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Scully Royalty Ltd (SRL)
NYSE:SRL

Scully Royalty (SRL) AI Stock Analysis

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SRL

Scully Royalty

(NYSE:SRL)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(20.41% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating fundamentals—sharp revenue contraction, a swing to a large net loss, and negative operating/free cash flow—despite a comparatively solid equity-heavy balance sheet. Technical indicators are moderately supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and a positive MACD, while valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E offset partly by a ~3.1% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Royalty Business Model
A royalty model gives Scully structurally lower capital intensity and operating leverage versus producers. Long‑lived royalty contracts and partnerships with operators can deliver recurring cash flows tied to production and commodity prices, supporting sustainable income generation over months.
Scully Mine Minimum Royalty Support
Having a core asset that provides majority revenue with minimum annual royalty payments creates a durable revenue floor. The mine's 2024 recapitalization and new operating arrangements reduce near‑term production risk, helping stabilize royalty inflows while broader commodity cycles normalize.
Equity‑Heavy Balance Sheet
A high equity ratio and low leverage provide financial flexibility and resilience. This structural balance‑sheet strength lowers refinancing risk, supports negotiating room with counterparties, and gives the company capacity to withstand near‑term cash shortfalls or pursue strategic moves without heavy debt reliance.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction and Profitability Loss
A ~36% revenue decline and a swing to a multi‑million dollar loss reflect durable demand or operator issues reducing royalty receipts. Negative EBITDA signals operations are not covering core costs, pressuring margins and limiting the company's ability to self‑fund capital, dividends, or restructuring over the medium term.
Operating Cash Flow and Liquidity Drain
A sharp swing to negative OCF and shrinking cash reserves indicate the company is burning cash to run operations. Persistent negative free cash flow erodes liquidity, limiting capacity to cover obligations or invest, and may force asset sales or external financing that change long‑term capital structure and strategy.
Governance and Leadership Instability
A contested shareholder fight, wholesale board replacement and immediate CEO removal create structural governance risk. Leadership turnover and potential litigation can disrupt strategy execution, delay operational decisions, and unsettle counterparties and lenders, increasing uncertainty across the business for months.

Scully Royalty (SRL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Scully Royalty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionScully Royalty Ltd. operates as an iron ore mining company in the Americas, Africa, Canada, Asia, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Royalty, Industrial, and Merchant Banking. The company holds royalty interest in the Scully iron ore mine located in the Province of Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. It also engages in manufacturing, and medical supplies and services industries. The company was formerly known as MFC Bancorp Ltd. and changed its name to Scully Royalty Ltd. in June 2019. Scully Royalty Ltd. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyScully Royalty generates revenue primarily through the collection of royalties from its mineral and royalty interests. These royalties are earned from companies that extract oil, gas, and minerals from properties in which SRL holds interests. The company benefits from an increase in commodity prices, as higher market prices translate to increased production and, consequently, higher royalty revenues. Additionally, SRL may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with exploration and production companies, which can provide upfront payments or additional revenue-sharing agreements. Key partnerships with established operators in the resource sector further enhance SRL's potential earnings by ensuring operational efficiency and sustained production levels.

