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Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)
:SVCO
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Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) AI Stock Analysis

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SVCO

Silvaco Group, Inc.

(NASDAQ:SVCO)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(1.12%Upside)
Silvaco Group, Inc. is facing significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in a low financial performance score. However, the strategic acquisition of Mixel Group provides a positive outlook for future growth in the semiconductor IP market. The technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the company's negative valuation metrics further weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Growth Strategy
Strategic acquisitions of Cadence's PPC group and recently announced Tech-X, a provider of software simulation, are additive to the growth story.
Market Expansion
Design win progress with 9 additional customers added during the quarter and expansion of FTCO into SiC market.
Revenue Growth
Silvaco's CY25 revenue growth is projected to be 400 basis points above its large-cap peers, indicating a strong performance outlook.
Negative Factors
Cost Pressures
Growing costs associated with ramping up new technologies could negatively impact Silvaco if they increase faster than sales growth.
Earnings Outlook
FY25 EPS is expected to decline meaningfully from the FY24 level due to increased R&D investments and acquisition costs.
Financial Guidance
Silvaco lowered its FY25 guidance on both the top and bottom lines due to near-term macro headwinds and tariff uncertainty.

Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Silvaco Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSilvaco Group, Inc. provides technology computer aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions. The company's TCAD software are used in various applications, such as physical etch and deposition process simulation; calibration of doping profiles and metal oxide semiconductor/bipolar transistors; modeled effects; photonics simulation for solar cell, charge-coupled device (CCD), metal oxide semiconductor image sensor, thin-film transistor (TFT), liquid crystal display, and organic light-emitting diode using ray tracing/finite-difference time domain/timing memory; single event effect and total dose simulation; and stress simulation. Its EDA software solution covers various areas of analog/mixed-signal/radiofrequency circuit simulation; and custom integrated circuits CAD and interconnect modeling, including support for CMOS, bipolar, diode, junction-gate field-effect transistor, silicon on insulator, TFT, high-electron mobility transistor, insulated-gate bipolar transistor, and resistor and capacitor models, as well as provides SPICE modeling services for the semiconductor industry. The company also provides SIP and EDA software and design services, such as standard cell library development; IP migration to new process; embedded memory compilers, such as static random-access memories, read only memories, and register files; library characterization services; and general purpose and custom I/Os. Further, the company provides SIP management tools and SIP. It serves semiconductor manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, and original design manufacturers that deploys solutions in production flows across various target markets, including display, power devices, automotive, memory, high performance compute, Internet of Things, and 5G/6G mobile markets in the United States and internationally. Silvaco Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySilvaco Group, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electronic design automation (EDA) software and semiconductor IP solutions. The company's revenue model is based on software licensing, where customers purchase licenses to use Silvaco's EDA tools for a specified period or perpetually. Additionally, Silvaco offers maintenance and support services that provide ongoing updates and technical assistance, contributing to recurring revenue streams. The company also engages in partnerships with semiconductor manufacturers and design firms, which can lead to collaborative projects and joint ventures that enhance its market presence and revenue opportunities. Furthermore, Silvaco may generate income from consulting services, where it assists clients in optimizing their design processes and implementing its software solutions effectively.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -16.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Silvaco achieved several strategic milestones, including strong customer traction, key partnerships, and record future revenue expectations, the company faced challenges with a decline in Q3 revenue, significant order delays from China, and increased operating expenses resulting in a net loss for the quarter.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Customer Traction
Signed 14 new customers in Q3, bringing the year-to-date new customer wins to 33. Strong demand in power, automotive, and IoT markets.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations
Announced partnerships with Purdue, Stanford, and Arizona State University to address talent shortages and enhance research.
Inclusion in Russell Indices
Silvaco was added to the Russell 2000, Russell 3000, and Russell Microcap indices, increasing visibility and shareholder base.
ISO 9001 Certification
Achieved ISO 9001 certification for TCAD, ADA, and NIP products in October, enhancing credibility and quality assurance.
Record Quarterly Revenue Expected in Q4
Guidance for Q4 revenue is $18.1 million to $21.2 million, which would be a record for the company.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue and Bookings
Q3 revenue was $11 million, down 27% year-over-year, and bookings were $9.9 million, a decrease of 21% year-over-year.
Challenges in China
Delayed orders from China, which represents 17% of the year-to-date revenue. The macroeconomic environment led to order delays.
SIP Revenue Decline
SIP revenue is down $2.1 million or 34% year-to-date, impacted by delays in renewing strategic refill agreements and order delays in Asia.
Increased Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses were $11.3 million, up from $9.9 million in the same period last year, due to increased costs in G&A, R&D, and sales and marketing.
Net Loss for the Quarter
Reported a non-GAAP net loss of $1.8 million compared to a non-GAAP net income of $2.3 million in Q3 2023.
Company Guidance
During Silvaco's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating strong growth expectations for the fourth quarter and the full year. They anticipate gross bookings in the range of $64 million to $67 million for the year, representing a 10% to 15% increase from 2023. Revenue is expected to reach between $60 million and $63 million, marking a 10% to 16% year-over-year growth. For Q4, they project bookings between $18.5 million and $21.5 million, and revenue from $18.1 million to $21.2 million, which would set a new record for quarterly revenue. Silvaco also expects to maintain non-GAAP gross margins between 85% and 87% for the year. The company remains committed to achieving long-term financial targets of 15% to 25% top-line growth, 90% non-GAAP gross margin, and 25% plus non-GAAP operating margin through market expansion and strategic acquisitions.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Silvaco Group, Inc. faces significant challenges with negative profitability and cash flow, despite strong gross margins. The reliance on external financing and declining revenue growth are major concerns, though the company's low leverage offers some stability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Silvaco Group, Inc. shows declining revenue growth with fluctuating profitability. The TTM data indicates a revenue decline from the previous annual report, compounding concerns with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 77.39% TTM, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -103.76%, reflecting substantial operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company maintains a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, suggesting low financial leverage. However, the equity ratio has weakened to 60.50% TTM, and the return on equity is negative due to net losses. The balance sheet shows strong cash reserves relative to liabilities, providing some buffer against financial instability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating cash flow, with free cash flow also negative and declining. The TTM figures indicate challenges in turning revenue into positive cash flow, highlighted by a negative free cash flow to net income ratio. The company is heavily reliant on financing activities, raising concerns about long-term sustainability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.68M54.25M46.47M41.96M40.28M
Gross Profit47.64M44.89M37.59M33.31M31.61M
EBITDA-37.11M1.74M-1.11M-2.37M4.46M
Net Income-39.40M-316.00K-3.93M-1.84M2.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets142.34M40.88M38.72M35.73M41.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.68M4.42M5.48M6.70M9.72M
Total Debt1.69M3.93M8.47M501.00K3.49M
Total Liabilities42.26M31.48M28.70M21.36M24.67M
Stockholders Equity100.08M9.40M10.02M14.37M17.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.28M841.00K-2.19M-2.73M5.29M
Operating Cash Flow-19.77M1.18M-2.10M-2.64M5.78M
Investing Cash Flow-66.53M-339.00K-89.00K234.00K-1.60M
Financing Cash Flow101.30M-1.65M624.00K60.00K2.33M

