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South32 (SOUHY)
:SOUHY
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South32
(OTC:SOUHY)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(5.60% Upside)
South32 (SOUHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$8.53B
Dividend Yield3.42%
Average Volume (3M)5.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)56.5
Beta (1Y)1.11
Revenue Growth-20.31%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees9,906
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength57
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.41
Shares Outstanding900,727,050
10 Day Avg. Volume5,581
30 Day Avg. Volume5,273
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)0.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio0.00
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.38
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.69
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit26.75
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.77
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$10.00Price Target Upside5.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
South32 Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionSouth32 Limited operates as a diversified metals and mining company in Australia, Southern Africa, North America, and South America. The company operates through Worsley Alumina, Hillside Aluminium, Mozal Aluminium, Brazil Alumina, Illawarra Metallurgical Coal, Eagle Downs Metallurgical Coal, Australia Manganese, South Africa Managanese, Cerro Matoso, Cannington, Hermosa, and South Africa Energy Coal segments. It has a portfolio of assets producing alumina, aluminum, bauxite, energy and metallurgical coal, manganese ore and alloy, ferronickel, silver, lead, zinc, and other base metals. The company also exports its products. South32 Limited has a strategic alliance agreement with AusQuest Limited for exploration opportunity in gold-copper targets at the Gunanya Project. The company was formerly known as BHP Coal Holdings Pty Limited and changed its name to South32 Limited. South32 Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySouth32 generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of minerals and metals. Its key revenue streams include the production and sale of alumina and aluminum, which are used in a range of industrial applications; the mining and export of coal, primarily used for energy generation and steel production; and the extraction and sales of manganese, nickel, silver, lead, and zinc, which have various industrial and commercial uses. The company benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with major industrial clients and leverages its diversified operations to mitigate risks associated with fluctuating commodity prices. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures also play a role in optimizing production and expanding market reach.
South32 Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: -10.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was positive, highlighting strong financial performance, production growth, and strategic project approvals. However, there are significant challenges in safety, geopolitical impacts, and cost management that need addressing.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in EBITDA and Earnings
The company delivered a 44% increase in underlying EBITDA to $1 billion and an increase in underlying earnings of $375 million.
Reduction in Net Debt
Net debt was reduced by $715 million to $47 million, supporting a strong balance sheet focus.
Strong Production Performance
Aluminum production increased by 5% and copper equivalent production increased by 21% at Sierra Gorda.
Approval for Worsley Mine Development
Received primary state and federal environmental approvals for the Worsley mine development project, expected to sustain production to FY '36.
Interim Dividend and Capital Return
Announced a fully franked interim ordinary dividend of $154 million and continuation of capital management program with $171 million to be returned to shareholders.
Progress on Hermosa Zinc-Lead-Silver Project
Investing in future production of critical minerals with construction at the Hermosa project in Arizona and exploration at the Peake deposit.
Negative Updates
Safety Incident at Cerro Matoso
A tragic incident resulted in the loss of a colleague, leading to an ongoing focus on safety improvement.
Challenges in Mozambique
Updated guidance for Mozal Aluminium due to impacts of civil unrest in Mozambique.
Weather Risks at GEMCO
Production restart at GEMCO subject to potential impacts from the wet season, with weather posing a significant risk.
Unit Cost Challenges
Higher bauxite consumption and additional administrative costs have increased unit costs by $5 per tonne.
