tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Starco Brands Inc (STCB)
OTHER OTC:STCB
US Market

Starco Brands (STCB) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
11 Followers

Top Page

STCB

Starco Brands

(OTC:STCB)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$0.03
▼(-37.50% Downside)
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (negative profitability and concerning cash flow trends) and bearish technical signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation offers some support via a low P/E, but recent corporate events remain mixed due to refinancing needs alongside default-related disclosures.
Positive Factors
Diversified branded consumer portfolio
A diversified portfolio across food, personal care and household goods with proprietary formulations supports durable revenue channels and pricing power. Multiple end markets and brand-led positioning reduce exposure to a single category, aiding resilience across economic cycles.
Moderate leverage with improved ROE
A moderate debt profile combined with materially improved ROE indicates better capital efficiency and some financial flexibility. This structural improvement supports the company's ability to fund operations and investments without immediately resorting to dilutive financing.
Refinancing extends maturities and boosts liquidity
The bridge term loan restructures near-term obligations and adds working capital, materially changing capital structure and extending debt maturities. This reduces short-term default pressure and provides runway to stabilize operations over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and declining revenue
Sustained negative net margins and shrinking top-line create a structural challenge for profitability. Even with positive gross margin, continued negative operating margins indicate persistent cost or scale issues that impair the company's ability to generate sustainable earnings and fund growth.
Weak cash generation trends
Declining free cash flow growth and weak conversion of net income into operating cash constrain reinvestment capacity and heighten refinancing risk. Over months, poor cash generation limits ability to support marketing, R&D, or replenishing inventory during demand recovery.
Forbearance amendment acknowledging defaults
An amended forbearance that formally recognizes events of default signals material covenant breaches and elevated credit risk. Reliance on forbearance is a structural vulnerability that can impair access to capital and negotiating leverage with lenders over the medium term.

Starco Brands (STCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Starco Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStarco Brands, Inc. markets consumer products through retail and online in the United States. It offers products in various categories, including household cleaning, DIY/Hardware, paints, coatings and adhesives, household, hair care, disinfectants, automotive, motorcycle, arts and crafts, personal care cosmetics, personal care FDA, sun care, food, cooking oils, beverages and spirits, and wine. The company was formerly known as Insynergy Products, Inc. and changed its name to Starco Brands, Inc. in September 2017. Starco Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Santa Monica, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyStarco Brands generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by selling its branded products through retail partnerships, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales. The company focuses on building a portfolio of innovative brands that can command premium pricing due to their unique value propositions. Key revenue streams include product sales in supermarkets, specialty stores, and online marketplaces. Additionally, strategic partnerships with distributors and retailers help expand market access and increase sales volume. The company may also engage in licensing agreements or collaborations that further enhance its brand visibility and drive revenue growth.

Starco Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture with notable achievements in cost optimization and brand growth, particularly for Winona and Soylent, but is offset by significant revenue and profit declines, especially in the Whipshots segment. The sentiment is balanced with both promising strategies for future growth and current challenges in revenue generation.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Improvement
Achieved positive adjusted EBITDA, driven by cost management and new distribution gains, along with sequential margin improvement.
Cost Optimization Success
Identified and removed approximately $3 million of cost optimization opportunities through headcount efficiencies, streamlined marketing spend, and refinement of logistics footprint.
Winona Popcorn Spray Growth
Winona Popcorn Spray showed over 60% growth year-over-year through the third quarter and achieved 10% market share with only 30% ACV.
Soylent Cost Savings and Market Share
Achieved approximately 15% in cost savings, or $1.5 million annually, and maintained a strong 23.6% market share of the meal replacement category with Amazon.
Skylar Subscription Growth
Skylar's Scent Club serves nearly 10,000 monthly subscribers with a CAC of roughly $30 and a gross LTV of 3.30, indicating strong potential for cash generation.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Revenue
Reported net revenue for Q3 2024 was $15.5 million, down from $17.7 million in Q3 2023, driven by targeted e-commerce sales reductions and lower retail volumes.
Decline in Gross Profit
Gross profit for Q3 2024 was $6.4 million compared to $7.7 million in Q3 2023, with gross margin down year-over-year from 44% to 41%, driven by unfavorable product mix.
Net Loss Increase
Reported unadjusted net loss for Q3 2024 was $6.3 million compared to net income of $2.3 million in Q3 2023, primarily due to a non-cash charge for the fair value share adjustment.
Whipshots Sales Decline
Lower Whipshots sales due to inventory destocking challenges, impacting overall segment revenue and profitability.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2024 earnings call for Starco Brands, CEO and Interim CFO Ross Sklar provided detailed insights into the company's operational and financial performance. The quarter was marked by achieving positive adjusted EBITDA and sequential margin improvement, driven by cost management and new distribution gains. The company identified $3 million in cost optimization opportunities, contributing to enhanced capital availability. Notable metrics included a net revenue of $15.5 million, a gross profit of $6.4 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $0.7 million. Key brand performances were highlighted, such as Winona Popcorn Spray, which achieved over 60% growth year-over-year and 10% market share with only 30% ACV. The Whipshots brand expanded its retail footprint with a partnership with Kroger, securing 1,257 distribution points. Meanwhile, the Art of Sport brand launched into retail with its protein powder now available at Fred’s stores owned by Kroger, and further expansion plans are set for 2025. Soylent showed a 15% cost savings and maintained a 23.6% market share in the meal replacement category with a strong return on ad spend of 4.5x. Starco Brands concluded the quarter with $1.6 million in cash and $13.2 million in inventory, positioning itself for accelerated strategic growth and market penetration in 2025.

