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TuanChe (TC)
NASDAQ:TC
US Market

TuanChe (TC) AI Stock Analysis

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TC

TuanChe

(NASDAQ:TC)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(21.39% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/18/26
The score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance—sharp multi-year revenue contraction, persistent large losses, ongoing negative cash flow, and the shift to negative equity. Technicals are mixed with only short-term improvement against a bearish longer-term trend, while valuation is not supportive due to losses (negative P/E) and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High gross margins
Sustained gross margins around 60%+ indicate TuanChe’s core lead-generation and event services have high incremental profitability. That durable unit economics mean fewer revenue dollars are needed to cover variable costs, supporting eventual operating leverage if scale is restored.
Reduced cash burn trend
A meaningful reduction in operating cash outflow signals improved cost control and operational stabilization. Persistent but shrinking cash burn lessens near-term financing pressure and gives management runway to pursue restructuring or growth initiatives that could sustainably narrow losses over months.
Strategic cross-border partnership
The Ouyi Industrial agreement targets large-scale overseas aftermarket and cross-border sales, diversifying revenue beyond domestic auto events. If executed, it can structurally expand addressable markets, deepen supply-chain integration, and rebuild scale over multiple years—key to long-term recovery.
Negative Factors
Severe multi-year revenue decline
A collapse in top-line scale erodes network effects central to a dealer-led marketplace, reducing dealer participation and lead quality. Loss of scale raises unit costs, undermines marketing efficacy and pricing power, and makes restoring sustainable profitability materially harder over months.
Negative stockholders' equity
Negative equity is a structural solvency red flag that elevates funding and counterparty risk. It constrains access to traditional financing, increases the likelihood of dilutive capital raises or asset sales, and undermines long-term operational flexibility and stakeholder confidence.
Chronic negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative OCF and FCF mean the business cannot self-fund operations or reinvestment, forcing reliance on external financing or asset disposals. That structural cash deficit limits strategic options, heightens bankruptcy/dilution risk, and weakens ability to sustain long-term growth programs.

TuanChe (TC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TuanChe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToken Cat Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the operation of an omni-channel automotive marketplace. It offers auto shows, group-purchase facilitation, and virtual dealership services. The company was founded by Wei Wen and Jian Chen Sun in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyTuanChe makes money primarily through transaction fees and service charges associated with its automotive marketplace services. By organizing large-scale auto shows and online events, TuanChe attracts various car dealers and manufacturers who pay to participate and showcase their vehicles. Additionally, the company earns revenue from advertising and marketing services offered to car manufacturers and dealers looking to reach a wider audience. TuanChe also leverages data analytics to provide value-added services, enhancing its revenue streams through strategic partnerships within the automotive industry.

