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Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. (SPMC)
NYSE:SPMC
US Market

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. (SPMC) AI Stock Analysis

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SPMC

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.

(NYSE:SPMC)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-1.62% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak cash conversion (negative operating/free cash flow despite strong reported earnings) and a mixed earnings outlook with NAV declines and spread compression. Technicals are also soft (below key moving averages, negative MACD). The very high dividend yield provides some support, but the high P/E and payout shortfall versus NII temper the valuation and income positives.

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. (SPMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSound Point Meridian Capital, LLC operates as a closed-end management investment company in the United States. It focuses on investing primarily in equity and mezzanine tranches of collateralized loan obligations, which are collateralized by portfolios consisting primarily of below-investment grade U.S. senior secured loans. The company was founded in 2022 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes Money

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with some financial achievements like consistent net investment income and a diversified portfolio strategy. However, these were overshadowed by significant challenges, including a decline in NAV, realized and unrealized losses, and ongoing spread compression affecting profitability.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Investment Income Achieved
Sound Point Meridian Capital reported net investment income of $11 million or $0.54 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.
Diversified Portfolio Strategy
The company maintained a highly diversified portfolio with 94 CLOs managed by 27 managers, with exposure to over 1,600 loan issuers across more than 30 sectors.
Consistent Dividend Distribution
Monthly cash dividends of $0.25 per share were declared, representing an annualized dividend yield of 17.3%.
Active Market Environment
The U.S. leverage loan market showed a rebound in primary institutional issuance to $44 billion in Q3 2025, indicating a more active pipeline of buyout and corporate transactions heading into 2026.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Decline
The NAV per share decreased to $16.91 from $18.50 as of June 30, 2025, reflecting a net loss due to spread compression and other market factors.
Realized and Unrealized Losses
The company recorded a net realized loss of $925,000 and an unrealized loss on investments of $27.4 million for the quarter.
GAAP Net Loss
A GAAP net loss of $17.2 million or a loss of $0.84 per share was reported for the quarter.
Spread Compression Challenges
Continued spread compression within the CLO collateral portfolios and lower participation in loan accumulation facilities impacted financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal second quarter ended September 30, 2025, Sound Point Meridian Capital reported a net investment income (NII) of $11 million, equating to $0.54 per share, despite facing a net realized loss of $0.05 per share from exited investments. The firm distributed $0.75 per share during the quarter, resulting in a shortfall relative to NII, primarily due to spread compression within CLO collateral portfolios and reduced participation in loan accumulation facilities. The net asset value (NAV) per share decreased to $16.91 from $18.50 on June 30, 2025. The company deployed $9.2 million across two warehouse investments and purchased 15 new equity positions with a combined amortized cost of $45.6 million and yields of 15.3% and 14.2%. Additionally, the CLO equity portfolio's weighted average GAAP yield declined to 12% from 12.9% in the prior quarter. The company maintained a diversified strategy, encompassing 94 CLOs managed by 27 managers with exposure to over 1,600 loan issuers. Looking forward, the company noted potential refinancing opportunities, with 70% of the portfolio exiting non-call periods by year-end 2026, which could help offset loan spread tightening seen in 2025.

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Reported profitability and solvency look very strong (high margins, debt-free balance sheet), but cash generation is a major concern: deeply negative operating and free cash flow despite strong net income signals weak cash conversion and lowers confidence in earnings quality. Data consistency issues between periods also reduce reliability.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability is exceptionally strong, with near break-even cost structure and very high operating and net margins (both ~99%) in the latest annual period. Revenue growth is also extremely high in 2025-03-31 (annual) versus the prior period, indicating a sharp step-up in top-line scale. The main weakness is that the results look unusually “perfect” for an asset manager (margins and earnings essentially tracking revenue), which can signal one-time items, classification effects, or a business mix that may be less repeatable.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet shows no debt and a large equity base relative to assets, which is a strong solvency profile and provides flexibility through cycles. Return on equity is solid in the latest annual period (~22%), supporting the quality of earnings. A key concern is data consistency: the 2023-12-31 equity and assets values appear dramatically smaller than 2025-03-31, and the implied return on equity for 2023 is extraordinarily high, which makes year-to-year comparability less reliable based on the provided figures.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is the clear weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are deeply negative (about -$106M) in both periods despite very strong reported net income. This suggests earnings are not converting into cash in the periods shown, raising questions about working-capital movements, timing, or other cash uses that are overwhelming operating profitability. While free cash flow growth is shown as strongly positive in 2025-03-31 (annual), it is still negative in absolute terms, so the underlying cash profile remains pressured.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue100.88M64.51M64.51M
Gross Profit39.44M64.39M64.39M
EBITDA13.98M63.60M63.60M
Net Income119.59K63.60M63.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets541.29M303.21M303.21K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.71M4.99M4.99K
Total Debt77.50M0.000.00
Total Liabilities195.07M9.05M9.05K
Stockholders Equity346.22M294.17M294.17K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.74B-106.38M-106.38M
Operating Cash Flow-20.74B-106.38M-106.38M
Investing Cash Flow-186.75M0.000.00
Financing Cash Flow17.81B85.46M85.46M

