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Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)
NASDAQ:SVCO
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Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) AI Stock Analysis

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SVCO

Silvaco Group, Inc.

(NASDAQ:SVCO)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-1.79% Downside)
Silvaco Group, Inc. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability issues being the most critical factors. However, the stock shows positive technical momentum, and recent strategic corporate events, including leadership changes and an acquisition, provide a positive outlook for future growth. The valuation remains a concern due to the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Leadership Strength
The appointment of Chris Zegarelli as CFO, with his extensive experience in strategic planning and financial operations, is expected to enhance Silvaco's financial strategy and support long-term growth, providing stability and direction in the evolving semiconductor market.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Mixel Group enhances Silvaco's capabilities in semiconductor IP, particularly in high-growth markets. This strategic move is expected to accelerate innovation and expand customer value, strengthening Silvaco's competitive position in the industry.
Market Position
Silvaco's position as a leading provider of EDA software and semiconductor IP solutions across various sectors ensures a strong market presence. This diversified application base supports long-term stability and growth potential as demand for advanced electronic design tools increases.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
The company's declining revenue growth, with a 5.03% decrease, indicates challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness. This trend could impact long-term profitability and necessitates strategic initiatives to reverse the decline and sustain financial health.
Profitability Issues
Silvaco's negative net profit margin highlights significant operational challenges. Persistent losses could strain resources and limit investment in growth opportunities, necessitating improved cost management and revenue enhancement strategies to achieve sustainable profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
The negative cash flow metrics indicate liquidity issues, potentially affecting Silvaco's ability to fund operations and invest in growth. Addressing these challenges is crucial for maintaining financial flexibility and supporting strategic initiatives.

Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Silvaco Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSilvaco Group, Inc. provides technology computer aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions. The company's TCAD software are used in various applications, such as physical etch and deposition process simulation; calibration of doping profiles and metal oxide semiconductor/bipolar transistors; modeled effects; photonics simulation for solar cell, charge-coupled device (CCD), metal oxide semiconductor image sensor, thin-film transistor (TFT), liquid crystal display, and organic light-emitting diode using ray tracing/finite-difference time domain/timing memory; single event effect and total dose simulation; and stress simulation. Its EDA software solution covers various areas of analog/mixed-signal/radiofrequency circuit simulation; and custom integrated circuits CAD and interconnect modeling, including support for CMOS, bipolar, diode, junction-gate field-effect transistor, silicon on insulator, TFT, high-electron mobility transistor, insulated-gate bipolar transistor, and resistor and capacitor models, as well as provides SPICE modeling services for the semiconductor industry. The company also provides SIP and EDA software and design services, such as standard cell library development; IP migration to new process; embedded memory compilers, such as static random-access memories, read only memories, and register files; library characterization services; and general purpose and custom I/Os. Further, the company provides SIP management tools and SIP. It serves semiconductor manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, and original design manufacturers that deploys solutions in production flows across various target markets, including display, power devices, automotive, memory, high performance compute, Internet of Things, and 5G/6G mobile markets in the United States and internationally. Silvaco Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySilvaco Group, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electronic design automation (EDA) software and semiconductor IP solutions. The company's revenue model is based on software licensing, where customers purchase licenses to use Silvaco's EDA tools for a specified period or perpetually. Additionally, Silvaco offers maintenance and support services that provide ongoing updates and technical assistance, contributing to recurring revenue streams. The company also engages in partnerships with semiconductor manufacturers and design firms, which can lead to collaborative projects and joint ventures that enhance its market presence and revenue opportunities. Furthermore, Silvaco may generate income from consulting services, where it assists clients in optimizing their design processes and implementing its software solutions effectively.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Silvaco achieved several strategic milestones, including strong customer traction, key partnerships, and record future revenue expectations, the company faced challenges with a decline in Q3 revenue, significant order delays from China, and increased operating expenses resulting in a net loss for the quarter.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Customer Traction
Signed 14 new customers in Q3, bringing the year-to-date new customer wins to 33. Strong demand in power, automotive, and IoT markets.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations
Announced partnerships with Purdue, Stanford, and Arizona State University to address talent shortages and enhance research.
Inclusion in Russell Indices
Silvaco was added to the Russell 2000, Russell 3000, and Russell Microcap indices, increasing visibility and shareholder base.
ISO 9001 Certification
Achieved ISO 9001 certification for TCAD, ADA, and NIP products in October, enhancing credibility and quality assurance.
Record Quarterly Revenue Expected in Q4
Guidance for Q4 revenue is $18.1 million to $21.2 million, which would be a record for the company.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue and Bookings
Q3 revenue was $11 million, down 27% year-over-year, and bookings were $9.9 million, a decrease of 21% year-over-year.
Challenges in China
Delayed orders from China, which represents 17% of the year-to-date revenue. The macroeconomic environment led to order delays.
SIP Revenue Decline
SIP revenue is down $2.1 million or 34% year-to-date, impacted by delays in renewing strategic refill agreements and order delays in Asia.
Increased Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses were $11.3 million, up from $9.9 million in the same period last year, due to increased costs in G&A, R&D, and sales and marketing.
Net Loss for the Quarter
Reported a non-GAAP net loss of $1.8 million compared to a non-GAAP net income of $2.3 million in Q3 2023.
Company Guidance
During Silvaco's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating strong growth expectations for the fourth quarter and the full year. They anticipate gross bookings in the range of $64 million to $67 million for the year, representing a 10% to 15% increase from 2023. Revenue is expected to reach between $60 million and $63 million, marking a 10% to 16% year-over-year growth. For Q4, they project bookings between $18.5 million and $21.5 million, and revenue from $18.1 million to $21.2 million, which would set a new record for quarterly revenue. Silvaco also expects to maintain non-GAAP gross margins between 85% and 87% for the year. The company remains committed to achieving long-term financial targets of 15% to 25% top-line growth, 90% non-GAAP gross margin, and 25% plus non-GAAP operating margin through market expansion and strategic acquisitions.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Silvaco Group, Inc. is facing financial difficulties, with declining revenue and persistent losses impacting profitability. Despite a strong gross profit margin, the company struggles with negative net profit and cash flow issues. The balance sheet shows low leverage, which is a positive sign, but the negative return on equity highlights operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Silvaco Group, Inc. has experienced declining revenue growth with a negative trend in profitability. The TTM data shows a revenue decline of 5.03%, and the company has been operating at a loss with a net profit margin of -56.53%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges. Despite a strong gross profit margin of 78.67%, the company struggles to convert this into net income.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.065, indicating low leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative at -34.35%, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the low leverage suggests some financial stability despite profitability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals significant challenges, with a negative operating cash flow and a free cash flow growth rate of -308.92% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.43, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.97M59.68M54.25M46.47M41.96M40.28M
Gross Profit43.24M47.64M44.89M37.59M33.31M31.61M
EBITDA-29.23M-37.11M1.74M-1.11M-2.37M4.46M
Net Income-31.08M-39.40M-316.00K-3.93M-1.84M2.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets127.63M142.34M40.88M38.72M35.73M41.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.48M82.68M4.42M5.48M6.70M9.72M
Total Debt5.21M1.69M3.93M8.47M501.00K3.49M
Total Liabilities48.04M42.26M31.48M28.70M21.36M24.67M
Stockholders Equity79.59M100.08M9.40M10.02M14.37M17.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow39.55M-20.28M841.00K-2.19M-2.73M5.29M
Operating Cash Flow-27.59M-19.77M1.18M-2.10M-2.64M5.78M
Investing Cash Flow29.15M-66.53M-339.00K-89.00K234.00K-1.60M
Financing Cash Flow-6.72M101.30M-1.65M624.00K60.00K2.33M

