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Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA (SQM)
NYSE:SQM
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Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA (SQM) AI Stock Analysis

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SQM

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA

(NYSE:SQM)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(6.52% Upside)
The overall stock score of 65 reflects a balanced view of SQM's current position. The most significant factor is the mixed financial performance, with stable profitability but liquidity concerns. Technical analysis shows a positive trend, providing some optimism. However, the valuation suggests caution due to a high P/E ratio and no dividend yield. The earnings call adds a cautiously optimistic outlook, but it does not significantly alter the score due to its exclusion from the weighted calculation.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Lithium price rally has triggered upward earnings revision and short covering for SQM stock.
Market Conditions
The suspension of CATL's Jianxiawo lithium lepidolite mine could drive a significant destocking of lithium in China ahead of the peak battery demand season.
Strategic Deals
The potential completion of the deal with Codelco and the stabilization of the lithium market are key to removing uncertainties around SQM and driving the shares.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Revenues were 6% below expectations due to lower than expected lithium prices and volumes.
Political Risks
The leading candidates running for president in Chile have publicly opposed the deal between Codelco and SQM, mainly alleging lack of transparency.
Valuation Concerns
SQM's relative valuation to peers is unattractive, and the stock is pricing in lithium well above spot levels in 2026.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA (SQM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and distributes specialty plant nutrients, iodine and its derivatives, lithium and its derivatives, potassium chloride and sulfate, industrial chemicals, and other products and services. The company offers specialty plant nutrients, including potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, sodium potassium nitrate, specialty blends, and other specialty fertilizers. It also provides iodine and its derivatives for use in medical, pharmaceutical, agricultural, and industrial applications comprising x-ray contrast media, polarizing films for LCD and LED, antiseptics, biocides and disinfectants, pharmaceutical synthesis, electronics, pigments, and dye components. In addition, the company offers lithium carbonates for various applications that include electrochemical materials for batteries, frits for the ceramic and enamel industries, heat-resistant glass, air conditioning chemicals, continuous casting powder for steel extrusion, primary aluminum smelting process, pharmaceuticals, and lithium derivatives, as well as ingredient in manufacturing of gunpowder. Further, it supplies lithium hydroxide for the lubricating greases industry, as well as cathodes for batteries. Additionally, it offers potassium chloride and potassium sulfate for various crops, including corn, rice, sugar, soybean, and wheat; industrial chemicals, including sodium nitrate, potassium nitrate, potassium chloride, and solar salts; and other fertilizers and blends. The company operates in Chile, Latin America and the Caribbean, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
How the Company Makes MoneySQM generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its specialty fertilizers and lithium products. The demand for lithium, driven by the growth of electric vehicles and renewable energy storage, has become a significant revenue driver for the company. Additionally, SQM earns income from the sale of iodine and potassium nitrate, which are utilized in diverse applications ranging from agriculture to pharmaceuticals. The company has established strategic partnerships with major players in the automotive and technology sectors, enhancing its market position and contributing to its earnings. Furthermore, SQM benefits from its efficient production processes and low-cost operations in the lithium and potassium markets, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing while maximizing profitability.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments and challenges. While the company faced declining lithium prices affecting revenues, there were significant achievements, such as stable demand in key business segments, successful project completions, and strong profitability in the iron segment. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with improvements in market dynamics and strategic planning for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Lithium Market Dynamics
Despite a 3% year-on-year decline in lithium revenue due to lower prices, recent weeks have shown price improvements, driven by strong demand from EV and BEV markets in China and Europe.
International Lithium Division Achievements
Updated sales guidance for the International Lithium division to 20,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent for 2025. Kwinana refinery completed and delivered its first product on spec, on budget, and on time.
Iron Segment Profitability
