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Heritage Global Inc (HGBL)
NASDAQ:HGBL
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Heritage Global (HGBL) AI Stock Analysis

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HGBL

Heritage Global

(NASDAQ:HGBL)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(5.82% Upside)
Heritage Global's overall stock score reflects a combination of moderate financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's strategic plans and strong pipeline offer potential, but current profitability and cash flow issues, along with bearish market momentum, weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
HGBL reported results that beat consensus on all metrics, showing improved performance after a slow start.
Market Valuation
HGBL shares trade at a lower P/E multiple compared to its closest competitor, suggesting potential undervaluation.
Negative Factors
Auction Performance
Heritage's fourth quarter saw a repeat of previous misses, driven by low activity in the Industrial Asset business.
Earnings Miss
HGBL missed consensus on revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS due to an unusually weak quarter in auctioning industrial assets.

Heritage Global (HGBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Heritage Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHeritage Global Inc. (HGBL) is a diversified financial services company specializing in asset liquidation, valuation, and advisory services. The company operates across various sectors, including industrial, financial, and technology, providing solutions for distressed and surplus assets. Its core services include asset auctions, valuations, and advisory services aimed at maximizing the value recovery for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyHeritage Global Inc. generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model centered around its asset liquidation and valuation services. The company earns money primarily through commission-based fees from conducting auctions and liquidations of surplus and distressed assets. These auctions can involve industrial machinery, real estate, and other valuable assets. Additionally, HGBL offers valuation and advisory services, which provide a stable revenue stream through consulting fees. The company also forms strategic partnerships with financial institutions and corporations to facilitate asset recovery and disposition, further enhancing its revenue potential. Overall, HGBL's earnings are driven by its expertise in maximizing asset value for its clients and its ability to navigate various sectors and markets.

Heritage Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were significant achievements such as surpassing NOI goals, a strong financial assets pipeline, and strategic acquisition plans, there were also notable challenges including a decrease in operating income, EBITDA, and net income compared to the previous year.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Net Operating Income (NOI) Goal
Heritage Global exceeded its $2 million NOI goal by achieving $2.2 million, which was seen as encouraging and indicative of a solid quarter.
Strong Pipeline and Client Growth in Financial Assets
NLEX, the financial assets division, has built a strong and trusted brand, continuing to add new and bulk sellers regularly, with a strong pipeline of opportunities expected to sustain performance throughout 2025.
Strategic Acquisition Plan
Heritage Global is in a serious acquisition mode, looking at multiple companies, with plans to announce deals within 6 to 12 months, aiming for significant growth.
Positive Industrial Sector Performance
The industrial assets division saw a healthy spread of large multinational firms aggressively managing their surplus, with an increase in auctions and steady asset pricing levels.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Income Compared to Previous Year
Consolidated operating income was $2.2 million in Q2 2025 compared to $3.5 million in Q2 2024, a decrease attributed to earnings from a significant transaction in the prior year.
Reduction in Adjusted EBITDA and Net Income
Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $2.6 million from $4 million in the prior year period, and net income fell to $1.6 million from $2.5 million, influenced by past significant transactions.
Company Guidance
During the Heritage Global Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company highlighted its financial performance and strategic direction. Net operating income (NOI) surpassed the $2 million goal, reaching $2.2 million, while consolidated operating income was reported at $2.2 million compared to $3.5 million in the previous year. The Industrial Assets division posted an operating income of $1.3 million, and the Financial Assets division also recorded $2.2 million in operating income. Adjusted EBITDA stood at $2.6 million, with net income at $1.6 million or $0.05 per diluted share. The company emphasized its robust pipeline across revenue sectors, plans for strategic acquisitions, and a strong balance sheet, with stockholders' equity at $65.7 million and a net available cash balance of $11.7 million. Heritage Global is actively pursuing M&A opportunities, aiming to announce significant deals within the next 6 to 12 months. The call concluded with management expressing confidence in the company's stability and growth potential.

Heritage Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Heritage Global presents a mixed financial outlook. While profitability and operational efficiency are commendable, the sharp decline in revenue and free cash flow raises concerns. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, but there is a notable decrease in return on equity, which could impact future growth potential.
Income Statement
80
Positive
The income statement shows a robust performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 87.2% and a Net Profit Margin of 11.4% for 2024, indicating strong profitability. However, there is a decline in Total Revenue from 2023 to 2024 by 25.1%, which is a significant concern. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 20.0% and 20.9% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong Equity Ratio of 80.2%, demonstrating financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low at 0.04, indicating minimal leverage. Return on Equity has decreased to 7.9% in 2024 from 20.4% in 2023, suggesting reduced profitability on equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement illustrates a 40.4% decline in Free Cash Flow from 2023 to 2024, which is a downside. Nevertheless, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.5, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.94M45.36M60.55M46.91M25.79M26.18M
Gross Profit27.11M39.56M21.39M26.00M17.90M16.71M
EBITDA7.28M10.31M14.83M11.66M3.47M6.42M
Net Income3.59M5.18M12.47M15.49M3.05M9.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.69M81.31M83.17M67.56M50.46M44.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.85M21.75M12.28M12.67M13.62M23.39M
Total Debt7.26M2.71M9.88M7.15M6.58M1.00M
Total Liabilities21.98M16.11M22.09M19.26M17.82M14.61M
Stockholders Equity65.71M65.20M61.08M48.30M32.64M29.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.89M7.61M12.76M6.27M-4.06M9.14M
Operating Cash Flow10.12M7.75M13.02M6.48M-2.63M9.15M
Investing Cash Flow-772.00K10.87M-15.87M-7.52M-10.20M4.51M
Financing Cash Flow-6.03M-9.15M2.46M78.00K3.06M7.00M

Heritage Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.89
Price Trends
50DMA
2.08
Negative
100DMA
2.08
Negative
200DMA
2.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
38.66
Neutral
STOCH
28.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HGBL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.92, below the 50-day MA of 2.08, and below the 200-day MA of 2.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HGBL.

Heritage Global Risk Analysis

Heritage Global disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Heritage Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Heritage Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$17.80B11.9410.22%3.74%9.69%1.17%
65
Neutral
$24.65M10.904.55%8.33%69.61%-55.71%
62
Neutral
$101.47M10.5711.37%9.24%-2.06%
56
Neutral
$65.66M19.115.45%-11.05%-66.83%
54
Neutral
$239.65M77.58%-3.35%99.18%
50
Neutral
$35.77M5.0217.60%138.36%
49
Neutral
$80.78M-6.66%4.77%-36.67%-1568.10%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HGBL
Heritage Global
1.88
0.22
13.25%
COHN
Cohen & Company
12.00
3.86
47.42%
SRL
Scully Royalty
5.25
-1.86
-26.16%
SIEB
Siebert Financial
2.51
0.53
26.77%
BTM
Bitcoin Depot
3.70
2.14
137.18%
MDBH
MDB Capital Holdings, LLC Class A
3.50
-4.21
-54.60%

Heritage Global Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Heritage Global Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Heritage Global Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders where shareholders elected Samuel Shimer, Kelly Sharpe, and Ross Dove as Class I directors. Additionally, UHY LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The election and ratification reflect the company’s ongoing governance and financial oversight strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025