Potential Sale of Cerro Matoso
The future of Cerro Matoso in the portfolio is uncertain, with discussions about potential divestment.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, the company provided detailed guidance for the first half of FY '25, highlighting significant metrics and strategic developments. Key production metrics included a 5% increase in aluminum production and a 21% rise in copper equivalent production at Sierra Gorda. However, production guidance for Mozal Aluminium was updated due to civil unrest impacts in Mozambique. Financially, the company reported a 44% increase in underlying EBITDA to $1 billion and a $375 million rise in underlying earnings, along with a $361 million improvement in cash flow from operations. The company also reduced net debt by $715 million to $47 million, emphasizing a strong balance sheet. A fully franked interim dividend of $154 million at $0.034 per share was announced, alongside the continuation of a capital management program with $171 million remaining for shareholder returns. The sale of Illawarra Metallurgical Coal for up to $1.65 billion further streamlined the portfolio, with investments in future critical minerals production, including the development of the Tailor zinc-lead-silver project at Hermosa. The company's ongoing focus on reducing unit costs and unwinding working capital is expected to enhance cash generation in the second half of FY '25.South32 Financial Statement Overview
Summary
South32's financial performance is challenged by declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and liquidity concerns, despite a strong equity base. The balance sheet shows stability but with potential risks, and cash flow issues raise concerns about long-term financial health.Income Statement
South32's income statement shows significant volatility in profitability. The gross profit margin saw fluctuations, with the most recent year showing a decrease in total revenue and gross profit. The net income has been negative for recent years, impacting the net profit margin negatively. EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative for the most recent year, indicating operational challenges. Revenue growth has also been inconsistent, with a sharp decline in the latest period, reflecting potential market or operational difficulties.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet remains relatively strong with a healthy equity base and an improving debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the decline in total assets and stockholder's equity compared to previous years indicates some potential risks. The equity ratio remains favorable, demonstrating stability in assets financing.65
Positive
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow and operating cash flow, reflecting potential liquidity concerns. The free cash flow has turned negative in the latest year, impacting the company's ability to reinvest or pay dividends. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates inefficiencies in converting sales to cash, a potential risk for long-term operations.50
Neutral
| Breakdown | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 | Jun 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 5.48B | 5.65B | 9.27B | 5.48B | 5.01B |
| Gross Profit | 1.86B | 1.94B | 5.46B | 2.57B | 2.04B |
| EBITDA | 141.00M | 416.00M | 4.47B | 1.47B | 932.00M |
| Net Income | -203.00M | -173.00M | 2.67B | -195.00M | -65.00M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 14.24B | 14.56B | 16.34B | 13.24B | 13.74B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 842.00M | 1.26B | 2.37B | 1.61B | 1.31B |
| Total Debt | 1.57B | 1.74B | 1.83B | 1.21B | 1.02B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.27B | 5.19B | 5.56B | 4.29B | 4.17B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.96B | 9.38B | 10.78B | 8.96B | 9.56B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -2.00M | 303.00M | 2.48B | 815.00M | 628.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.12B | 1.19B | 3.07B | 1.41B | 1.36B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.11B | -908.00M | -2.10B | -608.00M | -873.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -417.00M | -1.39B | -215.00M | -501.00M | -562.00M |
South32 Technical Analysis
Negative
9.47
Price Trends
9.77
Negative
9.68
Negative
10.47
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.02
Positive
43.83
Neutral
12.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOUHY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.81, below the 50-day MA of 9.77, and below the 200-day MA of 10.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SOUHY.
South32 Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $130.85B | 11.52 | 26.13% | 4.86% | -3.15% | 54.08% | |
75 Outperform | $101.63B | 9.45 | 18.18% | 6.73% | 0.03% | -3.78% | |
74 Outperform | $42.31B | 8.20 | 13.49% | 8.56% | -12.89% | -46.86% | |
64 Neutral | $11.28B | ― | -9.62% | ― | 4.63% | -3189.81% | |
59 Neutral | $637.03M | ― | -16.64% | 2.17% | 12.30% | 42.72% | |
56 Neutral | £2.43B | 6.27 | -6.09% | 48.60% | 16.55% | 3.56% | |
55 Neutral | $8.53B | 56.53 | -3.41% | 3.42% | -20.31% | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
SOUHY
South32
9.47
0.42
4.64%
BHP
BHP Group
51.13
0.44
0.87%
RIO
Rio Tinto
59.70
0.68
1.15%
VALE
Vale SA
9.87
0.15
1.54%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
4.81
-1.37
-22.17%
MP
MP Materials
68.39
57.42
523.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.