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Swedbank AB (SWDBY)
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Swedbank AB (SWDBY) AI Stock Analysis

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Swedbank AB

(OTC:SWDBY)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:―
Swedbank's overall strong financial performance, characterized by high profitability and improved cash flow, is a significant strength. Technical indicators suggest positive momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics are attractive, with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Earnings call insights reaffirm robust fundamentals but highlight areas of concern, such as declining net interest income and regional tax impacts. These factors collectively position Swedbank as a solid investment choice in the regional banking sector.

Swedbank AB (SWDBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Swedbank AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSwedbank AB (publ) provides various banking products and services to individuals and companies. The company operates through Swedish Banking, Baltic Banking, and Large Corporates & Institutions segments. It offers savings accounts, mutual funds and insurance savings, pension savings, institutional asset management, and other savings and investment products; private residential lending, consumer financing, corporate lending, leasing, other financing products, trade finance, and factoring services; and current accounts, cash handling, debit and credit cards, card acquiring, other payment products, as well as domestic, international, mobile, and document payments. The company also provides equity trading, structured products, corporate finance, custody services, fixed income and currency trading, and other capital market products; and administrative services, treasury operations, real estate brokerage and management, legal services, safe deposit boxes, and others. In addition, it offers asset management, as well as life insurance and pension services; investment and trading services, including currency, fixed income, and equity and related derivatives services, as well as structured products; advisory and investment banking products and services, such as corporate financing, debt capital market, leveraged finance, and loans and syndication; and transaction banking services comprising cash management, trade finance, securities, commercial payments, account, and clearing and settlement services. Further, the company provides telephone, Internet, and mobile banking services. The company operates 153 branches in Sweden, 17 branches in Estonia, 21 in Latvia, and 42 in Lithuania. It also has operations in Norway, Finland, Denmark, China, the United States, and South Africa. The company was formerly known as ForeningsSparbanken AB and changed its name to Swedbank AB (publ) in September 2006. Swedbank AB (publ) was founded in 1820 and is headquartered in Sundbyberg, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneySwedbank AB generates revenue through multiple streams. A significant portion of its income comes from interest earned on loans and advances to both retail and corporate clients. The bank also earns fees and commissions from a variety of financial services such as asset management, investment banking activities, and payment processing. Additionally, Swedbank's insurance products contribute to its revenue through premiums collected. The bank benefits from strategic partnerships with businesses and financial institutions, enhancing its ability to offer competitive financial solutions. Swedbank's focus on digital banking services helps in cost reduction and expands its customer base, further driving profitability.

Swedbank AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 17, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Swedbank delivered strong financial results with a high return on equity and effective cost control. The acquisition of Stabelo and growth in the Baltic region were notable achievements. However, decreased net interest and commission income, along with increased tax rates in the Baltics, presented challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Return on Equity
Swedbank reported a return on equity of 15.4% for the second quarter.
Increased Mortgage Volumes
Mortgage volumes in Sweden increased by SEK 2 billion during the quarter.
Successful Cost Control
Costs remained at the same level as in the first quarter, with a cost-to-income ratio of SEK 0.36.
Robust Capital Position
Swedbank maintained a strong capital buffer with a CET1 capital ratio of 19.7%.
Stabelo Acquisition
Swedbank announced the acquisition of the fully digital mortgage company, Stabelo, to enhance its mortgage offerings.
Solid Credit Quality
Credit quality remained solid with credit impairments of SEK 150 million reported for the quarter.
Increased Lending in the Baltics
Private and corporate lending in the Baltic region increased by SEK 4 billion each during the quarter.
Positive Developments in Sustainable Finance
The sustainable asset register grew by SEK 6 billion, reaching SEK 142 billion.
Negative Updates
Decreased Net Interest Income
Net interest income decreased by SEK 572 million, mainly due to lower interest rates.
Decline in Net Commission Income
Net commission income fell due to lower average stock market performance.
Muted Mortgage Demand in Sweden
Despite an increase in mortgage volumes, demand for mortgages in Sweden remained muted.
Increased Tax Rates in the Baltics
Corporate tax rates increased in Estonia, and an investor tax was imposed in Latvia, affecting business strategy.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Swedbank delivered a robust financial performance amidst global economic uncertainties, with a reported return on equity of 15.4% and earnings per share of SEK 6.99. The bank's net interest income saw a decline due to falling interest rates, while net commission income also fell, influenced by lower average stock market performance. However, seasonally higher card commissions provided a positive offset. Credit impairments were reported at SEK 150 million, reflecting strong credit quality. The bank maintained a strong capital position, with a CET1 capital ratio of 19.7% and a capital buffer of 4.5 percentage points. Swedbank's priorities, as presented during their Investor Day, include delivering a sustainable return on equity of at least 15% with a cost-to-income ratio not exceeding SEK 0.4. The bank also announced the acquisition of Stabelo, a fully digital mortgage company, to better serve younger and digital-savvy customers. Swedbank's liquidity and credit quality remain robust, and the bank is committed to strengthening customer interactions, growing volumes, and increasing efficiency across its operations.

