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Staar Surgical (STAA)
NASDAQ:STAA

Staar Surgical (STAA) AI Stock Analysis

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STAA

Staar Surgical

(NASDAQ:STAA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▼(-18.81% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by poor financial performance (large losses and negative operating cash flow) and a bearish technical setup (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support given the negative P/E and no dividend, while corporate events are mixed with improved governance but heightened strategic uncertainty after the terminated merger.
Positive Factors
Proprietary product platform
Staar’s proprietary Visian/EVO ICL platform is a durable technological moat driving procedure-based demand. Implantable lenses create recurring surgeon adoption, clinical familiarity, and high switching costs versus non‑implant alternatives, supporting sustainable topline potential and pricing power.
Global distribution and penetration
Management highlights plans to expand global EVO ICL adoption and distribution. An established international sales and surgeon network enables scalable growth across large refractive markets, improving margin leverage as procedure volumes rise and lowering per‑unit go‑to‑market costs over time.
Conservative capital structure
A low debt-to-equity profile and stable equity ratio provide financial flexibility during turnaround phases. Conservatively leveraged balance sheet reduces refinancing risk and preserves capacity to fund commercialization, R&D, or strategic initiatives while addressing operating losses.
Negative Factors
Profitability and cash burn
Deeply negative margins and sustained negative operating cash flow indicate ongoing cash burn that undermines long‑term viability if not reversed. Persistent losses erode reserves, constrain investment in commercialization and R&D, and increase reliance on external financing or cost rationalization to sustain growth.
Revenue contraction
A steep reported revenue decline signals waning demand or market dislocation in core markets. Lower revenue impairs scale economics, pressures gross and operating margins, and lengthens the time to reach sustainable free cash flow, making margin recovery and reinvestment materially harder.
Governance and strategic uncertainty
The rejected Alcon deal and visible activist shareholder engagement create board and leadership uncertainty. That governance friction can distract management, delay clear strategic execution, provoke leadership changes or proxy contests, and slow decisive investments needed to restore growth and profitability.

Staar Surgical (STAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Staar Surgical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSTAAR Surgical Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells implantable lenses for the eye, and companion delivery systems to deliver the lenses into the eye. The company provides Visian implantable Collamer lens product family (ICLs) to treat visual disorders, such as myopia, hyperopia, astigmatism, and presbyopia; and Hyperopic ICL, which treats far-sightedness. It also offers preloaded silicone cataract intraocular lenses and injector systems for use in cataract surgery. In addition, the company sells injector parts, and other related instruments and devices. It markets its products to health care providers, including ophthalmic surgeons, vision and surgical centers, hospitals, government facilities, and distributors, as well as products are primarily used by ophthalmologists. The company sells its products directly through its sales representatives in the United States, Japan, Germany, Spain, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Singapore, as well as through own representatives and independent distributors in China, Korea, India, France, Benelux, Italy, and internationally. STAAR Surgical Company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyStaar Surgical generates revenue primarily through the sale of its implantable lenses and related ophthalmic surgical products. The company's revenue model is built on direct sales to eye care professionals and clinics, as well as partnerships with ophthalmic surgeons who perform procedures using Staar's products. Key revenue streams include the sale of Visian ICL lenses, which are implanted in patients to correct vision, and ancillary products that support surgical procedures. Additionally, Staar Surgical benefits from strategic collaborations and distribution agreements that expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, ultimately driving sales and contributing to its financial performance.

Staar Surgical Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsStaar Surgical's foreign revenue experienced volatility, with a significant drop in late 2024 and a partial recovery in 2025. This could indicate challenges in international markets, possibly due to regulatory or competitive pressures. Meanwhile, domestic revenue shows a steady upward trend, suggesting stronger performance in the U.S. market. The divergence between domestic and foreign revenue trends highlights the importance of strategic focus on stabilizing international operations while capitalizing on domestic growth opportunities.
Data provided by:The Fly