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$373.13M11.978.20%12.83%90.34%-44.25%
57
Neutral
73.051.05%22.11%
57
Neutral
$385.90M11.896.83%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
55
Neutral
$139.96M-34.64-2.25%14.03%-34.92%-132.22%
50
Neutral
$485.29M-55.20-1.15%21.13%-91.81%78.46%
45
Neutral
$97.43M-13.24-5.98%22.43%47.01%-179.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPMC
Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
14.28
-2.92
-17.00%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
5.97
-0.08
-1.37%
SCM
Stellus Capital
13.01
-0.24
-1.81%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
5.89
-2.00
-25.35%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
6.70
-0.83
-11.02%
GECC
Great Elm Capital
7.31
-2.02
-21.65%

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Sound Point Meridian Capital Announces Preliminary Year-End NAV
Neutral
Jan 9, 2026

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. reported that its management’s unaudited estimate of net asset value per share of common stock as of December 31, 2025, ranged between $13.97 and $14.07. For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, the company estimated unaudited net investment income between $0.40 and $0.48 per share and an unaudited realized loss between $0.01 and $0.09 per share, offering investors an early view of its fourth-quarter and year-end financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPMC) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. stock, see the SPMC Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Sound Point Meridian Capital Updates NAV Estimate
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On November 30, 2025, Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. estimated the net asset value per share of its common stock to be between $14.66 and $14.76. This estimation provides stakeholders with a financial benchmark, reflecting the company’s current valuation and potentially influencing investor decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPMC) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. stock, see the SPMC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Sound Point Meridian Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. announced its financial results for the second fiscal quarter ending September 30, 2025. The company reported a net asset value per share of $16.91 and a net investment income of $11.0 million. However, it faced a GAAP net loss of $17.2 million due to realized and unrealized losses on investments. The company also declared monthly distributions for its common and preferred stock to be paid in early 2026. These results reflect the company’s ongoing challenges in managing its investment portfolio, particularly in the CLO market, impacting its financial performance and stakeholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPMC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. stock, see the SPMC Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Sound Point Meridian Releases October NAV Estimate
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. announced an unaudited estimate of their net asset value per share for October 31, 2025, ranging between $16.12 and $16.22. This estimation provides stakeholders with an insight into the company’s financial standing as of that date, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPMC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. stock, see the SPMC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Sound Point Meridian Capital Appoints New CFO
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. announced the appointment of Daniel Fabian as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective December 31, 2025, following the departure of Kevin Gerlitz. Mr. Fabian, who joined Sound Point Capital Management, LP in May 2025, brings over 20 years of experience in the global asset management sector and will oversee finance, tax, valuations, technology, and fund reporting functions, potentially enhancing the company’s operational scalability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPMC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. stock, see the SPMC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Sound Point Meridian Declares Q4 2026 Stock Distributions
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. announced the declaration of distributions for its common and preferred stock for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026. The company declared a monthly distribution of $0.25 per share on its common stock and distributions on its Series A and Series B Term Preferred Stock, reflecting annual distribution rates of 8.00% and 7.875% respectively. These distributions are scheduled for January, February, and March 2026, and are expected to be paid from net investment income, capital gains, or return of capital, with tax characteristics to be reported to stockholders after the 2025 calendar year.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPMC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. stock, see the SPMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026