TuanChe Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are severely weakened: revenue has collapsed over multiple years, profitability is deeply negative (2024 net margin -382%), operating/free cash flow remains consistently negative, and 2024 stockholders’ equity turned negative—raising financial stability and funding risk despite only moderate absolute debt.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Revenue has contracted sharply over time (down from 644.8M in 2019 to 49.2M in 2024, including a -35.2% decline in 2024), signaling significant scale loss. While gross margins remain strong (57%–76%; 68% in 2024), operating performance is deeply unprofitable, with consistently negative EBIT and EBITDA and worsening profitability in 2024 (net margin -382% vs. -51% in 2023) as losses far exceed the reduced revenue base. Strength is limited to resilient gross margin; the key weakness is persistent and severe operating and net losses alongside continued top-line erosion.
Balance Sheet
9
Very Negative
The balance sheet weakened materially in 2024 with stockholders’ equity turning negative (-140.8M) versus positive equity in prior years, which is a major financial stability red flag. Total assets have also declined substantially (567.2M in 2019 to 44.1M in 2024), reducing flexibility. Debt is moderate in absolute terms (48.5M in 2024), but with negative equity, leverage risk is elevated and the capital structure is strained. A positive is that debt was low historically, but the shift to negative equity meaningfully increases risk.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash generation remains weak, with operating cash flow negative every year shown and still negative in 2024 (-34.7M), though the cash burn improved versus 2023 (-74.9M). Free cash flow is also consistently negative (2024: -34.7M), indicating the business has not funded itself through operations. The main strength is the recent reduction in cash burn; the main weakness is the long track record of negative operating and free cash flow, implying ongoing reliance on external funding or balance-sheet resources.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.65M49.18M162.37M183.19M357.55M330.23M
Gross Profit26.85M33.58M93.42M112.65M272.26M241.43M
EBITDA0.00-85.89M-115.28M-95.31M-103.44M-164.22M
Net Income-147.99M-187.99M-82.97M-166.49M-101.94M-163.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets203.70M44.14M119.35M235.27M353.07M474.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07M9.08M16.16M77.88M71.10M164.34M
Total Debt41.70M48.47M24.79M17.41M11.06M9.96M
Total Liabilities170.72M184.95M99.86M142.49M159.76M187.35M
Stockholders Equity32.99M-140.81M19.48M92.78M194.41M288.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-193.15M-34.74M-74.89M-109.89M-93.22M-90.90M
Operating Cash Flow-193.13M-34.72M-74.89M-109.68M-92.25M-88.85M
Investing Cash Flow-12.00K-19.00K0.00-212.00K47.86M37.70M
Financing Cash Flow187.14M30.16M13.97M91.24M7.00M-63.00K

TuanChe Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.65
Price Trends
50DMA
10.50
Positive
100DMA
13.53
Negative
200DMA
14.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Positive
RSI
50.90
Neutral
STOCH
43.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.74, below the 50-day MA of 10.50, and below the 200-day MA of 14.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TC.

TuanChe Risk Analysis

TuanChe disclosed 88 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TuanChe reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TuanChe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$2.61B12.155.87%0.00%-5.54%-14.30%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
49
Neutral
$6.92M-1.13-35.00%
49
Neutral
$282.13M20.652.39%-23.61%
46
Neutral
$175.24M-2.87-22.88%
42
Neutral
$1.81M-0.07-1080.13%-64.20%-18.43%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TC
TuanChe
11.58
-8.32
-41.80%
ATHM
AutoHome
20.77
-7.54
-26.63%
CMCM
Cheetah Mobile
5.71
0.11
1.96%
KRKR
36Kr Holdings Inc
3.51
-1.01
-22.35%
ZH
Zhihu
3.42
-1.98
-36.67%

TuanChe Corporate Events

Token Cat Calls February EGM to Seek Massive Increase in Authorized Share Capital
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, Token Cat Limited announced it will convene an extraordinary general meeting in Beijing on February 3, 2026, with shareholders of record as of January 14, 2026 entitled to vote. The agenda asks investors to approve a massive increase in the company’s authorised share capital from 30 billion to 4.806 trillion shares, primarily through the creation of an additional 4.776 trillion Class A ordinary shares, alongside the conditional adoption of a Ninth Amended and Restated Memorandum and Articles of Association and a potential adjournment mechanism if votes fall short; if passed, the move would dramatically expand Token Cat’s capacity to issue new equity, reshaping its capital structure and potentially paving the way for substantial future fundraising or strategic transactions, with significant implications for existing shareholders’ dilution and corporate governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TC) stock is a Sell with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TuanChe stock, see the TC Stock Forecast page.

Token Cat Limited Announces Leadership Reshuffle
Nov 6, 2025

Token Cat Limited, a Cayman Islands exempted limited company, announced significant leadership changes effective November 6, 2025. Mr. Wei Wen, the former director, CEO, and Chairman, and Mr. Simon Li, the former CFO, both resigned on October 30, 2025, without any disagreements with the company. Mr. Guangsheng Liu, previously Co-CEO, has been appointed as the new CEO, CFO, and Chairman, consolidating leadership roles and potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 18, 2026