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SuRo Capital (SSSS)
NASDAQ:SSSS

SuRo Capital (SSSS) AI Stock Analysis

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SSSS

SuRo Capital

(NASDAQ:SSSS)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(10.33% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is held back primarily by volatile financial performance and inconsistent cash flows despite a reasonably positioned balance sheet. Offsetting this, technicals are supportive (price above major moving averages with positive momentum) and the earnings call conveyed positive portfolio/NAV momentum and shareholder-return actions (dividends/repurchases). Valuation support is mainly the higher dividend yield, while the P/E figure provided is not usable.
Positive Factors
AI infrastructure focus
A durable, sector-level advantage: concentrated exposure to AI infrastructure captures a multi-year secular trend. Early, conviction-driven positions in CoreWeave, OpenAI and VAST Data have driven NAV appreciation and create a structural runway for future realizations as AI adoption grows.
Moderate balance-sheet leverage
Measured leverage and consistently positive equity provide financial resilience across cycles. Moderate debt levels reduce refinancing and solvency risk, enabling the BDC to support follow-on investments, opportunistic commitments, and potential repurchases without aggressive capital raises.
Realizations and shareholder returns
Demonstrated ability to monetize positions and return capital underpins long-term investor alignment. Realized proceeds and active dividend/repurchase programs indicate disciplined liquidity management and a pathway to crystallize private portfolio value for shareholders over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile profitability
Large swings in profitability undermine earnings quality and predictability. For a manager reliant on periodic realizations and fair-value marks, inconsistent margins and episodic losses make forecasting cash available for dividends and reinvestment difficult and increase execution risk.
Uneven cash generation
Inconsistent operating and free cash flow creates funding uncertainty for follow-on investments and shareholder programs. Periodic negative cash years raise the likelihood of needing external funding or reducing distributions during downturns, a structural constraint on long-term strategy execution.
Concentration in private, high‑growth holdings
Concentration in private, high-growth companies increases illiquidity and valuation mark volatility. Reliance on eventual IPOs or strategic sales means realizations can be highly timing-dependent; this structural exposure raises NAV volatility and execution risk over the medium term.

SuRo Capital (SSSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SuRo Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSuRo Capital Corp. is a business development company. The firm seeks to invest in growing, late stage, venture capital-backed private companies. SuRo Capital Corp. was founded in 2010 and is based in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySuRo Capital’s earnings are primarily driven by investment results rather than sales of operating products or services. The company seeks to make money mainly through: (1) Realized gains on investments: When a portfolio company has a liquidity event (e.g., IPO/direct listing, acquisition, or other sale), SuRo can sell its equity position (or otherwise monetize it) and recognize realized gains (or losses). (2) Unrealized gains/losses from changes in fair value: Because many holdings are private companies, SuRo reports periodic fair-value marks of its portfolio; increases in fair value create unrealized appreciation (and decreases create unrealized depreciation), which can meaningfully affect reported net investment results and net asset value. (3) Investment income (if applicable in a given period): To the extent the portfolio includes income-producing securities (e.g., interest-bearing debt, dividends, or other contractual income on certain instruments), SuRo can earn recurring investment income; specific mix and magnitude vary by portfolio and period. As an externally managed BDC, SuRo also pays management and incentive fees to its external investment manager; these are expenses to SuRo and reduce net results rather than being a revenue source. Information on any specific revenue-sharing partnerships or material commercial contracts contributing to earnings beyond the investment model is null.

SuRo Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in AI infrastructure investments, particularly with CoreWeave and OpenAI, and strategic moves to enhance shareholder value through dividends and repurchase programs. Despite some market volatility and a $1 million loss from Compliable's dissolution, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by significant gains in AI-related holdings.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
AI Infrastructure Investments
SuRo Capital's strategic focus on AI infrastructure has led to significant gains. CoreWeave, OpenAI, and VAST Data are key holdings. CoreWeave now trades at 3x its IPO price, and OpenAI's potential $1 trillion IPO could represent roughly 1/3 of net assets.
Portfolio Valuation Increase
Net asset value increased to $9.23 per share from $8.93, driven by appreciation in key positions and successful monetizations, including $4.7 million in realized gains from CoreWeave.
New Investment in Hyperliquid
SuRo Capital invested $5 million in HL Digital Assets, Inc., which holds a position in HYPE, a digital token of Hyperliquid, one of the fastest-growing decentralized exchanges.
Strong Performance from WHOOP
WHOOP continues to show strong performance with advancements in health technology, contributing significantly to portfolio value.
Dividend Declaration and Share Repurchase
A $0.25 per share cash dividend was declared, with plans for additional dividends. The Board extended the share repurchase program and authorized note repurchases to enhance shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility
The company faces intermittent market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty, which could impact future performance.
Dissolution of Compliable
Rebric Inc., doing business as Compliable, approved a plan to dissolve the company, resulting in a $1 million loss for SuRo Capital.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, SuRo Capital reported a net asset value (NAV) of $9.23 per share, an increase from $9.18 per share at the end of the second quarter. This growth was driven by significant appreciation in key investments, including CoreWeave, OpenAI, and VAST Data. CoreWeave, one of the fastest-growing infrastructure providers, saw its valuation increase to approximately three times its IPO price, while OpenAI's valuation was marked at a higher $500 billion after recent restructuring and potential IPO discussions valuing it at up to $1 trillion. VAST Data also reportedly increased its valuation more than threefold. SuRo Capital's strategic focus on AI infrastructure and innovation has been validated by these results, which were achieved through early and conviction-driven investments. The company's portfolio, strongly positioned in AI infrastructure, saw gains through disciplined investment processes, resulting in realized gains of $4.7 million from CoreWeave monetizations, alongside a $7.2 million net gain in net proceeds. The board declared a $0.25 per share cash dividend, reflecting confidence in the portfolio's strength and liquidity, with plans for further dividends based on anticipated near-term monetizations.

