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Swedbank AB (SWDBY)
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Swedbank AB (SWDBY) AI Stock Analysis

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SWDBY

Swedbank AB

(OTC:SWDBY)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
â–˛(17.02% Upside)
Swedbank AB demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profit margins and revenue growth. The stock's technical indicators show a positive trend, and its valuation is attractive with a high dividend yield. The recent earnings call provided positive insights, despite some challenges. Overall, Swedbank is well-positioned, though attention to economic conditions and regulatory challenges is necessary.

Swedbank AB (SWDBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Swedbank AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSwedbank AB (publ) provides various banking products and services to individuals and companies. The company operates through Swedish Banking, Baltic Banking, and Large Corporates & Institutions segments. It offers savings accounts, mutual funds and insurance savings, pension savings, institutional asset management, and other savings and investment products; private residential lending, consumer financing, corporate lending, leasing, other financing products, trade finance, and factoring services; and current accounts, cash handling, debit and credit cards, card acquiring, other payment products, as well as domestic, international, mobile, and document payments. The company also provides equity trading, structured products, corporate finance, custody services, fixed income and currency trading, and other capital market products; and administrative services, treasury operations, real estate brokerage and management, legal services, safe deposit boxes, and others. In addition, it offers asset management, as well as life insurance and pension services; investment and trading services, including currency, fixed income, and equity and related derivatives services, as well as structured products; advisory and investment banking products and services, such as corporate financing, debt capital market, leveraged finance, and loans and syndication; and transaction banking services comprising cash management, trade finance, securities, commercial payments, account, and clearing and settlement services. Further, the company provides telephone, Internet, and mobile banking services. The company operates 153 branches in Sweden, 17 branches in Estonia, 21 in Latvia, and 42 in Lithuania. It also has operations in Norway, Finland, Denmark, China, the United States, and South Africa. The company was formerly known as ForeningsSparbanken AB and changed its name to Swedbank AB (publ) in September 2006. Swedbank AB (publ) was founded in 1820 and is headquartered in Sundbyberg, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneySwedbank generates revenue primarily through interest income, which is derived from the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits (net interest margin). Key revenue streams include retail banking services, corporate lending, and transaction-based services. Additionally, the bank earns fees from asset management, investment banking, and insurance services. Significant partnerships with various financial institutions and fintech companies enhance its service offerings and customer reach, contributing to its overall earnings. The bank's focus on digital banking solutions also helps in reducing operational costs while improving customer engagement, further bolstering its revenue generation capabilities.

Swedbank AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Swedbank delivered strong financial results with increased income and efficiency, and a notable credit rating upgrade. However, challenges remain with interest rate pressures, subdued economic conditions in some markets, and ongoing U.S. investigations.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Return on Equity
Swedbank reported a return on equity of 16% for the third quarter, indicating strong profitability.
Cost Efficiency Achievements
The cost-to-income ratio was reduced to 0.35, and overall costs decreased by 1.4% compared to the previous quarter.
Credit Rating Upgrade
Standard & Poor's upgraded Swedbank's credit rating, highlighting improved governance, regulatory compliance, and risk management.
Income and Earnings Growth
Income increased, and earnings per share reached SEK 7.53 for the third quarter.
Mortgage Growth
Mortgage loans increased by SEK 5.2 billion, with SEK 4.2 billion distributed through Swedbank's own channels.
Positive Developments in Asset Management
Swedbank Robur saw a net inflow of SEK 9 billion in its four home markets, contributing to increased assets under management.
Successful Cost Control and AI Implementation
AI tools are being utilized to reduce administrative tasks, allowing employees more time for customer interactions, leading to an increase in advisory sessions per employee.
Baltic Market Growth
Corporate lending increased by SEK 7 billion, and mortgage volumes in the Baltics continued to grow strongly.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Income Pressure
Net interest income decreased by 0.9% compared to the previous quarter, primarily due to lower mortgage rates.
Economic Challenges in Home Markets
Estonia's economic development remains subdued, and Sweden's economic activity is improving only from low levels.
Potential Impact of Interest Rate Changes
The Swedish Central Bank's and ECB's recent rate cuts might affect future profitability and margins.
U.S. Investigation Uncertainty
Ongoing U.S. investigations related to money laundering continue to pose uncertainty, though the SEC's investigation has concluded without enforcement.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Swedbank reported strong financial performance despite global economic uncertainties. The bank achieved a return on equity of 16% and earnings per share of SEK 7.53, with an improved cost-to-income ratio of 0.35. Lending volumes increased, particularly in the Baltic region, with mortgage loans in Sweden growing by SEK 4.2 billion. Deposits remained stable, and Swedbank Robur experienced a net inflow of SEK 9 billion. The bank's capital position was robust, with a CET1 capital ratio of 19.7%, maintaining a buffer of 480 basis points above the requirement. Operational efficiency was enhanced with AI tools, and customer service improved, with 70% of calls answered within 3 minutes. The U.S. SEC concluded its investigation without enforcement action, and Swedbank's credit rating was upgraded by Standard & Poor's. The bank continues to execute its Swedbank 15/27 plan, focusing on customer interaction, volume growth, and efficiency.

