFN
BayFirst Financial Corp
8.09
-4.56
-36.05%
CLST
Catalyst Bancorp
15.00
3.40
29.30%
CFSB
CFSB Bancorp, Inc
14.25
7.53
112.05%

Texas Community Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Texas Community Announces New CFO Appointment
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. announced the retirement of Julie Sharff as Chief Financial Officer, effective December 1, 2025, with Jason McCrary set to succeed her. Sharff, who has been pivotal in the company’s strategic growth over her 28-year tenure, will continue as a consultant until May 2026 to ensure a smooth transition. McCrary, who joined the company in 2024, brings extensive experience in accounting and finance, having previously served as CFO at a major community bank. His appointment is part of the company’s strategy to enhance financial performance and sustain long-term growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TCBS) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Community stock, see the TCBS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025