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Star Holdings (STHO)
NASDAQ:STHO
US Market

Star Holdings (STHO) AI Stock Analysis

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STHO

Star Holdings

(NASDAQ:STHO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-8.42% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, rising leverage, and structurally negative operating/free cash flow—despite improving revenue and gross profitability. Technical indicators also point to a bearish trend. A positive corporate event (JV deconsolidation and guaranty release) provides some balance sheet relief, while valuation remains difficult to support due to loss-making earnings and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue recovery & improving gross margin
Revenue rebound and a return to positive gross profit indicate underlying demand and improved unit economics. Sustained higher gross margins give the company structural room to absorb SG&A and fixed costs, supporting a credible path toward operating leverage and eventual profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Chronic negative OCF and deeply negative FCF mean the business cannot self-fund capital needs or working capital, creating structural reliance on external financing or asset sales. This elevates execution and liquidity risk, constraining investment and making the company vulnerable to funding cost changes over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue recovery & improving gross margin
Revenue rebound and a return to positive gross profit indicate underlying demand and improved unit economics. Sustained higher gross margins give the company structural room to absorb SG&A and fixed costs, supporting a credible path toward operating leverage and eventual profitability over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Star Holdings (STHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Star Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Star Holdings engages in the non-ground lease related commercial real estate businesses in the United States. Its portfolio primarily comprises interest in the Asbury Park Waterfront and Magnolia Green residential development projects; and commerc...

Star Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Results are improving off a weak base: 2025 revenue rebounded strongly and gross profit turned positive, but profitability is still very weak with sizable net losses and negative ROE. Leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~1.07) and cash generation remains a major issue with negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow, indicating elevated funding/execution risk.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue110.14M88.86M101.17M96.11M
Gross Profit21.28M-25.57M-28.94M-17.23M
EBITDA-47.22M-68.28M-168.75M10.64M
Net Income-64.25M-86.75M-196.36M-36.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets570.20M608.65M669.20M1.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.08M34.96M50.66M4.23M
Total Debt269.99M218.44M194.43M2.01M
Total Liabilities304.33M263.66M235.36M33.10M
Stockholders Equity251.77M324.34M411.55M971.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-66.45M-67.22M-32.77M-49.84M
Operating Cash Flow-11.66M-31.29M-18.72M-27.36M
Investing Cash Flow-1.54M306.00K186.02M236.06M
Financing Cash Flow34.83M15.81M-114.06M-218.31M

Star Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.19
Price Trends
50DMA
8.11
Positive
100DMA
8.04
Positive
200DMA
8.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
55.97
Neutral
STOCH
80.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STHO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.88, above the 50-day MA of 8.11, and above the 200-day MA of 8.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for STHO.

Star Holdings Risk Analysis

Star Holdings disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Star Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Star Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
52
Neutral
$34.43M-0.97-135.60%-36.25%11.92%
50
Neutral
$148.21M13.9410.23%6.62%30.94%
49
Neutral
$76.68M43.32-1.48%7.80%83.33%
49
Neutral
$26.78M-1.21-46.07%32.78%36.50%
47
Neutral
$100.46M-1.37-22.96%-3.22%-280.23%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STHO
Star Holdings
8.31
1.78
27.26%
ASPS
Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
6.72
0.64
10.53%
NEN
New England Realty Associates Partnershi
59.50
-15.91
-21.09%
FTHM
Fathom Holdings
0.82
0.05
6.24%
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
0.73
-0.72
-49.79%
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
1.68
0.15
9.80%

Star Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Star Holdings Deconsolidates Asbury Park Joint Venture Assets
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
Star Holdings has deconsolidated a joint venture related to a multifamily development project in Asbury Park, N.J., after the venture repaid a $10.6 million mezzanine loan and the company’s completion and carry guaranty on an $80 million sen...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026