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Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA (SQM)
NYSE:SQM
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Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA (SQM) AI Stock Analysis

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SQM

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA

(NYSE:SQM)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(7.93% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily driven by strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call outlook, highlighting record lithium sales and strategic expansions. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, including high leverage and an overvalued P/E ratio, temper the score.
Positive Factors
Record Lithium Sales
Record lithium sales indicate strong demand and operational efficiency, supporting long-term revenue growth and market leadership in the lithium sector.
Strategic Joint Venture
The joint venture with Codelco enhances SQM's strategic position in the Atacama region, potentially increasing production capacity and market influence.
Strong Demand Fundamentals
Continued strong demand for lithium, driven by electric vehicles, supports SQM's growth prospects and reinforces its market position.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates challenges in cash generation, which could impact liquidity and limit investment in growth opportunities.
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth reflects a challenging market environment, potentially affecting long-term financial performance and competitiveness.
Volatile Lithium Market
Market volatility in lithium prices can lead to unpredictable revenue streams, impacting financial stability and strategic planning.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA (SQM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) is a leading global producer of specialty plant nutrients, iodine, lithium, and other industrial chemicals. Established in 1968 and headquartered in Santiago, Chile, SQM operates primarily in the mining and chemical sectors, leveraging its extensive lithium brine resources in the Salar de Atacama. The company focuses on sustainable production and innovation, offering a range of products that serve various industries, including agriculture, automotive, electronics, and renewable energy.
How the Company Makes MoneySQM generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of lithium, iodine, and specialty fertilizers. The company benefits significantly from the growing demand for lithium, driven by the electric vehicle and energy storage markets. SQM's lithium production comes from brine extraction in Chile, where it has a competitive advantage due to its low-cost operations and high-quality resources. Additionally, SQM produces iodine, which is used in pharmaceuticals, and specialty fertilizers that cater to the agricultural sector. The company has established partnerships with major players in the electric vehicle industry, enhancing its market position and revenue potential. Market fluctuations, global demand, and regulatory factors also play a significant role in its earnings, impacting prices and production volumes.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a largely positive outlook with record lithium sales volumes and strong demand fundamentals. Despite some market volatility and adjustments in CapEx, SQM continues to experience growth across its segments and received key approvals for strategic ventures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Lithium Sales Volumes
SQM delivered the highest lithium sales volumes in its history, supported by low cost and strong efficiencies at their Atacama operations.
Strong Demand Fundamentals
Demand for lithium remains strong, driven by electric vehicles and energy storage systems, which account for more than 20% of global lithium demand.
Expansion in Iodine Production Capacity
SQM is expanding iodine production capacity by 1,500 tons through the development of a third operation in Maria Elena.
Positive Pricing Environment for Lithium
Realized average prices for lithium increased, with expectations for this positive trend to continue in the fourth quarter.
Approval for Joint Venture with Codelco
SQM received approval from China's antitrust authority for a joint venture with Codelco, expected to advance before the end of the year.
Stable Performance in Iodine and Plant Nutrition
Iodine prices remain high with balanced supply-demand, and the Specialty Plant Nutrition business showed sustainable growth in volumes and revenues.
Negative Updates
Volatile Lithium Market
The lithium market remains highly volatile, despite a more favorable pricing environment in the current period.
CapEx Program Adjustments
Total CapEx has been adjusted to $2.7 billion over the 2025-2027 period, with some investment decisions delayed, although it does not affect production and sales objectives.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, SQM provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming periods. The company experienced a favorable pricing environment for lithium, with average realized prices increasing and expectations for this trend to continue into the fourth quarter. SQM achieved its highest lithium sales volumes ever, supported by efficient operations in Atacama and significant increases in spodumene sales from its Australian operations. The company expects lithium demand to reach over 1.5 million metric tons in 2025, representing over 25% growth, driven by strong electric vehicle sales and energy storage systems, which account for more than 20% of global lithium demand. Additionally, SQM's iodine and plant nutrition segments performed strongly, with iodine prices averaging close to $73 per kilogram and a 5% year-on-year revenue increase. The company's total capital expenditure for 2025-2027 is estimated at $2.7 billion, focusing on increasing production capacity and maintaining sustainability standards. SQM also expects to finalize a joint venture with Codelco by the end of the year, having received approval from China's antitrust authority.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA shows signs of recovery in profitability with improved net profit margins and return on equity. However, challenges in operational efficiency and cash flow generation persist. The balance sheet remains stable, but high leverage could be a concern if profitability does not continue to improve.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a modest revenue growth rate of 2.27%, but the gross profit margin has decreased to 26.78% from higher levels in previous years. Net profit margin has improved to 11.29% from a negative margin in 2024, indicating a recovery in profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined compared to previous years, suggesting pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88, showing a slight improvement from 2024. Return on equity has improved to 9.16% in the TTM period, indicating better profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the overall leverage remains relatively high, which could pose risks if earnings do not continue to improve.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth rate to -187.07% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.47, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that the company is not generating sufficient free cash flow to cover its net income, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.33B4.53B7.47B10.71B2.86B1.82B
Gross Profit1.20B1.33B3.08B5.74B1.09B482.87M
EBITDA1.01B1.17B2.94B5.58B926.12M326.81M
Net Income524.50M-404.36M2.01B3.91B585.45M164.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.73B11.50B11.71B10.82B7.04B4.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.39B2.44B2.36B3.61B2.42B854.56M
Total Debt4.71B4.82B4.55B2.91B2.61B1.95B
Total Liabilities6.19B6.30B6.14B5.89B3.83B2.66B
Stockholders Equity5.49B5.16B5.53B4.90B3.18B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow65.65M302.89M-1.28B3.17B357.80M-140.01M
Operating Cash Flow1.05B1.27B-178.29M4.08B822.52M182.23M
Investing Cash Flow-945.66M-1.21B-1.48B-909.40M-1.01B-167.09M
Financing Cash Flow-160.01M282.38M47.91M-2.00B1.21B-94.13M