Iron was the most profitable segment with an adjusted gross margin of 57%, contributing over 50% to the total company gross profit. Prices remain strong due to healthy demand and tight supply.
Specialty Plant Nutrition Business Stability
Specialty Plant Nutrition business remained stable, reflecting resilient demand across key markets, even as potassium volumes declined.
Negative Updates
Lower Lithium Prices Impact Revenue
Lower lithium prices led to a more than 3% year-on-year revenue decline, impacting the financial performance of the lithium segment.
Delays in Expansion Decision for Mt. Holland
Expansion decision for Mt. Holland will not be made in 2025, with periodic reviews planned for next year. This impacts future growth plans.
Company Guidance
During the SQM Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance on various metrics. Despite facing a more than 3% year-on-year decline in revenues due to lower lithium prices, market dynamics have recently shifted, with lithium prices improving over the past few weeks. The strong demand growth in the electric vehicle (EV) and battery electric vehicle (BEV) sectors, particularly in China and Europe, was highlighted. SQM updated its sales guidance for the International Lithium division to approximately 20,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent for the full year. The Kwinana refinery, now complete, is expected to produce 50,000 metric tons of lithium hydroxide annually at full capacity. In the Chilean operations, lithium sales volumes are expected to increase by at least 10% compared to 2024. The iodine segment remained highly profitable with an adjusted gross margin of 57%, contributing over 50% to the total company gross profit. The Specialty Plant Nutrition business is stable, with resilient demand, although potassium volumes are lower. Overall, SQM is confident in its ability to navigate the volatile environment and capitalize on the strong fundamentals in the lithium market.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA showcases solid operational margins and a strong balance sheet with moderate leverage. Despite recent revenue and profit declines, the company maintains healthy cash flow and profitability ratios. Continued focus on improving revenue growth and net income will be essential for sustaining financial strength.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 28.12% and an EBIT margin of 22.25% for TTM, indicating good operational efficiency. However, the revenue growth rate is negative compared to previous periods, and net profit margin is reduced at 13.45% due to a decline in net income. EBITDA margin remains healthy at 24.13%, demonstrating stable earnings before non-cash items.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity ratio of 45.73%, suggesting a solid financial base. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.90, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is strong at 11.47%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits, although a reduction from past years.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 2.22, indicating sound cash generation capability relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth is modest with a TTM increase, and free cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.60, reflecting limited cash available for expansion or dividends.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.23B4.53B7.47B10.71B2.86B1.82B
Gross Profit1.13B1.33B3.07B5.74B1.09B482.87M
EBITDA937.44M1.17B3.23B5.80B1.13B516.62M
Net Income477.51M-404.36M2.01B3.91B585.45M164.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.52B11.50B11.71B10.82B7.04B4.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.23B2.44B2.36B3.61B2.42B854.56M
Total Debt4.74B4.82B4.55B2.91B2.61B1.95B
Total Liabilities6.13B6.30B6.14B5.89B3.83B2.66B
Stockholders Equity5.35B5.16B5.53B4.90B3.18B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.40M302.89M-1.28B3.00B357.80M-140.01M
Operating Cash Flow889.64M1.27B-178.29M3.91B822.52M182.23M
Investing Cash Flow-537.36M-1.21B-1.48B-909.40M-1.01B-167.09M
Financing Cash Flow189.19M282.38M47.91M-2.00B1.21B-94.13M

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.94
Price Trends
50DMA
39.33
Positive
100DMA
36.63
Positive
200DMA
38.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.21
Negative
RSI
65.44
Neutral
STOCH
77.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SQM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.87, above the 50-day MA of 39.33, and above the 200-day MA of 38.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SQM.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Risk Analysis

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$12.70B27.309.29%0.47%-23.20%1226.72%
65
Neutral
$7.84B9.6214.52%4.79%1.60%-3.97%
64
Neutral
$32.22B40.240.31%2.03%4.55%-130.25%
64
Neutral
$9.07B13.2111.73%-2.34%89.86%
63
Neutral
$25.41B19.8816.88%2.45%-10.59%-7.79%
61
Neutral
$10.31B6.180.76%2.94%3.30%-36.34%
61
Neutral
$9.59B-8.66%1.85%-33.05%-97.63%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SQM
Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA
46.94
9.74
26.18%
ALB
Albemarle
87.68
1.48
1.72%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
68.83
-27.68
-28.68%
PPG
PPG Industries
112.13
-12.47
-10.01%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
77.83
-3.06
-3.78%
AVTR
Avantor
13.19
-12.37
-48.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2025