Staar Surgical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected significant challenges primarily due to the decline in China sales and impact on profitability, but highlighted strategic initiatives in management restructuring, tariff mitigation, and expansion in global markets. The positive strides in operational efficiency and global sales growth were overshadowed by the severe revenue and profitability declines.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Streamlined Management Structure
Reorganization of management with promotions to improve operational efficiency, including Warren Faust as President and Deborah Andrews as Interim CFO.
Tariff Mitigation in China
Successfully negotiated consignment agreements and shipped inventory to China to mitigate tariff impacts, ensuring supply through early 2026.
Global Sales Growth (Excluding China)
Reported 9% sales growth outside of China, driven by strong performance in APAC, Americas, and EMEA regions.
Expansion of Swiss Manufacturing
Increased production capacity in Switzerland with expectations to produce over 300,000 lenses annually by the end of 2026.
Introduction of EVO+ Lens in China
Anticipation for the upcoming approval of the EVO+ (V5) lens in China, expected to enhance the product offering in the market.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Total net sales for Q1 2025 were $42.6 million, down from $77.4 million year-over-year, primarily due to minimal purchases by China distributors.
Profitability Impacted by Restructuring Charges
Q1 2025 reported a $26.4 million adjusted EBITDA loss, impacted by $22.7 million in restructuring and impairment charges.
China Sales Plummet
China sales decreased dramatically from $38.5 million in Q1 2024 to $389,000 in Q1 2025.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 65.8% from 78.9% year-over-year, with impacts from higher manufacturing costs and inventory reserves.
Inventory Management Challenges
Challenges in managing inventory levels in China, with a focus on aligning Q3 revenue to in-market procedure volume.
Company Guidance
During the STAAR Surgical first quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. The company reported a total net sales of $42.6 million for Q1 2025, a decrease from $77.4 million in the same period last year, primarily due to minimal purchases by China distributors as they consumed existing inventory. Excluding China, net sales grew by 9% year-over-year. The company highlighted its efforts to manage costs, aiming to reduce SG&A to approximately $225 million by the end of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was a loss of $26.4 million, compared to earnings of $5.3 million in the prior year. Gross margin was 65.8%, down from 78.9% in the previous year, with a target of 70% in the second half of 2025. The company ended the quarter with $222.8 million in cash and investments, expecting a minimum cash balance of $140 million before improving cash flows later in the year. Despite withdrawing formal guidance due to economic uncertainties, STAAR Surgical expressed confidence in its strategic initiatives, particularly in managing China tariffs and expanding its manufacturing capacity in Switzerland.

Staar Surgical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak profitability and cash generation dominate: TTM net margin is -42.45% with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins and negative operating cash flow. The balance sheet is more stable with low leverage and a solid equity base, but negative ROE and continued cash burn keep the financial profile below average. KPI insights also point to lumpy, internationally driven revenue and forecasting/execution risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Staar Surgical's income statement reveals a challenging financial period. The TTM data shows a negative net profit margin of -42.45%, indicating significant losses. Revenue growth is minimal at 2.74%, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Historical data shows a decline from positive margins in previous years, suggesting deteriorating profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative in the TTM, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure despite recent losses.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a concerning trend with negative operating cash flow in the TTM, indicating cash burn. Free cash flow has improved, but it remains negative, suggesting liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in cash conversion despite overall losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue230.59M313.90M322.42M284.39M230.47M163.46M
Gross Profit170.33M239.58M252.65M223.38M178.64M118.36M
EBITDA-54.23M-5.72M33.22M48.31M36.98M9.86M
Net Income-96.37M-20.21M21.35M39.66M27.51M5.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets456.36M509.52M488.69M418.82M345.78M257.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.66M230.49M220.73M211.64M199.71M152.45M
Total Debt39.12M38.74M35.83M31.04M32.06M10.80M
Total Liabilities102.58M112.19M102.74M82.71M87.22M60.19M
Stockholders Equity353.78M397.33M385.95M336.11M258.56M197.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.54M-7.67M-3.59M17.61M30.32M12.55M
Operating Cash Flow-29.67M15.72M14.59M35.72M43.96M20.95M
Investing Cash Flow46.26M-59.22M74.35M-156.38M-13.64M-8.40M
Financing Cash Flow-4.62M5.72M7.42M8.30M17.79M19.57M

Staar Surgical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.25
Price Trends
50DMA
24.18
Negative
100DMA
25.47
Negative
200DMA
22.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.21
Positive
RSI
27.57
Positive
STOCH
15.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STAA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.04, above the 50-day MA of 24.18, and above the 200-day MA of 22.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.57 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for STAA.

Staar Surgical Risk Analysis

Staar Surgical disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Staar Surgical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Staar Surgical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$15.93B43.384.59%5.06%-4.47%
76
Outperform
$16.74B30.2211.12%1.74%-25.29%
63
Neutral
$4.71B30.369.81%0.29%9.19%23.06%
58
Neutral
$7.60B-13.34-17.93%-16.03%-813.48%
55
Neutral
$6.01B-19.66-4.69%6.23%17.53%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$952.06M-9.78-24.65%-32.42%-540.37%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STAA
Staar Surgical
19.14
-5.45
-22.16%
COO
Cooper Co
81.29
-18.16
-18.26%
HOLX
Hologic
75.05
2.30
3.16%
MASI
Masimo
141.46
-29.08
-17.05%
STVN
Stevanato Group
17.27
-3.81
-18.08%
BLCO
Bausch + Lomb Corporation
16.98
-0.47
-2.69%

Staar Surgical Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Staar Surgical appoints new board chair, restructures committees
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