Silvaco Group, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.45
Price Trends
50DMA
4.71
Negative
100DMA
4.75
Negative
200DMA
6.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
45.19
Neutral
STOCH
67.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.63, below the 50-day MA of 4.71, and below the 200-day MA of 6.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SVCO.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Risk Analysis

Silvaco Group, Inc. disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Silvaco Group, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Silvaco Group, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$157.22M-76.11%16.52%-1.28%
59
Neutral
$205.51M-30.28%14.78%16.74%
58
Neutral
$144.34M11.2223.24%0.20%
56
Neutral
$6.34B18.40-28.96%6.02%10.40%-36.04%
52
Neutral
$138.62M-123.26%-18.56%69.22%
49
Neutral
$130.77M-127.52%
44
Neutral
$837.63M0.8580.54%-44.58%1200.82%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc.
4.45
-11.43
-71.98%
AEYE
AudioEye
12.81
-9.72
-43.14%
MAPS
WM Technology
0.89
-0.07
-7.29%
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
21.92
1.67
8.25%
VCSA
Vacasa
5.39
1.45
36.80%
NXTT
Next Technology Holding
1.92
0.27
16.36%

Silvaco Group, Inc. Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Silvaco Group Acquires Mixel to Boost Semiconductor IP
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Silvaco Group, Inc. announced its acquisition of Mixel Group, Inc., a provider of low-power, high-performance mixed-signal connectivity IP solutions. The acquisition, expected to close by August 1, 2025, will enhance Silvaco’s semiconductor IP offerings, particularly in high-growth markets such as mobile, automotive, VR, AR, IoT, and robotics. This strategic move is aimed at strengthening Silvaco’s position in the semiconductor IP market by leveraging Mixel’s expertise in mixed-signal design and expanding its reach into advanced process nodes and a broader range of semiconductor applications.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVCO) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silvaco Group, Inc. stock, see the SVCO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Silvaco Group Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Silvaco Group, Inc. held its Annual Meeting where 83.61% of the outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected Class 1 directors and approved an amendment to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation allowing for the removal of directors by stockholders without cause.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVCO) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silvaco Group, Inc. stock, see the SVCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025