tiprankstipranks
Heritage Global Inc (HGBL)
NASDAQ:HGBL
Want to see HGBL full AI Analyst Report?

Heritage Global (HGBL) AI Stock Analysis

182 Followers

Top Page

HGBL

Heritage Global

(NASDAQ:HGBL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(2.74% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/10/26
The score is held back mainly by weak recent cash flow quality (negative TTM free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a conservative, low-leverage balance sheet and a reasonable P/E, while the latest earnings call supports a moderate outlook with growth/margin ambitions but also acknowledges near-term operating pressure and integration seasonality.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a conservative capital structure provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk, supports opportunistic buybacks, M&A or investment spending, and cushions the business through cyclical volumes in disposition markets.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Conversion
A swing to negative trailing twelve-month free cash flow signals working-capital stress or higher reinvestment needs. Persistent weak cash conversion can constrain reinvestment, limit balance-sheet optionality, and erode the durability of reported profits if it continues over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a conservative capital structure provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk, supports opportunistic buybacks, M&A or investment spending, and cushions the business through cyclical volumes in disposition markets.
Read all positive factors

Heritage Global (HGBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Heritage Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Heritage Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset services company with focus on financial and industrial asset transactions. The company provides market making, acquisitions, dispositions, valuations, and secured lending...
How the Company Makes Money
Heritage Global generally makes money by providing asset disposition and advisory services that monetize client assets through auctions and other sale formats. Revenue is typically generated from fees and commissions tied to completed sales (for e...

Heritage Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational positives — profitable quarter, Industrial Assets growth (+20%), a strong NLEX/subprime auto pipeline, investments in people/technology, and a strengthened strategic position through the DebtX acquisition — against notable near-term financial pressures: declines in consolidated operating income (~-28.6%), Financial Assets operating income (~-41.2%), lower revenue (~-5.9%), reduced Adjusted EBITDA (~-22.2%) and a DebtX operating loss (~$600K) tied to seasonality and integration. Management emphasized confidence in execution, hiring, and integration efforts to drive improvement over the rest of the year, making the tone cautiously optimistic but reflecting a balanced mix of achievements and challenges.
Positive Updates
Profitable Quarter Despite Headwinds
Consolidated operating income of approximately $1.0M and net income of ~$700K (EPS $0.02) in Q1 2026, demonstrating the company remained profitable despite lower-than-goal results.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Operating Income Versus Prior Year
Consolidated operating income decreased to ~$1.0M from $1.4M in Q1 2025 (≈-28.6%), leaving the company with ground to make up against internal goals.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Profitable Quarter Despite Headwinds
Consolidated operating income of approximately $1.0M and net income of ~$700K (EPS $0.02) in Q1 2026, demonstrating the company remained profitable despite lower-than-goal results.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance was a clear push for growth: they are 100% focused on expanding revenue and margins, expecting DebtX to rebound after a seasonal Q1 operating loss of ~$600k with “high prospects” for Q2 and the rest of 2026, and forecasting a potential record year in subprime auto after a record NLEX quarter; management said scaling DebtX and other financial‑asset service revenue should drive gross margins toward ~70% (historical mix 50–70%). They highlighted execution steps—adding sales/BD headcount (HGP +4 hires), enlarging the valuation team, technology and people investments—and noted a ~$400k operating income benefit from the Huntsville real estate repurchase with final M&E exit expected in the coming months. For context, consolidated operating income was ~ $1.0M (vs $1.4M prior), Industrial Assets op income ~$1.2M (vs $1.0M), Financial Assets op income ~$1.0M (vs $1.7M), revenue $12.7M (vs $13.5M), adjusted EBITDA $1.4M (vs $1.8M), net income ~$700k or $0.02/share (vs $1.1M or $0.03), stockholders’ equity $67.8M, net working capital $11.6M, cash $11.6M (net available cash $6.2M), ~107,000 shares repurchased at $1.32 avg and $7.4M remaining on the repurchase program.

Heritage Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is a clear strength (very low leverage), but earnings have cooled versus 2022–2023 with slightly negative TTM revenue growth, and the biggest concern is weakened cash conversion with negative TTM free cash flow despite reported profitability.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.24M50.98M45.36M60.55M46.91M25.79M
Gross Profit19.36M13.80M14.21M21.39M10.39M11.01M
EBITDA6.13M6.75M10.31M14.83M11.66M3.47M
Net Income3.24M3.59M5.18M12.47M15.49M3.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.99M88.44M81.31M83.17M67.56M50.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.57M20.52M21.75M12.28M12.67M13.62M
Total Debt1.44M5.72M2.71M9.88M7.15M6.58M
Total Liabilities17.22M21.46M16.11M22.09M19.26M17.82M
Stockholders Equity67.77M66.98M65.20M61.08M48.30M32.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-280.00K-2.33M7.61M12.76M6.27M-4.06M
Operating Cash Flow1.34M6.14M7.75M13.02M6.48M-2.63M
Investing Cash Flow-5.82M-9.39M10.87M-15.87M-7.52M-10.20M
Financing Cash Flow-2.75M2.03M-9.15M2.46M78.00K3.06M

Heritage Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.46
Price Trends
50DMA
1.32
Positive
100DMA
1.32
Positive
200DMA
1.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
65.89
Neutral
STOCH
88.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HGBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.38, above the 50-day MA of 1.32, and below the 200-day MA of 1.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HGBL.

Heritage Global Risk Analysis

Heritage Global disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Heritage Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Heritage Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$155.74M44.755.77%3.32%6.26%1779.57%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
58
Neutral
$44.81M16.414.85%7.68%-23.96%
54
Neutral
$82.31M-0.13-21.91%420.79%18.17%
47
Neutral
$7.86M
45
Neutral
$19.64M1.61-1.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HGBL
Heritage Global
1.29
-0.89
-40.83%
DOMH
Dominari Holdings
3.64
-1.51
-29.36%
GREE
Greenidge Generation Holdings
1.21
0.11
10.00%
WHG
Westwood Holdings Group
16.42
1.97
13.66%
ARBK
Argo Blockchain
3.63
-73.48
-95.29%
TOP
Zhong Yang Financial Group Ltd.
0.76
-0.57
-42.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 10, 2026