Scully Royalty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak operating results dominate: revenue fell sharply (~36% YoY) and net income swung to a sizable loss in 2024, with negative EBITDA. Cash flow deteriorated materially, with operating cash flow turning strongly negative and free cash flow negative. The balance sheet is a relative offset with a strong equity ratio and low leverage, but cash reserves declined significantly, pressuring liquidity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Scully Royalty's income statement reveals challenges with profitability and revenue growth. The company has experienced a decline in revenue over the past year, with a significant drop from $54.9M in 2023 to $35.3M in 2024, indicating a revenue contraction of approximately 35.8%. Net income has also swung from a modest profit of $1.39M in 2023 to a substantial loss of $20.59M in 2024, severely impacting the net profit margin. The gross profit margin remains relatively strong but has not translated into bottom-line profitability due to high operating expenses. The negative EBITDA in 2024 further highlights operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with stockholders' equity accounting for a significant portion of total assets, reflected in an equity ratio of approximately 69%. However, the company has seen a decline in cash reserves, from $91.2M in 2023 to $42.5M in 2024, which could affect liquidity. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, indicating limited leverage, but the reduction in equity highlights potential stability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a concerning trend with negative operating cash flow of $31.54M in 2024, down from a positive $26.18M in 2023, which suggests operational cash flow challenges. Free cash flow has turned negative, indicating a cash burn scenario. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.05M37.06M53.96M65.73M72.47M56.58M
Gross Profit12.15M14.20M28.39M25.26M31.14M17.40M
EBITDA7.17M-9.77M19.53M-11.82M31.01M23.35M
Net Income-2.67M-21.61M1.37M-24.15M7.69M351.28K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets435.19M438.10M452.47M475.48M509.97M509.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.42M42.54M91.21M94.01M74.13M82.05M
Total Debt39.39M36.55M44.03M43.35M42.34M43.66M
Total Liabilities124.67M127.77M122.80M142.97M137.43M140.40M
Stockholders Equity302.12M302.28M322.46M325.16M365.60M361.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.08M-31.63M26.00M30.16M-7.62M-21.50M
Operating Cash Flow-12.90M-31.54M26.18M30.64M-6.64M-21.27M
Investing Cash Flow4.32M2.76M-6.31M-4.68M-971.00K3.42M
Financing Cash Flow-5.01M-1.16M-3.81M-17.19M-424.00K-498.00K

Scully Royalty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.89
Price Trends
50DMA
7.23
Positive
100DMA
6.53
Positive
200DMA
6.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.56
Positive
RSI
60.72
Neutral
STOCH
59.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.37, above the 50-day MA of 7.23, and above the 200-day MA of 6.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRL.

Scully Royalty Risk Analysis

Scully Royalty disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Scully Royalty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Scully Royalty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$172.26M22.375.99%3.32%4.03%151.19%
72
Outperform
$120.07M16.328.43%8.47%-32.22%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$47.60M15.874.65%0.02%-68.55%
61
Neutral
$63.43M0.71-29.28%
54
Neutral
$137.80M-69.463.83%-36.67%-1568.10%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRL
Scully Royalty
8.96
1.13
14.43%
SIEB
Siebert Financial
2.97
0.15
5.32%
DOMH
Dominari Holdings
3.92
1.31
50.42%
WHG
Westwood Holdings Group
18.38
3.49
23.44%
HGBL
Heritage Global
1.37
-0.78
-36.28%

Scully Royalty Corporate Events

Scully Royalty Overhauls Board and Committees After December Shareholder Vote
Jan 15, 2026

Scully Royalty Ltd., a foreign private issuer listed in the United States, reported corporate governance changes following its December 2025 annual general meeting of shareholders. The company did not provide additional details about its operating industry or primary business activities in the filing.

At the annual general meeting held on December 27, 2025, shareholders voted out the prior board of directors by withholding majority support and elected a new slate consisting of Jerrod Freund, Mark Holliday, Alan Howe, Nimesh Patel and Skyler Wichers, who have begun pursuing a transition plan for the company. At a subsequent board meeting on December 28, 2025, the new board appointed Wichers as chairman and reconstituted key committees: the audit committee now comprises Freund, Holliday and Howe (chair), the compensation committee includes Freund, Patel (chair) and Wichers, and the nominating and governance committee consists of Holliday (chair), Howe and Wichers, signaling a broad reset of the company’s governance structure and strategic oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRL) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Scully Royalty stock, see the SRL Stock Forecast page.