Swedbank AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Swedbank AB's financial performance is strong, driven by impressive profit margins and revenue growth. The balance sheet reflects stability with no debt, though the equity ratio indicates a higher leverage. Cash flow has improved significantly, showing better cash management. While the company is financially robust, attention to operational efficiencies can further enhance performance.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Swedbank AB has shown strong revenue growth with a consistent increase year-over-year, notably a 4.8% increase from 2023 to 2024. The net profit margin is robust at 47.5% in 2024, indicating high profitability. However, there is no reported EBIT or EBITDA margin for 2024, which limits a comprehensive understanding of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with no reported debt in 2024, demonstrating excellent financial stability. The equity ratio is healthy at 7.3%, and the return on equity is impressive at 15.9%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the comparatively low equity ratio suggests high leverage relative to industry norms.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow improved significantly to 80.8 billion in 2024, showing a positive turnaround from negative cash flow in 2023. Free cash flow also improved considerably. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 2.3, which indicates strong cash generation relative to net income but could be better balanced.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.41B144.06B131.14B64.54B49.66B51.86B
Gross Profit71.29B73.33B72.25B51.29B46.70B45.09B
EBITDA10.56B47.15B45.63B29.58B27.50B18.36B
Net Income33.93B34.87B34.13B21.36B20.87B12.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.13T3.01T2.86T2.85T2.75T2.59T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.02B325.60B252.99B365.99B360.15B293.81B
Total Debt943.36B916.01B873.63B881.46B808.09B770.68B
Total Liabilities2.92T2.79T2.66T2.68T2.59T2.44T
Stockholders Equity208.68B218.87B198.76B176.05B161.67B155.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.13B80.41B-146.00B-18.98B49.16B108.87B
Operating Cash Flow36.58B80.82B-145.15B-18.62B49.41B109.24B
Investing Cash Flow-180.00M-147.00M-418.00M691.00M628.00M1.38B
Financing Cash Flow-23.81B-12.64B32.17B10.02B14.15B-8.70B

Swedbank AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.91
Price Trends
50DMA
30.33
Negative
100DMA
28.93
Positive
200DMA
26.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
42.50
Neutral
STOCH
7.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWDBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.67, below the 50-day MA of 30.33, and above the 200-day MA of 26.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SWDBY.

Swedbank AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$34.18B10.5416.05%7.21%-11.76%-0.87%
77
Outperform
$24.18B10.8110.37%3.91%5.73%38.39%
76
Outperform
$21.84B10.9611.43%4.07%4.00%28.54%
74
Outperform
$28.99B11.629.60%3.05%-0.81%20.34%
72
Outperform
$28.04B12.6811.52%3.56%0.15%11.62%
71
Outperform
$22.53B10.8210.38%0.45%-3.18%-3.10%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWDBY
Swedbank AB
29.91
12.12
68.13%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
42.42
-4.30
-9.20%
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,868.49
-463.57
-19.88%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
15.88
-1.63
-9.31%
MTB
M&T Bank
188.60
-27.20
-12.60%
RF
Regions Financial
24.91
-1.45
-5.50%

Swedbank AB Corporate Events

Swedbank AB Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 24, 2025

Swedbank AB is a leading financial institution in the Nordic and Baltic regions, providing a wide range of banking services, including lending, deposits, asset management, and insurance. The company is known for its strong customer focus and commitment to sustainable finance.

Swedbank’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Results
Oct 24, 2025

Swedbank’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the bank’s strong financial results and operational efficiency. The company reported increased income and a credit rating upgrade, although challenges such as interest rate pressures and ongoing U.S. investigations were acknowledged.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025