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Sutro Biopharma Inc (STRO)
NASDAQ:STRO

Sutro Biopharma (STRO) AI Stock Analysis

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STRO

Sutro Biopharma

(NASDAQ:STRO)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(9.59% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial fundamentals—large losses, negative cash flow, and negative equity—despite strong revenue growth and margins. Technical momentum is constructive and provides support, while valuation remains constrained by unprofitability. The Nasdaq compliance update is a modest positive but secondary to the underlying financial risks.
Positive Factors
High gross margin and revenue growth
Very high gross margins combined with strong TTM revenue growth indicate the underlying platform yields low incremental costs and meaningful market traction. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports scalable unit economics, better bargaining power in collaborations, and the ability to reinvest in R&D or clinical programs.
Proprietary platform advantage
Sutro's cell-free protein synthesis platform and focus on next-generation ADCs create a structural competitive advantage. Platform-based capabilities can accelerate candidate generation, improve manufacturing flexibility, and enable a pipeline of differentiated assets that sustain partnerships and long-term commercial optionality.
Diversified collaboration-driven revenue model
A revenue mix that includes collaborations, milestone payments, and grants provides non-dilutive funding and external validation. Durable partnerships with larger biopharma can share development risk, provide upfront and milestone cash, and extend runway while supporting clinical progress across multiple programs.
Negative Factors
Negative stockholders' equity
Negative equity and a negative debt-to-equity ratio reflect structural balance-sheet weakness that reduces financial flexibility. This condition limits access to traditional financing, raises the likelihood of dilutive capital raises, and can constrain strategic options and partner confidence over the medium term.
Persistent negative cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows signal continued cash burn and a need for external financing. Over 2–6 months this constrains the company’s ability to fund clinical programs internally, increases dilution risk from new capital raises, and can delay program timelines if funding gaps emerge.
Severe unprofitability and margin erosion
Extremely negative net margins and deteriorating EBIT/EBITDA indicate high operating burn relative to revenue. Without meaningful margin improvement or major clinical/partnership successes, the company lacks a clear path to self-sustaining profits, increasing reliance on external capital and raising long-term viability concerns.

Sutro Biopharma (STRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sutro Biopharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSutro Biopharma, Inc. operates as clinical stage drug discovery, development, and manufacturing company. It focuses on creating protein therapeutics for cancer and autoimmune disorders through integrated cell-free protein synthesis and site-specific conjugation platform, XpressCF+.The company's product candidates include STRO-001, an antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) directed against the cancer target CD74 for patients with multiple myeloma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma that is in Phase 1 clinical trials; and STRO-002, an ADC directed against folate receptor-alpha for patients with ovarian and endometrial cancers, which is in Phase 1 clinical trials. It has collaboration and license agreements with Merck Collaboration to develop research programs focusing on cytokine derivatives for cancer and autoimmune disorders; and Celgene Corporation to discover and develop bispecific antibodies and/or ADCs focused on the field of immuno-oncology. The company was formerly known as Fundamental Applied Biology, Inc. Sutro Biopharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySutro Biopharma generates revenue through a combination of product development collaborations, government grants, and potential future product sales. The company often engages in partnerships with larger biopharmaceutical companies, which may involve upfront payments, milestone payments tied to clinical and regulatory achievements, and royalties on future sales of partnered products. Additionally, Sutro may receive funding from grants and collaborations aimed at advancing its research and development programs. The revenue model is heavily reliant on the successful progression of its therapeutic candidates through clinical trials and into commercialization.

Sutro Biopharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong gross margin (96.39%) and very strong TTM revenue growth (112.3%) are outweighed by severe unprofitability (net margin -199.76%), negative operating/free cash flow, and balance-sheet weakness including negative stockholders’ equity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sutro Biopharma shows a high gross profit margin of 96.39% in TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, the company struggles with profitability, reflected in a negative net profit margin of -199.76% and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins. Revenue growth is positive at 112.3% in TTM, but the company remains unprofitable, which is a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -0.61 in TTM. Return on equity is also negative, indicating inefficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is not directly provided, but the negative equity suggests financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight improvement in free cash flow to net income ratio at 1.01 in TTM. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate of -10.68% indicates cash flow challenges, which could impact future operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue105.65M62.04M153.73M67.77M61.88M42.72M
Gross Profit105.65M54.83M146.91M59.48M52.11M-34.24M
EBITDA-148.58M-180.45M-67.92M-105.07M-97.56M-23.75M
Net Income-216.77M-227.46M-106.79M-119.20M-105.54M-32.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets209.66M387.21M470.74M406.94M341.41M394.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments167.59M316.89M375.62M334.36M197.94M368.14M
Total Debt17.66M23.15M33.63M55.02M57.37M24.55M
Total Liabilities296.93M342.61M321.09M189.90M88.84M62.06M
Stockholders Equity-87.27M44.60M149.65M217.05M252.56M332.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-225.11M-194.64M-115.93M-4.31M-97.00M-74.93M
Operating Cash Flow-222.53M-191.54M-111.62M3.55M-81.68M-67.80M
Investing Cash Flow113.80M218.51M-3.92M-35.02M-97.31M604.00K
Financing Cash Flow84.00K94.05M137.55M48.31M3.26M269.25M

Sutro Biopharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.60
Price Trends
50DMA
11.56
Positive
100DMA
10.42
Positive
200DMA
9.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.02
Positive
RSI
56.69
Neutral
STOCH
36.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.24, above the 50-day MA of 11.56, and above the 200-day MA of 9.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for STRO.

Sutro Biopharma Risk Analysis

Sutro Biopharma disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sutro Biopharma reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sutro Biopharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$114.24M-1.56-49.78%-82.16%14.58%
52
Neutral
$126.85M-0.56-1810.01%-34.36%-59.98%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$40.41M-0.66-155.77%19.05%2.01%
46
Neutral
$71.17M-0.32-71.73%25.89%
45
Neutral
$43.21M-1.59-71.42%-38.81%-76.96%
44
Neutral
$31.15M-0.37-122.43%-100.00%-8.30%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STRO
Sutro Biopharma
14.60
-6.60
-31.13%
CRVO
CervoMed
4.60
2.37
106.28%
ACET
Adicet Bio
6.44
-10.04
-60.92%
INMB
Inmune Bio
1.42
-8.38
-85.51%
RPTX
Repare Therapeutics
2.65
1.40
112.00%
HOWL
Werewolf Therapeutics
0.61
-0.75
-55.44%

Sutro Biopharma Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sutro Biopharma Regains Nasdaq Listing Compliance
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Sutro Biopharma announced that it had regained compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5450(a)(1), closing a listing matter that began on June 20, 2025, when its stock price fell below $1.00 per share for 30 consecutive business days. As of December 16, 2025, the company’s stock maintained a bid price of at least $1.00 per share for 10 consecutive business days, meeting the key requirement for continued listing on the Nasdaq Global Market, alongside other applicable criteria. The resolution of this issue marks a positive development for the company’s operations and market standing, ensuring its continued access to the critical resources offered by Nasdaq.

The most recent analyst rating on (STRO) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sutro Biopharma stock, see the STRO Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Sutro Biopharma Announces Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Sutro Biopharma announced a 1-for-10 reverse stock split of its common stock, effective December 3, 2025, to comply with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement. This move, approved by the Board on November 20, 2025, reduces the number of outstanding shares from approximately 85 million to 8.5 million, with no change to stockholder ownership percentages except for rounding up fractional shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (STRO) stock is a Sell with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sutro Biopharma stock, see the STRO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026