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Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)
NASDAQ:SVCO
US Market

Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) AI Stock Analysis

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SVCO

Silvaco Group, Inc.

(NASDAQ:SVCO)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-5.88% Downside)
Silvaco Group, Inc. faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow management, reflected in a low financial performance score. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation is unattractive due to ongoing losses. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into revenue growth and strategic initiatives, the overall outlook remains cautious due to operational inefficiencies and restructuring efforts.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue expectations indicates strong demand for Silvaco's products and potential for sustained growth in the EDA market.
Strategic Partnerships
Adoption by Vicor enhances Silvaco's market position, showcasing its technology's relevance and potential for further industry collaborations.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
The cost reduction program aims to improve financial discipline, potentially enhancing profitability and operational efficiency long-term.
Negative Factors
Operating Losses
Despite record revenue, operating losses highlight challenges in managing costs and achieving profitability, impacting financial health.
Declining Revenue Trend
A declining revenue trend suggests potential market share loss or reduced demand, posing risks to long-term growth prospects.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash flow challenges limit the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt, affecting financial stability and flexibility.

Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Silvaco Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSilvaco Group, Inc. provides technology computer aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions. The company's TCAD software are used in various applications, such as physical etch and deposition process simulation; calibration of doping profiles and metal oxide semiconductor/bipolar transistors; modeled effects; photonics simulation for solar cell, charge-coupled device (CCD), metal oxide semiconductor image sensor, thin-film transistor (TFT), liquid crystal display, and organic light-emitting diode using ray tracing/finite-difference time domain/timing memory; single event effect and total dose simulation; and stress simulation. Its EDA software solution covers various areas of analog/mixed-signal/radiofrequency circuit simulation; and custom integrated circuits CAD and interconnect modeling, including support for CMOS, bipolar, diode, junction-gate field-effect transistor, silicon on insulator, TFT, high-electron mobility transistor, insulated-gate bipolar transistor, and resistor and capacitor models, as well as provides SPICE modeling services for the semiconductor industry. The company also provides SIP and EDA software and design services, such as standard cell library development; IP migration to new process; embedded memory compilers, such as static random-access memories, read only memories, and register files; library characterization services; and general purpose and custom I/Os. Further, the company provides SIP management tools and SIP. It serves semiconductor manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, and original design manufacturers that deploys solutions in production flows across various target markets, including display, power devices, automotive, memory, high performance compute, Internet of Things, and 5G/6G mobile markets in the United States and internationally. Silvaco Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySilvaco generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses and subscriptions for its EDA tools, which are essential for semiconductor design and development. The company also earns money from maintenance and support services, which provide ongoing technical assistance and updates to customers. Additionally, Silvaco may receive revenue from consulting services and training programs aimed at helping clients effectively utilize its software. Key partnerships with semiconductor manufacturers and technology firms enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings by creating collaborative opportunities for software integration and development.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for Silvaco. While there were record-breaking achievements in revenue and bookings and strategic initiatives in place, significant challenges remain in achieving profitability and operational efficiency. The company is focused on cost reduction and growth in core areas, but the pace of progress and adoption of key products like FTCO has been slower than anticipated.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Bookings
Silvaco achieved record quarterly revenue of $18.7 million, up 70% year-over-year, and bookings increased 131% year-over-year to $22.8 million.
Gross Margin Improvement
GAAP gross margin in Q3 was 77.9%, up 326 basis points year-over-year, and non-GAAP gross margin was 81.5%, up 179 basis points year-over-year.
Strategic Acquisition of Mixel
The acquisition of Mixel is expected to drive significant growth in the IP business, leveraging Silvaco's sales force to expand reach.
Key Growth in AI and Interconnect IP
Silvaco is focusing on core growth drivers like AI and Interconnect IP, with products such as FTCO and Jivaro gaining traction with major companies like NVIDIA and Samsung.
Negative Updates
Lack of Profitability
Silvaco continues to operate at a loss, with a GAAP net loss of $5.3 million and non-GAAP net loss of $2.1 million in Q3.
Expense Growth Outpacing Revenue
Operating expenses have grown significantly faster than revenue, prompting a need for a $15 million cost reduction program.
Challenges with FTCO Adoption
The adoption of Silvaco's FTCO product has been slower than expected, with delays in securing additional customers beyond Micron.
Underperformance in Recent Acquisitions
Delays in integrating and extracting value from recent M&A transactions, including Mixel and Tech-X, have been noted.
Company Guidance
During Silvaco's Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Conference Call, detailed guidance was provided regarding strategic and financial objectives. The company reported record quarterly revenue of $18.7 million, up 70% year-over-year, and bookings of $22.8 million, an increase of 131% year-over-year. The call highlighted a focus on key growth areas like AI, interconnect IP, and power, with specific products such as FTCO and Jivaro being central to future growth. The company also discussed the integration of recent acquisitions like Mixel, which is expected to boost the IP business significantly. In terms of financial discipline, Silvaco initiated a cost reduction program aimed at cutting annualized non-GAAP operating expenses by at least $15 million, which will help drive profitability at current revenue levels. For Q4 2025, guidance included expected bookings of $15 million to $19 million, revenue of $14 million to $18 million, and non-GAAP gross margins between 78% and 82%. The company aims for improved operational efficiency and strategic focus to foster long-term, profitable growth.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Silvaco Group, Inc. shows strengths in revenue growth and gross profit margins but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The low leverage is positive, but negative returns and cash flow ratios highlight the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Silvaco Group, Inc. shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 78.67% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -56.53% TTM, reflecting significant losses. Revenue growth is positive at 14.01% TTM, but the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational inefficiencies and challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Silvaco Group, Inc. demonstrates a stable financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.065 TTM, suggesting low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -34.35% TTM, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, showing a strong equity base compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Silvaco Group, Inc. faces challenges in cash flow management. The operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, with a free cash flow growth rate of 21.28% TTM, indicating some improvement. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting difficulties in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, pointing to cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.67M59.68M54.25M46.47M41.96M40.28M
Gross Profit49.60M47.64M44.89M37.59M33.31M31.61M
EBITDA-31.00M-36.74M1.74M-1.32M-96.00K4.46M
Net Income-29.82M-39.40M-316.00K-3.93M-1.84M2.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets130.59M142.34M40.88M38.72M35.73M41.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.47M82.68M4.42M5.48M6.70M9.72M
Total Debt16.16M1.69M3.93M8.47M501.00K3.49M
Total Liabilities51.49M42.26M31.48M28.70M21.36M24.67M
Stockholders Equity79.10M100.08M9.40M10.02M14.37M17.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-34.28M-20.28M841.00K-2.19M-2.73M5.29M
Operating Cash Flow-33.54M-19.77M1.18M-2.10M-2.64M5.78M
Investing Cash Flow37.61M-66.53M-339.00K-89.00K234.00K-1.60M
Financing Cash Flow-6.49M101.30M-1.65M624.00K60.00K2.33M