Scully Royalty’s New Board Fires CEO Samuel Morrow After Contentious Power Struggle
Jan 14, 2026

On January 12, 2026, MILFAM LLC announced that the newly elected board of directors of Scully Royalty Ltd., which gained control following the December 27, 2025 annual general meeting, has terminated for cause CEO, CFO and President Samuel Morrow and revoked all of his authority over the company and its subsidiaries, with the board assuming day‑to‑day operations while it searches for new executive leadership. The move follows a contested transition in which the outgoing directors and Morrow reportedly refused to recognize or cooperate with the new board despite it securing support from shareholders representing about 59% of outstanding shares, and the new chairman, Skyler Wichers, signaled that the board is prepared to pursue litigation to enforce the shareholder mandate and will review company operations, including existing litigation with Raiffeisen Bank International, in a bid to reassert control, protect shareholder interests and reset governance after a period of internal conflict.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRL) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Scully Royalty stock, see the SRL Stock Forecast page.

Scully Royalty Outlines Scully Mine Recapitalization and Moves to Simplify European Banking Unit
Dec 31, 2025

In a management discussion and analysis for the six months ended June 30, 2025, filed on December 31, 2025, Scully Royalty Ltd. detailed the composition and performance drivers of its business, highlighting the central role of its net revenue royalty interest in the Scully iron ore mine in Newfoundland and Labrador, which generated the majority of its 2024 revenue and represents a major share of its asset base, backed by minimum annual royalty payments and production routed to the seaborne iron ore market via Quebec. The company also outlined the status of the Scully Mine’s operator, which entered restructuring proceedings in October 2023 and completed a recapitalization transaction in September 2024 involving a significant equity injection and new operating arrangements, and disclosed that in December 2025 it decided to convert its European regulated banking subsidiary into an unregulated entity, in a move aimed at streamlining costs and simplifying its corporate structure, pending regulatory approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRL) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Scully Royalty stock, see the SRL Stock Forecast page.

Scully Royalty Reasserts Control as It Postpones AGM Amid MILFAM Dispute
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Scully Royalty Ltd. announced that its board of directors had postponed the company’s annual general meeting of shareholders, following an earlier December 24, 2025 notice, to allow time for a hearing before the Cayman Islands Court of Appeal regarding the validity of director nominations submitted by shareholder MILFAM LLC. The company stated it considers MILFAM’s attempt to proceed unilaterally with the meeting and install its own nominees as directors to be invalid, confirmed that the postponed meeting has not yet taken place and the current board remains in place, and urged shareholders to rely only on official company communications for information about the rescheduling—underscoring an ongoing governance dispute that may influence future control and strategic direction of the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRL) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Scully Royalty stock, see the SRL Stock Forecast page.

Scully Royalty Appeals Cayman Court Ruling and Briefly Delays Annual Meeting
Dec 29, 2025

On December 24, 2025, Scully Royalty Ltd. said it has appealed a December 19, 2025 ruling by the Grand Court of the Cayman Islands concerning whether the director nomination notice submitted by shareholder MILFAM LLC complied with the timing requirements set out in the company’s constitutional documents. The company also postponed its annual general meeting, originally scheduled for December 27, 2025, for a short period to allow the Cayman Islands Court of Appeal to hear the case, following a recommendation from its Compensation, Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee that a brief delay would reduce uncertainty, give shareholders more time to assess MILFAM’s nominations in light of the court process, and ensure the meeting is conducted in an orderly manner with full disclosure to support informed voting.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRL) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Scully Royalty stock, see the SRL Stock Forecast page.

Scully Royalty Ltd. Announces Annual General Meeting for December 2025
Dec 5, 2025

Scully Royalty Ltd., a company incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for December 27, 2025, in Hong Kong. The meeting will address key agenda items including the election of the board of directors and the ratification of AOGB CPA Limited as the company’s auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Shareholders are urged to participate in the decision-making process, with a record date set for November 24, 2025, to determine eligibility for voting. This meeting is crucial for stakeholders as it will shape the company’s governance and financial oversight for the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Scully Royalty stock, see the SRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026