On January 15, 2026, STAAR Surgical Company’s board elected Neal C. Bradsher, founder and president of Broadwood Capital, Inc., as Board Chair and restructured the leadership and composition of its three standing committees—Audit, Compensation, and Nominating and Governance—so that each is now chaired and populated by directors the board has determined to be independent under NASDAQ rules, restoring the company’s compliance with NASDAQ’s Audit Committee independence requirements and ending its cure period. On the same date, the board created two new committees: a Search Committee tasked with guiding leadership decisions, including the process to identify a successor to the Chief Executive Officer, and an Insight and Engagement Committee designed to strengthen interaction with management, stakeholders and industry experts, with board members, including the new chair, eligible for additional compensation for these expanded governance responsibilities under the existing non-employee director compensation program.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Sell with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Staar Surgical reshapes board under new investor agreement
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

On January 14–15, 2026, STAAR Surgical entered into a cooperation agreement with major shareholder Broadwood Partners that triggered a broad reshaping of its board and leadership structure, including expanding the board from six to seven members, appointing Broadwood executives Neal C. Bradsher and Richard T. LeBuhn and Yunqi Capital’s Christopher Wang as new directors, and accepting the resignations of board chair Elizabeth Yeu, MD, and CEO Stephen C. Farrell from the board, with Farrell to remain chief executive until January 31, 2026 and then move into a one-year consulting role with severance and equity treatment consistent with his prior employment agreement. The agreement, which includes customary standstill and non-disparagement provisions and reimbursement of certain investor expenses, consolidates influence for STAAR’s largest shareholders—Broadwood, with 31% of the stock, and Yunqi, with 6.5%—while temporarily leaving the company out of compliance with Nasdaq’s audit committee independence requirements following Yeu’s departure, a deficiency STAAR has notified Nasdaq it intends to cure within the allowed period as the refreshed board moves to name a new chair and CEO and sharpen the company’s profitability and long-term value-creation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Sell with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Staar Surgical shareholders reject merger, company stays independent
Negative
Jan 6, 2026

On August 4, 2025, STAAR Surgical Company agreed to be acquired by Alcon Research, LLC through a merger with a subsidiary, but the companies terminated the merger agreement effective January 6, 2026, with no termination fees owed by any party and each side bearing its own transaction-related costs. At a special shareholders’ meeting held on January 6, 2026, STAAR investors, representing about 87.9% of the company’s voting power, rejected both the proposal to adopt the merger agreement and the related advisory executive compensation plan, leaving the company to continue independently rather than proceed with the previously announced transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Hold with a $30.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
STAAR Surgical to Terminate Alcon Merger, Stay Independent
Neutral
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, STAAR Surgical reported that preliminary voting results from a special meeting of stockholders showed the company did not receive sufficient shareholder support to approve its previously announced merger agreement with Alcon Research. As a result, STAAR intends to terminate the merger agreement without any termination fee due from either party, and will continue as an independent, publicly traded company on Nasdaq under the ticker STAA, with management reaffirming its strategy to pursue profitable sales growth, drive distribution efficiencies, and expand global adoption of its EVO ICL technology as it seeks to maximize long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Hold with a $30.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Staar Surgical Amends Merger Agreement with Alcon
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, STAAR Surgical Company announced an amendment to its merger agreement with Alcon Research, LLC, increasing the cash consideration for its common stock from $28.00 to $30.75 per share. The amendment also outlines the conversion of restricted stock units to Alcon shares and the elimination of certain tax indemnification arrangements, potentially enhancing shareholder value and streamlining the merger process.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Staar Surgical Concludes Go-Shop Period with Alcon
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, STAAR Surgical Company announced the expiration of its go-shop period, which ended on December 6, 2025, as part of its amended merger agreement with Alcon Inc. During this period, STAAR actively solicited acquisition proposals from 21 third parties but received no competing offers, validating the effectiveness of its board’s sale process. The outcome discredits allegations from Broadwood Partners, L.P. about ignored acquisition interest, confirming Alcon as the best buyer for STAAR.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Staar Surgical Amends Merger Agreement with Alcon
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, STAAR Surgical Company announced an amendment to its merger agreement with Alcon Inc., introducing a 30-day go-shop period allowing STAAR to solicit third-party acquisition proposals. This amendment, which includes no termination fee for accepting a superior proposal and Alcon waiving matching rights, aims to maximize shareholder value by encouraging competitive offers. The special meeting of STAAR stockholders to vote on the merger proposal has been postponed to December 19, 2025, to accommodate this process.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Staar Surgical Postpones Stockholders Meeting Amid Merger Talks
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, STAAR Surgical announced the postponement of its special meeting of stockholders, originally scheduled for November 6, 2025, to December 3, 2025, due to ongoing discussions with Alcon regarding a merger agreement. The new record date for voting eligibility is October 24, 2025. This delay reflects the company’s strategic considerations in finalizing the merger, which could significantly impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
STAAR Surgical Adjourns Stockholders Meeting for Merger
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, STAAR Surgical announced the adjournment of its special stockholders meeting, originally scheduled for the same day, to November 6, 2025. This meeting is intended to vote on the merger agreement with Alcon, a global leader in eye care. The adjournment allows more time for stockholders to consider the merger proposal, which could significantly impact STAAR’s operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (STAA) stock is a Hold with a $24.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Staar Surgical stock, see the STAA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026