Silvaco Group, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.25
Price Trends
50DMA
4.95
Negative
100DMA
5.02
Negative
200DMA
4.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
45.27
Neutral
STOCH
72.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.29, below the 50-day MA of 4.95, and below the 200-day MA of 4.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SVCO.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Risk Analysis

Silvaco Group, Inc. disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Silvaco Group, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Silvaco Group, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$146.37M12.4118.24%0.59%
49
Neutral
$99.81M-9.28-14.61%-1.83%-642.89%
47
Neutral
$175.52M-1.96
46
Neutral
$130.22M-4.16-33.56%15.40%40.28%
45
Neutral
$70.73M-0.69-23.85%30.91%-1632.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc.
4.25
-3.81
-47.27%
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc
7.86
-4.43
-36.05%
XTKG
X3 Holdings
1.96
0.92
88.46%
MAPS
WM Technology
0.93
-0.62
-40.00%
TEAD
Teads Holding
0.74
-6.64
-89.97%
MRT
Marti Technologies
2.23
-1.17
-34.41%

Silvaco Group, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Silvaco Group Announces Workforce Reduction in Restructuring
Negative
Nov 26, 2025

In October 2025, Silvaco Group, Inc. initiated a series of cost-saving measures aimed at streamlining its organizational structure and enhancing stockholder value. On November 24, 2025, the company announced an initial involuntary reduction in force in the United States, as part of a broader restructuring effort that includes voluntary retirement and exit programs, further involuntary layoffs, and planned site closures. The company anticipates recognizing pre-tax charges of $2 million to $5 million related to these activities, with the majority of affected employees expected to be terminated by December 31, 2025, and the restructuring to be substantially completed in fiscal year 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025