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.93
Price Trends
50DMA
48.82
Positive
100DMA
45.41
Positive
200DMA
40.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.53
Negative
RSI
72.19
Negative
STOCH
84.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SQM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.76, above the 50-day MA of 48.82, and above the 200-day MA of 40.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.19 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SQM.

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Risk Analysis

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$13.75B20.0224.05%1.93%3.09%12.25%
69
Neutral
$17.60B35.279.87%-10.07%
67
Neutral
$7.08B10.3512.24%5.36%-3.33%-19.59%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$17.79B-2.84%2.53%-3.01%82.30%
58
Neutral
$15.30B-0.21%1.68%-23.92%90.47%
46
Neutral
$8.57B-9.48%3.16%-5.32%-1108.29%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SQM
Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA
63.93
24.78
63.30%
ALB
Albemarle
128.33
21.57
20.20%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
61.95
-36.89
-37.32%
IFF
International Flavors & Fragrances
69.27
-18.96
-21.49%
RPM
RPM International
106.90
-29.30
-21.51%
WLK
Westlake Corporation
67.59
-55.75
-45.20%

Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA Corporate Events

SQM Reports Record Lithium Sales and Strong Earnings Recovery
Nov 19, 2025

In its latest earnings report, SQM announced a net income of $404.4 million for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, marking a substantial recovery from a loss in the same period last year. The company achieved record lithium sales volumes and noted a strong pricing environment in iodine and nitrates. SQM is optimistic about continued demand in the lithium market, driven by electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Additionally, the company is advancing its capital expenditure plans, including projects in Chile and Australia, and has received Chinese antitrust approval for a joint venture with Codelco to develop the Atacama salt flat.

SQM and Codelco’s Partnership Approved by China for Atacama Salt Flat Development
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) announced that the State Administration for Market Regulation of China approved its partnership with Codelco to develop mining activities in the Atacama Salt Flat. This approval requires SQM and Codelco to adhere to commitments ensuring fair competition, including safeguards against sharing sensitive information and supplying lithium carbonate to Chinese customers on fair terms. These commitments align with SQM’s existing business practices in China and are not expected to significantly impact the company’s financial results.

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. Releases Interim Financial Statements for Q2 2025
Sep 30, 2025

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. released its consolidated interim financial statements for the period ending June 30, 2025. The financial documents, which are unaudited, provide insights into the company’s financial position, income, and cash flows. While the release does not specify particular financial outcomes, it offers a comprehensive overview of SQM’s accounting policies and financial risk management strategies, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 20, 2025