Swedbank AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Swedbank AB's financial performance is strong, driven by impressive profit margins and revenue growth. The balance sheet reflects stability with no debt, though the equity ratio indicates a higher leverage. Cash flow has improved significantly, showing better cash management. While the company is financially robust, attention to operational efficiencies can further enhance performance.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Swedbank AB has shown strong revenue growth with a consistent increase year-over-year, notably a 4.8% increase from 2023 to 2024. The net profit margin is robust at 47.5% in 2024, indicating high profitability. However, there is no reported EBIT or EBITDA margin for 2024, which limits a comprehensive understanding of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with no reported debt in 2024, demonstrating excellent financial stability. The equity ratio is healthy at 7.3%, and the return on equity is impressive at 15.9%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the comparatively low equity ratio suggests high leverage relative to industry norms.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow improved significantly to 80.8 billion in 2024, showing a positive turnaround from negative cash flow in 2023. Free cash flow also improved considerably. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 2.3, which indicates strong cash generation relative to net income but could be better balanced.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.33B72.25B52.48B45.91B45.09B
Gross Profit73.33B73.12B52.48B45.91B45.09B
EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income34.87B34.13B21.36B20.87B12.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.01T2.86T2.85T2.75T2.59T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.60B252.99B365.99B360.15B293.81B
Total Debt916.01B866.22B881.36B806.11B770.22B
Total Liabilities2.79T2.66T2.68T806.11B770.22B
Stockholders Equity218.87B198.76B176.06B161.67B155.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.41B-146.00B-18.98B49.16B108.87B
Operating Cash Flow80.82B-145.15B-18.62B49.41B109.24B
Investing Cash Flow-147.00M-418.00M691.00M628.00M1.38B
Financing Cash Flow-12.64B32.17B10.02B14.15B-8.70B

Swedbank AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.11
Price Trends
50DMA
26.20
Negative
100DMA
24.68
Positive
200DMA
21.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
46.40
Neutral
STOCH
14.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWDBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.08, below the 50-day MA of 26.20, and above the 200-day MA of 21.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SWDBY.

Swedbank AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$28.16B8.6416.05%7.87%0.37%-1.32%
79
Outperform
$28.74B13.2511.58%3.47%2.08%2.87%
78
Outperform
$27.84B12.1611.46%0.37%0.34%-3.13%
RFRF
77
Outperform
$21.65B11.8311.59%4.08%2.83%20.85%
77
Outperform
$24.24B13.0910.43%3.65%5.82%28.04%
MTMTB
76
Outperform
$31.49B12.719.48%2.76%0.62%14.75%
67
Neutral
$16.88B11.729.79%3.73%11.85%-7.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWDBY
Swedbank AB
25.72
6.53
34.03%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
43.03
3.49
8.83%
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
2,123.59
297.54
16.29%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
16.71
2.44
17.10%
MTB
M&T Bank
196.19
35.59
22.16%
RF
Regions Financial
26.01
4.83
22.80%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2025