SuRo Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is decent with moderate leverage and positive equity (Balance Sheet Score 62), but operating results and cash generation are unstable (Income Statement Score 36; Cash Flow Score 46). Large swings in profitability, margins, and cash conversion reduce earnings quality and predictability despite periods of strong performance.
Income Statement
36
Negative
Results are highly volatile across annual periods: profitable in 2020–2021 and 2023, but sharply negative in 2022 and 2024 with deeply negative margins. Revenue growth is inconsistent (down in 2024, strong rebound in 2023, and an extreme jump in 2025 that appears non-comparable), which reduces confidence in earnings quality and trend durability. Overall, profitability and growth trajectory lack stability, a key weakness for an asset manager.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage looks moderate overall, with debt-to-equity generally in a reasonable range in the annual data (roughly 0.12–0.46), supporting balance-sheet resilience. Equity remains positive across periods, but returns on equity swing from strong (2020–2021) to meaningfully negative (2022 and 2024), highlighting that capital strength is not consistently translating into shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Cash generation is uneven: operating and free cash flow were strong in 2020, turned materially negative in 2021–2023, then recovered to positive in 2024 and very large positive in 2025. Cash flow relative to earnings also swings (including negative coverage in loss/negative cash years), indicating variability in cash conversion and a higher risk of funding needs during weaker periods.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.89M4.67M6.60M3.46M1.47M
Gross Profit34.89M-24.34M20.25M-118.86M157.78M
EBITDA53.71M-38.12M5.07M-132.18M147.07M
Net Income48.81M-38.12M5.07M-132.18M147.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>231.60M277.60M284.41M462.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.03T20.04M28.18M40.12M198.44M
Total Debt34.13T73.25M73.75M73.39M73.03M
Total Liabilities70.70T74.03M74.24M74.39M97.47M
Stockholders Equity10.00T>157.57M203.36M210.02M364.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.32T2.37M-10.35M-11.84M-142.06M
Operating Cash Flow34.32T2.37M-10.35M-11.84M-142.06M
Investing Cash Flow49.25M0.0012.73M-98.72M325.71M
Financing Cash Flow-5.28T-10.51M-14.32M-47.76M-31.01M

SuRo Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.97
Price Trends
50DMA
9.49
Positive
100DMA
9.40
Positive
200DMA
8.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
59.87
Neutral
STOCH
83.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSSS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.53, above the 50-day MA of 9.49, and above the 200-day MA of 8.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SSSS.

SuRo Capital Risk Analysis

SuRo Capital disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SuRo Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SuRo Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$225.92M6.7810.94%13.03%315.14%116.85%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$162.31M11.235.30%21.24%-55.82%-4.97%
62
Neutral
$253.12M-2.8435.45%5.39%
59
Neutral
$104.22M12.106.46%14.03%-34.92%-132.22%
52
Neutral
$208.93M5.3514.02%17.28%206.13%298.86%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSSS
SuRo Capital
9.97
4.40
78.87%
WHF
WhiteHorse
7.30
-1.16
-13.75%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
5.16
-0.92
-15.20%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
4.81
-2.12
-30.63%
NXDT
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust
4.41
1.07
31.96%
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC
9.90
-0.60
-5.71%

SuRo Capital Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
SuRo Capital Expands AI Infrastructure Investment With TensorWave
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

In 2025, SuRo Capital reported that its portfolio comprised 35 companies, heavily weighted toward privately held, high‑growth businesses, with performance driven by growing recognition of the value of its investments in artificial intelligence and AI infrastructure. During the fourth quarter of 2025, the firm realized liquidity from several positions—including proceeds from CW Opportunity 2 LP and a full exit from Forge Global—supporting total cash dividends of $0.50 per share paid on July 31 and December 5, 2025, while simultaneously committing up to $20 million to a Magnetar-managed vehicle invested in TensorWave to deepen its exposure to next‑generation AI infrastructure; as of January 12, 2026, $5 million of that commitment had been funded, and SuRo signaled it will release full fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results in the week of March 9, 2026, underscoring a strategy of disciplined realizations and reinvestment in AI-focused assets for shareholders’ long-term benefit.

The most recent analyst rating on (SSSS) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SuRo Capital stock, see the SSSS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026