Starco Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement weakness (negative net margin, declining TTM revenue growth, and still-negative EBIT/EBITDA margins) and pressured cash flow (declining free cash flow growth and low operating cash flow to net income) outweigh the moderately stable balance sheet (moderate leverage and improved ROE).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Starco Brands has experienced significant volatility in its income statement metrics. The company shows a negative net profit margin and declining revenue growth rate in the TTM period, indicating challenges in profitability and growth. However, the gross profit margin remains positive, suggesting some operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved from previous periods but remain negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity has improved significantly in the TTM period, reflecting better utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio is not provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability with some room for improvement.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow metrics reveal a decline in free cash flow growth, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy, but the negative growth trend is concerning. Overall, cash flow management appears to be an area needing attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.91M58.67M65.21M7.81M673.33K1.37M
Gross Profit15.55M20.86M11.88M7.04M387.49K1.18M
EBITDA7.38M-14.39M-42.74M1.06M-3.50K610.76K
Net Income3.30M-17.65M-46.19M809.97K-2.28M543.29K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.45M59.72M83.35M41.19M1.36M842.26K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47M1.21M1.76M1.48M338.86K773.32K
Total Debt4.23M6.72M8.39M3.74M1.53M546.99K
Total Liabilities24.17M32.49M57.67M8.33M4.11M1.10M
Stockholders Equity24.30M18.40M17.16M32.77M-2.67M-254.17K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow254.76K1.90M313.55K377.78K-1.86M665.77K
Operating Cash Flow520.71K2.22M686.66K377.78K-1.84M665.77K
Investing Cash Flow-285.95K-439.32K-230.01K-1.46M-115.64K0.00
Financing Cash Flow-384.44K-2.33M-175.80K2.22M1.52M102.80K

Starco Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
39.66
Neutral
STOCH
4.92
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STCB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, above the 50-day MA of 0.03, and above the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for STCB.

Starco Brands Risk Analysis

Starco Brands disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Starco Brands reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Starco Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$73.24M39.685.08%0.18%-54.25%
59
Neutral
$193.36M-3.58-20.64%-8.00%-35.86%
57
Neutral
$86.00M-268.840.02%1.33%-0.97%-99.67%
48
Neutral
$58.49M-21.5711013.00%39.85%
46
Neutral
$17.72M4.31-7.25%-30.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STCB
Starco Brands
0.02
-0.03
-56.00%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
5.77
-0.10
-1.70%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
9.06
-2.62
-22.44%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients
2.50
0.93
59.24%
LOOP
Loop Industries
1.21
-0.03
-2.42%
CNEY
CN Energy Group
1.01
-4.80
-82.60%

Starco Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Starco Brands Secures Insider Bridge Loan to Refinance Debt
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Starco Brands, Inc. entered into a Bridge Term Loan Promissory Note with The Starco Group, Inc., wholly owned by Starco’s CEO Ross Sklar, establishing a bridge term loan facility of up to $5 million, with an initial disbursement of $4.5 million and up to $500,000 in delayed drawdowns available through December 31, 2026. The company is using the proceeds primarily to pay off existing indebtedness, including fully retiring its loan with Gibraltar Business Capital, and to enhance working capital, with the new facility carrying a floating interest rate tied to the prime rate plus a margin, interest-only payments beginning January 1, 2026, principal amortization from January 1, 2027 through 2030, and standard prepayment, default, and acceleration provisions that collectively reshape Starco’s capital structure and extend its debt maturities.

The most recent analyst rating on (STCB) stock is a Hold with a $0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Starco Brands stock, see the STCB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Starco Brands Amends Forbearance Agreement Amid Default
Negative
Dec 1, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Starco Brands, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into an amendment to the Forbearance Agreement with Gibraltar Business Capital, LLC. This amendment acknowledges ongoing events of default and allows the lender to refrain from exercising remedies related to these defaults until December 31, 2025, under specified conditions, without waiving any rights or remedies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026