Silvaco Group, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.60
Price Trends
50DMA
4.76
Positive
100DMA
4.81
Positive
200DMA
5.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
62.09
Neutral
STOCH
62.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.15, above the 50-day MA of 4.76, and below the 200-day MA of 5.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SVCO.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Risk Analysis

Silvaco Group, Inc. disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Silvaco Group, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Silvaco Group, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
193.38M14.9121.17%2.37%0.00%
56
Neutral
$171.05M-34.26%
55
Neutral
162.97M-39.92-56.62%18.53%-16.24%
47
Neutral
218.03M-3.54-34.05%14.78%21.87%
44
Neutral
63.03M0.030.00%-31.64%-55.76%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc.
5.60
-9.36
-62.57%
AEYE
AudioEye
13.63
-11.67
-46.13%
MAPS
WM Technology
1.29
0.33
34.38%
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
17.88
-1.32
-6.88%
VCSA
Vacasa
5.39
1.49
38.21%
NXTT
Next Technology Holding
22.49
-229.51
-91.08%

Silvaco Group, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Silvaco Group Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Silvaco Group, Inc. announced the appointment of Christopher Zegarelli as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective September 15, 2025. Zegarelli, with over 20 years of experience in the semiconductor industry, previously held senior financial roles at Infineon Technologies, GaN Systems, Thermal Engineering International, and indie Semiconductor. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to support Silvaco’s growth and innovation in the fast-evolving semiconductor and technology markets. Zegarelli’s expertise in financial operations and strategic planning is expected to drive Silvaco’s strategy, fuel growth, and create long-term value for stakeholders.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Silvaco Group Appoints Walden Rhines as New CEO
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Silvaco Group, Inc. announced the appointment of Walden C. Rhines, Ph.D., as the new CEO following the departure of Dr. Babak Taheri, who led the company for nearly seven years and oversaw its IPO. Rhines, who has been a board member since 2022, brings extensive experience from his previous roles at Cornami, Inc., Qorvo, Inc., and Mentor Graphics Corporation. The transition marks a significant moment for Silvaco as it aims to capitalize on its market opportunities in semiconductor design automation, with Rhines committed to maximizing shareholder value.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Silvaco Group Completes Acquisition of Mixel Group
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Silvaco Group, Inc. announced the completion of its acquisition of Mixel Group, Inc., a company known for low-power, high-performance mixed-signal connectivity IP solutions. This strategic acquisition aims to enhance Silvaco’s capabilities in providing innovative connectivity semiconductor IP by integrating Mixel’s proven technologies and engineering excellence. The Mixel team will join Silvaco’s Semiconductor IP Business Unit, which is expected to accelerate innovation and expand customer value. This move positions Silvaco to bring new solutions to market faster and strengthen its industry partnerships.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Silvaco Group Acquires Mixel to Boost Semiconductor IP
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Silvaco Group, Inc. announced its acquisition of Mixel Group, Inc., a provider of low-power, high-performance mixed-signal connectivity IP solutions. The acquisition, expected to close by August 1, 2025, will enhance Silvaco’s semiconductor IP offerings, particularly in high-growth markets such as mobile, automotive, VR, AR, IoT, and robotics. This strategic move is aimed at strengthening Silvaco’s position in the semiconductor IP market by leveraging Mixel’s expertise in mixed-signal design and expanding its reach into advanced process nodes and a broader range of semiconductor applications.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025